Francine Oltman UJyV

$ADA Trump called for national reserves, overnight ADA surged by 70%, XRP by 30%, SOL by 20%, BTC by 10%, ETH by 15%. Many people thought the bear market had turned into a bull market, but the next day, everything that rose came crashing back down. Those who got in are like riding a roller coaster 🎢, it's thrilling...
Everyone is focused on Trump's performance at the Bitcoin summit in the White House tomorrow, whether to feast or just have soup, Audi or Athens, keep a calm mindset~

Today, there are two important meetings happening globally at the same time.
One is our two major meetings, where a series of goals for this year are announced; the other is Trump's speech in Congress, outlining his plans moving forward. Both meetings have stirred the hearts of global investors, and so far, it all seems positive.
First, let's talk about the Americans, who have started to stabilize the market. Last night, U.S. Treasury Secretary held a meeting with several institutional leaders and simultaneously sent good signals to the market, finally stopping the decline of U.S. stocks.
However, the core issue is that Trump's speech today did not create chaos; although he mentioned tariffs and other issues, he did not clarify or escalate them. The market sighed in relief.
Trump also specifically mentioned the chip legislation, stating that he believes this law should be abolished. The chip law was signed by Biden, providing hundreds of billions of dollars in subsidies to American chip companies for their development in the artificial intelligence sector, with the condition that these companies cannot cooperate with Chinese firms.
Goodness, now he wants to abolish it. Trump is currently both popular and specialized, truly a hidden ally! However, he feels that if chip companies can make money, why should they need subsidies? It is unlikely that they would genuinely support China.
This month, there are several risks in the U.S. stock market, one of the bigger ones being his speech today, which has now been cleared, but there is still the Federal Reserve meeting coming up, and the key will still be Powell's attitude in his statements.
Now, let's talk about our situation with a few core data points:
First, the deficit ratio is set at 4%. Previously, we mainly targeted 3%, marking the first increase in the deficit ratio in recent years. To explain, this represents the government's willingness to take responsibility, meaning it is willing to inject liquidity.
Second, the inflation data is set at 2%. Previously, it was 3%, but now the monthly CPI is only in the range of 0.x, making the 3% target too far-fetched.
This adjustment in target is a positive sign, indicating that the higher-ups have recognized the problem and are facing it. This is very favorable.
Third, issuing 1.3 trillion yuan in special government bonds, which is slightly less than market expectations, but there is a notable point: this time, 500 billion yuan is allocated to support large state-owned commercial banks in replenishing their capital.
Rumors suggest that this will save the banks, and this wave has been implemented. Why do banks, which are making large profits every day, still need to issue bonds? Because although banks are profitable, they also bear the burden of the real estate crisis. Saving the real estate sector is too difficult, so it is better to secure the banks as a backup.

$ETH #bybit Hacked $ETH Ethereum is about to take a big hit. The first reason is to go with the flow; many people want to do this, and the panic is still spreading. The second reason is to dilute the funds stolen by the hacker. The third reason is to let bybit buy cheap Ethereum to get through the crisis. Right now, bybit is most looking forward to dumping, and the brother exchanges will help; publicly helping and secretly needing to help even more. Who knows, everyone might unite to dump; Ethereum has been weak for so long anyway.

#Gas费影响 #Gas费影响 GAS fee is the cost of transactions on the Ethereum blockchain, fluctuating due to network congestion, transaction complexity, and miner demand. When the network is congested, the GAS fee increases to ensure priority processing of transactions; the more complex the transaction, the higher the required GAS fee; miners adjust their acceptance of GAS Price based on the market. The GAS fee serves as an incentive for miners, helps prevent malicious attacks, and is an important indicator of network activity, so users should pay attention to its fluctuations to manage transaction costs.

#钱包活动洞察 #钱包活动洞察
Wallet activity insights is a method to understand market trends and investor behavior by analyzing wallet transaction activities on the blockchain. Here are some common observation methods and tools:
1. **Large Transaction Monitoring**: By monitoring large transactions, one can identify the movements of "whales" or institutional investors. These large transactions often have a significant impact on the market.
2. **Active Address Analysis**: An increase in the number of active addresses usually indicates that more users are participating in the trading of tokens, which may signal an increase in market activity.
3. **Token Inflow and Outflow**: Monitoring the inflow and outflow of tokens from exchanges can help determine the buying and selling pressure in the market. For example, when a large number of tokens are flowing out of exchanges, it may indicate that investors are hoarding tokens, suggesting that prices may rise.
4. **Smart Contract Calls**: Analyzing the call activities of smart contracts can provide insights into the usage and popularity of certain projects or protocols.
5. **On-Chain Data Platforms**: Using on-chain data platforms such as Nansen, Glassnode, and Dune Analytics makes it easy to access and analyze wallet activity data. These platforms offer rich charts and metrics to help users better understand market dynamics.
Through these methods and tools, investors can better grasp market trends and make more informed investment decisions.

