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前机构衍生品交易员.8年裸K实战.1万小时链上捕手
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· 21年Filecoin崩盘,提前5个月预警.
· 24年AI赛道爆发
日更：1比特及山寨顶底 2机构大额订单流方向解密3变盘警报
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[Critical truth warning] A former institutional vulture trader's crypto survival rules
🚨I am Avi, a user of naked K technology for 7 years, and I have witnessed how institutions cut leeks for 3 years. Now I will use the on-chain microscope to help you see through the dealer's cards:
⚠Do you remember the Filecoin battle royale of the century? I warned miners of the death spiral 153 days in advance, but the project team dumped 98% of the mining industry and bloodbathed the mining industry - the people who scolded me at that time now have two-meter-high grass on their graves!
💎Last November, when everyone was laughing at AI Coin as a bubble, my on-chain scanner captured unusual movements in the a16z wallet, leading subscribers to take advantage of 30 times the market value of AI16Z and other targets - many Twitter KOLs directly copied my analysis framework!
⚠Do you remember the Filecoin battle royale of the century? I warned miners of the death spiral 153 days in advance, but the project team dumped 98% of the mining industry and bloodbathed the mining industry - the people who scolded me at that time now have two-meter-high grass on their graves!
💎Last November, when everyone was laughing at AI Coin as a bubble, my on-chain scanner captured unusual movements in the a16z wallet, leading subscribers to take advantage of 30 times the market value of AI16Z and other targets - many Twitter KOLs directly copied my analysis framework!
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The Cryptocurrency Bull Market Has Arrived! How Did I Not Know? It Just Shifted from Altcoins to US Stocks! A Deep Dive into the Structural Shift of Funds
Introduction
In June 2025, Circle's successful listing on the US stock market marked an important turning point in the cryptocurrency market—the altcoin bull market is over, and the cryptocurrency bull market is rushing toward Wall Street!
Since its listing, its stock price has surged nearly 390% in just ten days, rising from an IPO price of $31 to a peak of $165.60, with a market value approaching $36.7 billion.
Circle's legalization breakthrough as the 'first public stock of stablecoins' indicates that the focus of the cryptocurrency market is shifting from the traditional Token market to the secondary market on Wall Street. Unlike previous speculative booms driven by altcoin prices, this so-called bull market has quietly occurred in the traditional capital market of financial infrastructure over the past month. This article will analyze in depth why funds no longer favor altcoins but instead turn to cryptocurrency concept stocks in the US stock market, revealing the underlying logic behind this structural shift.
In June 2025, Circle's successful listing on the US stock market marked an important turning point in the cryptocurrency market—the altcoin bull market is over, and the cryptocurrency bull market is rushing toward Wall Street!
Since its listing, its stock price has surged nearly 390% in just ten days, rising from an IPO price of $31 to a peak of $165.60, with a market value approaching $36.7 billion.
Circle's legalization breakthrough as the 'first public stock of stablecoins' indicates that the focus of the cryptocurrency market is shifting from the traditional Token market to the secondary market on Wall Street. Unlike previous speculative booms driven by altcoin prices, this so-called bull market has quietly occurred in the traditional capital market of financial infrastructure over the past month. This article will analyze in depth why funds no longer favor altcoins but instead turn to cryptocurrency concept stocks in the US stock market, revealing the underlying logic behind this structural shift.
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Breaking news, Trump is begging to reconcile with Musk, Tesla's stock skyrocketed before the market opened. The verbal battle between the two last night was definitely not a show, there has been a deep rift from the beginning. Trump is now afraid of being impeached, but is even more afraid of the Epstein scandal being revealed. It seems that this beast Trump truly has done every evil thing possible.
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Cryptocurrency enthusiasts have not realized that the US is actively moving away from dollar hegemony!
1. The self-dissolution of US dollar hegemony: the critical moment when hegemony costs exceed dividends
After Trump took office, I believe few people in the cryptocurrency circle liked his chaotic governance. Last night, Musk's angry criticism of Trump was simply our mouthpiece—this deserves a separate discussion later.
But if we calm down and think deeply, why can he do whatever he wants in a democratic country? The presidential system? That might be one reason, but neither the House nor the Senate, nor the American courts in recent times can control Trump’s rude behavior like a spoiled child.
Tell me why? Why!?
Trump is an asshole, but he can hijack the world's largest country because this country is willing to be hijacked by him. His chaotic governance means that the results of chaos are accepted by most Americans, except for the rednecks, and even the deep state.
