6.25 Early Morning Silk Road After the Nasdaq opened, the index faced pressure ↓ testing the support level at 104700, then rebounded to stabilize at 106100. Currently, both sides are in a stalemate, oscillating in the 105400-105800 range.
From a technical perspective, the hourly Bollinger Bands are converging upwards, with the bands narrowing to a 1000-point fluctuation range. Multiple retests of the middle band have encountered resistance, indicating that the market is building up momentum for a breakout. The MACD indicator shows the two lines moving parallel and downward below the zero axis, with green bars continuously and gently expanding, suggesting that the bulls temporarily have the upper hand, but no trend-based downward signal has been formed yet.
It is worth noting that the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands is often a precursor to a change in market conditions. If the index breaks below the lower band with increased volume, it may open up ↓ space; conversely, if it breaks above the upper band, it is expected to challenge the resistance level at 108000. The index is expected to react around 106100-106800 while looking towards 104900-104200. The secondary index is expected to react around 2470-2510 while looking towards 2390-2340.
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#BTC走势分析 Evening Silk Road This afternoon, the persimmon market showed a stepwise ↑ trend, with the price of Dian Wei gradually rising from 104600 to a peak of 105800. Subsequently, affected by short-term pressure, it quickly fell back to 104800, currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations within this interval.
Intraday fluctuations show that Du Tou attempted to break through the previous peak, but the subsequent momentum is lacking, and the current fluctuation range has not been broken. From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the channel opening continues to expand ↑, reflecting a significant increase in short-term volatility in the persimmon market. However, strong resistance is formed near the upper band at 105800, and the opening pattern further indicates that the competition between both sides is becoming increasingly fierce.
From the analysis of the four-hour cycle trend, a strong upward movement occurred after effectively breaking through the descending trendline, successfully stabilizing above the important psychological level of 103,000, indicating that market selling pressure has been sufficiently released. However, it is noteworthy that there is significant resistance at the 106000 line, which remains the key pressure point of the current market conditions.
The first pancake is fluctuating around 105700-164000, looking towards 104300-103400, and if broken, aims for 101000. The second pancake is fluctuating around 2440-2480, looking towards 2380-2350.
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6.24 Midday Silk Road Driven by geopolitical factors, there has been significant volatility recently. During the phase of heightened risk aversion triggered by conflict, it has come under downward pressure; as the situation eases 🍊 and ceasefire expectations materialize, risk appetite in the market has rebounded strongly, reaching a peak of 106,000, entering a previously dense trading area.
From a technical analysis perspective, if the major asset can form effective consolidation around 105,000 and maintain the 100,000 integer support level, it is expected to further challenge the previous high resistance level of 109,000. Conversely, if it cannot stabilize and breaks through the important support level of 100,000, there may be a short-term opening to the downside, with a target to watch around 95,000, and there is even the possibility of further decline. The secondary asset's trend is relatively weak, currently rebounding to the upper boundary area of 2,400 of the previous range, facing strong resistance. Judging from the market situation, the secondary asset is still in a downward channel and has not yet formed a reversal signal. Only an effective breakthrough of the key resistance level at 2,570, accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, can confirm a trend change from bearish to bullish, initiating a new upward cycle.
The major asset's rebound is around 105300-105800, looking towards 103800-103000. If it breaks through 103000, it may continue to decline. The secondary asset's rebound is around 2420-2450, looking towards 2350-2310.
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Recently, financial media revealed the Trump family's investment report card in the cryptocurrency field, sparking market discussions. Notably, 19-year-old Barron Trump has achieved nearly $40 million in profits from the family's cryptocurrency project WLFI, with a net income of about $25 million after taxes. This substantial return not only highlights his investment acumen but also reflects the astonishing potential of the cryptocurrency market.
In fact, Barron is not the only member of his family involved in the cryptocurrency field. According to insiders, former U.S. President Donald Trump and his two other sons, Donald John Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, have also reaped significant rewards from cryptocurrency investments, quickly accumulating considerable wealth by investing in multiple projects. This series of actions demonstrates the Trump family's keen insight into emerging financial technologies and provides a vivid illustration of the popularity of cryptocurrencies among high-net-worth individuals.
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6.24 Morning Analysis From the perspective of the large pie market, the four-hour technical chart shows a dominant pattern of double tops. The key resistance level of the middle Bollinger band has been effectively broken, and the upward channel is fully opened, not only filling the previous lower shadow gap but also forming a stable upward trend.
The hourly K-line shows that after a rapid rise last night, the market did not see a conventional pullback, but instead continued to show a stepwise upward fluctuation, highlighting the control power of the double tops at the high position. Currently, the large pie has broken through the 103,000 mark, and the enthusiasm for double tops continues to heat up. However, as it approaches the strong pressure zone of 106,000, the technical indicators show that the upward space is gradually narrowing. It is recommended to try trading with a light position in the morning, closely monitor changes in the market, flexibly adjust and strictly set stop-losses.
The large pie resistance is around 105500-106100, with a target around 104300-103500. The second pie resistance is around 2430-3460, with a target around 2370-2340.
From the observation of the four-hour candlestick pattern, the three consecutive bullish candles encountered significant resistance at the middle Bollinger Band, and it has now entered a correction phase. The two key indicators, KDJ and RSI, are both turning downwards, releasing a clear signal of a peak, confirming that the current rebound has not changed the overall downward pattern, and the strength of the selling pressure remains dominant.
The hourly trend shows that the market has continuously closed five bearish candles, with selling pressure continuing to be released. After forming a death cross at a high level, the KDJ continues to move downwards, further confirming a short-term downward trend. Multiple technical signals resonate, and the downward trend is undoubtedly established. In terms of operation, it is recommended to maintain a high selling position in the evening. Aggressive investors may try to take a small position for short-term speculation on the rebound, but should be cautious of the key support level at 101000; if the price effectively breaks below this support, it would be more prudent to follow the trend with selling orders.
The first market rebound is around 103500-104200, looking towards 101500-102300. The second market rebound is around 2330-2360, looking towards 2270-2230.
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Choosing the right direction is to move steadfastly towards the dawn; missing the festival is like extinguishing the torch before the break of dawn. Clearly, the light on the horizon has been seen, yet ultimately missing the morning light that breaks through the clouds.
According to the morning analysis, Bitcoin has rebounded to around 101500 - 102000. The market situation returned to expectations, the strategy execution was pretty good, and rewards were gained! #BTC