#市场情绪观察 #市场情绪观察 - Stablecoin Flow: A large influx of stablecoins into exchanges may indicate that buying pressure is about to emerge in the market, and investor sentiment is becoming optimistic; a significant outflow of stablecoins from exchanges, on the other hand, may suggest increased selling pressure and a bearish market sentiment.

- Trading Volume and Price Changes: A substantial increase in trading volume combined with rising prices indicates positive market sentiment, with investors optimistic about market prospects and a significant influx of capital into the market; if trading volume increases while prices decline, it may indicate panic selling by investors and a state of market fear.

- Proportion of Large Transactions: A high proportion of large buy orders indicates bullish market sentiment; a high proportion of large sell orders indicates bearish market sentiment.

Wallet Data Related Indicators

- Growth of New Wallet Addresses: A rapid increase in new wallet addresses indicates a large influx of new users, suggesting relatively optimistic market sentiment and confidence in the future development of the cryptocurrency market.

- Whale Wallet Movements: Significant buying by whale addresses can drive market buying trends, creating a heightened market sentiment; substantial selling by whale addresses may trigger panic selling in the market, leading to a shift in sentiment to pessimistic.

#代币流动信号 #代币流动信号 Token flow signals refer to the transfer and trading activity of tokens in the cryptocurrency market, which can serve as an indicator of market sentiment and potential trends. Large-scale token flows, especially from one wallet to an exchange, may indicate that holders are preparing to sell, which may cause prices to fall. Conversely, if a large number of tokens are transferred from exchanges to private wallets, it may indicate that holders intend to hold for the long term, which is generally seen as a bullish sign. Analyzing these flow signals can help investors gain insight into market dynamics, but it is important to note that these signals are not absolute, and market sentiment, news events, and other factors can also have a significant impact on prices. Therefore, investors should consider a variety of information when making decisions.

The impact of active users refers to the role played by the active user community on a blockchain or digital platform in influencing the network ecosystem and market dynamics. These users not only drive the daily usage of the platform but also affect the platform's growth, value, and stability through participation in transactions, interactions, or content creation. In the cryptocurrency field, an increase in active users often indicates rising market demand, which in turn drives price increases. Additionally, in decentralized applications (DApps) and DeFi platforms, the behavior of active users can directly influence smart contract execution, liquidity provision, and governance decisions of the platform. Therefore, understanding the behavior patterns of active users is crucial for platform developers and investors, as it helps them better predict market changes and development trends.

#价格趋势分析 Price Trend Analysis After the incident of Bybit being hacked on the evening of February 21, the cryptocurrency market suffered a huge impact, and the price of ETH also experienced significant fluctuations. Although the current price of ETH has dropped sharply due to the Bybit incident, its future price trend remains full of uncertainty. On one hand, if Bybit can actively respond to this incident, cooperate with relevant institutions to recover stolen assets, strengthen security measures, and regain user trust, then market panic may gradually ease, and the price of ETH is expected to rebound.

The whale that lost 5.02 million dollars last time in VIRTUAL has now returned to the market, and this time it's making a big move! It directly transferred 4,006 ETH to a new address, then dumped 419 ETH to buy 1,049,000 VIRTUAL. This operation feels just like a gambler trying to recoup losses, but this time he seems very confident.
Honestly, this is quite interesting. This whale lost so much before, and normally, a regular person would have run away in fear, but now he is back and making such big moves, which shows he is quite optimistic about the future of VIRTUAL. Perhaps he has already figured it all out and thinks the previous losses were just bad luck; now the opportunity has come.
Moreover, the actions of a whale are like throwing a big stone into a pond; it will definitely stir up waves in the market. The pond of VIRTUAL is already small, and with such a large amount of capital coming in, it would be hard for the price not to rise. If market sentiment is further stimulated and everyone rushes to follow suit, the price is likely to soar.
However, I am also a bit worried. Although such large capital operations can drive the market, they can also lead to excessive following. If everyone only sees the whale's moves without careful analysis, they might end up getting burned again. Therefore, everyone still needs to keep their eyes open, not just watch the excitement, but understand the underlying dynamics.

