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#NFPWatch $BTC $ETH $XRP NFP Watch (Non-Farm Payroll Watch) – July 2025 Preview
The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is one of the most important economic indicators released monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. It tracks employment trends in the U.S. excluding farm workers, private household employees, and nonprofit organization employees.
📅 Next NFP Release
Date: Friday, July 5, 2025
Time: 8:30 AM EST (5:30 PM Pakistan Time)
Period: June 2025
🔍 What to Watch For:
1. NFP Employment Change
Forecast (expected): TBA (to be announced)
Previous (May 2025): +225,000 jobs
2. Unemployment Rate
Forecast: 4.0%
Previous: 4.0%
3. Average Hourly Earnings (MoM and YoY)
MoM (May): +0.3%
YoY (May): +3.9%
📈 Market Impact:
Forex: High impact on USD pairs (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD)
Commodities: Gold (XAU/USD) often sees large movements
Crypto: Volatility can spill over into BTC and ETH markets due to risk sentiment shifts
Equities: Strong job growth → bullish for stocks if inflation remains in check
Bonds: Higher payrolls may lead to higher yields if it strengthens the Fed's hawkish stance
🔧 Trading Tips:
Expect increased volatility 15–30 minutes before and after the release.
Use tight risk management if trading around the event.
Watch not only the headline number but also revisions to previous reports and wage growth.
The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is one of the most important economic indicators released monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. It tracks employment trends in the U.S. excluding farm workers, private household employees, and nonprofit organization employees.
📅 Next NFP Release
Date: Friday, July 5, 2025
Time: 8:30 AM EST (5:30 PM Pakistan Time)
Period: June 2025
🔍 What to Watch For:
1. NFP Employment Change
Forecast (expected): TBA (to be announced)
Previous (May 2025): +225,000 jobs
2. Unemployment Rate
Forecast: 4.0%
Previous: 4.0%
3. Average Hourly Earnings (MoM and YoY)
MoM (May): +0.3%
YoY (May): +3.9%
📈 Market Impact:
Forex: High impact on USD pairs (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD)
Commodities: Gold (XAU/USD) often sees large movements
Crypto: Volatility can spill over into BTC and ETH markets due to risk sentiment shifts
Equities: Strong job growth → bullish for stocks if inflation remains in check
Bonds: Higher payrolls may lead to higher yields if it strengthens the Fed's hawkish stance
🔧 Trading Tips:
Expect increased volatility 15–30 minutes before and after the release.
Use tight risk management if trading around the event.
Watch not only the headline number but also revisions to previous reports and wage growth.
#TrumpVsMusk $BNB
$BTC
$SOL
The crypto market faced a decline on Tuesday, with Bitcoin dropping to $105,000.
Top altcoins Ethereum, XRP, and Solana declined 3.2%, 3% and 4%, respectively.
The decline comes amid US Senate approval of One Big Beautiful Bill, reigniting tensions between President Trump and Elon Musk.
$BTC
$SOL
The crypto market faced a decline on Tuesday, with Bitcoin dropping to $105,000.
Top altcoins Ethereum, XRP, and Solana declined 3.2%, 3% and 4%, respectively.
The decline comes amid US Senate approval of One Big Beautiful Bill, reigniting tensions between President Trump and Elon Musk.
#TrumpVsMusk $BTC $ETH $XRP The crypto market is in a consolidation phase, waiting for either a strong bullish trigger or a macro shift to make a decisive move. Until then, expect sideways price action with occasional volatility.
#MarketPullback $BTC
$BNB
$SOL
The crypto market crashes vigorously because it’s a highly volatile, speculative, leveraged, and fast-moving market with limited protections and low liquidity. It’s a market where emotion, leverage, and speed collide.
$BNB
$SOL
The crypto market crashes vigorously because it’s a highly volatile, speculative, leveraged, and fast-moving market with limited protections and low liquidity. It’s a market where emotion, leverage, and speed collide.
