半仓主义
前职业交易员，目前已全身心投入交易。半仓、止损、心态——带你穿越牛熊
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2025.5.20
Did the traders have a date on 520? Hahaha.
Today at noon, I want to talk about the upcoming levels and position management issues.
My advice is that beginners should not increase their positions; this is the first point. Buying is buying, do not add to your position midway, especially with high leverage.
Second, I strictly control each trade position to be within 5% of the total position. First, get your trading system right before considering increasing your position; 5% is already enough. If there are brothers who really don’t understand, feel free to leave me a message, and I will reply one by one.
Next, let’s talk about the upcoming BTC levels. A few days ago, the Federal Reserve did not lower interest rates, and it will be hard to lower them next month as well; the short-term is almost at its peak. The next operation is to short at high levels, waiting for a good entry point. You can follow my operations, with a stop loss set at 110000. Remember, brothers, hit follow to see my operations in a timely manner!
Did the traders have a date on 520? Hahaha.
Today at noon, I want to talk about the upcoming levels and position management issues.
My advice is that beginners should not increase their positions; this is the first point. Buying is buying, do not add to your position midway, especially with high leverage.
Second, I strictly control each trade position to be within 5% of the total position. First, get your trading system right before considering increasing your position; 5% is already enough. If there are brothers who really don’t understand, feel free to leave me a message, and I will reply one by one.
Next, let’s talk about the upcoming BTC levels. A few days ago, the Federal Reserve did not lower interest rates, and it will be hard to lower them next month as well; the short-term is almost at its peak. The next operation is to short at high levels, waiting for a good entry point. You can follow my operations, with a stop loss set at 110000. Remember, brothers, hit follow to see my operations in a timely manner!
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Returned to high altitude on 2025.5.19!
Last night there was a sudden fluctuation of a hundred points, indicating that something big is about to happen.
Currently, entering more positions at this level is a bit risky; the overall strategy is to sell short.
I will say it many times, selling short is also what I am actually doing. Just returned and I’ll give everyone a point to open a small position long at 102000, with a stop loss at 100000.
OK, that's all for today, remember to follow #BTC挑战11万大关 .
Last night there was a sudden fluctuation of a hundred points, indicating that something big is about to happen.
Currently, entering more positions at this level is a bit risky; the overall strategy is to sell short.
I will say it many times, selling short is also what I am actually doing. Just returned and I’ll give everyone a point to open a small position long at 102000, with a stop loss at 100000.
OK, that's all for today, remember to follow #BTC挑战11万大关 .
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2025.4.17
Currently, BTC is still in a consolidation range, 83000 is a relatively strong support level, and it has been fluctuating within a box on the 4-hour chart. Opening trades on the 5-minute and 15-minute charts is essentially a guess on price movements.
Powell's speech and the uncertainty around tariffs still look bearish for now. Shorting at 85500 is a relatively good shorting point, and a short-term profit is fine. Currently, there seems to be no hope for a bullish move based on the news.
Currently, BTC is still in a consolidation range, 83000 is a relatively strong support level, and it has been fluctuating within a box on the 4-hour chart. Opening trades on the 5-minute and 15-minute charts is essentially a guess on price movements.
Powell's speech and the uncertainty around tariffs still look bearish for now. Shorting at 85500 is a relatively good shorting point, and a short-term profit is fine. Currently, there seems to be no hope for a bullish move based on the news.
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Cryptocurrency is gradually becoming mainstream!
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Evening Trend on 4.14
The US stock market opened and plummeted, and BTC followed suit. I was busy with my own matters in the past few days and didn’t pay much attention to the market, but now I'm back. Currently, I still have a bearish outlook and am shorting at high levels. I entered the market in the afternoon but didn’t have time to post.
Why? Because those who watch the US stock market know that Trump manipulates the stock market. After making a profit, the first wave of people has already been cut off, and what was cut off is the valuation. After the valuation is gone, what remains? What remains is the profit, so there will be a second wave of decline, cutting off the profit completely. Whether it's BTC or the Nasdaq, we can enter the market.
The above is just a personal opinion; investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!
