$TRUMP $DOGS Altcoins are going crazy right now! Meme coins flipping the script, AI projects mooning, and low-caps waking up—this market is NOT sleeping, and neither are the degens. If you know, you know. The next run is loading…
Good night to the hardest working fam in crypto! Dream big, set those limit orders, and catch you on the moon.
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My dears! Come and see,#LUNA2is like a wild horse that has broken free from its reins, and the explosive pull is so fierce! Just now, the price has soared all the way, reaching a maximum of 0.202. Not only has it successfully completed target 2, but it is also about to reach TP3. This is a profit of 344%, which is simply a huge profit! Let's take it step by step, quickly set BE, and firmly lock in the profit. Family members, enjoy this wave of profits, just eat it! $LUNA2's subsequent trend, we will continue to pay close attention!
Hey, the market is ever-changing, some are happy and some are sad! Look, some people chased the rise and made 731,800 dollars in one go, but some people sold early and missed the huge profit of 4.5 million dollars. Even big players like whales will inevitably have such ups and downs in the market, let alone ordinary investors like us! So, brothers, you must understand that developing good operating habits is the kingly way to win in this market. By the way, speaking of this, remember #TRUMP , we let everyone buy spot when it was more than 7 yuan, and this wave has more than doubled the profit! Brothers, tell me how much profit you have made? $TRUMP Let's continue to pay attention to the subsequent trend.
Yesterday, after the US stock market opened, there was significant debate between bulls and bears, and the market also experienced a 'Tian Di Zhen' (a specific candlestick pattern), particularly reflected in the Bitcoin price, which serves as a barometer. This candlestick can be seen as a pullback after a rise.
The trend indicates that Bitcoin has support near the 92000 mark, and the pullback also reached around this position. After establishing support, it began to rise again, with recent resistance around 85800, showing a fluctuating upward trend.
Ethereum allowed everyone to enter at 1630 and successfully reach above 1800. The trend seems to show support near 1750, and as long as this position is not broken, it can maintain its structure. Resistance is around 1880; decisions can be made once this position is reached.
When the TRUMP news came out, there was a significant increase. Friends who did not get on board earlier are not advised to chase the rise. The trend appears to be pulling back to around 11.5; those who are in profit should take their profits in a timely manner and be aware of the risk of a pullback.
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Market Analysis: What Should We Do After Bitcoin Breaks Through $95,000 at $76,000?
1. Tiered Profit Taking and Risk Control 1. Pyramid-style profit taking: Divide holdings into 3 tiers (30%/30%/40%), taking profit at $95,000/$100,000/$105,000, transferring 50% of profit to USDT or other stablecoins upon triggering each tier to lock in gains. 2. MVRV Danger Threshold Operations: If the indicator >3.5 (historical high-risk range), reduce holdings by 2% for every 1% increase, gradually lowering risk exposure.
2. Leverage Reduction and Hedging 1. Contract Defensive Mode: Compress leverage to within 2x, maintain margin ratio raised to 200%, to avoid forced liquidation under extreme volatility. 2. Options Hedging Downside: Buy $85,000 January put options (cost about 3-5% of holdings) to insure spot positions, hedging against downside risk.
3. On-chain Data Alerts 1. Monitor Miner Movements: If miner wallets have outflows exceeding 8,000 BTC in a single day, be cautious of major sell-offs, immediately initiate reduction or profit-taking plans. 2. Exchange Flow Signals: When top platforms like Binance see net inflows >25,000 BTC in a single day, short-term peaks may occur, requiring precautions against market sentiment reversals.
4. Cycle and Capital Allocation 1. Halving Cycle Experience: Currently 45 days post-halving, historical maximum drawdown during the same period reached 28%, reserve 30% of funds to handle volatility, avoiding full exposure pressure. 2. Institutional Premium Warning: When CME futures premium >15%, be alert to institutional sell-offs, increasing the probability of mid-term peaks, gradually shift to conservative strategies.
5. Ecological Rotation and Hedging 1. Ecological Project Allocation: Shift 20% of positions to Bitcoin ecosystem projects like STX and RUNE, capturing L2 narrative dividends, diversifying single-coin risks. 2. Greed Index Dollar-Cost Averaging: When the Fear and Greed Index >90 (extreme greed), reduce positions by 5% weekly into U.S. Treasury ETFs (like TLT), balancing portfolio volatility.
Advanced Tip: Current implied volatility (IV) of options has reached 75%, and the market has priced in optimistic expectations; tail risk can be hedged through straddle options combinations. Historical data shows that if RSI weekly >85, there’s an 82% probability of a drawdown exceeding 15% within 6 weeks, suggesting prioritizing the construction of anti-drawdown portfolios rather than chasing gains. Pay attention to the 7% risk-free yield opportunity in U.S. Treasuries, treating short-term bubbles rationally.
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