Viktor Volk

Hot geopolitics + drops in crypto: time to debate and seek opportunities?

Content:

Hey everyone, the weekend was busy with the US attacking Iranian nuclear facilities — and the result came quickly in the crypto market:

#ETH plummeted ~7–8% in just a few hours,

#BTC retreated 1–1.5%,

And initial forced liquidations of $700 million closed the week.

The market entered “flight to safety” mode: oil and the dollar rose as investors rushed for gold and #USDT

👉 Now the questions for everyone:

Is this still a short-term reaction or are we seeing a “war contagion” trend?

Is it worth establishing positions in BTC/USDT or “buy the dip” in aggressive targets (ETH, SOL, altcoins)?

Did anyone enter or exit with leverage over the weekend?

US-Iran Tension: Immediate Impact on Cryptos

What Happened
On Saturday (June 21), the US launched destructive airstrikes against three Iranian nuclear facilities (Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan), marking a significant escalation in the Middle East conflict.

Market Reaction:

Cryptocurrencies plummeted over the weekend:

ETH dropped about 7.4% in just a few hours, while BTC fell by ~1-1.5%.

The liquidation volume was significant, with about $700 million in long positions being forced to close — especially in ETH (~$296 million) and BTC (~$152 million).

Macro Context:

Risk aversion increased, driving up oil and gold, and the dollar strengthened — a typical 'flight to safety' scenario.

The tension scenario may extend, with a real risk of an expanded war, putting the crypto market on alert.

Trap: Have you ever fallen into one? Understand what it is before the market catches you again!

Hey everyone! Today I decided to step away from price analysis and bring a concept that many people confuse or simply ignore… until losing money because of it: the famous Bull Trap.

What is a Bull Trap?

Simply put:
It's that moment on the chart where it seems like the market is going to explode upwards… the price breaks a resistance… everyone buys… and shortly after the price plummets.

The market gives that "false hope", deceives the buyers, and then drops back down hard. Result: those who entered thinking it was the start of an uptrend end up trapped at the top or get stopped out shortly after.

How to identify and avoid a Bull Trap:

Breakout of resistance without strong volume.

RSI and other indicators showing overbought conditions, but without trend confirmation.

Lack of strong candle right after the breakout.

Often occurs right after a long period of consolidation.

Recent practical example (for those who like to apply this in their daily trading):

We saw a classic case with some altcoins in recent weeks (like some microcaps that had that quick pump and then gave everything back the same day).
Those who entered on the first signal, without waiting for confirmation, ended up becoming involuntary holders.

Golden tip:

Before entering a breakout, always wait for:

Volume confirmation.

Candle closing above the resistance, preferably on larger timeframes (1h, 4h, daily).

Confluence with other indicators (RSI, MACD, etc).

And now, let's open the discussion:

Who here has fallen into a Bull Trap?

What strategies do you use to avoid this type of trap?

Is it worth trading breakouts… or is it better to always wait for the pullback?

Let us know in the comments! Let's learn from mistakes… before the market teaches us again in the worst way.

Next: APT broke through $5.00 with interesting volume and confirmed support just below, near $4.92. Note that it formed a bull flag between $5.00–5.10 — a classic pattern before pulling a second leg... who here sees $6.00 as a realistic target?

And there's more: analysts talk about a possible swing to $8.20 in the medium term, if a clean breakout from the symmetrical triangle occurs (those who like price action have seen this)

On the other hand, if it loses support at $4.90, it could be an opportunity to lower the stop and enter before the next rise.

On the institutional side, the network remains active — millions of transactions, a token unlock of $59 million coming, and DMI/Ichimoku show a well-supported trend for now.

Questions for the crowd:

Do you think this bull flag holds and heads towards $6+? Or is it a trap?

Who is going to set a position with a stop near $4.90? Who is going to wait to see how it closes today?

If it hits $6, what’s the next target — $7, $8.20... or is it worth dreaming higher?

$APT

Did Solana catch the train? Technical analysis + ETF and institutional scenario

Content:

Guys, I took a look at the SOL chart today — and it seems like it might be about to pull an interesting high. The price consolidated above $145 after the fall towards $160, and now the RSI is at 62 with MACD turning positive on the 4h chart. This shows that the momentum might still have fuel.

Besides the technical setup (wedge bottom + Fibonacci levels), we have a chorus of favorable triggers:

Very high open interest in futures (~$7.4 billion) signaling heavy institutional interest.

Several players (Coinshares, DeFi Dev, etc.) are raising billions to reinforce their SOL exposure.

And here comes the big elephant in the room: SOL ETF in the US advancing (there are already ~31 applications for altcoins and real chances of Solana approval soon).

Now, thinking out loud: if Solana breaks $150–155 with volume, aiming for $170, up to $200+ could be natural. But the pickle is losing $145 — then the drop to $140 could cause panic.

Questions for everyone:

Do you think the ETF will be the definitive trigger for the price to explode?

What would be the next realistic target: $170, $200, or more?

Safe strategy: stop below $145 + incremental entry? Or do you think it's worth selling a little now?

$SOL

I've been analyzing the chart and fundamentals of Chainlink (LINK) and wanted to share some points that could lead to a good discussion here.

First... is it just me, or is the market completely ignoring the true potential of LINK?

My opinion:

LINK has everything to reach $25–30 in the short/medium term, and who knows, maybe much more if the crypto market really takes off.

Now... what intrigues me the most:
Why do so many people still underestimate Chainlink?
Is it fear? Lack of knowledge? Or has the market simply forgotten about it?

Questions for you:

Do you think LINK still has the energy to repeat the rally it had in the last cycle?

What’s your target for the end of 2025?

Who here is accumulating? Or are you out of this?
$LINK
$

I have been analyzing the chart and fundamentals of Chainlink (LINK) and wanted to share some points that could spark a good discussion here.

First... is it just my impression or is the market completely ignoring the true potential of LINK?

My opinion:

LINK has everything it needs to reach $25–30 in the short/medium term, and who knows much more if the crypto market takes off.

Now... what intrigues me the most:
Why do so many people still underestimate Chainlink?
Is it fear? Lack of knowledge? Or has the market simply forgotten about it?

Questions for you all:

Do you think LINK still has the momentum to repeat the rally it had in the last cycle?

What is your target for the end of 2025?

Who here is accumulating? Or are you out of this?