After Trump took office, I believe few people in the cryptocurrency circle liked his chaotic governance. Last night, Musk's angry criticism of Trump was simply our mouthpiece—this deserves a separate discussion later.
But if we calm down and think deeply, why can he do whatever he wants in a democratic country? The presidential system? That might be one reason, but neither the House nor the Senate, nor the American courts in recent times can control Trump’s rude behavior like a spoiled child.
Tell me why? Why!?
Trump is an asshole, but he can hijack the world's largest country because this country is willing to be hijacked by him. His chaotic governance means that the results of chaos are accepted by most Americans, except for the rednecks, and even the deep state.
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The cryptocurrency community has recently been discussing the Circle IPO event, as it is a super hot topic in the mainstream financial world and is the company behind USDC, naturally trying to ride the wave of attention.
Some KOLs believe that this IPO is similar to the Coinbase listing event in 2021, where the good news turns into bad news.
Seeing an IPO makes one think of a market crash, which inevitably has the meaning of carving a boat to seek a sword. This is not to say that July won't see a bear market, after all, the Federal Reserve doesn't even plan to cut rates in the third quarter. However, Circle's IPO cannot be compared to the positive news surrounding Coinbase, which was Wall Street's first acceptance of the crypto world; that kind of positive news had symbolic significance and was at a historical price peak, where retail investors were lured in to be slaughtered, indeed, the good news had already been exhausted.
Circle's IPO clearly cannot attract the attention of crypto investors in the same way, nor can it play the role of luring retail investors into taking on the burden; its appeal is even less than that of Trump's Bitcoin bill or Bitcoin ETF. It is even less than the recent symbolic significance of Singapore driving away crypto participants—through policy intimidation, warning new investors in Singapore not to chase the market if Bitcoin peaks again.
When CIRCLE submitted its IPO application to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the value of this document exceeded a valuation figure of $6.9 billion. Its more important role is to help us further recognize that the United States is firmly executing the 'Swordfish Operation' to move away from dollar hegemony, an airstrike that is 'digging its own grave'; behind all major economic actions is a change in ideology. Since World War II, the global pendulum has begun to swing from left to right, which is crucial for finance professionals. We all know that trading should follow the trend, and when the trend of human civilization shifts, that is far more important than whether Bitcoin is bullish or bearish in the 'small trend'.
Some KOLs believe that this IPO is similar to the Coinbase listing event in 2021, where the good news turns into bad news.
Seeing an IPO makes one think of a market crash, which inevitably has the meaning of carving a boat to seek a sword. This is not to say that July won't see a bear market, after all, the Federal Reserve doesn't even plan to cut rates in the third quarter. However, Circle's IPO cannot be compared to the positive news surrounding Coinbase, which was Wall Street's first acceptance of the crypto world; that kind of positive news had symbolic significance and was at a historical price peak, where retail investors were lured in to be slaughtered, indeed, the good news had already been exhausted.
Circle's IPO clearly cannot attract the attention of crypto investors in the same way, nor can it play the role of luring retail investors into taking on the burden; its appeal is even less than that of Trump's Bitcoin bill or Bitcoin ETF. It is even less than the recent symbolic significance of Singapore driving away crypto participants—through policy intimidation, warning new investors in Singapore not to chase the market if Bitcoin peaks again.
When CIRCLE submitted its IPO application to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the value of this document exceeded a valuation figure of $6.9 billion. Its more important role is to help us further recognize that the United States is firmly executing the 'Swordfish Operation' to move away from dollar hegemony, an airstrike that is 'digging its own grave'; behind all major economic actions is a change in ideology. Since World War II, the global pendulum has begun to swing from left to right, which is crucial for finance professionals. We all know that trading should follow the trend, and when the trend of human civilization shifts, that is far more important than whether Bitcoin is bullish or bearish in the 'small trend'.
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Is Circle's Surge a Vampire at the End of the Bull Market? Far More Than That! Ending Dollar Hegemony is the Fundamental Purpose! Crypto Practitioners Must Know, the Era of Low Interest Rates is Gone Forever.
The recent heated discussion in the crypto space about the Circle IPO event is because it is a super hotspot in the mainstream financial sector and is the behind-the-scenes company of USDC, so it inevitably attracts attention.
Some KOLs believe that this IPO is similar to Coinbase's listing event in 2021, where all the good news has been fully priced in, leading to negative outcomes.
Seeing an IPO makes one think of a crash, which inevitably has the flavor of being overly cautious. This is not to say that July won't bear bearish trends, given that the Federal Reserve has no plans to cut rates in the third quarter. However, the CIRCLE IPO cannot be compared to the positive sentiment around Coinbase; it was Wall Street's first acceptance of the crypto space, and that positive sentiment, set against a historical price peak, indeed led to deceiving retail investors into getting slaughtered—essentially, it was a case of good news turning sour.