FUTURE TRADING IS HALAL OR HARAM IN ISLAM:
#Write2Earn $BTC
$XRP
$BNB In Islam, the permissibility of futures trading is a debated topic among scholars, and the ruling depends on how the trading is conducted. Here's a breakdown of the main views:
1. Conventional Futures Trading – Generally Considered Haram
Most traditional Islamic scholars agree that conventional futures contracts (especially in commodities, forex, or crypto) are haram (prohibited) due to several reasons:
Gharar (excessive uncertainty): You're trading on a future event with unknown outcomes, which introduces uncertainty.
Riba (interest): Many platforms involve interest-based margin accounts or overnight funding fees.
No real ownership: In many futures contracts, you don't own the underlying asset—only a promise to buy or sell in the future.
Speculation (maysir): Futures trading often resembles gambling due to high leverage and the speculative nature of profit/loss.
2. Some Exceptions or Alternative Views
A minority of scholars suggest certain forms of futures could be halal under strict conditions, such as:
The underlying asset is halal (not alcohol, pork, etc.).
There’s no interest involved.
The contract is clearly defined and free of ambiguity.
There's actual delivery or ownership of the asset (not just speculation).
However, such conditions are rarely met in standard futures platforms.
3. Islamic Alternatives
If you want to trade in a Shariah-compliant way, consider:
Spot trading: Buying and selling assets that you take ownership of immediately.
Islamic Forex accounts: Some brokers offer “swap-free” accounts to avoid interest.
Islamic investment platforms: That screen for Shariah-compliant stocks, funds, or crypto.
Conclusion:
Standard futures trading is considered haram by the majority of scholars because of its speculative nature, involvement of interest, and lack of real asset ownership. If you are serious about adhering to Islamic finance principles, it's best to stick with spot trading and consult a qualified Islamic scholar or mufti for personalized guidance.
Follow for more information :
$XRP
$BNB In Islam, the permissibility of futures trading is a debated topic among scholars, and the ruling depends on how the trading is conducted. Here's a breakdown of the main views:
1. Conventional Futures Trading – Generally Considered Haram
Most traditional Islamic scholars agree that conventional futures contracts (especially in commodities, forex, or crypto) are haram (prohibited) due to several reasons:
Gharar (excessive uncertainty): You're trading on a future event with unknown outcomes, which introduces uncertainty.
Riba (interest): Many platforms involve interest-based margin accounts or overnight funding fees.
No real ownership: In many futures contracts, you don't own the underlying asset—only a promise to buy or sell in the future.
Speculation (maysir): Futures trading often resembles gambling due to high leverage and the speculative nature of profit/loss.
2. Some Exceptions or Alternative Views
A minority of scholars suggest certain forms of futures could be halal under strict conditions, such as:
The underlying asset is halal (not alcohol, pork, etc.).
There’s no interest involved.
The contract is clearly defined and free of ambiguity.
There's actual delivery or ownership of the asset (not just speculation).
However, such conditions are rarely met in standard futures platforms.
3. Islamic Alternatives
If you want to trade in a Shariah-compliant way, consider:
Spot trading: Buying and selling assets that you take ownership of immediately.
Islamic Forex accounts: Some brokers offer “swap-free” accounts to avoid interest.
Islamic investment platforms: That screen for Shariah-compliant stocks, funds, or crypto.
Conclusion:
Standard futures trading is considered haram by the majority of scholars because of its speculative nature, involvement of interest, and lack of real asset ownership. If you are serious about adhering to Islamic finance principles, it's best to stick with spot trading and consult a qualified Islamic scholar or mufti for personalized guidance.
Follow for more information :
#USNationalDebt $BTC
$ETH
$BNB The U.S. national debt can significantly impact the crypto market, both directly and indirectly. Here's how:
1. Weakened Confidence in Fiat Currency
As the national debt grows—currently over $34 trillion—investor confidence in the U.S. dollar may decline.
