一鸣-金三
wei：jsy7944
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Current price alert: Ethereum short at 2544, has already moved more than 30 points, and can continue to hold #以太坊ETF批准预期
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Cryptocurrency Trading Insights
Going with the trend is correct, going against the trend is wrong. (Once a trend is established, it is difficult to change in the short term)
Using a light position is correct, using a heavy position is wrong. A position influences attitude, and attitude influences decision-making.
Being content is correct, being greedy is wrong. Greed is the enemy; contentment brings happiness.
Using stop-loss to protect profits is correct, letting it go is wrong. - Protecting capital comes first, making profits comes second.
Using objective operations is correct, using subjective analysis is wrong. Objective operations, adhering to the rules.
Waiting and being patient is correct, being restless and impulsive is wrong. Cultivate patience; act at the right moment.
Increasing position with profits is correct, averaging down with losing positions is wrong. Profits are the right direction; being trapped is the wrong direction.
Being calm and composed is correct, being anxious and overly concerned is wrong. The essence of trading is the clash of human nature and mentality #比特币走势分析
Going with the trend is correct, going against the trend is wrong. (Once a trend is established, it is difficult to change in the short term)
Using a light position is correct, using a heavy position is wrong. A position influences attitude, and attitude influences decision-making.
Being content is correct, being greedy is wrong. Greed is the enemy; contentment brings happiness.
Using stop-loss to protect profits is correct, letting it go is wrong. - Protecting capital comes first, making profits comes second.
Using objective operations is correct, using subjective analysis is wrong. Objective operations, adhering to the rules.
Waiting and being patient is correct, being restless and impulsive is wrong. Cultivate patience; act at the right moment.
Increasing position with profits is correct, averaging down with losing positions is wrong. Profits are the right direction; being trapped is the wrong direction.
Being calm and composed is correct, being anxious and overly concerned is wrong. The essence of trading is the clash of human nature and mentality #比特币走势分析
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Thursday
Yesterday, whether in our live broadcast or blog posts, we mentioned the analysis of the impossibility of interest rate cuts, and explained to everyone why there would be no interest rate cuts.
As expected, there were continuous hawkish voices in the early morning, which was quite lonely.
We shorted multiple times around 105300 yesterday and made continuous profits.
After 2 AM, we suggested shorting around 104600, which also yielded over 1000 points in profit.
Returning to today's market, the previous volatility range has not been broken; the upper resistance level of 105300-105500 remains effective.
Today’s layout still revolves around short positions at 105300, aiming for 103000-102700#比特币走势分析 .
Yesterday, whether in our live broadcast or blog posts, we mentioned the analysis of the impossibility of interest rate cuts, and explained to everyone why there would be no interest rate cuts.
As expected, there were continuous hawkish voices in the early morning, which was quite lonely.
We shorted multiple times around 105300 yesterday and made continuous profits.
After 2 AM, we suggested shorting around 104600, which also yielded over 1000 points in profit.
Returning to today's market, the previous volatility range has not been broken; the upper resistance level of 105300-105500 remains effective.
Today’s layout still revolves around short positions at 105300, aiming for 103000-102700#比特币走势分析 .
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Everyone must understand that all uncertainties arise from the unresolved contradictions between supply countries and demand countries.
The core issue of the contradiction is the tariff barrier. Only with the successful negotiations between China and the United States will there be further considerations of the space and timing for interest rate cuts #比特币走势分析
The core issue of the contradiction is the tariff barrier. Only with the successful negotiations between China and the United States will there be further considerations of the space and timing for interest rate cuts #比特币走势分析
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Regarding the speech after 2 AM tomorrow
I believe that interest rate cuts are unlikely
Unless preconditions are met, Old Powell will still joke around in the early morning, and the hawks will just say a few words and that's it
As for the preconditions, the most important point is that the tax issues between China and the US must be negotiated and settled
The core significance of interest rate cuts is actually to protect people's livelihoods and employment, and the recently announced unemployment claims data meets expectations!!
Therefore, the divergence in the weekly K chart must inevitably test the support at the 102500 level.
I believe that interest rate cuts are unlikely
Unless preconditions are met, Old Powell will still joke around in the early morning, and the hawks will just say a few words and that's it
As for the preconditions, the most important point is that the tax issues between China and the US must be negotiated and settled
The core significance of interest rate cuts is actually to protect people's livelihoods and employment, and the recently announced unemployment claims data meets expectations!!
Therefore, the divergence in the weekly K chart must inevitably test the support at the 102500 level.
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Currently, only Old Bao can operate the market
We all need to understand what contradictions still exist between supply and demand countries
What does the Federal Reserve's delay in not lowering interest rates signify?
Where are the core reasons for the escalating conflict in the Middle East?
Currently, only the M country has interest rates maintained above 4, which actually seriously exacerbates the pressure for debt reduction
Regarding the interest rate cut event surrounding tomorrow morning's monetary policy, the market has already provided direction on its validity
Let's have a simple chat during the live broadcast this evening about #比特币走势分析
We all need to understand what contradictions still exist between supply and demand countries
What does the Federal Reserve's delay in not lowering interest rates signify?
Where are the core reasons for the escalating conflict in the Middle East?
