Again, dominance is rising, the market is falling!
It's a bit funny that $BTC only fell by 1.5% from the new ATH and it is already being bought back, well let's see at what level they will hold it, one way or another buyers are charged right now. Some on strategy, and some on FOMO!
😳I want to show you something like this about $BTC: Recently, screenshots and charts have been circulating on the internet claiming that the price of Bitcoin is directly proportional, with slight fluctuations, and follows the chart.
BTC vs M2 👉M2 is one of the main indicators of the money supply in circulation in the economy. It includes money that can be quickly used for purchases, as well as those that are slightly less liquid than cash.
How are you friends? Yesterday we significantly trimmed the shorts, I was sitting in shorts because there were a lot of factors. A new ATH of $BTC was exactly something no one expected yesterday.
Well, such things happen, we keep working, I always trade with stops and I advise you to do the same! This will preserve your deposit in such situations.
👉There are many factors for opening a 🔴SHORT position:
🔹At the beginning of June, an imbalance was formed in the price on the daily chart, after which the price is testing this zone and forming OB 4H+FVG1H in it, which is a strong setup by itself, but that's not all.
🔹We removed liquidity at 2520~ 2570, after which the price was trading within a triangle, which we have already broken out of (and as practice shows, often triangles first take out one side and then the other (in this case, longs).
🔹The top of this triangle has just tested the zone I mentioned earlier, and today, already after the breakout of the triangle, we received a sweep and complete filling of inefficiencies.
🔹$BTC and SPX500 look similarly short, I wrote about this in the posts below, with setups and prices.
🔺What's next?
I think it would be wise to wait for a correction to the prices:
🔸2505 🔸2473
After this, I will consider only 🟢long setups. Leave comments if you share this opinion or if you are only waiting for a long on Ethereum?
Maybe I am very mistaken, but the facts say otherwise.
I strongly believed in the shorts at $BTC , which have already formed a large liquidation shelf from 107281 to 106700 (this is evidenced by the liquidation map), and in my opinion, it is more likely to go exactly to these values.
👉Why?
🔹Liquidity was removed from above 108880, 10364 🔹Accumulation of liquidity from long positions 🔹Inefficiencies on the 4-hour time frame (107026~106140), and daily (104570~103362)
So, I hope we will see a nice drop in the near future, hold on 👍
My deal on $BTC may become relevant with the opening of the stock market. As we saw, we tested FVG 4H after which we had a clear downward movement, if this continues, the first target that the price will aim for is 6200, while Bitcoin will be taking profit in the meantime. This suits me.
I want to try trading today $BTC I think the short context is still relevant and makes sense. Yesterday, I closed one deal with RR2.5, a normal result. Let's keep an eye on the news going forward.
Yesterday, I managed to take a short position at $BTC , and I believe we can now aim for long positions. Here we need to identify a few zones from which we will potentially move towards 110653:
🔹Option 1. The correction will be short-lived, and we will receive a reaction from FVG 4H (107026~106140). Somewhere in this range, I would watch for the first price reversal.
🔹Option 2. We will be removing liquidity at 105,010 and testing the zone of daily inefficiency (104570~103362).
I think it’s possible to enter aggressively from these zones, but it would be better to wait for a setup, at least on a small time frame (5,15m)
Friends, today we have an analysis on the coin $LINK Right now we can see that the price is squeezed into a certain corridor, and from both the upper and lower parts of this corridor, we can pick positions for trading.
🟢LONG scenario: We see inefficiency on the daily chart (12.774-12.190). We have tested this zone twice The first time we bounced back with about a 9% clean move. The second time the price approached the same price, forming double lows at 12.719, and we bounced back again with a 10.5% clean move. 👉 Breaking these two lows will act as liquidity for further movement. But this time we should potentially be ready for a complete filling of inefficiency, and only within those limits take a position.
🔴SHORT scenario: Here we will wait for the removal of local highs at 14.156 and most likely a complete filling of the same daily zone of inefficiency within (14.156~14.764). The position should be sought already from the removal, as in the case of the lower zone we saw how the price tested the zone twice and made a good move.
$BTC I expect a correction to at least 108500~ Ideally to 107050~ I find it quite strange that people are already catching on to the idea that Bitcoin will soon be 115-130 thousand dollars. I don't understand where this money is supposed to come from.
If anyone has a reasoned argument, please write, it would be interesting
I picked up shorts yesterday at $BTC and it seems this entire rise is somewhat exaggerated...
The market jumped because the dollar index is falling, but how long will it continue to fall? Or maybe it will rebound tomorrow? I think we'll find out soon)
I've been holding this position for a very long time and I'm already tired (usually I find day trading more comfortable, opening and closing within 2-5 hours, but just a little longer and we will only go LONG
🔍 Arbitrum: Does it still make sense to invest in 2025?
Arbitrum — top L2 with the leader in TVL among rollups.
However, $ARB has lost over 70% from its peak since launch.
🧠 But here’s what’s important:
– Constant growth in activity + Starknet + Base on its heels – Ecosystem budget $3.5B (!) — the largest among L2 – Potential launch of ARB staking (already voted on)
📉 Price is low.
📈 Fundamentals are strong.
🟡 Mass growth — after onboarding new users (through games, social dApps, new airdrops).
✅ Outlook: long-term – yes. But remember — $ARB is governance, not a gas token.
🤔 Are you investing in Arbitrum or staying away from L2? Write below👇
Over the weekend, there were attempts to overcome 108882~ on $BTC , and the attempts were unsuccessful, although we are trading quite close to this level. At the moment, it seems more likely that this zone will be taken out and only after a correction, and there are two scenarios for the development of events.
The first scenario is the removal of the liquidity pool at 📈108882~ and after that, we are likely to face a short correction into the inefficiency zone on the daily timeframe which starts from 104600~.
The second scenario, in the case of external factors, we immediately go into correction📉, and the zone 108882~ will already serve as our first zone for profit fixation.
🔹Globally, the targets remain unchanged: 110373, 110653.
P.S. I believe that the opening of the NY trading session for SPX500 will set our direction for this week. I remind you that last week SPX500 once again overcame its ATH and is trading above by 0.7%. It seems quite good, but let’s not forget that billions of dollars💰 are at play there, and this could be the external factor for Bitcoin's movement.