#链上数据洞察 Litecoin ETF Let's take a look at how AI analysis works
As of February 21, 2025, the price of Litecoin (LTC) is approximately $134.91. Recently, the price of Litecoin has shown an upward trend, partly due to the preliminary approval of a tradable ETF application by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The market expects an 85% probability that the Litecoin ETF will be approved in 2025. Additionally, technical analysis shows that Litecoin's relative strength index (RSI) is above the neutral zone of 50, indicating that market sentiment is leaning bullish.

What factors are driving this trend? The well-known financial company CoinShares has applied to list a Litecoin ETF on Nasdaq, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has also initiated a review process, which has sparked discussions about the ETF.

#莱特币ETF Litecoin typically does not receive the same kind of publicity on social media as other top cryptocurrencies like XRP, Solana, Chainlink, or Cardano. However, driven by some legitimate ETF rumors, its value has recently surged quietly. From February 2, 2025, to February 19, 2025, Litecoin's market capitalization skyrocketed by +46%, indicating an increase in investor interest. Part of this growth is due to the strong increase in its network utility over the past 7 days.

$ETH 【Digital Currency: The Code Revolution Reshaping Future Finance】
When Bitcoin quietly emerged in 2009 at a price of $0.00076 each, no one expected this string of cryptographic code to unleash a tremendous wave in the global financial system. Today, the total market value of digital currency has surpassed one trillion dollars, with over 130 million people worldwide holding crypto assets. This currency experiment that began in the geek community is reshaping humanity's understanding of value exchange.
The distributed ledger system created by blockchain technology has deconstructed the centralized authority of traditional finance. Every transaction is recorded in a "digital ledger" maintained by global nodes, with unalterable timestamps and hash encryption technology building a privacy barrier tighter than that of Swiss banks. Ethereum’s smart contracts further embed business logic into code, allowing transfers from New York to Singapore to be completed within 12 seconds, with transaction fees only 1% of traditional cross-border payments.
However, the rapid advance of digital currencies is facing multiple challenges in the real world. The avalanche collapse of Terra/Luna in 2022 exposed the fragility of algorithmic stablecoins; the $30 billion valuation of the FTX exchange reached zero in 48 hours, revealing the deep contradictions between decentralized ideals and centralized operations. Regulatory agencies in various countries continue to intensify their measures, with the EU's MiCA legislation requiring trading platforms to implement strict KYC verification, while China has completely halted cryptocurrency trading.
Even more disruptive is the rise of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). The pilot for the digital yuan has expanded to 26 regions, with technological breakthroughs supporting dual offline payments, allowing transactions to be completed even without mobile signal. A survey by the Bank for International Settlements shows that 86 central banks, accounting for 98% of the global economy, are researching CBDCs, which may reshape the power structure of the global monetary system.
In the future landscape, digital currencies may form a layered structure: at the bottom are legally mandated digital currencies backed by central banks, the middle layer consists of regulated stablecoins, and at the top, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin will play the role of "digital gold." As the Federal Reserve begins to issue bonds using blockchain technology and the SWIFT system is gradually replaced by DeFi protocols, this financial revolution that started with cryptographic geeks will ultimately redefine the existence of "money."

#TradeFi革命 Someone said: After Trump took office, he seemed to forget about the crypto industry, forgetting the 'promise' made during the Bitcoin conference, especially after his family launched a token, which caused a significant drop in reputation as if it confirmed the market's view on this perspective. However, yesterday when the news came out [Trump: Has ended the previous administration's 'crusade' against Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies], it was like a 'king bomb' that showed the market the 'understanding king' is still the same understanding king. He does what the market needs, and becoming the president of America is well-deserved. This wave of Trump directly translates into policy support, which benefits the entire industry. We can see that some sectors have taken off directly. Although Bitcoin did not surge dramatically, it once again stopped falling at $95,000. As long as the big brother does not drop, altcoins have hope and will show performance. From the perspective of the rise in sectors: artificial intelligence and Depin are the strongest, achieving a broad rise of over 15%. This completely aligns with the current trend of the macro environment. Usable applications are always the most favored investments by capital and have limitless potential. This time, Trump made a high-profile appearance with 'sincerity,' and I am very optimistic about the future trends in the crypto space.