Currently, only the M country has interest rates maintained above 4, which actually seriously exacerbates the pressure for debt reduction
Regarding the interest rate cut event surrounding tomorrow morning's monetary policy, the market has already provided direction on its validity
Let's have a simple chat during the live broadcast this evening about #比特币走势分析
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The highest realm of trading: opening positions without a heartbeat, missing opportunities without anxiety, stopping losses without heartache, and profiting without boasting.
No expectations or worries about price fluctuations, and it's normal to lose when you're wrong. Trading should be simplified; forget about profits, forget about costs, enjoy trading, and you will become a strong person in the days to come. No one knows why you have so much money, and no one knows why your thoughts are so profound, just as no one knows how much suffering you have endured.
No expectations or worries about price fluctuations, and it's normal to lose when you're wrong. Trading should be simplified; forget about profits, forget about costs, enjoy trading, and you will become a strong person in the days to come. No one knows why you have so much money, and no one knows why your thoughts are so profound, just as no one knows how much suffering you have endured.
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Wednesday
Due to the fact that the supplying and demanding countries have not yet reached an agreement internationally
Interest rate cuts will not occur and will continue to be delayed
Bitcoin will also experience reduced liquidity
Therefore, combined with the divergence on the weekly chart, the market trend will become increasingly weak
Intraday resistance is at the range of 105300-105500, where short positions can be arranged in this interval #比特币走势分析
Due to the fact that the supplying and demanding countries have not yet reached an agreement internationally
Interest rate cuts will not occur and will continue to be delayed
Bitcoin will also experience reduced liquidity
Therefore, combined with the divergence on the weekly chart, the market trend will become increasingly weak
Intraday resistance is at the range of 105300-105500, where short positions can be arranged in this interval #比特币走势分析
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Yesterday's white plate showed a slow rise and an overnight breakout-style increase, peaking around the 108900 line, confirming the effectiveness of the rise!
This morning, there was a sudden drop of 2000 points in an instant, which carries a somewhat different meaning.
However, what we can see is that the downward pattern has not developed into a sustained breakout state. Whether it will immediately lead to a divergence pullback on the weekly K is too early to define!
I still adhere to the view that since the increase has effectively formed, the upward trend for this week is not yet over!
Therefore: around 106500-107000, we can continue to buy, looking up towards #比特币走势分析 .
This morning, there was a sudden drop of 2000 points in an instant, which carries a somewhat different meaning.
However, what we can see is that the downward pattern has not developed into a sustained breakout state. Whether it will immediately lead to a divergence pullback on the weekly K is too early to define!
I still adhere to the view that since the increase has effectively formed, the upward trend for this week is not yet over!
Therefore: around 106500-107000, we can continue to buy, looking up towards #比特币走势分析 .
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The price has successfully occupied the 108500 level
It has been confirmed that all the gains from Monday's daytime to Tuesday morning are valid gains
Therefore, the divergence of the weekly K line in the short term has minimal impact at present
The main force is likely betting on old Powell's speech this Thursday, and subsequently touching the upper level of the weekly line
When it once again touches the upper peak of the weekly line, it will further present a breakout state
Line report around 108500 can make a stable long position #比特币走势分析
It has been confirmed that all the gains from Monday's daytime to Tuesday morning are valid gains
Therefore, the divergence of the weekly K line in the short term has minimal impact at present
The main force is likely betting on old Powell's speech this Thursday, and subsequently touching the upper level of the weekly line
When it once again touches the upper peak of the weekly line, it will further present a breakout state
Line report around 108500 can make a stable long position #比特币走势分析
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Previous blog post, short position strategy at 5 PM
During the live broadcast around 8 PM, I mentioned to everyone that a short position should be taken for a quick profit, considering the divergence in the weekly K and the unusual breakthrough in the hourly K. Due to the abnormal market conditions, I do not recommend holding for too long. At that time, the market was experiencing a drop of 600 points for Bitcoin and 20 points for Ethereum. I also advised those who had not entered a short position to wait and consider after the US stock market opens.
After the US stock market opened, although it opened high with a simultaneous increase in volume, the effectiveness of the volume needs to be confirmed. It must stabilize above the 108,500 level to determine the overall trend line.
The strategy for the short-term third operation is not urgent; wait for my next notification! #比特币走势分析
During the live broadcast around 8 PM, I mentioned to everyone that a short position should be taken for a quick profit, considering the divergence in the weekly K and the unusual breakthrough in the hourly K. Due to the abnormal market conditions, I do not recommend holding for too long. At that time, the market was experiencing a drop of 600 points for Bitcoin and 20 points for Ethereum. I also advised those who had not entered a short position to wait and consider after the US stock market opens.
After the US stock market opened, although it opened high with a simultaneous increase in volume, the effectiveness of the volume needs to be confirmed. It must stabilize above the 108,500 level to determine the overall trend line.
The strategy for the short-term third operation is not urgent; wait for my next notification! #比特币走势分析
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Second Order Reminder of the Day
Currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both reached the pressure zone simultaneously
In the short term, we can consider placing a short position at the 107100 and 2628 levels
Do not be greedy with the short-term rhythm; consider taking profits when Bitcoin pulls back by 1000 points, or perhaps reduce positions to set a breakeven loss #比特币走势分析
Currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both reached the pressure zone simultaneously
In the short term, we can consider placing a short position at the 107100 and 2628 levels
Do not be greedy with the short-term rhythm; consider taking profits when Bitcoin pulls back by 1000 points, or perhaps reduce positions to set a breakeven loss #比特币走势分析
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