羡羡的加密日记
公众号：羡羡日记。微博：羡羡的加密日记。
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Please listen to my sincere words patiently, coin traders!
Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.
When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.
First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.
Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.
Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.
Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.
Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.
Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.
Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.
Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.
Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.
These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.
Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.
When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.
First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.
Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.
Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.
Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.
Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.
Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.
Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.
Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.
Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.
These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.
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BTC and ETH are dangerous again? These three altcoins can be positioned for short-term plays during this drop! $USELESS skyrocketed by 15 times! Keep an eye on $RICO; there will be another wave!
The BTC four-hour chart suddenly dropped, and the trading volume increased, clearly forming a short-term downtrend. There is a gap near $106100 (just look at the yellow circle), and yesterday's rebound did not fill this gap, so today mainly should short.
If you didn't short around 106000 this morning, wait for the opportunity near 105500, and just set the stop loss at the upper edge of the gap.
Since Ethereum dropped last Friday and rebounded, it has only been a technical rebound. The E/B exchange rate has hit the lower boundary again, which is very dangerous. I have partially started shorting ETH, so Xianxian plans to increase the short position on ETH over Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.
If you didn't short around 106000 this morning, wait for the opportunity near 105500, and just set the stop loss at the upper edge of the gap.
Since Ethereum dropped last Friday and rebounded, it has only been a technical rebound. The E/B exchange rate has hit the lower boundary again, which is very dangerous. I have partially started shorting ETH, so Xianxian plans to increase the short position on ETH over Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.
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Unknowingly, the market has started to recognize valuable coins, while new coins that rely on empty promises are fading away one after another. However, “hard currencies” like Aave, Pendle, and MKR, which have actual revenue and use cases, have either been rising slowly or not losing money in the past few months. I believe these coins will perform better than L1 in the future — L1 has been hot for so many years, giving rise to various crazy valuations, and the process of demystification still has a long way to go.
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If we replace the terms "bull market" and "bear market" with "simple market" and "difficult market", doesn't it become instantly clear?
As long as we understand when it is a simple market and when it is a difficult market, we naturally know whether to hold heavily or lightly;
Once we know how to adjust our positions, we understand when to buy major coins and when to chase altcoins;
Once we are clear about which coins to buy, we can judge whether the market sentiment is at a peak or a trough;
When we understand the changes in sentiment, the timing for bottom fishing and topping out becomes clear.
#加密市场回调
As long as we understand when it is a simple market and when it is a difficult market, we naturally know whether to hold heavily or lightly;
Once we know how to adjust our positions, we understand when to buy major coins and when to chase altcoins;
Once we are clear about which coins to buy, we can judge whether the market sentiment is at a peak or a trough;
When we understand the changes in sentiment, the timing for bottom fishing and topping out becomes clear.
#加密市场回调
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BTC and ETH plummeted as expected! WLFI competition has opportunities with these four coins! Review: KMNO surged 368%! ZK earned 168%! Today's hot coins: RICO and Dogecoin.
The core driver of this round of increases comes from the easing of trade tensions between Dongda and M Country: M Country has relaxed some export controls, sending out positive signals, and both sides have shown a willingness for further negotiations. However, the market has not yet entered a FOMO state. Especially, altcoins have formed two extremes; it seems that this round of increases has no significant correlation with most altcoins, as market funds only recognize mainstream and leading coins within sectors, as evidenced by institutional funds only buying BTC, ETH, and SOL.
Market situation: BTC's current price has not dropped below 108,500. This pullback is due to the bulls taking profits, and there is still room for the market to rise. However, if it really drops below 108,000, it may fluctuate around 106,800.
Market situation: BTC's current price has not dropped below 108,500. This pullback is due to the bulls taking profits, and there is still room for the market to rise. However, if it really drops below 108,000, it may fluctuate around 106,800.
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Newbies, don't mess around with cryptocurrencies! Remember these tips to avoid pitfalls:
Don't go all in! Keep some cash for buying more, going all in is a gambler's behavior.
If you don't understand a coin, start with a small amount to test the waters, don't use real money as tuition.
If there's good news and the price opens high, sell quickly; reduce your holdings in advance before holidays to prevent a crash.
For medium to long-term investments, buy and sell in batches; for short-term, follow popular coins, and avoid obscure coins.
If you need to cut losses, do it decisively; learning a couple of technical indicators is enough, don't be greedy.
The key is two words: 'Restraint': Control your hands to protect your capital, so you can wait for the right opportunity.