This often drives investors to seek alternative stores of value, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and gold.
Bitcoin is often called "digital gold" due to its limited supply (21 million coins), making it attractive in times of fiat currency devaluation.
2. Inflation and Interest Rate Policy
High debt levels increase pressure on the U.S. government to inflate away its debt or keep interest rates low.
If the Federal Reserve is forced to monetize debt (print more money), inflation can rise — potentially bullish for crypto as a hedge.
However, if the Fed raises rates to control inflation, risk assets like crypto often drop due to higher opportunity costs and reduced liquidity.
3. Safe-Haven Demand in Times of Crisis
When concerns about debt sustainability grow (e.g., government shutdown threats or debt ceiling standoffs), some investors diversify into decentralized assets like crypto.
This can cause short-term spikes in crypto demand, especially Bitcoin and stablecoins.
4. Regulatory Backlash
A rising debt may force the U.S. government to tighten regulations or increase taxes on new sectors—including crypto—to find revenue sources.
This could lead to negative pressure on U.S.-based crypto companies or exchanges.
5. Global De-Dollarization Trend
A high and rising U.S. debt accelerates the global search for alternatives to the U.S. dollar.
This supports long-term narratives around crypto as a global currency or neutral financial system.
$ETH
$BNB The U.S. national debt can significantly impact the crypto market, both directly and indirectly. Here's how:
1. Weakened Confidence in Fiat Currency
As the national debt grows—currently over $34 trillion—investor confidence in the U.S. dollar may decline.
This often drives investors to seek alternative stores of value, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and gold.
Bitcoin is often called "digital gold" due to its limited supply (21 million coins), making it attractive in times of fiat currency devaluation.
2. Inflation and Interest Rate Policy
High debt levels increase pressure on the U.S. government to inflate away its debt or keep interest rates low.
If the Federal Reserve is forced to monetize debt (print more money), inflation can rise — potentially bullish for crypto as a hedge.
However, if the Fed raises rates to control inflation, risk assets like crypto often drop due to higher opportunity costs and reduced liquidity.
3. Safe-Haven Demand in Times of Crisis
When concerns about debt sustainability grow (e.g., government shutdown threats or debt ceiling standoffs), some investors diversify into decentralized assets like crypto.
This can cause short-term spikes in crypto demand, especially Bitcoin and stablecoins.
4. Regulatory Backlash
A rising debt may force the U.S. government to tighten regulations or increase taxes on new sectors—including crypto—to find revenue sources.
This could lead to negative pressure on U.S.-based crypto companies or exchanges.
5. Global De-Dollarization Trend
A high and rising U.S. debt accelerates the global search for alternatives to the U.S. dollar.
This supports long-term narratives around crypto as a global currency or neutral financial system.
$SOL Solana is at a making-or-breaking moment. The convergence of ETF optimism, strong technical patterns, and institutional interest points to a strong upside breakout—potentially to $200+ in the coming months. But if support fails, it could face a 12–15% correction.
