The big pancake sharply rebounded 3000 points after dropping to 100700. Previously, short positions were arranged at high levels, accurately capturing the entire market trend and gaining thousands of points in downward space.
However, a large number of investors flocked in yesterday to chase the rise, and the result of blindly following the trend ended up making them the victims of market games. Remember: information that seems 'tempting' in the market is often a carefully designed trap.
Big pancake operation: bearish near 103800-104500, targeting 101000. Second pancake operation: bearish near 2550-2580, targeting 2400-2350 #币安Alpha上新
The technical aspect shows high-level fluctuations, with KDJ indicating the market is oversold at a low level, and K-line shows signs of turning. If the upper pressure is not broken for a long time, a rebound may continue to decline, suggesting to wait for a clear signal. In the evening, the strategy is to primarily short at high and long at low.
Operation: Short Bitcoin when it rebounds to around 103800-104500, targeting around 101500.
Ethereum: Short when it rebounds to around 2500-2550, targeting around 2430.
The bullish outlook for the second contract suggested this morning has already moved more than 50 points!
Layout is important, but holding is even more important. The market comes and goes; the key is not to predict every fluctuation, but to decisively go long when it’s time to go long and to firmly go short when it’s time to go short #币安Alpha上新
The morning reminder indicates a bullish outlook for the Silk Road, and the market has already moved 1500 points!
You are walking on thin ice before the bull market. You really can't reach the other side! The bull is still here, and Brother Xun is still here. This is your chance to reach the other side! #币安Alpha上新
Tonight's focus is on the U.S. April CPI data! This data is considered a "barometer" of the financial market — if the data is favorable, the probability of interest rate hikes will likely soar; conversely, expectations for rate hikes will cool. The current market is eagerly speculating whether there will be a policy adjustment in July, and the April CPI is undoubtedly a key indicator.
Looking back at last night's U.S. stock market, it opened with great momentum seemingly ready for a big rally, but ended with a significant pullback, leaving the market's direction ambiguous. Recently, there has been a "strange mystique" in the market: whenever favorable news related to Trump comes out, the market tends to drop, as if caught in a reverse correlation loop.
At present, it is advisable to be cautious: the market is still oscillating in a downward trend, and blind operations are likely to lead to pitfalls. It may be better to wait and observe, and only consider short strategies when the market shows signs of a rebound. In investing, "it's better to miss out than to misjudge"; preserving capital is always the first principle. #Strategy增持比特币
5.13 Bitcoin and Ethereum Midday Silk Road Analysis:
The current price comparison has slightly rebounded to the 102,000 range, with a bearish technical outlook. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands acts as a strong resistance level, and the price fell back after touching it, with bears dominating the short-term rhythm. The rebound strength is limited, and the trading volume has not increased, indicating weakness in the upward movement. The four-hour chart shows a broken upward oscillation structure, with bearish candlesticks penetrating key support, establishing a downward trend, and maintaining a high short strategy for the day.
Action: Short Bitcoin near 102,800-103,500, targeting 100,500. Short Ethereum near 2,470-2,500, targeting 238,070,362,522,611.
The bullish outlook for Ethereum mentioned earlier this morning has already moved nearly 50 points!
Positioning is important, holding is even more important. The market comes and goes; the key is not to predict every fluctuation, but to be decisive when it's time to go long and resolute when it's time to go short #Strategy增持比特币
After the China-US tariff agreement, US stocks rose while $BTC fell, mainly due to the following reasons and subsequent trend analysis:
Reasons for the decline
1. Positive expectations materialized: The China-US tariff agreement was reached, weakening the market's previous speculation logic on "safe-haven assets," leading to profit-taking (short-term support reference 100700, strong support 99000).
2. Safe-haven attributes weakened: The easing of trade frictions reduced expectations of economic recession, leading to a decrease in demand for safe-haven assets like gold and BTC.
3. Rate cut expectations not yet realized: The Federal Reserve currently shows no signs of changing its monetary policy, lacking sustained positive speculation momentum.
