言聚的区块链
00后币圈新贵，数学算法为王，专精BTC，擅长做双顶双底形态的反转行情，只做1小时级别以上的交易。1、3、5更新，目前正在组建专业团队，欢迎交流讨论。
1 Following
45 Followers
35 Liked
1 Shared
Posts
See original
The pie is the same as before, a very perfect bullish trend with rising highs and lows. Normally, if the market makes sense, a retracement here to 50400, the support pressure conversion zone + moving average support, is the best position to enter the contract. However, according to my experience, the slope of this place is getting steeper and steeper, and it is starting to accelerate. This place does not follow martial ethics, can it be done with a 90-degree FOMO wave? That probability is not low, so don’t go short, be smart, it’s better to go long after the retracement ≠I want to go short.
When can (consider starting to pay attention to) short selling? Either V comes down and breaks the previous low (currently 48300), or it trades sideways for a few days + the micro high falls, otherwise don’t open a short position.
$BTC $ETH
When can (consider starting to pay attention to) short selling? Either V comes down and breaks the previous low (currently 48300), or it trades sideways for a few days + the micro high falls, otherwise don’t open a short position.
$BTC $ETH
See original
There was a little fuss last night when the CPI data was announced. The trend of the bulls remained unchanged for one hour. The stop loss for long orders was moved up to 48300. The key point now is the high point of 50400. How did the market react: it rose past and the bullish trend continued smoothly. . However, the micro-level highs are lower and short positions can be opened.
It gave me a superlative signal at 4 hours, which is a bit interesting. I’ll explain it in detail in the video tonight.
$BTC $ETH
It gave me a superlative signal at 4 hours, which is a bit interesting. I’ll explain it in detail in the video tonight.
$BTC $ETH
See original
Bitcoin is at the dividing line between long and short! $BTC $ETH
The market hit 42655 this morning and started to rebound. If there is a long position, no matter whether it is low or high, the stop loss of all positions will be moved up to 42630. If this place continues to maintain the logic of longs, it should rise immediately and not fall. If the market rebounds further to the previous high area of 43200, the micro-level strength of the market will be very important. If you can stand on the moving average EMA20, you can continue to take long orders. If you can't, it will be dangerous. The signal is blasting at the 4-hour level, emmm....
Ether inexplicably pulled up a wave and then fell back. The previous high 2380 area should be focused on.
The market hit 42655 this morning and started to rebound. If there is a long position, no matter whether it is low or high, the stop loss of all positions will be moved up to 42630. If this place continues to maintain the logic of longs, it should rise immediately and not fall. If the market rebounds further to the previous high area of 43200, the micro-level strength of the market will be very important. If you can stand on the moving average EMA20, you can continue to take long orders. If you can't, it will be dangerous. The signal is blasting at the 4-hour level, emmm....
Ether inexplicably pulled up a wave and then fell back. The previous high 2380 area should be focused on.
See original
Bitcoin made an oversold rebound last night, reaching the suppression of the 1-hour EMA65 moving average and then retraced normally. Now the first bottom of the double bottom has been formed. When the market continues to retrace to the previous low area, I will take a normal gamble on a one-hour rebound opportunity. There is not much else to talk about. The shape of the big cycle is still far from coming out.
The ether is weak again, don't do it.
The ether is weak again, don't do it.
See original
The market rebounded weakly and continued to fall under the pressure of the 4-hour EMA20. There is no position worth paying attention to at the moment. Those with short positions should not open new orders. If the market rebounds to 40650, then pay attention to whether there are any opportunities to short.
The relationship between the high and low points of the daily line has also changed significantly. 6 is lower than 4. The new short trend cannot be more obvious. It is normal for the two or three months to fluctuate downwards. Don’t expect to return to the bull market in the short term. Rest assured and wait for the correction to be in place. Receive spot goods.
Finally, let me sigh. On January 11, the ETF’s first trading day was still at a high of 49,000. At that time, I don’t know how many people were looking forward to the violent bull market. Now, in just 11 days, it has fallen by 10,000 U.S. dollars, wiping out 10,000 U.S. dollars. There have been monthly increases and some decreases. Again, don’t get ahead, don’t die, the truly crazy bull market is not far away, change your destiny safely. $BTC $ETH
The relationship between the high and low points of the daily line has also changed significantly. 6 is lower than 4. The new short trend cannot be more obvious. It is normal for the two or three months to fluctuate downwards. Don’t expect to return to the bull market in the short term. Rest assured and wait for the correction to be in place. Receive spot goods.