#USNationalDebt $TRUMP
1. TikTok denies $300 million purchase rumor
TikTok’s official policy account on X labeled Congressman's Brad Sherman’s claim—that TikTok or its Chinese owners bought $300 M of trump coins—as “false and irresponsible
2. Whale moves $143 M worth of trump tokens
Whale Alert flagged a transfer of ~15.3 million trump tokens (≈$143 M) on Solana. The move sparked renewed sell-off concerns, especially while price hovers near key $9.20-$9.30 support
3. World Liberty Financial sells Trump-linked stake
Reports indicate Donald Trump’s family may have reduced its majority ownership in World Liberty Financial—which underpins $TRUMP memecoin—per website disclosures
4. Bitnile’s social casino accepts $TRUMP
Hyperscale Data’s social casino subsidiary now accepts $TRUMP as payment, marking a real-world use case beyond speculation
1. TikTok denies $300 million purchase rumor
TikTok’s official policy account on X labeled Congressman's Brad Sherman’s claim—that TikTok or its Chinese owners bought $300 M of trump coins—as “false and irresponsible
2. Whale moves $143 M worth of trump tokens
Whale Alert flagged a transfer of ~15.3 million trump tokens (≈$143 M) on Solana. The move sparked renewed sell-off concerns, especially while price hovers near key $9.20-$9.30 support
3. World Liberty Financial sells Trump-linked stake
Reports indicate Donald Trump’s family may have reduced its majority ownership in World Liberty Financial—which underpins $TRUMP memecoin—per website disclosures
4. Bitnile’s social casino accepts $TRUMP
Hyperscale Data’s social casino subsidiary now accepts $TRUMP as payment, marking a real-world use case beyond speculation
#MyTradingStyle $PNUT At this moment, Pnut coin doesn’t look attractive for immediate entry—it’s likely to dip further soon. But if you’re bullish on meme-coins long-term and embrace the risk, a modest stake could pay off—just trade very carefully!
#SwingTradingStrategy $UNI 1. Entry: Consider entering near current levels if you're comfortable with volatility.
2. Stop‑loss: Set around ~$7.30 to limit downside.
3. Take‑profit: Partial profits near $8.30–8.50, or trail stops as price climbs.
4. Monitor: Key handles:
Break >$8.70 could trigger a major move toward $9–10.
Falls under $7.50–6.90 risk broader pullback.
2. Stop‑loss: Set around ~$7.30 to limit downside.
3. Take‑profit: Partial profits near $8.30–8.50, or trail stops as price climbs.
4. Monitor: Key handles:
Break >$8.70 could trigger a major move toward $9–10.
Falls under $7.50–6.90 risk broader pullback.
$AAVE there is a real possibility for a significant upward move in the days to weeks ahead (10–20%, possibly more). Watch closely for:
1. Holding above $270–280: If it consolidates, it could propel AAVE toward $300+.
2. Crypto market direction: Strength in BTC/ETH often spills over to top DeFi tokens like AAVE.
3. Upgrade news flow: As v4 gets implemented and discussed, momentum could increase.
That said, all forecasts carry uncertainty. AAVE could just as easily retrace toward $245–$240 if broader market conditions turn negative.
🧠 What You Should Do
Short-term traders: Monitor $270–280 range; a breakout above $300 could be a bullish trigger.
Longer-term holders: Consider the v4 upgrade narrative—this could support bigger gains over 1–3 months.
Always set stop-loss levels and manage position size given crypto’s volatility.
1. Holding above $270–280: If it consolidates, it could propel AAVE toward $300+.
2. Crypto market direction: Strength in BTC/ETH often spills over to top DeFi tokens like AAVE.
3. Upgrade news flow: As v4 gets implemented and discussed, momentum could increase.
That said, all forecasts carry uncertainty. AAVE could just as easily retrace toward $245–$240 if broader market conditions turn negative.
🧠 What You Should Do
Short-term traders: Monitor $270–280 range; a breakout above $300 could be a bullish trigger.
Longer-term holders: Consider the v4 upgrade narrative—this could support bigger gains over 1–3 months.
Always set stop-loss levels and manage position size given crypto’s volatility.
#SwingTradingStrategy $TRUMP
A moon-style rally (e.g. returning to $70‑plus) in the next few days is highly unlikely. The current price is tiny, and without a sudden marketing stunt or whale injection, gains are likely capped in the single‑digit dollar range short term. It remains a high-risk speculative asset.
📢 Keep Watching
Follow Trump‑related moves: dinners, smartphone launches, crypto showdowns.
Track Bitcoin/crypto market sentiment—when top coins rally, meme tokens often follow.
Watch regulatory developments closely—they could both dampen or spark volatility.
A moon-style rally (e.g. returning to $70‑plus) in the next few days is highly unlikely. The current price is tiny, and without a sudden marketing stunt or whale injection, gains are likely capped in the single‑digit dollar range short term. It remains a high-risk speculative asset.
