牛牛加密圈

$BTC Last night, the Federal Reserve hinted that it would cut interest rates by another 50 basis points in 2025.
Igniting market sentiment!
The Federal Reserve did not say it, but Wall Street has already heard what it wanted to hear,
If the economic situation worsens, the Federal Reserve will take action to cut rates,
A rate cut in June is still possible.
This is good news for US stocks and the cryptocurrency market, which have also rebounded significantly.

Regarding ETFs, as predicted by Bitcoin Eagle a few days ago,
Funds have started to flow in positively.
On the 17th, $270 million flowed in, on the 18th, $209 million flowed in,
Yesterday, $11.8 million flowed in (data from BlackRock has yet to be released).
#BTC #BTC走势分析

$ETH $BTC $BNB Based on a comprehensive analysis from multiple sources, there is a significant difference in the price predictions for Ethereum (ETH) in 2025, but the overall trend is optimistic. Here is a summary based on current market dynamics, technological developments, and expert opinions:

**1. Price Prediction Range for 2025**
- **Conservative Prediction**: Some institutions expect the average price of ETH in 2025 to be between **$3,500–$4,000**, with a maximum potential of **$4,000**. This prediction is based on the initial effects of the Ethereum 2.0 upgrade and improved market sentiment.
- **Neutral Prediction**: Some analysts believe that if technological upgrades and the growth of ecological applications like DeFi and NFTs continue, ETH could reach **$6,000–$8,700**, with an average price of around **$6,600**.
- **Optimistic Prediction**: Some experts suggest that in an extreme bullish scenario (such as widespread institutional adoption or a significant improvement in the regulatory environment), ETH could break through **$10,000**, and even reach **$15,000** or higher.

**2. Key Factors Affecting Price**
- **Technical Upgrades**: The full implementation of Ethereum 2.0 (including sharding and proof-of-stake mechanisms) will enhance network efficiency, reduce transaction costs, and potentially attract more developers and users.
- **Market Demand**: The continued development of DeFi and NFTs, along with the widespread application of smart contracts, may drive the demand for ETH as a "fuel token".
- **Institutions and Regulation**: Increased institutional investment (such as the launch of spot ETFs) and clearer regulations may boost market confidence; conversely, regulatory crackdowns or economic recessions could suppress prices.
- **Market Sentiment and Seasonality**: Historical data shows that ETH performs strongly in the first quarter (average increase of 83%), but recent hacking events (such as the $1.4 billion ETH stolen from Bybit in February 2025) may lead to short-term volatility.

**3. Potential Risks and Challenges**
- **Competitive Pressure**: Competitors like Solana and Cardano have advantages in transaction speed and costs, which may siphon off Ethereum's market share.
- **Security and Liquidity Risks**: Network attacks or liquidity shortages (such as exchange hacking incidents) may lead to short-term price crashes, necessitating awareness of implied market volatility.
- **Macroeconomic Environment**: Global economic recessions or geopolitical conflicts may weaken the appeal of risk assets (such as cryptocurrencies). #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #加密市场回调 #BTC #bybit被盗

In terms of on-chain data,
thousands of BTC have flowed into exchanges,
the overall impact is not significant.

Currently, we see the following major directions:
(1) 20 states in the United States are advancing bills related to Bitcoin reserves. If all are passed,
it is expected to drive $23 billion into the Bitcoin market, equivalent to approximately 247,000 BTC.

(2) The latest data shows that institutions including Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and BlackRock have reported increasing their Bitcoin investments.

(3) Retail investors are cutting losses on BTC, while institutions are accumulating BTC, just like during last year's surge in gold prices.
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$BTC From on-chain data, slightly bearish
In the last 48 hours, stablecoins flowed out of exchanges,
BTC flowed into exchanges, approximately 7000,
The ETF buying power is not strong.

Today, the main focus is on the CPI release at 9:30 PM,
The expected value is 2.90%, with three scenarios.

(1) Significantly higher than expected is bearish, BTC will have a pullback of about 3%,
BTC will drop to around $94,000, and then after today's fluctuations, it will rebound,
Subsequent market conditions will likely struggle for significant increases,
Unless a certain state in the U.S. passes a state-level strategic reserve bill to start buying coins.

(2) If below expectations, BTC will first return to 100,000,
And the altcoin market will also recover quickly afterward.

