失言者

Ethereum has started to move sideways again!
Current level 4280-4275 is continuing to consolidate, with both bulls and bears gathering strength.
Key support: 4220
Core resistance: 4300 → 4335 → 4370
Short-term trading strategy:
If it rebounds to the 4300-4335 area and faces resistance, consider a light short position, targeting 4240-4220, with a stop loss at 4360.
If it directly breaks below the 4220 support, you can follow the trend and go short, targeting the 4160-4100 area.
Bulls need to wait for a volume breakout above 4370 and establish stability to confirm the continuation of the rebound.
Note:
Recently, ETH volatility has increased, so be sure to control your position and set stop losses!
Yesterday, there was a net inflow of $287 million into the US Ethereum ETF, which may provide potential support, but until the technical levels break, treat it as a consolidation.
Tonight's focus:
Can it break below the 4220 support, or will it break above the 4300 resistance? The choice of direction is imminent!
#Web3 #eth

ETH Today's Market Depth Analysis and Trading Strategy
Current Market Status and Core Watershed
As of the latest data on August 22, 2025, the ETH price is reported at $4301.94, with a 24-hour increase of 0.39%. The price has broken through the key resistance level of $4300 and is currently above the core watershed of $4271 that you provided, with short-term bullish sentiment dominating.
4-Hour Level Key Observation**: Whether the price can effectively stabilize above $4271 will be the core of today's market evolution. From a technical perspective, Ethereum has recently retreated from its high, oscillating in the range of $4265-$4208, forming a double top prototype, and the performance of the support level at $4250 is crucial.
Bull and Bear Path Analysis and Key Price Levels
Bullish Path
Around $4335: The first target for a short-term rebound; breaking through this level could signal higher positions.
Around $4385: A strong resistance level for a mid-term rebound, where the 100-hour moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement form a technical pressure zone.
Around $4467: A key suppression level for rebound space; a significant increase in volume is needed for an effective breakthrough.
Bearish Path
Around $4202: An initial support level after a short-term decline; if breached, downward pressure increases.
Around $4160: Important support for the mid-term bearish trend; this is a densely bought area by institutions, with strong support strength.
Around $4110: A key defensive level for downward space; breaching this position may trigger a deeper correction.
Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment Analysis
MACD Indicator: The hourly MACD has a golden cross below the zero line but has not effectively broken through, with the histogram contracting; the daily MACD histogram has shortened for three consecutive days, with the fast and slow lines congealed at a high level, showing a weakening in upward momentum.
RSI Indicator: If the 30-minute cycle falls below 30, it may trigger a rebound; above 70, profit-taking should be noted.
Bollinger Bands: The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are in a contracting posture, indicating that the market is entering a consolidation phase with reduced volatility.
Market Sentiment: A large amount of ETH has flowed out of exchanges, indicating a long-term bullish outlook, but short-term derivative funding rates are negative, suggesting a bearish advantage, which may exacerbate volatility.
Today's Trading Strategy Recommendation
Bullish Strategy
Entry Timing: Price stabilizes in the range of $4271-$4290 after a pullback + go long with a light position when MACD red bars amplify.
Target Levels: First target $4335, second target $4385.
Stop Loss: Set below $4250
#Web3 #eth

Key Node Verification
Support Level Accurate Response
The prediction of effective support near 112800, after a real market dip followed by a quick rebound, indicates a significant amount of buying interest at this level, with a high concentration of chips.
Time Rhythm Alignment
Stabilization and rise on 8.20, followed by a pullback on 8.21, aligns with the transitional phase of 'false breakout → pullback', as market sentiment shifts from hesitation to a consolidated consensus.
Pattern Replication and Target Level
The alignment of rebound slope, false drop depth, and the first target level of 114700 indicates that bullish momentum is sufficiently building, with clear control by major players.
Market Essence Interpretation
The logic behind the 'programmatic trend':
Large funds typically layout strategies based on key chip zones, using false breakouts to clean up retail chips before initiating a major upward trend. Your deduction captures this 'behavioral pattern', thus highly synchronizing with real market actions.
The 'soldering' of expectations and reality:
This indicates that the combination of trend structure, chip distribution, and time nodes forms an effective analytical framework, especially suitable for highly liquid assets like BTC.
Subsequent Strategy Suggestions
Confirmation Conditions for Major Uptrend
If the pullback does not break 112800, and a volume breakout occurs above 114700, then the probability of a major uptrend starting is extremely high.
The next target can be seen in the previous high range of 116000-117500.
Risk Management
If it breaks below 112800, one must be cautious of a false breakout evolving into a deep correction, with support shifting down to the range of 111500-110000.
It is advisable to take profits in batches.
Market Sentiment Coordination
Macro Aspect: If no significant bearish news, the technical aspect will dominate more strongly
#Web3 #BTC