$BTC
The US stock market opened and plummeted, and BTC followed suit. I was busy with my own matters in the past few days and didn’t pay much attention to the market, but now I'm back. Currently, I still have a bearish outlook and am shorting at high levels. I entered the market in the afternoon but didn’t have time to post.
Why? Because those who watch the US stock market know that Trump manipulates the stock market. After making a profit, the first wave of people has already been cut off, and what was cut off is the valuation. After the valuation is gone, what remains? What remains is the profit, so there will be a second wave of decline, cutting off the profit completely. Whether it's BTC or the Nasdaq, we can enter the market.
The above is just a personal opinion; investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!
$BTC
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Evening session on April 11, 2025
Short on highs!!!
BTC long positions can be observed on the daily chart waiting for it to drop, but the 4-hour K-line indicates short positions. You can see that it attempted to break this downward trend zone but was pushed back, so shorting on highs is advisable.
ETH shows that the 4-hour level is still in consolidation, with short positions being the main focus, but there is a strong chance of significant fluctuations.
The above is just a personal opinion, investment carries risks, and caution is advised when entering the market!
$ETH
Short on highs!!!
BTC long positions can be observed on the daily chart waiting for it to drop, but the 4-hour K-line indicates short positions. You can see that it attempted to break this downward trend zone but was pushed back, so shorting on highs is advisable.
ETH shows that the 4-hour level is still in consolidation, with short positions being the main focus, but there is a strong chance of significant fluctuations.
The above is just a personal opinion, investment carries risks, and caution is advised when entering the market!
$ETH
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The reason for the surge in US stocks last night and A-shares today is: there is now a 125% tariff on China, while other countries have a basic tariff of 10%. Coupled with a 90-day suspension of negotiations, people have realized that goods can be imported into the US through third-party countries (this is also why Apple saw its largest gain in 20 years last night, as well as today's Luxshare Precision). Therefore, this 90-day period gives exporting companies a breather to plan for future arrangements.
Now, the 125% tariff on China is more symbolic, as it doesn't hold much significance anymore.
Now, the 125% tariff on China is more symbolic, as it doesn't hold much significance anymore.
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I mentioned at 78,000 that $BTC would return to the 75,000 range this afternoon. The tariffs haven't ended yet, so those seeking stability should not trade. Aggressive small positions can try long positions at 76 and 75. Currently, there are signs of stabilization in the U.S. stock market, and at that time, Bitcoin will follow suit. Don't panic; for those who are afraid, I will directly provide the levels at that time.
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Talk about the trend of BTC, currently there is a rebound at the 4-hour level, but remember that a rebound is not a reversal. So the 4-hour level is still a high position to short. At the daily level, it is still bullish, and 72000-75000 is a strong support zone, so you can hold some spot. For contracts, the effective stop-loss point may be a bit lower. Therefore, it is recommended to supplement with spot.
The 4-hour level of ETH is trying to reverse, and a bullish engulfing signal has appeared, but I do not recommend everyone to speculate, as the trend is downward. Do not think about bottom-fishing, as the trend at the daily level is also downward, so ETH also advises to short on rallies.
The above is just a personal opinion; investing carries risks, and one should enter the market with caution!
#加密市场回调
The 4-hour level of ETH is trying to reverse, and a bullish engulfing signal has appeared, but I do not recommend everyone to speculate, as the trend is downward. Do not think about bottom-fishing, as the trend at the daily level is also downward, so ETH also advises to short on rallies.
The above is just a personal opinion; investing carries risks, and one should enter the market with caution!
#加密市场回调
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2025.4.9
Afternoon Market Analysis
$BTC dropped to 74600 forming a double bottom, it seems this bottom support is still very strong. The 1-hour level has formed an engulfing state and is starting to rebound. My suggestion is to oscillate around 75000, be bold and trade!
This situation will continue until early May when interest rates are cut, and the CPI result on the 10th will definitely be bearish! So, one can short on highs, leaning toward a downward trend.
Core: A rebound is not a reversal!!!
Afternoon Market Analysis
$BTC dropped to 74600 forming a double bottom, it seems this bottom support is still very strong. The 1-hour level has formed an engulfing state and is starting to rebound. My suggestion is to oscillate around 75000, be bold and trade!