📢 Keep Watching
Follow Trump‑related moves: dinners, smartphone launches, crypto showdowns.
Track Bitcoin/crypto market sentiment—when top coins rally, meme tokens often follow.
Watch regulatory developments closely—they could both dampen or spark volatility.
#MarketPullback $BTC
$ETH
$SOL
📈 When Will Coins Go Up Again?
Based on market cycles, here’s a likely timeline:
July–August 2025: Sideways movement with small rallies and corrections.
September–October 2025: Signs of breakout in BTC and ETH expected.
November 2025 – March 2026: Strong bullish rally likely if macro conditions (like rate cuts or ETF inflows) align.
🔔 What You Should Watch
Bitcoin holding support above $60k = bullish structure remains intact.
Bitcoin breaking above $73k–75k = start of full bull market.
Ethereum ETF approval (expected late 2025) = huge bullish catalyst.
Altcoin Season will follow after BTC breakout — coins like SOL, AVAX, LINK, and meme coins like PEPE, FLOKI, etc., may pump rapidly.
✅ What You Can Do Now
Don't panic sell if you're holding strong coins — this is often the best accumulation zone before the real rally.
Use this time to build positions in solid projects (like BTC, ETH, SOL, INJ, etc.).
Set alerts for key breakout zones (e.g., BTC above $73k, ETH above $4k).
Stay updated with news on U.S. interest rates and crypto regulations.
$ETH
$SOL
📈 When Will Coins Go Up Again?
Based on market cycles, here’s a likely timeline:
July–August 2025: Sideways movement with small rallies and corrections.
September–October 2025: Signs of breakout in BTC and ETH expected.
November 2025 – March 2026: Strong bullish rally likely if macro conditions (like rate cuts or ETF inflows) align.
🔔 What You Should Watch
Bitcoin holding support above $60k = bullish structure remains intact.
Bitcoin breaking above $73k–75k = start of full bull market.
Ethereum ETF approval (expected late 2025) = huge bullish catalyst.
Altcoin Season will follow after BTC breakout — coins like SOL, AVAX, LINK, and meme coins like PEPE, FLOKI, etc., may pump rapidly.
✅ What You Can Do Now
Don't panic sell if you're holding strong coins — this is often the best accumulation zone before the real rally.
Use this time to build positions in solid projects (like BTC, ETH, SOL, INJ, etc.).
Set alerts for key breakout zones (e.g., BTC above $73k, ETH above $4k).
Stay updated with news on U.S. interest rates and crypto regulations.
#IsraelIranConflict $BNB Iran’s raising of a red flag over Jamkaran Mosque in Qom is a serious symbolic message: the country is signaling revenge and preparing the groundwork for retaliation, particularly after escalating clashes with Israel. While it doesn’t automatically mean full-scale war, it significantly raises the stakes in the region.$BTC $ETH
$SOL 🛑 Key Support & Resistance
Immediate support zone at $153–$143, next pivot around $155–156
Overhead resistance at $180–184, with further barriers clear at $200+
🧭 Strategy Guidance
✅ Bullish Scenario (Entry/Swing Buy)
Aggressive: Enter near $159–160 (above 55‑SMA), targeting $180–184. Stop-loss below $153-
Cautious: Wait for a daily close above $155–156 with volume, confirming recovery toward upper resistance.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Short/Wait)
Failure to maintain $159–160 and daily close below $153 opens drop to $143–$150 zone.
If price dives under $143, risk of a stronger sell-off down to $130–$140 increases.
🔄 Neutral/Consolidation
If SOL trades between $153 and $160, consider holding til clarity appears—ideally on a breakout above $160 or breakdown below $153.