Some KOLs believe that this IPO is similar to Coinbase's listing event in 2021, where all the good news has been fully priced in, leading to negative outcomes.
Seeing an IPO makes one think of a crash, which inevitably has the flavor of being overly cautious. This is not to say that July won't bear bearish trends, given that the Federal Reserve has no plans to cut rates in the third quarter. However, the CIRCLE IPO cannot be compared to the positive sentiment around Coinbase; it was Wall Street's first acceptance of the crypto space, and that positive sentiment, set against a historical price peak, indeed led to deceiving retail investors into getting slaughtered—essentially, it was a case of good news turning sour.
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Once a digital currency paradise, Singapore is moving to Japan. Japan has ended a 40-year blank period and seems poised to take off! However, there are rumors of a super earthquake in July...
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The video analysis in the morning indicates that if BTC breaks below 105000, follow up with short selling. If it breaks above 106000, go for short selling at 107000-108000. If it stabilizes at 107000, set a stop loss. It is now possible that it is following the second route; the 15-minute level has broken the small descending triangle. Let's see if it can stay above 106000 for a while. If it does, combined with the large order wall, it could push upwards.
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Multiple indicators suggest that the altcoin season will arrive in June?
To say something out of tune with the current market, the altcoin season may come in June!
In the world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is soaring, but what does it matter to me? With a handful of altcoins, when will I get back to the cloud? The frenzy of funds moving from Bitcoin to other high-risk, high-return altcoins is what we retail investors have been waiting for.
However, the altcoin season has been dead since 2022, and new altcoins struggled to emerge in the first half of 2023. The end-of-year inscriptions frenzy in 2023 made some think it was a prelude to 2024, but the first half of 2024 turned out to be a total bust, and by the first half of 2025, they will be hunted down to the underworld.
In the world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is soaring, but what does it matter to me? With a handful of altcoins, when will I get back to the cloud? The frenzy of funds moving from Bitcoin to other high-risk, high-return altcoins is what we retail investors have been waiting for.
However, the altcoin season has been dead since 2022, and new altcoins struggled to emerge in the first half of 2023. The end-of-year inscriptions frenzy in 2023 made some think it was a prelude to 2024, but the first half of 2024 turned out to be a total bust, and by the first half of 2025, they will be hunted down to the underworld.
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US Vice President Vance predicts that Bitcoin will reach $170,000 by the end of the year. This time he is not talking nonsense, but the sad song of retail investors. The capital gate is quietly opening the door
On May 29, 2025, the Bitcoin Conference was in full swing, but the price was not hot. Attendees did not even need to look at the Bitcoin market. Such weak fluctuations and solid price trends on the market were not as exciting as the big mouths on the stage. US Vice President Vance boldly predicted at the Bitcoin Conference that Bitcoin will reach $170,000 by the end of 2025. As a lackey with a long history of "bad deeds" in his speech, he often speaks nonsense for political purposes.
But this time, Vance's remarks seem to be able to achieve what he wants, driven by the Trump administration's pro-cryptocurrency policies, the surging influx of institutional funds, and the large-scale hoarding of enterprises. However, although the Federal Reserve has not cut interest rates, the capital gate has been quietly opened, but this wave of gains may become a "tragedy for retail investors." What is going on?
But this time, Vance's remarks seem to be able to achieve what he wants, driven by the Trump administration's pro-cryptocurrency policies, the surging influx of institutional funds, and the large-scale hoarding of enterprises. However, although the Federal Reserve has not cut interest rates, the capital gate has been quietly opened, but this wave of gains may become a "tragedy for retail investors." What is going on?
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In the morning, ETH faced pressure, related coins in the Ethereum system should be sold quickly, long contracts were canceled, and now large buy orders have been placed again, allowing for re-entry. ETH is expected to hit at least 2800 USD in the next couple of days, long DYDX and LDO.
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The Legend of James Wynn: The Poor Small Town Youth Who Entered the Market with $10 and Gained Over $100 Million in Two Years, Yet Maintains the Essence of a Gambler, Earning and Spending in the Crypto Circle
Recently, after just losing $10 million and $20 million in cooperative accounts, new news came out.
I believe everyone has been receiving the following push notifications recently: James Wynn opened another $800 million long position, increased it to $1 billion, floating profit increased to $12 million, floating profit narrowed to $5 million, James closed his position, James opened a reverse short position, James closed the short position, James washed his hands of it, James came back to open long again.......