This situation will continue until early May when interest rates are cut, and the CPI result on the 10th will definitely be bearish! So, one can short on highs, leaning toward a downward trend.
Core: A rebound is not a reversal!!!
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2025.4.9
ETH short position has been extremely profitable for my brothers. Those of you who have been following my messages know that I have been talking about the short position on the 4-hour level for several days! A rebound is not a reversal, my brothers; see through the phenomenon to understand the essence!
This wave has indeed been a solid profit, give a like and follow me for timely updates on entry points!
$ETH
ETH short position has been extremely profitable for my brothers. Those of you who have been following my messages know that I have been talking about the short position on the 4-hour level for several days! A rebound is not a reversal, my brothers; see through the phenomenon to understand the essence!
This wave has indeed been a solid profit, give a like and follow me for timely updates on entry points!
$ETH
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Brothers who see my post know that tonight is, and even next, still a bear market.
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Consistent Winner Pin Bar!
First, what is a pin bar? A pin bar is a special candlestick pattern: (1) the shadow is more than twice the body; (2) there is no opposite shadow or the opposite shadow is very short; (3) if it appears at the end of a trend, it indicates a reversal.
Looking at the following chart, all belong to Pin bars. What should we do when encountering such situations? Next is the key core knowledge:
Two basic conditions:
Is it at a clearly significant level?
Is it at a clearly high or low position?
Five detail items:
Is the entire Pin bar clearly visible on the chart?
Is there a false breakout?Is the pin bar's body insured within the highest and lowest prices of the previous candlesticks, and is the overall range of the pin bar larger than the previous one?
Looking at the following chart, all belong to Pin bars. What should we do when encountering such situations? Next is the key core knowledge:
Two basic conditions:
Is it at a clearly significant level?
Is it at a clearly high or low position?
Five detail items:
Is the entire Pin bar clearly visible on the chart?
Is there a false breakout?Is the pin bar's body insured within the highest and lowest prices of the previous candlesticks, and is the overall range of the pin bar larger than the previous one?
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Look at the resistance level of 81000 for $BTC . After breaking it, watch 82000 and short on the highs. It's still the same: a rebound is not a reversal!
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2025.4.8
Currently, the Nasdaq futures are in the red. In the evening session, the Nasdaq is expected to open at $BTC and rise, but that is not what we want to do. What we want to do is to short on rallies, of course, with a small position one can take a small long position for a short-term wave. The trend on the 4-hour level is bearish, and this trend is gradually diminishing. So it’s important to manage your position well.
The bottom support range of $ETH is approximately around 1500. If it breaks below, we can chase the short. Those who want to go long should not rush; hold your hands, brothers.
The above is just a personal opinion. Investing carries risks; enter the market with caution!
Currently, the Nasdaq futures are in the red. In the evening session, the Nasdaq is expected to open at $BTC and rise, but that is not what we want to do. What we want to do is to short on rallies, of course, with a small position one can take a small long position for a short-term wave. The trend on the 4-hour level is bearish, and this trend is gradually diminishing. So it’s important to manage your position well.
The bottom support range of $ETH is approximately around 1500. If it breaks below, we can chase the short. Those who want to go long should not rush; hold your hands, brothers.
The above is just a personal opinion. Investing carries risks; enter the market with caution!
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Trading Psychology: The Eternal Truths of Wealth, Human Nature, and Happiness
Electronic reports can simulate the historical crashes of the stock market, but they cannot compensate for the anxiety one feels when returning home to face their spouse and children, wondering if they have made a mistake that could ruin their lives. After studying the history of the stock market, you may feel like you understand certain things, but only by experiencing it firsthand and feeling its profound impact can you truly change your behavior.
#交易心理学
Electronic reports can simulate the historical crashes of the stock market, but they cannot compensate for the anxiety one feels when returning home to face their spouse and children, wondering if they have made a mistake that could ruin their lives. After studying the history of the stock market, you may feel like you understand certain things, but only by experiencing it firsthand and feeling its profound impact can you truly change your behavior.
#交易心理学
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2025.4.7
Extreme Surge!