Finally, let me sigh. On January 11, the ETF’s first trading day was still at a high of 49,000. At that time, I don’t know how many people were looking forward to the violent bull market. Now, in just 11 days, it has fallen by 10,000 U.S. dollars, wiping out 10,000 U.S. dollars. There have been monthly increases and some decreases. Again, don’t get ahead, don’t die, the truly crazy bull market is not far away, change your destiny safely. $BTC $ETH
See original
Bitcoin double bottom pattern appears! It’s time for the army to take action!
After the weekend's convergence and shock, Bitcoin has been suppressed by the moving average of EMA20. Now it has fallen to the previous low, and has closed the positive engulfing pattern + 4-level bottom divergence signal. It is a classic double bottom pattern, and it is time to rebound.
Ethereum and Bitcoin are basically the same.
$BTC $ETH
After the weekend's convergence and shock, Bitcoin has been suppressed by the moving average of EMA20. Now it has fallen to the previous low, and has closed the positive engulfing pattern + 4-level bottom divergence signal. It is a classic double bottom pattern, and it is time to rebound.
Ethereum and Bitcoin are basically the same.
$BTC $ETH
See original
Hold your hands and wait for the ETF!
The cake was walking around in a mess. I thought what happened last night was enough, but at 5 o'clock in the morning, something even worse happened. However, if the analysis elements are insufficient and you don’t understand it, don’t do it. Wait until the ETF passes. If you want to bet on the market trend of ETF, open a call option yourself.
Ether is wandering in the previous high area, and there are short selling expectations, but currently there is no decent callback even at the 1-hour level, so there is no pattern to do it.
$BTC $ETH
The cake was walking around in a mess. I thought what happened last night was enough, but at 5 o'clock in the morning, something even worse happened. However, if the analysis elements are insufficient and you don’t understand it, don’t do it. Wait until the ETF passes. If you want to bet on the market trend of ETF, open a call option yourself.
Ether is wandering in the previous high area, and there are short selling expectations, but currently there is no decent callback even at the 1-hour level, so there is no pattern to do it.
$BTC $ETH
See original
The pie successfully breaks through! Go long!
The market is consolidating at a high level, and there is no decent retracement at the current 1-hour level. Observe whether the intraday low of 46220 is challenged. If it is not challenged, it will continue to rise after consolidation. Otherwise, there will be a normal retracement, and then we will analyze whether it can rise or fall based on the specific pattern. If there was a low long order of 44300 yesterday, the stop loss would be pushed up to 44850
There's nothing good to say about Ether, it's just weak. It's currently hanging around in the high area before the daily line. Just look for opportunities to go short in the past few days.
$BTC $ETH
The market is consolidating at a high level, and there is no decent retracement at the current 1-hour level. Observe whether the intraday low of 46220 is challenged. If it is not challenged, it will continue to rise after consolidation. Otherwise, there will be a normal retracement, and then we will analyze whether it can rise or fall based on the specific pattern. If there was a low long order of 44300 yesterday, the stop loss would be pushed up to 44850
There's nothing good to say about Ether, it's just weak. It's currently hanging around in the high area before the daily line. Just look for opportunities to go short in the past few days.
$BTC $ETH
See original
The pie shows signs of falling! Keep going short!
Generally speaking, the 4-hour level of the market is still oscillating and converging, but nothing can be seen. The 1-hour level shows slight signs of falling below. If the 43900 area cannot stand before the opening of US stocks at 22:30 tonight, it can still fall. If you are short-selling, pay attention to this.
Ether has said many times, choose it for shorting. 2290, 2271, and 2254 hit the moving average three times in a row over the weekend. The trend can no longer go smoothly. Now it has fallen below the convergence form. If you push the short stop loss down, just continue to hold it. That's it, don't open a new order now.
Finally, let me mention the Bitcoin spot ETF. The deadline for the ETF is approaching. The final result will be released on January 10th, Eastern Time. It is basically 100% likely to pass. At the same time, the daily level fluctuation warning is still there, and it will definitely be restored by then. It’s a big market, so don’t take orders.
$BTC $ETH
Generally speaking, the 4-hour level of the market is still oscillating and converging, but nothing can be seen. The 1-hour level shows slight signs of falling below. If the 43900 area cannot stand before the opening of US stocks at 22:30 tonight, it can still fall. If you are short-selling, pay attention to this.
Ether has said many times, choose it for shorting. 2290, 2271, and 2254 hit the moving average three times in a row over the weekend. The trend can no longer go smoothly. Now it has fallen below the convergence form. If you push the short stop loss down, just continue to hold it. That's it, don't open a new order now.