📌 Summary Table
Frame Outlook Action Suggestion
Intraday Mild bullish (maintains above 55‑SMA) Long on dips to ~$158; stop under $153
Daily/Medium Bearish pressure; daily MAs currently resistance Sit out, or conditionally long above ~$155
Overall Trend Neutral-to-bearish until MAs flipped or broken Trade range; manage risk carefully
🧠 Final Take
Today’s outlook is mixed—short-term momentum shows mild bullish signals, but medium-term trends remain bearish. A smart entry would be on dips to $158–160, with tight risk controls. Alternatively, wait for a clear recovery above $155–156 daily before establishing longer positions.
Immediate support zone at $153–$143, next pivot around $155–156
Overhead resistance at $180–184, with further barriers clear at $200+
🧭 Strategy Guidance
✅ Bullish Scenario (Entry/Swing Buy)
Aggressive: Enter near $159–160 (above 55‑SMA), targeting $180–184. Stop-loss below $153-
Cautious: Wait for a daily close above $155–156 with volume, confirming recovery toward upper resistance.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Short/Wait)
Failure to maintain $159–160 and daily close below $153 opens drop to $143–$150 zone.
If price dives under $143, risk of a stronger sell-off down to $130–$140 increases.
🔄 Neutral/Consolidation
If SOL trades between $153 and $160, consider holding til clarity appears—ideally on a breakout above $160 or breakdown below $153.
📌 Summary Table
Frame Outlook Action Suggestion
Intraday Mild bullish (maintains above 55‑SMA) Long on dips to ~$158; stop under $153
Daily/Medium Bearish pressure; daily MAs currently resistance Sit out, or conditionally long above ~$155
Overall Trend Neutral-to-bearish until MAs flipped or broken Trade range; manage risk carefully
🧠 Final Take
Today’s outlook is mixed—short-term momentum shows mild bullish signals, but medium-term trends remain bearish. A smart entry would be on dips to $158–160, with tight risk controls. Alternatively, wait for a clear recovery above $155–156 daily before establishing longer positions.
$PEPE ⚠️ Key Risks & Tips
Monitor support levels (~$0.0000122–$0.0000123). A bounce could fuel a pop, but a drop might trigger sharp losses.
Watch broader trend drivers (e.g., Bitcoin moves, overall crypto sentiment, macro news).
Consider using tight stop-losses just below support if trading, or set entry/exit triggers based on those price points.
🧭 Final Take
Expect a modestly bullish move tomorrow, with upside potential in the +2% to +5% range, assuming support holds. If support fails, bearish momentum could dominate. Want help plotting technical levels, setting alerts,
Monitor support levels (~$0.0000122–$0.0000123). A bounce could fuel a pop, but a drop might trigger sharp losses.
Watch broader trend drivers (e.g., Bitcoin moves, overall crypto sentiment, macro news).
Consider using tight stop-losses just below support if trading, or set entry/exit triggers based on those price points.
🧭 Final Take
Expect a modestly bullish move tomorrow, with upside potential in the +2% to +5% range, assuming support holds. If support fails, bearish momentum could dominate. Want help plotting technical levels, setting alerts,
$HIFI If you’re emotionally anchored to HIFI, ask: “Would I buy it today at this price if I didn’t already hold it?”
If the answer is no, you probably need to exit or downsize. If yes, then hold, but treat it like a lottery ticket—not a core investment.
If the answer is no, you probably need to exit or downsize. If yes, then hold, but treat it like a lottery ticket—not a core investment.
$HIFI 🔄 What Could Stabilize HIFI?
Strong support near $0.14–$0.15—loss below may risk drop toward $0.10 or lower. ‼️‼️
Regained exchange listings or renewed project updates may boost confidence. 👀👀
Reduced leverage usage and improved liquidity would help dampen wild swings‼️
Strong support near $0.14–$0.15—loss below may risk drop toward $0.10 or lower. ‼️‼️
Regained exchange listings or renewed project updates may boost confidence. 👀👀
Reduced leverage usage and improved liquidity would help dampen wild swings‼️
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