4. Risk aversion before data release: The market is waiting for the monthly CPI data, with some funds temporarily leaving risk assets to observe.
Subsequent upward momentum analysis
• Short-term data guidance: If tonight's CPI data is below expectations, it may boost market risk appetite, potentially benefiting BTC; conversely, be cautious of volatility.
• Possibility of fund rotation: If the US stock market's phase of gains ends, some funds may flow back to the crypto market (BTC has both risk and safe-haven attributes).
• No significant bearish support: The current market lacks a continuous downward logic, likely maintaining range-bound fluctuations, with attention needed on the effectiveness of the 100700 support.
Conclusion: Short-term trends are significantly influenced by data and fund flows, and whether it can surge in the medium to long term depends on macro policies (such as rate cuts) and changes in market sentiment, currently focusing on a fluctuation strategy.
The market initially continued to decline to around 106,000 at midnight, then rebounded. Currently, it is oscillating around 10,250, and our strategy at midnight perfectly captured a pullback. The KDJ indicator is gradually forming a golden cross and diverging upwards, with solid support below, thus we adopt a low long strategy.
Operation: Long when Bitcoin falls to around 101,000-100,500, targeting 103,000-104,000. Ethereum: Long when it falls to around 2,440-2,400, targeting 2,500-2,550.
Tonight's reminder suggests a bullish outlook on the big pie, which has already moved over 1000 points!
Investing is like clouds rolling and unrolling; determination is the paddle, and wisdom is the boat, so one can ride the wind and break the waves. #ETH突破2500
Ethereum Night Silk Road: Looking bullish near 2440, targeting 2630
Must act in accordance with the trend, always remain rational, defend well, and never blindly resist! Wishing everything goes smoothly, seize every wave of market sentiment, we always move forward together! #币安Alpha上新
The short position on the large pancake has captured nearly 2000 points of space!
Investment is like clouds rolling in and out; determination is the oar, and wisdom is the boat, enabling one to ride the winds and break the waves.#币安Alpha上新
The morning reminder pancake looks at the Silk Road, which has already moved over 1000 points!
Investment is like clouds rolling and flowing; determination is the oar, and wisdom is the boat, only then can we ride the wind and break the waves. #币安Alpha上新
Is the large player's entry an opportunity or a trap? A June interest rate cut may give rise to a small high point! Don't ask when the small high point will arrive; the answer may lie in the moment the Federal Reserve announces the interest rate cut in June!
When the market exclaims: "Liquidity is here! The bull market is about to start!" retail investors often rush in to buy shares. Meanwhile, the main players have already completed their accumulation at low levels, just waiting for you to become emotional at the moment you are "afraid of missing out."
The plot is actually quite simple: 📈 Price increase lures in more buyers → Retail investors follow the trend and chase prices → Small high point forms → Rapid drop washes out positions → Brewing the next round of action! Why not just drop directly? Because too many retail investors have not yet entered — if it drops now, they will instead pick up shares at a low price, which is not beneficial for harvesting. First, make you mistakenly believe that the market is booming, then take advantage of your relaxed vigilance to strike a heavy blow; this is the usual script of the main players.
Remember: A true bull market will not give you the opportunity to build positions at leisure for a low price; What seems like a festive “small bull” may be a trap tailor-made for you! Whoever chases prices most aggressively may become the key target for “harvesting” — are you ready?
5.12 Evening Big Cake and Second Cake Silk Road Analysis:
After the joint announcement of the US-China economic and trade talks was released during the day, the big cake price rose from 103600 to 105800, then quickly fell back, currently fluctuating around 104300. The target points for the morning and afternoon strategies have been achieved. Evening operations will still focus on buying on dips, and it is essential to maintain defensive measures and avoid holding onto losing positions!
Operation: Big Cake: Buy on dips to 103000-104000, target at 105500-106000 Second Cake: Buy on dips to 2530-2500, target at around 2600#