Finally, let me mention the Bitcoin spot ETF. The deadline for the ETF is approaching. The final result will be released on January 10th, Eastern Time. It is basically 100% likely to pass. At the same time, the daily level fluctuation warning is still there, and it will definitely be restored by then. It’s a big market, so don’t take orders.
$BTC $ETH
See original
Considering the reasons for ETF, I would generally consider going long, but tonight’s video will add some details.
BTC has been suppressed by the 1-hour EMA200 for the past three days. When it breaks through this moving average or stands firm at 42,900, there will be long logic on the right. However, the grinding time has been long enough now, and the low point of 41300 has been determined. If there is a correction to around 41800, there will be a long opportunity with a high profit-loss ratio on the left.
Ethereum failed to continue its previous strong momentum. After falling below the 2330 area, it regained support and became pressured (you can go back and look at the picture I posted on the 29th for comparison). It tested this area twice at 0:00 and 20:00 on the 31st and then continued. On the downside, it is now in an area of neither up nor down. The next obvious high profit-loss ratio area is at 2170. There is no chance in the 4-hour window, so continue to wait. However, the one-hour level gives a double buff of the previous low pattern + bottom divergence signal, with an opportunity of a profit-loss ratio of 2. The risk of a single transaction should not exceed 1%, and the game rebounds.
BTC has been suppressed by the 1-hour EMA200 for the past three days. When it breaks through this moving average or stands firm at 42,900, there will be long logic on the right. However, the grinding time has been long enough now, and the low point of 41300 has been determined. If there is a correction to around 41800, there will be a long opportunity with a high profit-loss ratio on the left.
Ethereum failed to continue its previous strong momentum. After falling below the 2330 area, it regained support and became pressured (you can go back and look at the picture I posted on the 29th for comparison). It tested this area twice at 0:00 and 20:00 on the 31st and then continued. On the downside, it is now in an area of neither up nor down. The next obvious high profit-loss ratio area is at 2170. There is no chance in the 4-hour window, so continue to wait. However, the one-hour level gives a double buff of the previous low pattern + bottom divergence signal, with an opportunity of a profit-loss ratio of 2. The risk of a single transaction should not exceed 1%, and the game rebounds.
See original
Bitcoin is weakening again!
The big pie has an ill-fated fate. It rebounded yesterday evening, but 43150 continued to be suppressed by the moving average and continued to weaken. It has now reached the key lower edge position of the 4-hour convergence. If it really wants to rebound or even continue to bullish, it should hold on for the past two days and then go up. If it falls below 42,000, it will basically be gone. Go long on the left side and wait for the bottom to rise or form a double bottom, go long on the right side and wait for a firm position of 43000
Ethereum is very good, closing above the support level. If the market can hold on, it can still rise. Pay attention to the reaction of the 2330 area. If it falls below the 2310 pin point, it will be lost.
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
The big pie has an ill-fated fate. It rebounded yesterday evening, but 43150 continued to be suppressed by the moving average and continued to weaken. It has now reached the key lower edge position of the 4-hour convergence. If it really wants to rebound or even continue to bullish, it should hold on for the past two days and then go up. If it falls below 42,000, it will basically be gone. Go long on the left side and wait for the bottom to rise or form a double bottom, go long on the right side and wait for a firm position of 43000
Ethereum is very good, closing above the support level. If the market can hold on, it can still rise. Pay attention to the reaction of the 2330 area. If it falls below the 2310 pin point, it will be lost.
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
See original
The pie breaks through and rebounds, but the bulls are not smooth enough!
The pie broke through the moving average of 42550 at 16 points yesterday and then went up normally. However, the market is still not decisive enough. The smooth rising logic should be to continue upward by stepping on the moving average, but unfortunately it does not. The situation is relatively chaotic now. A clearer long logic should be considered above 43150. Then the situation of the 4-hour large cycle is a convergence, and it will take some time for the trend market to break through. The bulls have to break 44500, and the shorts have to break 41600. Otherwise, the volatility will be further compressed, convergence and shock.
Ether is finally obviously stronger. From today to tomorrow morning, as long as it does not fall below EMA20, you can go long with a stop loss of 2350.
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
The pie broke through the moving average of 42550 at 16 points yesterday and then went up normally. However, the market is still not decisive enough. The smooth rising logic should be to continue upward by stepping on the moving average, but unfortunately it does not. The situation is relatively chaotic now. A clearer long logic should be considered above 43150. Then the situation of the 4-hour large cycle is a convergence, and it will take some time for the trend market to break through. The bulls have to break 44500, and the shorts have to break 41600. Otherwise, the volatility will be further compressed, convergence and shock.
Ether is finally obviously stronger. From today to tomorrow morning, as long as it does not fall below EMA20, you can go long with a stop loss of 2350.
