Bottom-fishing is right now, and the big pie is really in place! After three days of 15% decline, the lowest price of the big pie this week is around 822. Many KOLs who bought the bottom in advance were beaten, but the 82 area was actually expected. When the big pie was still above 9w, many people expected this round of decline, and they were all guessing where the bottom was and where the support was. Everyone generally believed that it was between 85 and 88. After all, there was an obvious closing behavior on the left side. From an emotional point of view, when it is generally believed to be the top or the bottom, it is likely to break. Institutions know that the smash will clear a wave of resistance orders and stop losses. This is how the bloody steamed buns came about. The panic once fell to 10. Why do we say that 83 is the rebound position? From the perspective of the weekly line, 83 is the 1/2 position of the continuous positive K. From the perspective of the PD matrix, if it is not really broken here, there will be a rebound. Many people will feel that there is no effective support on the left side, like a castle in the air, but we see that the rebound is not a trend reversal. On the contrary, the wave at the end of April last year fell from 70,000 to 56,000. There was no support on the left side at 56,000. Therefore, where the price goes is determined by liquidity rather than the K-line pattern. When it is time to sell, sell. When it is not time to sell, lighten the position. Ether and Sol have good cost performance, and Bitcoin is also okay. It is expected that Bitcoin will reach 95-97. In the next few weeks, do not short XDM at the bottom.
If you have any questions or need to see the copycat comments area, I will reply one by one. $BTC #比特币走势分析 $ETH
The above mentioned 2860, Binance maximum 2860.9, xdm error less than 1 point
小小蛋糕
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Can there be more pie? What should we do in the new week?
The turning point is approaching. On Friday #bybit被盗, Bitcoin fell rapidly, directly dropping by 4,000. If the 1.5 billion US dollars had not been stolen, there would not be much room for it to go up. Let’s talk about Pie in the Sky first. From a long-term analysis, in the past week, Pie in the Sky has been plundering liquidity (as shown in the picture). Maybe everyone feels very painful when placing orders. The weekly line closed with a long upper and lower shadow, and the closing price is lower than last week’s closing price. So there is a high probability that it will still go down in the new week. Combined with the economic situation and topics, it cannot support the upward momentum of the market. The recent trend is still to start with eight.
Can there be more pie? What should we do in the new week?
The turning point is approaching. On Friday #bybit被盗, Bitcoin fell rapidly, directly dropping by 4,000. If the 1.5 billion US dollars had not been stolen, there would not be much room for it to go up. Let’s talk about Pie in the Sky first. From a long-term analysis, in the past week, Pie in the Sky has been plundering liquidity (as shown in the picture). Maybe everyone feels very painful when placing orders. The weekly line closed with a long upper and lower shadow, and the closing price is lower than last week’s closing price. So there is a high probability that it will still go down in the new week. Combined with the economic situation and topics, it cannot support the upward momentum of the market. The recent trend is still to start with eight.
Friends shorting #BTC should be careful. Let's talk about how Bitcoin has been moving recently. Last time I posted a Bitcoin trend analysis, I predicted the highest point would be around 985 over the weekend, with a peak at 988. If you followed that, you would have made a profit of 5000 points. Let's talk about the market after last night's sharp decline. Last night's acceleration in decline, I can only say it wasn't strong enough. Our target is around 86, but it won't be reached anytime soon. Last night was simply reaching the position of seller liquidity, a wave of stop-loss hunting, and institutions made a fortune. Without any news catalysts recently, it will continue to oscillate. After reaching 933 last night, it began to rebound, targeting around 1014. Those shorting should be careful; don't open a short position at the bottom. I know many are wondering why it should go to 100,000+. The answer is that the price movement is all about liquidity; where there are large orders, the price will go. Recently, there has been news of an Ethereum chain upgrade, which will provide a boost, leading to an increase. Those with empty positions can consider investing in altcoins. Let's discuss the operations in detail below.
For those with empty positions wanting to go long: it can go up around 96, set a stop-loss at 943. For those with empty positions wanting to go short: wait, don't act until Bitcoin reaches 985. For those already in a long position: t1: 985, t2: 1014.
To the brothers suffering from short positions: I know your pain; I was once in the same situation. Many nights of poor sleep, reducing positions or adding margin, at least ensure the liquidation price is at 103, so the problems aren't too big.
Let me talk about my recent operations. Last night, I entered a limit order for SOL at 161, and the follow-up was at 163, at the weekly EMA55 position, and 160 had a lot of bullish price action. This time was also a precise entry. My positions haven't been large recently; although the profits are slow, they are stable. For those without a direction, you can allocate a little to my trades; I won't let you down. If you need to discuss, you can send me a message in the chat room, and we can analyze and cheer each other on. xdm $BTC #BTC Trend Analysis
The big one is really coming. The price of Bitcoin has been consolidating for 10 days in a row. Looking back at the historical K-line, there hasn't been such an ugly K-line throughout last year. The lack of movement can be uncomfortable for many, possibly just like me.