Don't go all in! Keep some cash for buying more, going all in is a gambler's behavior.
If you don't understand a coin, start with a small amount to test the waters, don't use real money as tuition.
If there's good news and the price opens high, sell quickly; reduce your holdings in advance before holidays to prevent a crash.
For medium to long-term investments, buy and sell in batches; for short-term, follow popular coins, and avoid obscure coins.
If you need to cut losses, do it decisively; learning a couple of technical indicators is enough, don't be greedy.
The key is two words: 'Restraint': Control your hands to protect your capital, so you can wait for the right opportunity.
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The market has now returned to the previous range for fluctuations, oscillating back and forth within a large range, with the upper and lower positions serving as short-term support and resistance levels. The recent trends have captured the attention of many; if there is an effective breakthrough, it is likely to continue rising.
Currently, the support at the 108000 level seems quite strong, so just go long at this support level in the morning.
Bitcoin #BTC☀️ is going long at 108000, targeting 109500; Ethereum #ETH is going long at 2750, targeting 2800.
Currently, the support at the 108000 level seems quite strong, so just go long at this support level in the morning.
Bitcoin #BTC☀️ is going long at 108000, targeting 109500; Ethereum #ETH is going long at 2750, targeting 2800.
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Tonight's CPI Determines Fate! BTC Soars to 110,000! Can ETH Break New Highs? SOL Chain $LABUBU Surges 200%! DeFi Leaders UNI, AAVE Strongly Breakthrough!
Recently, there have been new developments in negotiations between Dongda and the U.S. regarding technology export controls being relaxed, which has activated the market. Institutions are aggressively increasing their positions, with Bitcoin ETFs seeing $400 million in one day and Ethereum ETFs getting $52 million. BlackRock's BTC fund size has reached $70 billion, growing three times faster than gold ETFs did back in the day. MicroStrategy bought over 1,000 Bitcoins at the $105,000 price level. Currently, the market is mainly led by institutions, and large funds entering have little to do with retail investors. However, altcoins are performing mediocrely, with their rise not as strong as before, clearly showing that retail investors are waiting on the sidelines without any frenzied following.
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Bitcoin has risen to 110,000 again! Ethereum has been fluctuating for a long time; can it break through the key price level this time?
There are more and more speculators on the BSC chain, and projects that rely on community building to make money are becoming increasingly difficult. Meme coins are also cooling down; don't even mention good IPs, relying solely on verbal hype to drive prices up is no longer effective. Now it's easier to make money by following the speculators.
Everyone cherish the current sprinting market; the era of widespread altcoin increases is gone, and in the future, only localized hotspots will continuously present opportunities.
There are more and more speculators on the BSC chain, and projects that rely on community building to make money are becoming increasingly difficult. Meme coins are also cooling down; don't even mention good IPs, relying solely on verbal hype to drive prices up is no longer effective. Now it's easier to make money by following the speculators.
Everyone cherish the current sprinting market; the era of widespread altcoin increases is gone, and in the future, only localized hotspots will continuously present opportunities.
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BTC rebound is weak, ETH bears are eyeing fiercely. The Base chain's Meituan coin $ByteAI may ignite a new trend! BSC chain $EGL1 is drawing attention.
BTC trend analysis: After bouncing back to a certain level, where is it stuck now?
BTC started to rebound after falling near 10800, and during this period, trading volume gradually increased, with market capitalization and market share also rising a bit. In simple terms, it has bounced back after dropping to a critical support level, but there is a strong resistance level at 106800 above. Regardless of whether looking at the 4-hour or daily chart, it needs to break through this level to continue rising significantly.
Current market situation: The market is primarily driven by contract trading, and those buying spot haven't spent much money, so I feel the upward trend is not very reliable.
In the short term, it may fluctuate between 104000 and 105000, then try to see if it can break through 106800. If it can't break through, it is likely to drop, first breaking the support level of 100800, possibly falling to 98000, and then looking for opportunities to rise again.
BTC started to rebound after falling near 10800, and during this period, trading volume gradually increased, with market capitalization and market share also rising a bit. In simple terms, it has bounced back after dropping to a critical support level, but there is a strong resistance level at 106800 above. Regardless of whether looking at the 4-hour or daily chart, it needs to break through this level to continue rising significantly.
Current market situation: The market is primarily driven by contract trading, and those buying spot haven't spent much money, so I feel the upward trend is not very reliable.