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
See original
Bitcoin falls below! Bulls are weak!
The decline conditions of 1 and 2 are completely different. The decline of 1 was on Christmas Eve, and the liquidity was very poor. If you switch to a 5-minute window, you can see that it stopped after falling for 2 K bars, and there was no continuity; but 2 was one bar after another. If there is a steady decline, and there is no liquidity problem, then it is a powerful decline. Moreover, the support level around 43400, after the market rebounded last night, if it is the logic of continuing to rise, then this position should not be broken again. Now that it is broken, it means that the short sellers have begun to exert their strength and want to go short. Keep an eye on the 15-minute EMA20, waiting for when it rebounds to the point where you can go short.
It’s not impossible to go long. After all, the 4-hour and daily lines are still the logic of longs, but you need to wait and wait for the structure. Whatever orders you make, whether you go long or short, you need the support of the structure. At least wait for a double bottom or a rising bottom. No matter how many forms there are, the structure takes time to come out, so you have to wait a day longer.
#BTC #ETH
$BTC $ETH
The decline conditions of 1 and 2 are completely different. The decline of 1 was on Christmas Eve, and the liquidity was very poor. If you switch to a 5-minute window, you can see that it stopped after falling for 2 K bars, and there was no continuity; but 2 was one bar after another. If there is a steady decline, and there is no liquidity problem, then it is a powerful decline. Moreover, the support level around 43400, after the market rebounded last night, if it is the logic of continuing to rise, then this position should not be broken again. Now that it is broken, it means that the short sellers have begun to exert their strength and want to go short. Keep an eye on the 15-minute EMA20, waiting for when it rebounds to the point where you can go short.
It’s not impossible to go long. After all, the 4-hour and daily lines are still the logic of longs, but you need to wait and wait for the structure. Whatever orders you make, whether you go long or short, you need the support of the structure. At least wait for a double bottom or a rising bottom. No matter how many forms there are, the structure takes time to come out, so you have to wait a day longer.
#BTC #ETH
$BTC $ETH
See original
Bitcoin breaks down! Can more be done?
After Bitcoin experienced a week of convergence and shock with narrowing volatility, the volatility naturally amplified and fell below again. After the current market rebound, it was subject to the support-to-pressure area and the suppression of the 1-hour EMA20 and is retracing. However, overall the market is still relatively strong. 1. The decline is not deep and the decline is not smooth; 2. The rebound is very fast. If the market can continue to strengthen, then it should now step on the turning moving average at the 5-minute level and continue to climb up, that is, the positions of 43175 and 43100 should not go down anymore, otherwise it will be a downward trend at the 1-hour level, and we have to wait. Consider going long after a 1-hour level double bottom.
#BTC #ETH/USDT
After Bitcoin experienced a week of convergence and shock with narrowing volatility, the volatility naturally amplified and fell below again. After the current market rebound, it was subject to the support-to-pressure area and the suppression of the 1-hour EMA20 and is retracing. However, overall the market is still relatively strong. 1. The decline is not deep and the decline is not smooth; 2. The rebound is very fast. If the market can continue to strengthen, then it should now step on the turning moving average at the 5-minute level and continue to climb up, that is, the positions of 43175 and 43100 should not go down anymore, otherwise it will be a downward trend at the 1-hour level, and we have to wait. Consider going long after a 1-hour level double bottom.
#BTC #ETH/USDT
See original
Bitcoin rebounds quickly! You can go long on the callback!
Bitcoin still maintains a range-bound pattern, but considering the moving average, it is bullish. Last night, the market dropped to the middle of the range and quickly recovered. Now it is high before the impact. If you don't chase the long, you can take the long when it pulls back near 42400, and the stop loss is no less than 42200.
Ethereum is the same, but weaker. It also rebounded strongly after hitting the previous low area. Because the high point fell, it was bearish. It’s an old rule, try to make a big pie and short ether. You can observe the pattern near 2230 to decide whether it is short. Anyway, one of the big pie in the subsequent trend of ether is always right. The stop loss cannot be higher than the previous high of 2255. If you are not sure, then don’t make ether, just make big pie.
Interested friends can leave a message in the comment area and enter the internal micro skirt!
#BTC #ETH
Bitcoin still maintains a range-bound pattern, but considering the moving average, it is bullish. Last night, the market dropped to the middle of the range and quickly recovered. Now it is high before the impact. If you don't chase the long, you can take the long when it pulls back near 42400, and the stop loss is no less than 42200.
