加密老四

The biggest opponent is not others, but your emotions

In the cryptocurrency world, those defeated by emotions are often not due to insufficient technical analysis or erroneous news judgments, but due to a loss of emotional control. Greed, fear, anxiety, regret—these emotions silently erode your judgment like a virus amidst the fluctuations of the market.

You see others making money and start to FOMO, buying at high prices; when you notice your account retracting, you can't help but sell at a loss. You are not trading based on information; you are trading based on emotions. The market itself does not set traps; it is your reactions that lead you into traps.

The difference between experts and ordinary people has never been about 'information asymmetry,' but about emotional stability. Truly mature investors are not disturbed by short-term fluctuations, have discipline and a plan, and are not led by emotions.

If you cannot control your emotions, you cannot control your actions; if you cannot control your actions, you cannot control your results.

Last night, Trump slapped himself in the face again. He lied and made up a story, saying that Dongda had already started bilateral tariff trade negotiations. Dongda responded directly that there was no such thing. Damn, it was embarrassing. Trump unilaterally provoked a tariff war. Now the country is in chaos, prices are rising, and inflation may rebound again, so the Fed will postpone the interest rate cut. The national debt continues to rise, and it's a mess. Well, you want a ceasefire. You also want the secretary of Dongda Village to call for peace, but there is no way. You don't take responsibility for your crime, kneel at the door of your house, slap yourself constantly, and say, I am not a human being, I made the master angry, please forgive me. This matter is definitely not over. Recently, Trump has indeed admitted his weakness, and the panic on Wall Street has eased. In addition, there is indeed an expectation of a rate cut in June, so the US stock market has rebounded for 3 consecutive days, but it will soon reach a strong pressure position. In my opinion, next week, it should be a form of retracement. As for BTC, these trends are very strange. When the US stock market falls, it rises. When the US stock market rises, it goes sideways or falls. This means that this sudden pull is entirely the behavior of the dealer to cut leeks and clean up the short positions of the contract.
Subsequent retail investors and funds did not keep up, and the release of water did not come. It continued to pull up, and suddenly found that there were no leeks to take over. So I personally say that around 94600 is the high point of this rebound. There should be few people who dare to say this. Will they be slapped in the face?
At present, from the daily level pattern, macd has turned from real to empty, and the upward momentum has weakened. At present, the hanging neck line has appeared. The top signal of this rebound has appeared. Recently, funds have entered the market to chase the rise, but it is still insufficient, and the momentum of pulling up has weakened. Personally, I suggest that near 94000, half position of spot. However, from the daily level pattern, it is already a bullish reversal trend. It is still necessary to do more when it falls back. You can continue to fall back and buy the bottom. The current upper pressure is around 86000, and the lower support is around 89000.
At the 1-hour level, there is a pattern of a large-volume callback. If it effectively falls below 93,000, it will continue to fall. I have reminded you this morning to short around 93,500-94,000, stop loss around 95,200, and take profit around 91,200.
At the weekly level, judging from past patterns, it is currently in a large cycle reversal, with a trend of repeated upward fluctuations. If you step back and go long, you can hold the currency and wait for it to rise.
Life and death depend on trembling with fear and caution, only then can you survive.