交易员皓月

How the script unfolds next can be seen from the greed and fear index, which is already at a low point. The upcoming scenarios are simply two: either a major cleanup similar to 312, wiping out the bears, or just moving upwards like this. I vote with my feet; the orders I am currently buying are all on the left side. I have already bought a portion. If given the opportunity like 312, I will directly jump in. If not, I will wait for the daily line to break above the 120-day line and then enter positions on the right side. The core of daring to buy is that there has never been a case of losing money while bottom fishing for Bitcoin during a rate-cutting cycle, especially since the bearish impact caused by Trump can no longer be greater. $BTC #美国加征关税

It has been a while since Hong Kong returned, and the momentum is strong. I was fortunate to take a photo with my big cousin. I will uphold the principle of creating value for fans and producing high-quality content, striving to post frequently like a sow, with quality on par with Diao Chan. Family members, join 聊天室, let's overcome the bull and bear markets together.

The US stock market has crashed, dragging down the cryptocurrency market
On August 1, local time, all three major US stock indices fell. As of the time of writing, the Dow Jones fell by 1.6%, the Nasdaq fell by over 2.3%, and the S&P 500 index fell by over 1.8%. Over 4,500 stocks in the market declined.
On July 31, President Trump signed an executive order imposing 'reciprocal tariffs' ranging from 10% to 41% on multiple countries and regions, postponing the effective date from August 1 to August 7.
In addition to the 'reciprocal tariffs', Trump has previously announced that he will introduce separate tariffs on pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, critical minerals, and other important industrial products in the coming weeks, indicating that the risk of trade uncertainty is likely to persist. Meanwhile, US courts are also evaluating the legality of the 'reciprocal tariffs' themselves.
Amazon's market value evaporated by over a trillion yuan
The dollar collapsed, gold prices skyrocketed, and oil prices plummeted
On August 1, the seven tech giants in the US stock market all plunged, with Amazon at one point falling over 7%, resulting in a market value loss of $178 billion (approximately 1.28 trillion yuan), Nvidia falling over 3%, losing over $140 billion in market value (approximately 1 trillion yuan), and Meta, Tesla falling over 2%, Google, Microsoft, and Apple all declining.
The narrative has returned to the fear dominated by tariffs, patiently waiting.

Accurately predict risks in the morning, don't go long, feels okay, haha

GM, risk warning:
There are issues with the pattern here, it has broken down, just a reminder, today and tomorrow are turning points, for those who have been doing well with long positions in the past few days, you can take some profits, and for those who haven’t been doing well, it might be a good time to pause #加密市场回调

At the end of July, this week is a data-intensive period. Brothers who are doing contracts/options should pay attention these days. If you have made a profit, you can take some off the table:
On July 30, Wednesday at 20:15, the US July ADP employment change (in ten thousands), expected 7.5, previous value -3.5;
On July 31, Thursday at 02:00, the Federal Reserve FOMC will announce the interest rate decision; at 02:30, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference;
On August 1, Thursday at 20:30, the number of initial unemployment claims in the US for the week ending July 26 (in ten thousands), previous value 21.7; at 20:30, the US June core PCE price index year-on-year, expected 2.70%, previous value 2.70%;
To explain, the most important is at 2 AM on July 31, the FOMC basically confirmed no interest rate cut, with a probability of 97.4%, but hawkish or dovish statements are still very important. If yesterday's data shows that the US economy is strong, then there will be less urgency to cut interest rates. Let's hope for a bit less hawkishness, old Powell, I'm watching you $BTC #美国与欧盟达成关税协议

Record, the rollover of the option call, around 11.5 also reminds fans that they can layout long positions, and there is also the call for Ethereum, feeling unable to let go of it $BTC $ETH #ETH重返3800

A wonderful weekend starts with a long position $BTC Thank you to the friends who are following, have a great weekend

After Bonk's announcement, it surged by 30%, I also sold off, proving that the biggest profits come from exceeding expectations.