In the short term, it may fluctuate between 104000 and 105000, then try to see if it can break through 106800. If it can't break through, it is likely to drop, first breaking the support level of 100800, possibly falling to 98000, and then looking for opportunities to rise again.
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How do retail investors in the crypto market lose money? Basically, it's this process:
At first, they buy a small amount of a coin and casually check their phones to monitor the market; they feel happy when the price goes up.
After a few days, they regret buying too little, and while hesitating, the coin price keeps rising, making them feel worse, and they want to add more but don't dare.
Finally, they wait for the coin price to pull back at a high point, rush to buy in all at once, thinking this coin will make them rich, but after adding more, the price drops, leading them to scramble for more funds to average down, and ultimately, it falls below their cost price, leaving them unwilling to sell.
They hold on until they can't take it anymore and have to cut their losses, which is painful.
What's frustrating is that within a couple of days after cutting losses, the coin price rebounds, leaving them feeling both financially hurt and extremely unlucky! #BTC
At first, they buy a small amount of a coin and casually check their phones to monitor the market; they feel happy when the price goes up.
After a few days, they regret buying too little, and while hesitating, the coin price keeps rising, making them feel worse, and they want to add more but don't dare.
Finally, they wait for the coin price to pull back at a high point, rush to buy in all at once, thinking this coin will make them rich, but after adding more, the price drops, leading them to scramble for more funds to average down, and ultimately, it falls below their cost price, leaving them unwilling to sell.
They hold on until they can't take it anymore and have to cut their losses, which is painful.
What's frustrating is that within a couple of days after cutting losses, the coin price rebounds, leaving them feeling both financially hurt and extremely unlucky! #BTC
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How will the future market trend? Where will the funds flow? Where can we make money? Let's clarify this today.
Many people have been asking since 2024, 'When will altcoins rise?' Now I will give you the answer:
First, let's look at the capital situation.
There is still the same amount of money in the market, from investment institutions to project parties, speculative funds to retail investors, the total amount of funds hasn’t decreased, it’s just that liquidity has decreased — the money hasn't disappeared, it has just changed places.
Funds must have a destination, and there are three main activities in the crypto market: buying spot, trading contracts, and speculating on meme coins.
Large funds are mainly in the spot market, with more than half of it held long-term in mainstream coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, SOL, BNB, and Dogecoin.
The remaining money is hesitant to invest in altcoins right now, as there haven't been any opportunities for instant wealth in altcoins recently. Wherever there is a profit effect, large funds will flow there.
Where are the key opportunities?
After the launch of the alpha program by BNB Chain, daily trading volume surged to the top among public chains. High trading volume indicates a lot of interest, and where there is interest, there are profit opportunities.
Now, the practice of brushing scores has jumped from web3 to web2. I heard that even companies like Kugou are asking employees to download relevant applications — this wave of promotion is simply top-notch, clearly aimed at attracting traffic.
The path for projects to launch has changed: previously, projects had to first launch on exchanges like Bg and KuCoin, then strive to get onto Korean exchanges, and finally have a chance to go to OK before they could get into BN.
Now, as long as the project's fundamentals are good and they accept the airdrop rules of BN alpha, they can directly sprint for the BN alpha segment. This means that after the project distributes airdrops in the alpha segment, the founders can still earn a lot by reducing their holdings, which is more profitable than launching on exchanges like Bb. This is enough to attract projects.
For project parties, to succeed, they must enable users to make money and increase trading volume. Just look at the $bob coin, whoever captures the users' attention can seize wealth.
Returning to the initial question: wherever there is a wealth-generating effect, the remaining large funds will flow there. Now do you understand?
Many people have been asking since 2024, 'When will altcoins rise?' Now I will give you the answer:
First, let's look at the capital situation.
There is still the same amount of money in the market, from investment institutions to project parties, speculative funds to retail investors, the total amount of funds hasn’t decreased, it’s just that liquidity has decreased — the money hasn't disappeared, it has just changed places.
Funds must have a destination, and there are three main activities in the crypto market: buying spot, trading contracts, and speculating on meme coins.
Large funds are mainly in the spot market, with more than half of it held long-term in mainstream coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, SOL, BNB, and Dogecoin.
The remaining money is hesitant to invest in altcoins right now, as there haven't been any opportunities for instant wealth in altcoins recently. Wherever there is a profit effect, large funds will flow there.
