交易员宋财谋

BTC Market Analysis: Good afternoon, brothers! Let's get started! The big pie successfully tested the monthly support level around 76500 last night! This drop was fierce, but don't get too excited too soon! Although this drop may continue later, there is strong support below, and this level of support is really hard to break! So everyone, we can define this drop as a corresponding bottom! As long as the market holds around 76500, we can consider positioning for long orders! The resistance levels above are 81000, 82500, and 84000; if today's four-hour closing can break 81000, then this drop will show signs of stopping! For those who haven't entered yet, if you can hold around 76500 during the second test, you can also try long orders! However, this time control your position well, just a little larger can be around 75000! As long as the market can hold the support level, there will be room to position later! ETH Market Analysis: The aunt hasn't reached 1600 yet, and it started to rebound at 1750! Pay attention to the 1860 position when the small level tests the support line! As long as the market doesn't break this position during the pullback, then the rebound will continue! Resistance levels for the rebound are 1990, 2080, etc.; as long as the four-hour closing doesn't break 1990, the market will continue to rebound! If the one-hour closing breaks below 1860 again, then we have to say goodbye to this rebound! Long orders can be temporarily abandoned, and continue to pay attention to the support levels below at 1750, 1600, etc.! As long as the market holds the support level, there will still be room to position later! SOL Market Analysis: SOL just happened to test the support level around 110 given last night and started to rebound! If the pullback doesn’t break the 121 level, the market will continue to rebound! Resistance levels for the rebound are 125; at least the four-hour closing needs to break this position to show signs of stopping! The upper resistance is at 132, 140, etc.! As long as the one-hour closing can't hold 121, the market will continue to oscillate! Pay attention to the defensive support level below at 112! Here, you can continue to try long orders, just a little larger can be around 110! BNB Market Analysis: BNB successfully supported around 500 during the second test! Pay attention to the 121 position when the small level tests the support line! As long as the market does not break 121, the rebound resistance will be between 134-148! If the one-hour closing can break 121, then we can consider positioning for long orders! As long as the market holds at 121, there will be room to position later! The upper resistance is at 134, 148, etc.! As long as it does not break 121, there will still be opportunities!

Core Conclusion: **Beware of overbought pullbacks, but be cautious of false breakouts**
1. **Key Contradiction Points**:
- **J Value Extremely Overbought**: J value >100 is a rare extreme signal, historically usually accompanied by a sharp short-term pullback (like a washout or trend reversal).
- **Volume-Price Divergence**: Price rebounds to 88,394, but trading volume (535M) shrinks compared to the previous day (694M), with insufficient upward momentum.

2. **Core Logic**:
- **Bearish Dominance**: The MACD bearish trend remains unchanged, J value is overbought + price approaches 24H high resistance (88,938), the pullback pressure is greater than the rebound momentum.