Warren Buffett Criticizes Bitcoin Again: No Intrinsic Value, Absolutely No Investment
Recently, globally renowned investor Warren Buffett made sharp negative comments about Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies at the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders meeting. He pointedly stated that Bitcoin is not a productive asset, lacks intrinsic value, and has failed to demonstrate any substantial role.
Bitcoin Has No Substantial Output
Buffett stated at the meeting: "I cannot predict the rise or fall of Bitcoin in the next year, five years, or ten years, but I can assure you it will not produce anything substantial. It has a kind of magic that makes many people addicted to it." This statement highlights his fundamental skepticism about the value of Bitcoin.
Historical Commentary Review
Looking back, Buffett's criticism of Bitcoin is not new. As early as 2018, he compared Bitcoin to "rat poison," describing it as "a delusion that attracts charlatans" and asserting it is a "real bubble." That same year, he referred to Bitcoin as a “gambling device” at the shareholders meeting. By 2020, he reiterated his negative view on cryptocurrencies, stating, "Cryptocurrencies have no value; I have never, and I will never hold any cryptocurrencies."
Value Investment Philosophy
Buffett's investment philosophy is centered around value investing; he tends to invest in companies that create value through production. In contrast, although Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies were originally designed for use as currency, their actual utility is limited at present, lacking real market value. Therefore, in Buffett's view, such assets do not meet his investment criteria.
Reiterates Absolutely No Investment in Cryptocurrencies

$BTC $BTC The Federal Reserve has news again, is it good or bad?

#FTX赔付 #FTX赔付
Regarding FTX, I don't know much about it, but I'm forwarding an article that I hope will be helpful to everyone.
【FTX's First Repayment of $1.2 Billion: FTT Rises Then Falls, Market Value Drops to $670 Million, What Lies Ahead?】
FTX has finally started repaying its debts! This round of repayment is about $1.2 billion.
According to FTX creditor Sunil, the next repayment date is May 30, targeting creditors with debts over $50,000, as well as users who have been approved but did not receive repayment in the first distribution and have debts below $50,000.
According to FTX's repayment plan, about 98% of creditors will receive approximately 118% of their assets in cash. Payments are based on prices from November 2022.
Previously, FTX announced that the total repayment amount would be between $14.5 billion and $16.3 billion.
Binance data shows that the MEME token FTT is currently priced around $2, with a market value of $670 million. It rose before the repayment event and fell after, with a daily drop of 10%. Recently, FTT has been significantly affected by the compensation events.
Additionally, FTX founder SBF seems to be seeking a presidential pardon, but current media analysis suggests that SBF has a slim chance of receiving clemency. In any case, the progress of this event will greatly impact FTT's price.
The price fluctuations of FTT remind investors that the market's response to these events may be full of uncertainty.

The market may decline, and the numbers may look scary, but right now, Solana might make us cry. But those who understand the game know that cryptocurrency is built on cycles; something that feels like a nightmare today may turn into a huge victory tomorrow.
The Solana that is testing our patience today will soon be the one that makes us smile. The market will recover, trends will shift, and those who maintain a clear vision know that a downturn is just a disguised opportunity.
In the storm, it's easy to have doubts, but those who believe in potential know it's just a matter of time. What brings us pain today will soon bring us joy. Because in the world of cryptocurrency, those who endure struggles are the ones who celebrate the biggest victories.

Come and see the 48-hour drama of Argentina's President 'LIBRA Coin' #阿根廷总统MEME币争议
On February 15, 2025, Argentine President Milei grandly launched the meme coin LIBRA, claiming to 'revitalize the economy'. The token's market value once soared to 5 billion US dollars, but plummeted 90% within hours, with the team cashing out over 100 million US dollars and investors losing everything. Ironically, the president later claimed he 'did not participate in the project development', while on-chain data showed that insider traders had positioned themselves in advance, with a single address making an astonishing 8.7 million US dollars in just one hour.
In contrast, Trump's TRUMP Coin has skyrocketed to a market value of 10.7 billion US dollars since its launch in January 2025, with his business empire controlling over 20 billion US dollars in token assets. Family-related companies hold 80% of the token supply, potentially releasing 24 billion US dollars in market value over the next three years. Despite ongoing controversies, TRUMP Coin, buoyed by the aura of the 'cryptocurrency president', has surpassed Dogecoin to become the new meme king.
Meanwhile, Trump's dog 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑛 has now become the hottest potential meme in the primary market. The 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑛 team will take an extremely bold action next week, deciding to destroy 19.5% of chips currently worth 3 million US dollars, sending them into a black hole to help 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑛 achieve complete CTO status. If the market cap reaches 1 billion, these chips would originally be worth 200 million US dollars; it's too crazy!
Remember, we do not want to be the chives harvested by the wave; only by steadily moving forward with community building can we ensure the safety of our assets!