Where are the key opportunities?
After the launch of the alpha program by BNB Chain, daily trading volume surged to the top among public chains. High trading volume indicates a lot of interest, and where there is interest, there are profit opportunities.
Now, the practice of brushing scores has jumped from web3 to web2. I heard that even companies like Kugou are asking employees to download relevant applications — this wave of promotion is simply top-notch, clearly aimed at attracting traffic.
The path for projects to launch has changed: previously, projects had to first launch on exchanges like Bg and KuCoin, then strive to get onto Korean exchanges, and finally have a chance to go to OK before they could get into BN.
Now, as long as the project's fundamentals are good and they accept the airdrop rules of BN alpha, they can directly sprint for the BN alpha segment. This means that after the project distributes airdrops in the alpha segment, the founders can still earn a lot by reducing their holdings, which is more profitable than launching on exchanges like Bb. This is enough to attract projects.
For project parties, to succeed, they must enable users to make money and increase trading volume. Just look at the $bob coin, whoever captures the users' attention can seize wealth.
Returning to the initial question: wherever there is a wealth-generating effect, the remaining large funds will flow there. Now do you understand?
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Market sentiment warms up! BTC rebounds while ETH faces pressure, PEPE profits double, PNUT low-price layout, $Ana gets pushed by CZ, $BC and $Cousins narrative showdown!
Chuanzi and Old Ma have been at odds for several days, exchanging various harsh words. One said, 'The simplest way to save money is to eliminate the new energy subsidies for Old Ma,' and said, 'Old Ma has gone crazy.' The other replied, 'Without me, you wouldn't be president, ungrateful,' and 'The reason you don’t publicly disclose Epstein's list is that you are also a guest at the table.' He initiated a vote to establish a new political party to support the impeachment of Chuanzi, claiming that Chuanzi's decisions have messed up Beautiful Country.
Setting aside Chuanma's issues, the market sentiment yesterday was still quite good, especially as progress between the East University and Beautiful Country once again raised hopes for peace talks. Today, news also emerged that Chuanzi has arranged to meet with the East University officials, so the positive developments between the two sides allowed Asian investors to buy in on the bleeding chips while watching the drama unfold during the day.
Setting aside Chuanma's issues, the market sentiment yesterday was still quite good, especially as progress between the East University and Beautiful Country once again raised hopes for peace talks. Today, news also emerged that Chuanzi has arranged to meet with the East University officials, so the positive developments between the two sides allowed Asian investors to buy in on the bleeding chips while watching the drama unfold during the day.
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The market crashed because of the argument between Musk and Trump. I wanted to check out the projects on the chain, but the results were unbearable.
You can pay attention to the hot topics related to the argument these days, but there's too little hot money, and the performance hasn't met expectations.
$PVE: Many main players are still holding positions, with a current market value of 2.6 million USD.
$KBBB: It was originally highly controlled, but was dumped at midnight, then rebounded in the morning, with the market value dropping from 4 million to 600,000 and then back to 2.2 million, showing significant volatility.
$KILLBILL: The current market value is 3.8 million USD, with a fund pool of 300,000 U, but the trading volume is 4 million U.
Previous popular projects:
$LOUD: Remaining 1.9 million
$labubu: Remaining 20 million
Trenches: Remaining 1.3 million
$OLIVIA: Remaining 4.8 million
$goonc: Remaining 3.3 million
LAUNCHCOIN: 130 million
The Sol chain is still relying on short-term speculation, and the hot topics on other platforms cannot be sustained. Boop, bonk, and others have been silent, only believe still has some heat.
You can pay attention to the hot topics related to the argument these days, but there's too little hot money, and the performance hasn't met expectations.
$PVE: Many main players are still holding positions, with a current market value of 2.6 million USD.
$KBBB: It was originally highly controlled, but was dumped at midnight, then rebounded in the morning, with the market value dropping from 4 million to 600,000 and then back to 2.2 million, showing significant volatility.
$KILLBILL: The current market value is 3.8 million USD, with a fund pool of 300,000 U, but the trading volume is 4 million U.
Previous popular projects:
$LOUD: Remaining 1.9 million
$labubu: Remaining 20 million
Trenches: Remaining 1.3 million
$OLIVIA: Remaining 4.8 million
$goonc: Remaining 3.3 million
LAUNCHCOIN: 130 million
The Sol chain is still relying on short-term speculation, and the hot topics on other platforms cannot be sustained. Boop, bonk, and others have been silent, only believe still has some heat.