Today is Friday. I have posted two market analyses so far, both of which have 100% accuracy in analysis. If you followed them, it would have been quite profitable. Let me talk about the likely trend for the weekend in the coming days:
Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating around 965. As shown in the chart, it is following a downward trend line in a consolidation structure. Many people will draw this trend line and go long when the price bounces off the trend line. This is the operation of most people, which isn't wrong, but it also means there are many pending orders below. Similarly, the 8-hour K-line for Bitcoin hasn't managed to stay above 985 for 9 days, which will also be a stop-loss position for many short positions.
At the weekly and daily level for Bitcoin, the liquidity below is far greater than above. So, what we can confirm is that Bitcoin will slowly return to the 85-88 range in the future. Therefore, the operation should primarily focus on short positions, but the price won't drop directly. It is more likely to be attracted by buying liquidity first, hunting for short stop losses before turning downwards. This has been a common operation for Bitcoin recently; the CPI from the day before yesterday has followed this pattern. Those interested can check my post from the day before yesterday.
Specific operations:
For those holding short positions on Bitcoin: Open a short when the price rises to around 98500, with a stop-loss at 99100, targeting to see 94000.
For the brothers holding positions in distress: If the liquidation price is around 985, be cautious with your position size; it’s best to reduce your position or increase your margin. If you can hold on, promise me to lower your position size in the future.
For those holding long positions on Bitcoin: If you're near 98500, you can go long with about 80% of your capital, and open a portion of short positions as well; you can't go wrong with this strategy!
If anyone has any altcoins they need analyzed, feel free to comment, and I will reply to each one of you. #btc #BTC走势分析
Highest point 732, just a little different from the afternoon forecast of 731, hoping to see the xdm point in the afternoon, it wouldn't be too much to ask for a thumbs up.
小小蛋糕
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Bearish
#BNB I know that many people were caught by the rapid rise of bnb yesterday. CZ has been shouting crazily recently, and the positive impact of the airdrop has caught people off guard. The bnb I led is also in a loss state, but I am not panicking at all. What should we do next? Don't worry, xdm who is holding the order
There is a seller liquidity pool above bnb at present, and the price is around 731. A large number of short stop losses have accumulated here. If there is an xdm stop loss placed here, it may be hunted, and it is necessary to raise the stop loss or reduce the position in advance. So let's talk about the operation directly below:
Short position:
1. If the price goes up: BNB price reaches around 731, wait for 1h to close, enter the market after a negative line appears, and set the stop loss at the tip of the needle
2. If the price does not reach the upper liquidity pool, see Figure 2, 1h falls below 693, enter the short position, and set the stop loss at today's high
Anti-order: Don't set the stop loss near 731. If the liquidation price is here, add more margin if you have extra margin, at least ensure that the liquidation price is 741. If you don't have margin, be careful, it's best to reduce your position
Long position: I really envy you, you made money again, hahaha, 731 stop profit 70
Big cake has been rubbish recently, except for hunting, it's still hunting. I see that many powerful traders have been worn out. If it doesn't break 89, it can't be said that there is a good long position. Recently, everyone is bearish.
#BNB I know that many people were caught by the rapid rise of bnb yesterday. CZ has been shouting crazily recently, and the positive impact of the airdrop has caught people off guard. The bnb I led is also in a loss state, but I am not panicking at all. What should we do next? Don't worry, xdm who is holding the order
There is a seller liquidity pool above bnb at present, and the price is around 731. A large number of short stop losses have accumulated here. If there is an xdm stop loss placed here, it may be hunted, and it is necessary to raise the stop loss or reduce the position in advance. So let's talk about the operation directly below:
Short position:
1. If the price goes up: BNB price reaches around 731, wait for 1h to close, enter the market after a negative line appears, and set the stop loss at the tip of the needle
2. If the price does not reach the upper liquidity pool, see Figure 2, 1h falls below 693, enter the short position, and set the stop loss at today's high
Anti-order: Don't set the stop loss near 731. If the liquidation price is here, add more margin if you have extra margin, at least ensure that the liquidation price is 741. If you don't have margin, be careful, it's best to reduce your position
Long position: I really envy you, you made money again, hahaha, 731 stop profit 70
Big cake has been rubbish recently, except for hunting, it's still hunting. I see that many powerful traders have been worn out. If it doesn't break 89, it can't be said that there is a good long position. Recently, everyone is bearish.
On the 12th of February, there is a high probability that today's market will first eliminate the buyer liquidity above, and then shift to the seller liquidity below. Brothers, regardless of whether you go long or short, do not hold long positions in contracts recently. The position is good, and low leverage is another matter. Be cautious of stop-loss hunting near the liquidity pool. Today's trading operation: Reduce short positions by 12% around 95. Plan: If the price returns to 96, I will reinvest the profits from the reduction to replenish the short position. $BTC #日内分析
The seller liquidity below Bitcoin is between 910-945. You can see the price reflection in this range and look for opportunities to go long. If you don’t have any direction to operate, you can follow an order and win steadily. Only trade stablecoins.