陈Andy

6.3 Midday Analysis:
From a technical perspective, the MACD histogram on the four-hour Bitcoin chart is strengthening, indicating rising momentum, while the KDJ is fluctuating. The RSI shows the market is leaning towards neutrality. The upper Bollinger Band is at 106400, with support at the lower band at 105000.
Suggestions:
BTC: Set up long positions in the 104500-105000 range, with a target towards 106500;
ETH: Enter long positions in the 2500-2550 range, targeting around 2650, taking advantage of the trend and responding steadily to market fluctuations.

5.30 Morning Thoughts:
Bitcoin rose to 108900 but faced resistance and fell back. After breaking below 105500, it rebounded and is currently consolidating around 10600. The daily chart shows three consecutive bearish candles, with short-term volatility intensifying. The 4-hour chart shows a large bearish candle probing the bottom, so watch for potential rebound opportunities. Ethereum also rose and fell back, with the daily chart showing a long upper shadow, and wide-ranging consolidation continues.

Suggestions:
BTC: Consider long positions in the 105200-104700 range, targeting 106500;
ETH: Consider long positions in the 2630-2580 range, targeting 2700, primarily focusing on buying the dips, and strictly controlling losses.

Evening Thoughts on May 28:
​Looking at the four-hour chart, short-term bearish sentiment is dominant, with prices running below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, pressured by the middle band at 108965 and initial support at the lower band of 107135. The MACD death cross continues with green bars, bearish momentum is being released, and the KDJ three lines are trending downward, indicating a clear adjustment trend.

It is recommended to mainly sell short in the 109000—109500 range, aiming for 107800, with a break targeting 106000 or even 104000.

5.27 Afternoon Thoughts:
The large pancake continues its oscillating trend in the afternoon, with a strong rebound from early probing, reaching around the 109,000 point before momentum slows down. Overall, it remains in a downtrend, with a short-term bias towards a bearish outlook.

Suggestion: Look for opportunities to go short in the 109,000—109,800 range, targeting around 107,000. If it effectively breaks down, further downside can be anticipated; if it holds the support, consider a short-term reversal to go long, while paying attention to risk control.

5.25 Morning Thoughts:
The four-hour chart of Bitcoin shows resistance at highs, with the 110,000 mark indicating pressure. Multiple attempts to rally have failed, and the market may continue to consolidate at high levels. The trend of volatility is clearly converging, and it is recommended to sell high and buy low within the range.

Suggestion: Enter the 108200-108500 range, with a target looking down at 106700. Be cautious near the support level and take profits in batches, strictly control risk, and beware of getting trapped by chasing highs.

5.24 Afternoon Analysis:
Bitcoin's 4-hour chart has formed a Evening Star pattern, quickly surging and then retreating, indicating that a short-term top is starting to appear, and the market is entering an adjustment period. Current volatility is increasing, and there is significant room for a pullback. The moving average indicators are turning downward, so short-term operations should remain cautious. Key attention should be paid to whether the mid-track support can hold effectively; if it is broken, the adjustment space may further open up.

It is recommended to go long in the 107300-106800 range, with the target set around 110000. Focus on short-term low entries and manage positions carefully.

Evening Strategy on May 22:
Recently, the volatility of Bitcoin/Ethereum has significantly increased. Although the upward movement is strong, there are frequent pullbacks, making it crucial to grasp the trend segments. We flexibly respond in both directions and successfully seize the opportunity for a short position, accurately capturing the rhythm of the rise and fall.

Evening Recommendations:
BTC: Set up short positions in the range of 111500-112000, target around 109000;
ETH: 2650-2670 for short positions, target 2580, manage risks well and operate in line with the trend.

Evening Thoughts on May 21:
Bitcoin/4-hour chart maintains a stepwise upward trend. The market is strong but volatility is increasing, showing a local trend of probing higher and then pulling back. Overall, it is still in a slow-bull rhythm, with short-term support focusing on the 104000 level and the middle track position.

Suggestion: Participate in the low range of 105000-104000, with a target looking towards 106500-107000. Follow the trend and proceed steadily.

5.21 Midday Thoughts:
Ethereum/4-hour chart short-term depends on the middle track for oscillation and rise, the trend shows a rise followed by a pullback, often accompanied by a medium bearish retracement before stabilizing. Currently, it has returned to the middle-upper track area for oscillation but has not effectively broken through, and upward movement remains oscillatory.
In terms of operation, pay attention to the resistance at the upper track; if it breaks through, follow the trend with a target in the 2630-2670 area; if it doesn't break, maintain oscillation.
It is recommended to position in the 2530-2450 range for long positions, controlling risk.

5.21 Morning Analysis:
Bitcoin/4 hours From a 4-hour perspective, the bullish momentum has slowed down, the volume increase has basically ended, and the market sentiment has clearly declined. 🈳️ The volume continues to increase, and the trend is set.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading in the range of 106600-107400, with weak short-term rebound; it is recommended to short at high levels, targeting the support level of 105600, controlling risks, and following the trend. ​​​

Evening Analysis on 5.20:
Bitcoin/4-hour chart maintains a step-like slow rising pattern. Although there are signs of a pullback, the overall structure remains strong, and the low-dip strategy remains unchanged. Short-term volatility is intensifying, and the market may experience a back-and-forth upward trend, requiring patience to respond.