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The main reasons for today's cryptocurrency crash are 4:
Trump and Musk are at odds, affecting market confidence;
Trump plans to increase tariffs, triggering risk-averse sentiment;
U.S. stocks plummeted, dragging down the cryptocurrency market;
Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net outflow of $278 million yesterday, intensifying selling pressure due to capital outflow.
Trump and Musk are at odds, affecting market confidence;
Trump plans to increase tariffs, triggering risk-averse sentiment;
U.S. stocks plummeted, dragging down the cryptocurrency market;
Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net outflow of $278 million yesterday, intensifying selling pressure due to capital outflow.
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Today a giant whale bought 108,278 Ethereum for 284 million dollars. No wonder Ethereum has been so strong these past few days, it didn't fall when Bitcoin did.
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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Yesterday, Bitcoin fluctuated near the 5-day moving average, just as expected. As the time for a change approaches, the volatility is decreasing, and the daily line has fallen below the 30-day moving average for the first time in nearly two months, indicating a short-term weakness for Bitcoin. However, weakness does not mean entering a bear market; it is just a position to repair the K-line and wash out profits, and it is expected to continue consolidating in the near term.
Ethereum was pressed down after touching the 200-day moving average (the bull-bear dividing line) for the fourth time yesterday. After multiple attempts, the 200-day moving average is no longer considered a resistance level. As mentioned yesterday, Ethereum may rise above 3000 before the 12th.
For altcoins, there have been profit opportunities recently in the DeFi sector and the Alpha sector, so it can be held. Yesterday, Comp had trial trading actions, and it can be built up when it falls back to around 42; continue to hold onto Ca in the Alpha sector and wait for it to rise.
Ethereum was pressed down after touching the 200-day moving average (the bull-bear dividing line) for the fourth time yesterday. After multiple attempts, the 200-day moving average is no longer considered a resistance level. As mentioned yesterday, Ethereum may rise above 3000 before the 12th.
For altcoins, there have been profit opportunities recently in the DeFi sector and the Alpha sector, so it can be held. Yesterday, Comp had trial trading actions, and it can be built up when it falls back to around 42; continue to hold onto Ca in the Alpha sector and wait for it to rise.
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The Night Before Bitcoin's Trend Change + Circle IPO Shock! 100,000 Mark of Long and Short Strangulation! Labubu Halved! KTA and BERRY Worth Waiting For
The recent Bitcoin market is in a delicate stage, with prices brewing signals of a potential reversal in a narrow range. Technical indicators and on-chain data suggest the market may be entering a phase of peak, but in a low liquidity environment, sudden news or macro events could still quickly change the trend.
For retail investors, the current situation is both a risk window and a layout opportunity—especially during Bitcoin's consolidation period, one can provide stable income through activities with low entry barriers like Binance Alpha airdrops.
The 106800 pressure level mentioned yesterday was quite accurate; BTC started to drop after hitting this level, and it has now fallen by 1300 USD. If you shorted, you could make 1300 USD per BTC.
For retail investors, the current situation is both a risk window and a layout opportunity—especially during Bitcoin's consolidation period, one can provide stable income through activities with low entry barriers like Binance Alpha airdrops.
The 106800 pressure level mentioned yesterday was quite accurate; BTC started to drop after hitting this level, and it has now fallen by 1300 USD. If you shorted, you could make 1300 USD per BTC.
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Breaking news! At 4:45 PM (SGT) today, the #Port3 perpetual contract officially launches on the Binance futures market!
As a Web3 AI and DePIN infrastructure project, #Port3 has been a focus of attention, with good performance in previous Alpha tests and the South Korean market. The launch of this contract is further proof of market recognition. The trading pair is PORT3USDT, with leverage up to 50 times.
Not only can you trade contracts, but the Alpha test is still ongoing, and both sides can earn. Now is the perfect time to enter, so don't miss out! #BinanceFutureSignal
As a Web3 AI and DePIN infrastructure project, #Port3 has been a focus of attention, with good performance in previous Alpha tests and the South Korean market. The launch of this contract is further proof of market recognition. The trading pair is PORT3USDT, with leverage up to 50 times.
Not only can you trade contracts, but the Alpha test is still ongoing, and both sides can earn. Now is the perfect time to enter, so don't miss out! #BinanceFutureSignal
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