Eyedoge

The shorting coolness, has it lost a lot...

The current fear and greed index is 46, indicating a neutral to fearful sentiment. Treating the big pie as the overall market, the recent lowest point was 100372, followed by a rebound. There is a high possibility of continued range fluctuations. As for the direction, I personally lean towards bullish in the short term, but the ultimate inflection point trend will depend on news regarding U.S. Treasury bonds, trade wars, gold, the Trump administration, the Federal Reserve, and other factors.

If the pancake doesn't drop below 100,000, don't easily go long! #加密市场回调

Powell: Future Inflation Volatility May Increase, the U.S. May Face a Prolonged Supply Shock Period
Powell stated that future inflation could be more volatile, and the U.S. may be entering a period of more frequent and longer-lasting supply shocks, which poses a significant challenge for both the economy and the central bank.
Powell mentioned that the Federal Reserve will revisit certain aspects of its strategic framework based on experiences from the past five years, and will also consider improving the committee's policy communication tools regarding uncertainty and risk in forecasting. In the current review, the committee is discussing lessons learned from the past five years and plans to complete its review of specific modifications to the consensus statement in the coming months.

Sighing at Market Changes

The ox's spirit arrives, intentions soar,
The market blooms like a dream, radiating light.
Then suddenly, the winds and clouds shift,
The ox's path turns, trapped in a muddy pond.
The filthy journey leaves the heart in sorrow,
The market fluctuates, lamenting its uncertainty.
Calmly contemplating to seek the way forward,
Do not let the gloom obscure the warm sun.#加密市场回调 #土狗冲锋

$PHA 【The Combination of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Blockchain Technology】, The main application areas of AI in blockchain:
1. Smart Contracts: AI can help automate the execution of smart contracts, improving efficiency and accuracy.
2. Supply Chain Management: AI and blockchain can enhance the transparency and traceability of supply chains, reducing fraud and waste.
3. Financial Services: AI can be used for risk management and fraud detection in blockchain finance, increasing security and efficiency.
4. Healthcare: AI and blockchain can protect the privacy and security of medical data while improving the availability and shareability of data.
5. Internet of Things (IoT): AI and blockchain can ensure the data security and trustworthiness of IoT devices, enhancing the interoperability of devices.

#2025比特币价格预测 $BTC $ETH
On the first day of 2025, I recited a poem: "Bitcoin Ethereum"
It is hard to rest in a virtual dream,
Being independent and daring accumulates risks.
The ups and downs of the currency circle are confusing,
Ether is confusing and less joyful.
You need to distinguish the temptations in the market,
Don't be foolish in the fantasy world.
Invest wisely and find the right way,
The road to wealth is wide with wisdom.

【Research and Explore Leaders】Many big players have publicly expressed optimism about AI's performance in the cryptocurrency market. The mainstream trend in 2025 will be the combination of AI and cryptocurrency. The application scenarios of AI will become more diverse, not limited to agents. In what areas might AI leaders emerge in 2025? Please refer to the following:
1. Deep integration of DeFi and AI: The market is expected to reach a cyclical peak in 2025, with stablecoins becoming the main force in the payment sector.
2. Technological upgrades: The Ethereum ecosystem and the L1/L2 competition, the rise of emerging public chains, and advancements in Solana technology.
3. Stablecoin revolution: A shift in payment methods, with more than 5 large fintech companies or traditional financial institutions expected to launch their own stablecoins in 2025.
4. Institutional wave: It is anticipated that over 10 enterprises (including banks and Web2 giants) will launch their own L2 networks in 2025.
5. AI-driven new narratives: AI x Crypto will become a mainstream hotspot in 2025, driving the emergence of numerous AI-related projects and tokens, with application scenarios covering creator economy, trading optimization, and various other fields.
6. Continued development of prediction markets and RWA: Decentralized prediction markets are expected to become an important trend, leveraging the power of blockchain to transform prediction markets into more decentralized and reliable information-gathering tools.
7. AI agents may surpass traditional meme coins: Becoming a new speculative hotspot, mobile applications will be a decisive trend. #ATA涨势分析