"Also in the same circle..." uses comparison at the beginning to create anxiety. It implies that you are people in the "same circle" and you should be able to do it too. If you haven't, it's your own problem, thereby paving the way for you to accept what he says later.
"The gap is not in the degree of effort, but in whether you step on the right rhythm and follow the right person": This sentence is the core. It negates the value of effort and long-term accumulation, and promotes a kind of "shortcutism". The subtext is: "Don't research it yourself, come with me, I am the 'right person'." This is the standard rhetoric of all scams.
"Big pie small take a wave of mid-line, easy to collect more than 3000 points of space, nearly 50,000 oil fell on behalf!" :
"Easy": Investing is never "easy", high returns are inevitably accompanied by high risks. Using this word is to downplay the risk and create the illusion that it is easy to make money.
Specific numbers: Using very specific and exaggerated profit numbers is to shock the vision and stimulate your greedy emotions, causing you to lose rational judgment. These numbers cannot be verified at all, and are likely to be photoshopped or simulated trading.
Jargon slang: Deliberately using some misspelled words and industry terms is to look like an "insider", increase credibility, and also avoid keyword censorship on the platform.
#web3

I deeply understand your confusion and fatigue. In the same market, some people thrive while others struggle; it indeed feels like an unfair game. But the core question is asked precisely: Is it really just luck?
Between those in the crypto space who are "thriving" and those who are "heavily in debt," there is usually a huge gap, constituted by multiple factors:
Cognitive Gap
Winners: Continuously learning, understanding the underlying logic of blockchain, project fundamentals, token economics, market cycles, and macroeconomic impacts. They study but do not easily trust.
Losers: Possibly attracted by stories of getting rich quickly, lacking foundational knowledge, easily swayed by "gods" calling shots, rumors, and FOMO-driven emotions. Investment decisions are based on emotions rather than rational analysis.
Information Gap:
Winners: *Have broader and deeper sources of information, core project developments, community dynamics, and possess the ability to filter and interpret information. They know which information is noise and which is key signals.
Losers: Lagging information, often acquiring information that has been spread multiple times or even polluted, making them easily manipulated by market manipulators.
Strategy and Discipline:
Winners: Have clear investment strategies, strict risk management, and trading plans. They know what they are doing and execute with discipline.
Losers: Lack planning, trade based on feelings, chase highs and sell lows, overuse leverage, do not understand stop-loss or are not decisive about it, easily go all-in or take huge risks.
Risk Tolerance and Capital Management:
Winners: Invest only with "spare money" that they can afford to lose, deeply understand the high volatility and high risk of the cryptocurrency market. Diversify investments, not putting all eggs in one basket.
Losers: May use necessary living funds, borrow, or even leverage for investment; once the market turns, the immense pressure leads to poor decisions, even falling into debt.
#web3

Pancake plummets at noon! Support at 114900 in jeopardy!
Trend Assessment
The Bollinger Bands on the 1-hour chart are widening, with the middle and lower bands steeply descending. The price continues to break below the lower band, clearly indicating bearish dominance! After a sharp drop from 118000 to 114900 in the morning, it enters consolidation, but the rebound strength is weak, with a very high probability of a second dip.
Trading Strategy
Short Entry: Open shorts in the 116000-116500 area
Target Take Profit: 114800-114200 range
Reversal Point: Go long upon touching near 114200
Key Logic
Bollinger Band mouth + consecutive breaks below the lower band = bearish acceleration signal
The rebound has not stayed above the 116500 strong-weak boundary, with short positions having a risk-reward ratio > 3:1
114200 is a densely packed area on the daily chart, and bulls are sure to counterattack!
#Web3

Ten thousand points of washing does not change the bull market! BTC low absorption opportunity confirmed
Deep analysis of the market on August 15th:
The big coin surged and then fell back nearly ten thousand points, the new high has been broken but the trend remains unchanged!
Although low-position long positions were stopped out, the pullback is a golden low absorption window!
Operational strategy:
Long positions in the big coin in the range of 117200-116800
Target: 119000 → 121000 ↑
Breakthrough 121000 continues to look for new highs!
Key reminder:
A sharp drop in a bull market is an opportunity, holders should not panic, strictly adhere to stop-loss!
#Web3

ETH Short-term Sniping, Bollinger Bands Closing! 4700-4450 Range Fluctuation, Breakout Direction About to Ignite!
Core Logic:
Trend Reversal Confirmation
Effective Break Below the Middle Band on 1H Level → Ending the One-sided Uptrend Structure
Current Middle Band Flat with No Significant Pressure → Bears Not Dominating the Market
Fluctuation Range Anchored
Upper Band Resistance: 4700
Lower Band Support: 4450
Fluctuation Signal: Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands Begin to Narrow Horizontally
Action Strategy:
Bullish Opportunity: Retracement Near 4450 + 1H Bullish Candle Volume → Open Long Positions in Batches, Stop Loss Below 4400
Bearish Opportunity: Pullback at 4700 Resistance + Long Upper Shadow → Short Test, Stop Loss on Break Above 4750
Breakout Follow-up: Volume Stabilizes at 4720 to Chase Long / Break Below 4420 to Chase Short
Flow Password Design:
Clickbait: "ETH Trapped in a $200 Golden Corridor! Cost Zone Exposed by Whales, Breakout Will Double!"
Visualization: Marking the 4450-4700 Fluctuation Range with a Red Box on the K-line Chart
Controversy Point: "Main Players Using ETF Fund Flows for Wash Trading, Retail Investors Cut Losses Leading to a Trend Change!" Sparks Discussion
Divine Prediction: "If Stabilizes at 4700, Target 5000 Within the Month; Break Below 4450 Will Test 4200"
#Web3