Tonight pmnpfun is going public, there is a significant divergence, foreigners are very optimistic, but locals still feel the valuation is too high. A more prudent choice is to buy bonk, as bonk is a new meme launch platform with a much lower valuation, making it possible to profit a few points. Of course, there has already been a wave of increases here, mainly as a thought process. When the dragon flies together, ambushing Dragon Two is a very good strategy, arbitrage strategy $BONK

GM, on April 5th of this year, when everyone was bearish, I called for a bullish stance, and I went all-in. How many bloggers in the square dared to say this? I haven't missed the mid-term target $BTC
#BTC再创新高

Once the good news has been released, the ghost stories come. Just after signing the grand and beautiful bill, 80,000 ancient whale addresses of Bitcoin mined 14 years ago have been activated. However, they are not selling now, but next week the tariff narrative will come again. If it is not resolved properly, it will immediately drop for you to see. Thank you for following my family. Have a great weekend.

Finally, there won't be as much news next week as this week, so I can worry less. In the next few days next week, be aware of risk warnings for contracts; news volatility is coming again:
On Tuesday, July 1st at 22:00, the US June Manufacturing PMI
On Thursday, July 3rd at 20:30, the US June Unemployment Rate, and the seasonally adjusted Non-Farm Payrolls for June
On the same day, Thursday, July 3rd at 22:00, the US June Services PMI
#美国5月核心PCE物价指数

I am also convinced, it turns out everyone won, only the retail investors lost
United States 🇺🇸— Trump announced successful bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities, the U.S. wins
Israel 🇮🇱— Israel announced U.S. intervention has eliminated the threat of Iranian missiles, Israel wins
Iran 🇮🇷— Iran announced that enriched uranium has been transferred in advance, Trump begs for a ceasefire, Iran wins
Retail investors—So I am just a part of your play?
#以色列伊朗冲突

After it was released, it dropped 4 points. I'm pretty happy to have avoided the big drop. Now it's just a matter of waiting to position in the spot market and fear the low points, hahaha😄

On Sunday, the sky fell, and the U.S. military personally got involved? This is the first time since the Afghan War that they have intervened. I really cannot understand Trump's reasons for this involvement; such actions, from the perspective of previous presidents, are a significant political burden and will directly affect the votes. What is he thinking?! As expected, he cannot be understood with common sense; since he took office, he has already taken two extraordinary actions: the first was to say he wanted to intervene in the independence of the Federal Reserve, and this is the second. I am also amazed.

#以色列伊朗冲突 #美联储FOMC会议
This big one hasn't come yet, but that big one is coming
The Fed's meeting just now, the dot plot shows two rate cuts in 2025 and one in 2026, which is expected. Currently, the negative impact of the Iran war has not yet been realized. What is the big one? Nuclear? The rate cut is expected to be in September. Good night, my family members who follow me
If you want to watch the live broadcast, there is a portal here, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLI1V4kKFME

For those who are grinding Alpha points, the sky has fallen, your principal might be gone, the village chief has already contacted you with the brothers from the village.
Actually, when grinding points, there is one very important point to note, which is to never grind from 7 PM to 11 PM, why? Because this is a peak period, the trading volume is high, and thus the fluctuations are also large.
Of course, there are also those who have already stopped grinding, after all, the points are getting higher and higher, it's too difficult.
#币安Alpha理财中心

June 9 - June 15, Key Events for the Upcoming Week:
🔵 June 11, Wednesday 20:30, Core Inflation Rate CPI
🔵 June 12, Thursday 20:30, Producer Price Index PPI and Unemployment Claims for the Week of June
🔵 June 13, Friday 22:00, Consumer Confidence Index
Before these data are released, do not trade too aggressively, be cautious of large fluctuations
Thank you to my family for your attention, a week of significant profits
#中美贸易谈判 $BTC #非农就业数据来袭

The market is currently fluctuating. Until it stabilizes above 10.65, I will only watch for fluctuations. If it stabilizes, I will look bullish. Thank you for following me, my family.