The reason why $PHA suddenly became popular is indeed both accidental and inevitable, which can be attributed to three key points:
1. TEE technology is well prepared: • Although TEE (Trusted Execution Environment) is not a new concept, it has always been a relatively marginal field in the mainstream technical narrative of Crypto. Phala Network's cultivation of TEE technology is one of the inevitable factors that contributed to the popularity of PHA. TEE technology is naturally suitable as a "pre-processing" process for the "off-chain" secure enclave environment. It can serve the chain and can also combine the chain to bring advantages such as trusted pre-processing and isolated privacy computing. Phala Network has a mature TEE solution, which has laid a solid foundation for its application in the blockchain field.
2. Ai16z's thigh is embraced: • The mysterious customer "ai16z" who suddenly appeared adopted Phala Network's TEE solution, which is the biggest accidental factor in the popularity of PHA. ai16z's status as a super commercial IP in the AI ​​Agent track makes its adoption of Phala's TEE solution of great significance. This not only means that Phala's TEE solution has been recognized by the market, but also indicates that Phala will take the lead in the AI ​​Agent control of private key coin issuance. #
3. AI Agent is in the right place: • The current popularity of AI Agent narratives has provided a push for Phala Network. AI Agent has evolved from AI MEME to the launchpad platform, and then to the emergence of single AI and framework standards. Phala Network, as an old chain, has been blown into the wind, and all this is evolving rapidly. The rise of AI Agent has brought unprecedented demand for confidential computing, among which secure and private data processing has become crucial, which is where TEE technology comes into play.

$BNB BNB, as the native token in the Binance ecosystem, has experienced many surges and plunges in price, but many investors still believe that BNB has long-term holding value [^0^]. Technical indicator analysis shows that BNB has a strong long-term trend, the MACD indicator shows an upward trend, and the RSI indicator also shows that BNB has not reached the overbought zone and still has the potential to rise.

$BNB will rise to 1000 in three years, remember

$BNB Exchange is a banker, it can't be that bad

#2025加密趋势预测
• Cryptocurrency Bull Market Forecast: It is expected that the cryptocurrency bull market will continue to develop in 2025, reaching its first peak in the first quarter and then hitting a new high in the fourth quarter. During this peak period, Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to be priced around $180,000, while Ethereum (ETH) will exceed $6,000.
• The United States' Attitude Towards Cryptocurrency: The U.S. is predicted to embrace Bitcoin through strategic reserves and increased cryptocurrency adoption.
• Value of Tokenized Securities: The total value of tokenized securities is expected to exceed $50 billion.
• Stablecoin Market: It is forecasted that the daily settlement amount of stablecoins will reach $300 billion.
• AI Applications in Blockchain: It is expected that the on-chain activities of AI agents will exceed 1 million agents.
• Development of Bitcoin Layer 2: The total value locked (TVL) in Bitcoin Layer 2 is expected to reach 100,000 BTC.
• Revenue from Ethereum Data Sharding: It is anticipated that Ethereum data sharding (blob space) will generate $1 billion in transaction fees.
• DeFi and NFT Market: DeFi reaches new highs, with decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume hitting $4 trillion and total TVL reaching $200 billion. The NFT market is rebounding, with trading volume reaching $30 billion.
• DApp Token Performance: The performance of decentralized application (DApp) tokens is expected to gradually narrow the gap with Layer 1 tokens.
• Bitcoin ETF Inflows: Bitcoin ETF inflows in 2025 are expected to exceed those in 2024.
• Coinbase's Market Capitalization: Coinbase is expected to surpass Charles Schwab to become the most valuable brokerage in the world, with its stock price breaking $700 per share.
• Cryptocurrency IPO Boom: 2025 is predicted to be the 'Year of Cryptocurrency IPOs,' with at least five crypto unicorns going public in the United States.

The most worthwhile investment in the past decade

The $BTC #2025加密趋势预测 token in the cryptocurrency circle has two possibilities for rising to prominence: one is a skyrocketing account that multiplies tenfold or a hundredfold, and the other is an account that is cleared to zero, which is just gambling.