Ethereum is the same, but weaker. It also rebounded strongly after hitting the previous low area. Because the high point fell, it was bearish. It’s an old rule, try to make a big pie and short ether. You can observe the pattern near 2230 to decide whether it is short. Anyway, one of the big pie in the subsequent trend of ether is always right. The stop loss cannot be higher than the previous high of 2255. If you are not sure, then don’t make ether, just make big pie.
Interested friends can leave a message in the comment area and enter the internal micro skirt!
#BTC #ETH
See original
Bitcoin Breakout Failed? The market is about to turn!
BTC: The breakthrough failed on the night of the 24th and the volume increased, and then returned to the convergence triangle. There is a high probability that the 36400 area on the lower edge of the triangle will be back-tested this week. Further observation is needed later. It is said that it will not go completely bad, but the long and short forces have indeed begun to transform. We can no longer do long without thinking. We must wait for a clear structure. I recorded a video on October 16th. The general idea is: ‘The probability of going in the opposite direction after a failed breakthrough will increase a lot.’ If you haven’t seen it, you can review it. The logic of breakthroughs and conversions is explained very clearly.
ETH: The daily divergence is clearer than the big pie. If the market goes smoothly, the first target is the previous low 1940 area. As early as November 17, I have been reminded that the area near the previous high of 2110 is a low-risk, high-profit-loss ratio short-selling area. If there is no breakthrough, you can boldly short-sell. I also hold a short order in Ether, and I will continue to hold it at a loss.
#BTC #ETH
Interested friends can leave a message in the comment area and enter the internal micro skirt!
BTC: The breakthrough failed on the night of the 24th and the volume increased, and then returned to the convergence triangle. There is a high probability that the 36400 area on the lower edge of the triangle will be back-tested this week. Further observation is needed later. It is said that it will not go completely bad, but the long and short forces have indeed begun to transform. We can no longer do long without thinking. We must wait for a clear structure. I recorded a video on October 16th. The general idea is: ‘The probability of going in the opposite direction after a failed breakthrough will increase a lot.’ If you haven’t seen it, you can review it. The logic of breakthroughs and conversions is explained very clearly.
ETH: The daily divergence is clearer than the big pie. If the market goes smoothly, the first target is the previous low 1940 area. As early as November 17, I have been reminded that the area near the previous high of 2110 is a low-risk, high-profit-loss ratio short-selling area. If there is no breakthrough, you can boldly short-sell. I also hold a short order in Ether, and I will continue to hold it at a loss.
#BTC #ETH
Interested friends can leave a message in the comment area and enter the internal micro skirt!
See original
Bitcoin turns down after breaking 38,000? False breakthroughs are the most dangerous in places like this! The slope slows down and multiple divergences resonate. If it fails to break through 38,500 today and tomorrow, it will be the arrival of a daily level correction! $BTC #BTC
https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1D34y1w7qT/?vd_source=f6823d66ef4aade497ac00a36c2fc7a7
https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1D34y1w7qT/?vd_source=f6823d66ef4aade497ac00a36c2fc7a7
See original
Today’s latest market interpretation is here!
The upward trend of BTC has begun to slow down, so be vigilant! If you go back to the 36000 area tonight, you can still go long with a short position. Bring a stop loss and don't hold the order! If the winning rate of long and short in the past month was 8:2, the current maximum is 55:45, don’t get ahead!
(Leave a message in the comment area to enter the satellite skirt!)
#BTC #ETH
The upward trend of BTC has begun to slow down, so be vigilant! If you go back to the 36000 area tonight, you can still go long with a short position. Bring a stop loss and don't hold the order! If the winning rate of long and short in the past month was 8:2, the current maximum is 55:45, don’t get ahead!
(Leave a message in the comment area to enter the satellite skirt!)
#BTC #ETH
See original
Today’s latest market interpretation is here!
BTC is currently in the process of converging and consolidating. Don’t guess the direction and don’t bet on a breakthrough. You can observe whether there are signs of stopping the decline in the 37,000 range tonight.
The short-selling opportunity for ETH at 2068 last night has been verified. You can not make a profit but have to cover the loss. I personally look forward to the short-selling opportunity in the previous high 2110 area.
(Leave a message in the comment area and enter the WX group!)
#BTC #ETH
BTC is currently in the process of converging and consolidating. Don’t guess the direction and don’t bet on a breakthrough. You can observe whether there are signs of stopping the decline in the 37,000 range tonight.
The short-selling opportunity for ETH at 2068 last night has been verified. You can not make a profit but have to cover the loss. I personally look forward to the short-selling opportunity in the previous high 2110 area.
(Leave a message in the comment area and enter the WX group!)
#BTC #ETH
Login to explore more contents