链上飞行者-李韬

The US stock market is closed today and will resume normal trading tomorrow.

Due to June 19 being Juneteenth, the US stock market is closed for one day and will resume normal trading on June 20 (Friday).

Juneteenth is a holiday established to commemorate the end of slavery in the United States, officially recognized as a national holiday in 2021, making it the first new national holiday in the US since Martin Luther King Jr. Day was established in 1983. On June 19, 1865, Union General Gordon Granger arrived in Galveston, Texas, and issued General Order No. 3, declaring that all enslaved people were to be set free. This day became known as Juneteenth, also referred to as Freedom Day or Emancipation Day, and is known as the earliest celebration commemorating the end of slavery in the United States.
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Looking back on yesterday, it was also about laying out three positions. The global focus was on the Federal Reserve in the early morning. Initially, I thought there would be a significant movement, but with the announcement of no interest rate cuts and a series of statements from Chairman Powell, the market did not experience particularly large fluctuations. However, I want to say that regardless of the size of the market movement, as long as we manage our positions well and recognize the direction, we will definitely have a place in this market!
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After the continuous four bearish candles constructed a downward channel on the daily chart, the bulls attempted to fight back with a large bullish candle, but the overall price center still remains within the suppression range of the previous downward segment. Observing the market momentum indicator, while the MACD double lines show initial signs of rising below the zero axis, the crucial golden cross confirmation has not yet been completed. At the same time, the red and green bars continue to shrink, indicating that the bulls have not yet established sufficient momentum advantage in the short-term counterattack, and there are obvious hidden dangers for the continuation of the market.

Switching to the 1-hour cycle chart, after a rebound of three consecutive bullish candles, the price encountered significant resistance, failing to touch and break through the previous high before entering a correction mode. It is worth noting the recent pattern of continually moving lower highs and refreshing lower lows, which suggests that bearish forces still dominate the market. If the key resistance levels cannot be effectively reclaimed in the short term, the market may continue to show a fluctuating downward trend. The strategy should still focus on shorting during rebounds at high levels, and aggressive traders may take a small position to catch a wave of rebound!

Bitcoin: Short near 105500-105000, looking down at 103500-103000

Ethereum: Short near 2550-2530, looking down at around 2460
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The Federal Reserve's interest rate data has been released, and as expected, there are no surprises; they have kept things steady! Now everyone is waiting for Powell's speech, and many are staying up all night to wait!

The market is also in a state of sideways fluctuation. This moment is crucial; it will either break below the support line and continue downward, or break through the resistance level and surge to 1065. Both sides are in a stalemate, so those entering the market should remember to set their take profit and stop loss!
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The current market shows significant divergence between bulls and bears. Bulls are shouting for a breakthrough of the previous high, while bears assert that it will fall below the 100,000 mark. Many investors are likely holding their breath, waiting for the critical point at 2 AM. Given the recent market characteristics, sharp fluctuations are highly likely. To prevent sudden market spikes, we especially remind everyone to strictly set take-profit and stop-loss orders, reasonably control positions, and respond rationally to potential risks. Wishing everyone smooth trading!
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The market is ever-changing, with rapid fluctuations in the one-hour candlestick chart, often showing swings of a thousand points; such fierce movements can be overwhelming. Currently, the market is in a period of oscillation and stalemate, with bulls and bears repeatedly pulling back and forth. At this time, entering the market rashly is no different from walking on waves. A stable strategy remains to act calmly and patiently wait for trend signals. The operational thought is already very clear—setting up short positions at high resistance levels and ambushing long positions at low support levels, seizing opportunities in range oscillations. Tonight's main event is the Federal Reserve's dynamics; it may be wise to take the previous high as a key reference, as its performance could become a decisive factor in breaking the oscillation pattern and leading the market direction. Be sure to keep a close eye on the market and wait for the right moment to act!
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Market fluctuations are as thrilling as a roller coaster, with hidden opportunities and risks between sharp rises and falls. The more turbulent the market, the more one must adhere to the original trading intention, responding to changes with consistency. Although there are bullish signals currently, the foundation of the trend is not stable, and there is a possibility of a false breakout. A prudent approach is to take profits in a timely manner after gains, locking in the earnings; investors with a higher risk appetite may also choose to hold positions for speculation, but must ensure proper risk control. The real upheaval will depend on the Federal Reserve meeting at 2 AM, when the market direction may experience a significant turning point. It is recommended to pay close attention and act when the opportunity arises!
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Whether it's the long strategy given in the afternoon or the market order given in the evening, they are all telling you to go long. Since the market is currently in a bullish form, don't casually enter short positions. Wait for the market to show a pullback before participating in short orders!
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Daily Price Order for the Evening White

Direction: Long

Bitcoin: Looking up around 105500, with a defense at 103000

Ethereum: Looking up around 2540, with a defense at 2430

The US stock market opened today with a high open and low retreat, but has shown signs of rebound. From a technical perspective, several key indicators show that the market has upward momentum in the short term. Given this market trend, we can try to seize the rebound opportunity and moderately position long orders. However, it is especially important for small position investors to strictly control risks, set reasonable stop-loss levels, and avoid significant losses due to market uncertainties.
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The group remains stable, like a mountain spring flowing continuously, always moving along the path of victory. Tonight's Federal Reserve meeting will not close!
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In the afternoon, it was mentioned that there would be a pullback, and as I expected, first took a short position, then took a long position. Just asking if this market is cooperating?
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Real-time Trading Sharing:

Bitcoin 104920 in 104536 out, gaining 384 points, earning 2738 oil

Ethereum 2531 in 2507 out, gaining 24 points, earning 9973 oil

I have given a hint at noon; when waiting for a pullback, you can take a small short position. Since the market is cooperating with the trend, we must seize the opportunity. Short-term trading is about quick entries and exits, without too much fluff. The investment journey has no predetermined losers, only cowards who主动弃甲. There is no need to pursue every detail; by anchoring key elements, one can take the lead in the unpredictable market.
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Tonight, the global financial markets are focused on the Federal Reserve. The movements of the U.S. stock market are already interconnected, and with the significant decisions from the Federal Reserve meeting and Chairman Powell's key speech, it is bound to create waves in the financial sector. The cryptocurrency market, closely related to this, is also on the brink of a storm.

From historical experience, the adjustments in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market. When interest rates rise, market liquidity tightens, and investors tend to hold more stable assets, leading to capital outflow from the cryptocurrency market and a drop in prices; conversely, when interest rates are lowered, the loose monetary policy brings ample funds, prompting some investors to turn their attention to the cryptocurrency market, pushing prices up. Powell's speech is a barometer of market sentiment; every word he utters could trigger a reassessment by investors regarding the future economic situation and monetary policy, thus influencing their investment decisions in the cryptocurrency market.

At such a critical juncture, cryptocurrency investors are holding their breath, closely monitoring every news update. What changes will tonight's Federal Reserve meeting and Powell's speech bring to the cryptocurrency market? Will it continue the current upward trend, or trigger a round of plummeting prices? Or will it lead to an independent trend that surprises everyone? Everything is full of suspense; let us wait together for the evening market updates and witness this historic moment!

The Federal Reserve Maintains Interest Rates, What Are the Implications?

Tonight, the Federal Reserve is about to hold a highly anticipated monetary policy meeting, and the market generally expects that the Federal Reserve will keep the current interest rates unchanged, with minimal likelihood of a rate cut next month in July. This series of expectations conveys a clear signal: the Federal Reserve is maintaining an extremely cautious attitude towards monetary policy adjustments and has no intention of loosening monetary policy in the short term.

The core reason for the Federal Reserve's caution lies in the fact that the inflation issue has not been completely resolved. Although recent inflation data has shown some easing, there is still a gap to the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. The pressure of rising prices still exists, and price fluctuations in certain areas are quite noticeable, which makes the Federal Reserve hesitant to easily loosen monetary policy, for fear of a rebound in inflation. In this situation, the Federal Reserve has chosen to keep interest rates stable, continuously observe economic data, and wait for inflation levels to further fall back into a reasonable range.
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6.18 Afternoon Thoughts

On the 4-hour chart, the three consecutive bearish candlestick pattern at the top has released selling momentum, and after the price dipped to around 103300, forming a long lower shadow, it quickly rebounded, indicating a weakening of short-term bearish strength. It is expected that the market will repair indicators in a fluctuating upward rhythm in the future. On the 1-hour level, the price has established a clear step-like upward structure, with the current low support level perfectly coinciding with the lower Bollinger Band, forming a solid dividing line between bulls and bears. Once the price can stabilize above the middle Bollinger Band, the bullish trend is expected to further strengthen, driving the market to continue its upward movement.

From the overall trend structure, the market has completed several strong pullbacks, and the top-bottom reversal pattern is clearly visible. The current selling pressure is gradually diminishing, and combined with the stop-loss signals after the hourly candlestick has continuously dipped to the lower Bollinger Band, the market is in an oversold recovery phase. Given that there is no one-sided eternal trend in the market, it is advisable to seize this bottoming opportunity and position long orders around key support levels. The afternoon strategy should focus on buying low, while aggressive traders may try to take a small short position!

Bitcoin: Buy near 103800-104300, target around 106000

Ethereum: Buy near 2470-2490, target around 2570

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Real-time Trading Sharing

Bitcoin: Entered at 103556, exited at 105292, gained 1736 points, earned 11320 oil

Ethereum: Entered at 2455, exited at 2533, gained 78 points, earned 21452 oil

Yesterday early morning and today morning also provided two entry opportunities. I wonder how many people were able to seize them. Success has no shortcuts; only through countless days and nights of diligent market study, with a keen eye to perceive every subtle change. When the market waves create ripples of opportunity, we leverage our deep professional foundation to make precise entries, firmly grasping fleeting chances. In the ongoing analysis and practical sharpening of trading, those victory medals built on experience shine even brighter with the passage of time. Trading is not only a profound art of wisdom but also a long journey of self-cultivation; it resembles life itself, filled with challenges and opportunities.
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Yesterday's market order also hit a stop loss in this extreme situation, but I mentioned early this morning that we could consider entering long positions at the support level. Currently, we are in profit. Since the market is rebounding, there's no need to rush to exit; when opportunities arise, we must seize them!
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In the early morning, it was mentioned that long positions can be placed at these support levels. I think as long as you listen to me, Bitcoin should easily surpass 1,000 points, and Ethereum should start from 60 points. In this kind of market, it's all about everyone's mindset and their unwavering beliefs in themselves!
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Those who want to go long can consider placing orders at these support levels. It's best to enter with a small position and set good take-profit and stop-loss levels!
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