#比特币市场波动观察 Feels that on January 20th, before Trump's inauguration, the market will be mainly volatile. It is recommended that everyone watch more and operate less! The next step is to observe the U.S. government's attitude towards the regulation of virtual currencies; the turning point is difficult to predict in the short term. #圣诞行情分析

$BTC
Notable figures openly supporting Bitcoin include:
1. Cameron Winklevoss: Head of Winklevoss Capital, co-founder and president of the Gemini cryptocurrency exchange, who believes Bitcoin will become a haven against inflation and a substitute for gold.
2. Paul Tudor Jones: Founder, Chief Investment Officer, and Co-Chairman of Tudor Investment Corporation, who publicly advocated for Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, similar to gold, in May 2020, and expressed even more enthusiasm in October, stating that "Bitcoin has a long way to go."
3. Naval Ravikant: Venture capitalist and managing partner of early social media investment fund Hit Forge, he is a supporter of cryptocurrency and blockchain, endorsing the crypto index fund HOLD 10, and writes about these technologies on his blog and Twitter.
4. Andreas Antonopoulos: Educator on blockchain, cryptocurrency, and Bitcoin, co-host of Let’s Talk Bitcoin, speaker at Pragma workshops, he authored the bestsellers "Mastering Bitcoin" and "Mastering Ethereum," published the "The Internet of Money" series, and has appeared in media including Financial Times, Bloomberg, CNN, CBS, NBC, and BBC[^3^].
5. Elon Musk: CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, he began publicly supporting Dogecoin in 2020 and has made his mark in the crypto space. Musk shows support for this meme coin by committing to accept DOGE payments for various products and services offered by his companies.
6. Nayib Bukele: President of El Salvador, he has been a leader in the mainstream adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender. He actively announces various Bitcoin-based initiatives of his government on Twitter and purchases Bitcoin when its market value declines.
7. Donald Trump: The next President of the United States, since winning a second term, Bitcoin prices have surged, widely believed to be a direct result of Trump's victory. Trump has stated, "If cryptocurrency is going to be the future, I want it to be mined, minted, and manufactured in the United States."

#比特币冲向11万？ #市场全线看牛？ 【Analysis of the Macroeconomic Environment for Virtual Currency】In January 2025, after Trump takes office, the virtual currency market may experience changes such as a loosening of the regulatory environment, an increase in investment sentiment, the promotion of payment methods, and an increase in market volatility. Overall, the market's attitude towards cryptocurrencies will be more positive, potentially leading to a new round of market growth: 1. Changes in the regulatory environment: Trump has clearly stated during his campaign that he supports the development of the cryptocurrency industry and calls for a relaxation of cryptocurrency regulations. 2. Increase in cryptocurrency investment sentiment: Trump has publicly expressed support for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, hoping that the U.S. will become a "Bitcoin superpower," which may bring about a wave of bullish sentiment, driving funds into the crypto market and positively affecting the prices of mainstream crypto assets like Bitcoin, possibly triggering a new bull market. 3. Bitcoin mining and related industries returning to the U.S.: Trump's policies may promote the return of Bitcoin mining and related industries to the U.S., further driving the development of the cryptocurrency market. 4. Promotion of cryptocurrency payments: It is expected that during Trump's term, cryptocurrency payments will be promoted, especially the use of stablecoins in cross-border payments may become more widespread. 5. Increase in cryptocurrency market volatility: During the Trump 2.0 era, cryptocurrencies may amplify the volatility of the U.S. stock market to some extent and trigger a reallocation of liquidity between different assets.$BTC $XRP
#

#BTC再创新高
• Bitcoin as a Risk Asset: Bitcoin is not suitable for generating stable cash flow; it is a high-risk asset with significant value fluctuations, making it unsuitable as a source for daily expenses.
• The 4% Rule: There is a theory in economics that if an asset can grow steadily by 4% per year, then 4% can be withdrawn annually for expenses, thereby achieving financial freedom. Due to its price volatility, Bitcoin is difficult to apply to this principle.
• Bitcoin's Long-Term Performance: Although Bitcoin has performed well in many years, it has significant declines during bear markets, making it challenging to rely on Bitcoin to achieve the 4% rule.
• Bitcoin's Scarcity: The total supply of Bitcoin is fixed at 21 million coins, and its scarcity gives long-term holding of Bitcoin value.
The double-edged sword characteristic of Bitcoin as an investment tool, as well as the long-term strategies and personal financial planning that need to be considered in the pursuit of financial freedom. While enjoying the potential growth of Bitcoin, one should also have a sound financial plan to cope with market uncertainties.