(3) If around expectations, the market will not have significant fluctuations,
BTC will slowly return to 100,000
$ETH $SOL #BTC #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC走势分析

$BTC As a risky asset, BTC fell to around $95,000, and then quickly rebounded. It still feels strong. This week, the first level of the tribulation was successfully completed. There are two more to come: (1) At 23:00 on Wednesday, Powell will give testimony to express the future interest rate trend. (2) At 21:30 on Wednesday, the US January CPI will be released. According to the on-chain data, Binance has outflowed 2,900 BTC, and the trend is positive. Generally speaking, the coins sold in the circle flow into Binance. If Binance's BTC reserves are declining, it proves that the bottom-fishing power is strong. $ETH $SOL #比特币盘整将持续多久？ #BTC #BTC走势分析

$BTC $SOL $BNB
This week, there are three major challenges,
If we get through them, it will be considered a successful trial,
BTC may challenge its highs again.

The first: Trump will announce reciprocal tariffs against multiple countries next week.
The news may be released on "Monday or Tuesday",
Any new tariff announcement could increase the attractiveness of the dollar,
If the dollar rises, BTC will fall. If it’s moderate, the impact on the crypto market will be minimal.

The second: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will testify
On Wednesday at 23:00, Powell will testify,
Discussing the future path of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve,
Causing market fluctuations.

The third: CPI release
On Wednesday at 21:30, the U.S. January CPI and core CPI will be released.
Higher than expected is bearish, lower than expected is bullish
#BTC #BTC走势分析 #美国加征关税

$BTC $SOL $ETH There are three major challenges next week.
If you can overcome them, you will have overcome the tribulation.
BTC may challenge the highs again.

First: Trump will announce equal tariffs on multiple countries next week.
The news may be released on "next Monday or Tuesday".
Any new tariff announcement may increase the attractiveness of the US dollar.
If the US dollar rises, BTC will fall.

Second: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's testimony.
At 23:00 next Wednesday, Powell will give testimony,
talking about the future path of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts,
causing market shocks.

Third: CPI release.
At 21:30 next Wednesday, the US January CPI and core CPI will be released.
Higher than expected is bearish, lower than expected is positive.
#BTC #BTC☀ #ETH

$BTC In terms of on-chain data,
4,000 BTC flowed into the exchange yesterday, and some stablecoins flowed out.
In terms of ETFs, 140 million funds flowed out yesterday.

Now there is no need to worry about a sharp drop in BTC,
BTC can be taken back no matter how it falls,
but there is a worry that the altcoin will shrink due to BTC fluctuations.
$SOL $BNB #BTC #btc70k #BTC☀

$BEL $BTC $SOL On-chain Data
It was discovered that over 8,000 BTC flowed out of Coinbase from yesterday to today.
ETF saw a net outflow yesterday, and the funds in the crypto space have been bottom-fishing all week.
This week, Kraken had a total outflow of 50,000 BTC.
This week, Coinbase saw an outflow of 19,000 BTC.
Together, the two exchanges had a total outflow of 70,000 BTC.
In this round of decline, the whales accumulated a large amount of BTC.
Wallets holding more than 100 BTC increased, while wallets holding less than 1 BTC decreased.
This reflects a scenario: retail investors are cutting losses, while capital is hoarding coins.
#BTC #BTC走势分析 #特朗普加密政策承诺

$BTC $ETH $BNB Key Drivers for Bitcoin Price Increase

⓵ Halving Effect: The Bitcoin halving event in 2024 may drive prices up through supply contraction.

⓶ Institutional Demand: Continuous increases in holdings by companies like MicroStrategy (which plans to raise $42 billion to purchase Bitcoin) and inflows into spot ETFs are core supports.

⓷ Policy Environment: The new U.S. government's pro-crypto policies (such as Trump's promised national Bitcoin reserve plan) may boost market confidence.