Evening operation suggestion: Layout long positions in the range of 104000-103500 for Bitcoin, with a target looking at the 105000-106000 area.

Evening Analysis on May 19:

Bitcoin broke the middle band of the Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart, indicating a weakening trend. The opening of the Bollinger Bands is widening, suggesting that downward pressure may intensify. Although the J value has dropped below 20, indicating an oversold rebound demand, the K and D lines are still diverging downwards, making a sustained rebound difficult.
It is recommended to focus on the higher range:
BTC: Can consider within the range of 103500-104000, with a target of 101500;
ETH: Pay attention to single opportunities in the range of 2440-2460, with a target of 2350.

5.19 Afternoon Thoughts:
Ethereum/4-hour chart explores high and then retreats, closing lower at the end, with short-term momentum released but insufficient volume, returning to a calm pattern. The weekly chart ends with fluctuations, and attention should be paid to the previous range break situation during the day; if it doesn’t break the high for a long time, it may give back gains. In terms of operations, refer to Bitcoin's calm strategy to respond to the rhythm of the market.
Suggestion: Layout long positions in the 2350-2320 area, targeting 2450-2480.

Evening Analysis on May 18:
Bitcoin 104000 is a key weekly support level; a break below could trigger a deep correction. The MACD red bars are shortening, and the KDJ has formed a death cross, indicating an increase in adjustment pressure. Currently, the high-level horizontal volume continues to shrink, with a clear divergence between volume and price, and momentum is weakening.
Operation Suggestions mainly focus on high positions:
BTC: Range 104000-104500, target 103000-102500;
ETH: Range 2520-2550, target 2450-2400.

5.18 Midday Analysis:

Key Bitcoin level to watch is 103390. If the 4-hour K-line stabilizes above this level, the current pullback may be declared over, and there is hope for a resumption of the upward trend, targeting 104250, 104940, and 105860 in sequence.
If it fails to effectively break above 103360, short-term rebounds may be weak, and the market may continue to dive, with support levels to watch below at 102540, 101460, and 100670.

Suggestion: Range between 103800-104300 🈳️, target 102000; range between 103100-102500, target 104200.

5.17 Morning Analysis:
Bitcoin experienced a surge to 104500 last night but faced pressure and retreated, continuing its downward trend during the day. The technical indicators show a significant divergence at the high levels, with the daily chart showing a tug-of-war, and the 4-hour chart indicating notable signs of stagnation in the box range, with weakening MACD momentum. Ethereum is also hindered by a downward trend line, showing weak rebound strength. In the short term, it is recommended to focus on rebounds for trading.

Bitcoin: Enter positions in the 104000-104500 range, targeting 101500-101000;
Ethereum: Look for opportunities to enter in the 2550-2580 range, targeting around 2400.

Evening Analysis on May 16:
Bitcoin/4 hours
The MACD double lines at the 4-hour level are intertwined at the zero axis, 🈳 the strength is currently balanced, and the histogram has turned from negative to positive, with initial signs of a short-term rebound. However, the range has not been broken, and the trend still needs confirmation.
Operation Suggestions:
BTC: Around 104500-105500 🈳, target 102500;
ETH: Around 2640-2670 🈳, target 2600-2570.

【Afternoon Strategy Dispatch】
BTC/ETH continues to fluctuate, operating near the midline of the Bollinger Bands on a four-hour scale. The MACD double lines are converging, and trading volume is moderately increasing but without a strong breakout, so caution is needed for false breakouts. The KDJ has entered the overbought zone, and there may be a short-term pullback. Continue to adopt a high short and low buy strategy to respond to the fluctuations.
Suggestion: Short BTC near 104500, target 102500; Short ETH near 2600, target 2500. Operate cautiously and control risks!

[5.15 Morning Analysis]
The market has continued to consolidate horizontally overnight, with prices fluctuating within a range, while the main players await direction. The hourly chart shows a weak trend, with prices operating near the lower Bollinger Band, showing weak rebounds and significant pressure above, suggesting that short-term fluctuations may continue. MACD is flat and converged, with buyers and sellers locked in a stalemate.

Trading Suggestions:
For Bitcoin, consider entering with light positions around 102800 on a pullback, targeting 105000;
For altcoins, watch for entry around 2600 on a pullback, targeting 2700.
Manage risk and be cautious with chasing highs.

5.9 Morning Analysis:
Bitcoin strongly broke through the 100,000 mark, with a large bullish candle surging to 104,300. The short-term momentum is extremely strong. Although Trump's late-night call has emotional influence, signs of the main force lifting are evident.
Currently, it is not advisable to blindly guess the top; 102,300 is a key support level. As long as it doesn't break during a pullback, one should continue to follow the trend and target 106,000 after breaking through 104,300;
Ethereum is catching up during the night, with 2,140 support to watch. If it stabilizes after a pullback, one can go long, targeting 2,225–2,330.
The market is hot, pay attention to the rhythm, set strict stop-loss and take-profit levels, and follow the trend.