As of the time of writing, James has once again increased his long position in Bitcoin.
James Wynn, this highly vocal trader, somewhat possesses a performative personality; he doesn't talk about his losses but simply retweeted another X user Jeremy's comment about "some people targeting James Wynn"—perhaps in James Wynn's eyes, this is not merely a simple trade but a real battle, and regarding the so-called reverse-following users, James denies they are his alternate accounts, insisting there is no conspiracy. From $10 battle god to catastrophic loss whale, who is James? Today, let's talk about the journey of this "magical boy."
I believe everyone has been receiving the following push notifications recently: James Wynn opened another $800 million long position, increased it to $1 billion, floating profit increased to $12 million, floating profit narrowed to $5 million, James closed his position, James opened a reverse short position, James closed the short position, James washed his hands of it, James came back to open long again.......
As of the time of writing, James has once again increased his long position in Bitcoin.
James Wynn, this highly vocal trader, somewhat possesses a performative personality; he doesn't talk about his losses but simply retweeted another X user Jeremy's comment about "some people targeting James Wynn"—perhaps in James Wynn's eyes, this is not merely a simple trade but a real battle, and regarding the so-called reverse-following users, James denies they are his alternate accounts, insisting there is no conspiracy. From $10 battle god to catastrophic loss whale, who is James? Today, let's talk about the journey of this "magical boy."
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BTC Lacks Upward Momentum, Entering Fluctuation? Insufficient Volume is Unreliable, Betting on James Influences the Market. PCE Results Will Relieve Market Pressure.
Current Market Analysis
The price of Bitcoin is currently at a critical technical juncture. As we predicted yesterday, the ten-day moving average serves as an important support, currently stabilizing at $100,700. As long as this line is not broken, the bullish trend can continue. From the four-hour level, the price has broken through the middle Bollinger Band, with the potential to attack the upper band around $100,800. However, if it cannot stabilize above $100,000 and forms a lower high at $100,500, it may break the lifeline, showing signs of a collapse in the bullish pattern similar to an M top. Currently, the price is supported by the ten-day moving average and has not lost the critical level.
The price of Bitcoin is currently at a critical technical juncture. As we predicted yesterday, the ten-day moving average serves as an important support, currently stabilizing at $100,700. As long as this line is not broken, the bullish trend can continue. From the four-hour level, the price has broken through the middle Bollinger Band, with the potential to attack the upper band around $100,800. However, if it cannot stabilize above $100,000 and forms a lower high at $100,500, it may break the lifeline, showing signs of a collapse in the bullish pattern similar to an M top. Currently, the price is supported by the ten-day moving average and has not lost the critical level.
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If BTC breaks through its previous high this week, where will it go? 116,000? 125,000? When will altcoins take off?
Target price level for Bitcoin to break through previous high
If Bitcoin breaks through its previous high (109,588) this week, according to Fibonacci extension analysis, its price is expected to reach the range of 117,000 to 125,000. This target is derived by measuring the starting point, endpoint, and retracement position of the recent rise. Specific calculations show that the extension lines drawn from different starting points yield similar results, pointing to ranges of 117,000 to 123,000 or 118,000 to 125,000. Therefore, once Bitcoin sets a new historical high (ATH), investors can expect this price range.
However, this prediction still requires the cooperation of market trading volume and trend strength. Currently, the MACD energy bars have not shown explosive volume, indicating that the upward momentum still needs further confirmation.
If Bitcoin breaks through its previous high (109,588) this week, according to Fibonacci extension analysis, its price is expected to reach the range of 117,000 to 125,000. This target is derived by measuring the starting point, endpoint, and retracement position of the recent rise. Specific calculations show that the extension lines drawn from different starting points yield similar results, pointing to ranges of 117,000 to 123,000 or 118,000 to 125,000. Therefore, once Bitcoin sets a new historical high (ATH), investors can expect this price range.
However, this prediction still requires the cooperation of market trading volume and trend strength. Currently, the MACD energy bars have not shown explosive volume, indicating that the upward momentum still needs further confirmation.
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$BTC will attempt the 104500 support level again tonight. From the order wall, it seems unlikely to hold. Just now, there was a buy order near 105000, part of which was canceled after a transaction, and another one will be canceled in 11 minutes. The remaining large orders are again near the mid-term support at 102000, and it is expected to drop further.