⓸ Macroeconomics: Federal Reserve monetary policy (such as expectations of interest rate cuts) and inflation data will affect market liquidity and risk appetite. #BTC走势分析 #BTC走势分析 #BTC☀

$BTC $ETH $SOL
ETF funding aspect,
In the past two days, the buying strength at the bottom is not strong (the day before yesterday bought $300 million, yesterday bought $11 million)
On the contrary, the buying strength at the exchanges is relatively strong
Yesterday, Kraken continued to see an outflow of 30,000 BTC, plus the 20,000 BTC that flowed out the day before yesterday, totaling 50,000 BTC
Yesterday at 6:00, 12,000 BTC flowed out from Coinbase
The two exchanges combined saw a total outflow of 62,000 BTC
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC☀ #比特币四年周期将改变？

$BTC Real-time warning of on-chain data:
20,000 BTC flowed out from Kraken yesterday,
12,000 BTC flowed out from Coinbase at 6:00 pm
There are many large funds buying BTC at the bottom recently, which indicates a big rebound of BTC in the future$ETH $BNB #比特币国家战略储备 #BTC走势分析 #ETHETFsApproved #BTC

$BTC $SOL $BNB From on-chain data, there is a noteworthy sign
20,000 BTC has flowed out from exchanges, mainly from Kraken exchange
This round of astonishing crash has allowed the whales to take enough bottom chips to withdraw to their wallets #加密市场反弹 #BTC走势分析 #山寨季何时到来？

$BTC $ETH $SOL Bitcoin (BTC) Highest Price in 2025❓
But generally presents an optimistic trend. Here are key predictions and analyses compiled from multiple sources:

1⃣ Hong Kong HashKey Group predicts that Bitcoin could break through $300,000 and believes that the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is expected to reach $10 trillion. This prediction is based on the passage of the U.S. FIT21 Act and the expectation of interconnection between traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market.

2⃣ CryptoQuant's weekly report predicts that if an additional $520 billion flows into the market, Bitcoin's price could reach a range of $145,000 to $249,000, while JAN3 CEO Samson Mow even proposed an aggressive prediction of "$1 million."

3⃣ Well-known figures like Tim Draper and Tom Lee predict that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025, primarily driven by the widespread adoption of global payments, scarcity, and ETF support. #加密市场反弹 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC☀

Current Market Common Data Patterns (Bull and Bear Judgment)
Correlation Between BTC and USDT

**Early Bull Market**: BTC Net Outflow + USDT Net Inflow → Accumulation for Rise.

**Late Bull Market**: BTC Net Inflow + USDT Net Outflow → Top Selling Signal.
$ETH $SOL #加密市场回调 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #币安合约上线VVV #比特币四年周期将改变？

$ETH $SOL $LINK Although many people are in a bad mood today, the potential upgrades and benefits in February 2025 will revolve around high-performance expansion (ETH, SOL), modular blockchain (TIA), emerging public chains (SUI, SEI), DeFi infrastructure (LINK) and RWA. #加密市场回调 #利好 #板块轮动 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 It is recommended to continue to pay attention to the project's technical progress and ecological data, while being wary of the risk of excessive market speculation.

$BTC Now the bottom is getting higher, last year around 50,000 dared not buy, this year it will reach 15 dollars $ even 200,000 dollars $. In the great bull narrative, hold on and don't move around. #微策略持续增持BTC #加密市场回调 #BTC走势分析 $ETH $SOL

$BTC On-chain Data Analysis:
From yesterday to today, BTC has still flowed out of exchanges, totaling around 7000.
Among them, about 1200 flowed out from Binance $ETH $SOL #BTC #BTC☀

Why is BTC bullish news coming one after another, yet it still doesn't rise, and altcoins continue to decline?

There are three core reasons:

(1) Regarding the current rumors about BTC, including Trump's policies on BTC,
most are still expectations and speculations, just a few people boasting on Twitter.

(2) U.S. inflation is still high, although the last CPI announcement eased market anxiety a bit,
but there hasn't been substantial economic data indicating a decrease in inflation.
This supports the Federal Reserve's strong interest rate cuts in 2025;
if inflation remains high, combined with Trump's tariff policies, it's possible the Fed may raise interest rates.
Thus, large funds are still hesitating.

(3) Japan's key inflation indicator has reached 3% for the first time in 16 months.
Strong inflation data supports the Bank of Japan's reasoning to raise interest rates this Friday.
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The recent market for $BTC won't have particularly large fluctuations.
Occasionally, there will be a spike that explodes long positions and then it will pull back.

The next significant fluctuation will occur during the time when Trump
announces related cryptocurrency policies.

These days, it is advised to hold coins patiently.
If a sharp drop occurs,
you can buy the dip for BTC, Uni, BNB, Kaia, and other coins.
ETH is still relatively weak, so buying the dip at $ETH $SOL #比特币行情聚焦 #BTC走势分析 is not recommended.