Brothers, I really enjoyed this wave of the market. I treated these two waves, $BTC and $ETH , as a small rebound, so I didn't clearly specify the points for everyone, but I mentioned it subtly in the post. Trump is considering suspending tariffs for 90 days on certain countries. This has rejuvenated global assets, once again flowing into our cryptocurrency and US stock markets. However, brothers, you still need to manage your positions well and take profits. The reasons can be found in my previous post.
The above is just a personal opinion; investing carries risks, and one should proceed with caution!
Extreme Surge!
Brothers, I really enjoyed this wave of the market. I treated these two waves, $BTC and $ETH , as a small rebound, so I didn't clearly specify the points for everyone, but I mentioned it subtly in the post. Trump is considering suspending tariffs for 90 days on certain countries. This has rejuvenated global assets, once again flowing into our cryptocurrency and US stock markets. However, brothers, you still need to manage your positions well and take profits. The reasons can be found in my previous post.
The above is just a personal opinion; investing carries risks, and one should proceed with caution!
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$BTC Big pancake, you should also be able to take a small position based on my last message. If you missed it, there's no need to rush; just continue shorting at high positions. I'll put up a large 4-hour chart, and you will understand.
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Evening Analysis on April 7, 2025
The rapid decline at the hourly level of $BTC 4 has currently broken the consolidation range but quickly returned to the bottom of the range, indicating that there are still some bullish orders at the bottom of the consolidation range. Although there is some expectation of a rebound at this position, it is still in a bearish trend at the 4-hour level.
Unless I say if, if the understanding king makes moves on tariffs again tonight and announces some exemptions or pauses, there will be a wave of rebound. Still remember that famous saying, a rebound is not a reversal. Stay out of positions, but if you feel tempted, participate with light positions. 72000 is a relatively strong daily support zone, and it is possible to go long here. Therefore, in the near term, it is still advisable to short at the highs, but do not hold onto positions for too long; take profits and run.
The above is only my personal opinion; investing carries risks, and one must be cautious when entering the market!
#加密市场回调
The rapid decline at the hourly level of $BTC 4 has currently broken the consolidation range but quickly returned to the bottom of the range, indicating that there are still some bullish orders at the bottom of the consolidation range. Although there is some expectation of a rebound at this position, it is still in a bearish trend at the 4-hour level.
Unless I say if, if the understanding king makes moves on tariffs again tonight and announces some exemptions or pauses, there will be a wave of rebound. Still remember that famous saying, a rebound is not a reversal. Stay out of positions, but if you feel tempted, participate with light positions. 72000 is a relatively strong daily support zone, and it is possible to go long here. Therefore, in the near term, it is still advisable to short at the highs, but do not hold onto positions for too long; take profits and run.
The above is only my personal opinion; investing carries risks, and one must be cautious when entering the market!
#加密市场回调
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2025.4.7
Gold Stabilization Looks at U.S. Stocks
This morning, Trump announced that there would absolutely be no compromise on the tariff issue, and last night we also said that we are ready for a reserve requirement ratio cut and interest rate reduction. From the two lackey countries, we can see that Trump's strategy is to first raise tariffs on other countries, then force them to negotiate with him, with the condition that other countries impose tariffs on us. Why was this person only hit on the ear?
Currently, the decline should be in the middle stage, let's see tonight, and see if this blonde guy will compromise under pressure. At present, the risk-reward ratio for gold is not ideal, and it is not recommended to bottom out.
The above is only a personal opinion; investing carries risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market!
$BTC
Gold Stabilization Looks at U.S. Stocks
This morning, Trump announced that there would absolutely be no compromise on the tariff issue, and last night we also said that we are ready for a reserve requirement ratio cut and interest rate reduction. From the two lackey countries, we can see that Trump's strategy is to first raise tariffs on other countries, then force them to negotiate with him, with the condition that other countries impose tariffs on us. Why was this person only hit on the ear?
Currently, the decline should be in the middle stage, let's see tonight, and see if this blonde guy will compromise under pressure. At present, the risk-reward ratio for gold is not ideal, and it is not recommended to bottom out.
The above is only a personal opinion; investing carries risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market!
$BTC
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