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MicroStrategy firmly believes that Bitcoin will exceed one million dollars. I have my doubts, but the key is to adopt a non-timing purchase strategy, putting oneself in a position where one could succeed while others fail and be at risk of crying out in despair when things go wrong. If it falls below 70,000 dollars, one will be forced to sell Bitcoin. This unhealthy investment model makes me question whether it can last for another 10 years. For value investment strategies, we should look to Buffett, who is not only willing to pay a high price for valuable assets but also maintains a good cash reserve. The same goes for retail investors; never gamble your life savings on investments. The early idealistic optimism of blockchain has already come to an end.
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Just now, Bitcoin retraced to 102,700 and then rebounded. I took profit on my short position this morning and immediately opened a long position. Follow my channel for daily updates; you don't need to spend money to join internal groups, I provide precise entry points! #比特币走势分析 I went long on Bitcoin and Ethereum, $ADA $UNI but this is not a long-term position, just a bet on the rebound. When to take profit, follow me.
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BTC Still Looks for a Mid-term Correction, Beware of 519! Looking for a pullback to $102,700 intra-day. After three tests, today may be a day of altcoin frenzy. After the celebration, will it be a mess?
Mid-term Correction Outlook for Bitcoin
The Bitcoin market has been very volatile recently, and I still hold the view of a mid-term correction, remaining cautious of the trend change risk that may occur around May 19. Intra-day analysis indicates that Bitcoin may pull back to $102,700. Although the market seemed to show a V-shaped reversal yesterday, it did not stabilize at the crucial resistance level of $105,000, indicating insufficient rebound momentum. Altcoins may experience a brief frenzy today, but after the celebration, the market could face adjustments, and investors should be cautious about chasing highs.
Yesterday's Analysis and Market Feedback
As mentioned in yesterday's video, Bitcoin is likely to break below $100,000 due to the lack of a clear V-shaped reversal, and the adjustment structure may be complex. However, yesterday's daily candle closed bullish, resembling a V-shaped reversal, leading some investors to question the analysis, and even getting trapped in short positions at $103,100. It needs to be clarified that market predictions do not materialize instantly, and extreme volatility is the result of the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The market often gives investors hope at high levels, inducing them to chase highs, leading to being trapped. The numerous failed high-level chase cases in the past year indicate that chasing highs carries extreme risks, especially when technical indicators show a downward trend, so investors should remain cautious.
The Bitcoin market has been very volatile recently, and I still hold the view of a mid-term correction, remaining cautious of the trend change risk that may occur around May 19. Intra-day analysis indicates that Bitcoin may pull back to $102,700. Although the market seemed to show a V-shaped reversal yesterday, it did not stabilize at the crucial resistance level of $105,000, indicating insufficient rebound momentum. Altcoins may experience a brief frenzy today, but after the celebration, the market could face adjustments, and investors should be cautious about chasing highs.
Yesterday's Analysis and Market Feedback
As mentioned in yesterday's video, Bitcoin is likely to break below $100,000 due to the lack of a clear V-shaped reversal, and the adjustment structure may be complex. However, yesterday's daily candle closed bullish, resembling a V-shaped reversal, leading some investors to question the analysis, and even getting trapped in short positions at $103,100. It needs to be clarified that market predictions do not materialize instantly, and extreme volatility is the result of the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The market often gives investors hope at high levels, inducing them to chase highs, leading to being trapped. The numerous failed high-level chase cases in the past year indicate that chasing highs carries extreme risks, especially when technical indicators show a downward trend, so investors should remain cautious.
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Although the CPI is lower than expected, which is beneficial, the US stock market reacted flatly, rising only 0.5%; although there has been an increase in interest rate cut expectations, please note that it is almost impossible to cut rates next month or the following month. Currently, the CME estimates that the probability of a rate cut next month is only 8%. BTC is also limited in its impact and will continue to move at its own pace, still looking to drop back to $100,000, or even $98,000! ETH is back at $2300! #CPI数据来袭 $BTC $ETH
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Circle (CRCL) surged 34% to a new all-time high after the U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act — fueling optimism for stablecoin regulation and crypto equities. With Circle’s blowout IPO, many now see this as the start of a broader wave of crypto public listings.
💬 Is this real investor demand driving crypto IPOs — or just short-term hype? Which crypto companies do you think are next?
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The Fed held rates steady for the 4th meeting in a row. Chair Powell said more data is needed before cutting, even as inflation cools. The Fed’s 2025 outlook shows two possible rate cuts. Meanwhile, Trump reignited tensions, calling Powell “stupid” and urging a 2% cut to boost the economy.
💬 How are you positioning? Do you expect rate cuts this year — or more delays ahead?
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