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June 18 Evening Market Analysis:

Early this morning, the Bitcoin waterfall hit, plunging from around 108,000 to 102,600 in one swift move. It has currently rebounded slightly, consolidating around 104,000, but the overall strength of the rebound is relatively weak compared to the waterfall. The daily chart clearly shows that after a spike to 107,000, the subsequent rebound lacked strength, leading to a sharp drop back into the previous range.

Currently, from the daily chart perspective, Bitcoin has once again dipped to around 104,000, where it found support and rebounded. The current resistance level remains at 107,000, with short-term support at 104,000-103,000. Ethereum has also dipped to the 2,450 line and rebounded, with current resistance at 2,600-2,650 and support at 2,450. The 4-hour chart for Bitcoin shows a recovery in a triangular range, stabilizing above 102,000 yesterday, and currently oscillating in the mid-lower track range. The rhythm is still characterized by back and forth movements, not a one-sided trend. The weakening dollar continues to support upward price movement, but the momentum remains weak. After the rebound, attention should still be paid to the resistance strength of the mid-track. There is still a possibility of a pullback after a short-term rise. Currently, the market is in a tug-of-war oscillation between 106,000-103,000, with the short term focusing on range trading. From the 4-hour perspective, Bitcoin has effective support at the 104,000 line, with resistance at 105,000-107,000. Ethereum has also tested the support level of 2,450 multiple times effectively, with resistance at 2,600-2,650;

Bitcoin: Short near 105,500-106,000, looking down to around 102,700-103,000.
Ethereum: Short near 2,540-2,560, looking down to around 2,460-2,480.

#我的交易风格 #GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储FOMC会议 #币安钱包TGE #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH

June 18 Morning Analysis:

The strategy provided last night resulted in a defense exit, signaling that on the road to success, there will certainly be failures; we must view and treat failures correctly, and if we are not afraid of failures, we will surely succeed; if we fear failures, we will achieve nothing and fail even more.

In the early morning, the market trend met expectations, with Bitcoin's price showing a dip followed by a rise, quickly rebounding after dropping to a low of $103,338, reaching a high of $105,282, and then slightly retracing to hover around $104,600. Ethereum fluctuated in sync, rebounding from a low of $2,543 to $2,542 before encountering resistance and retreating, currently oscillating in the $2,520 range.

From a technical perspective, on the 1-hour timeframe, both Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have broken below the Bollinger Band's middle line, continuing to oscillate in the mid-lower band area, with bears dominating the market, and bulls showing weak rebound strength. On the 4-hour timeframe, although there are occasional single bullish candles, both sides are stuck in a standoff, with prices closely adhering to the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a clear bearish advantage and making it difficult for the market to form an effective breakout in the short term.

Technical indicators further corroborate the market's weak pattern: the short-term moving averages MA7 and MA25 for Bitcoin and Ethereum are entwined, with prices repeatedly oscillating near these moving averages, while the MA99 long-term moving average consistently poses strong resistance, suggesting a bearish mid-term trend. The MACD indicator shows that although Bitcoin formed a golden cross, the volume release is insufficient; Ethereum's MACD golden cross has seen a continuous expansion of the red bars, indicating relatively strong short-term rebound momentum, but it is still crucial to monitor whether it can break through the key resistance level of MA99 to confirm a trend reversal.

Bitcoin: Short near $105,500 - $106,000, looking down to $102,700 - $103,000
Ethereum: Short near $2,540 - $2,560, looking down to $2,460 - $2,480

June 17 Evening Market Analysis:

This morning in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin and Ethereum showed significant divergence in their movements. Bitcoin surged in the early session before quickly retreating, reaching a high of $108,865, and then swiftly dropping to around $106,079, briefly stabilizing and bouncing back near $106,500. However, in the afternoon market, Bitcoin's price plummeted like a waterfall, with strong bearish momentum, continuously retracing to a low near the critical level of $105,000. Ethereum, after experiencing a substantial correction in the early morning, rebounded strongly by nearly 100 points in the morning session. Although it mirrored Bitcoin's downward movement in the afternoon, the overall fluctuations were relatively mild, with a minimum drop to around $2,540.

From a technical analysis perspective, the 1-hour candlestick chart for Bitcoin shows the current price oscillating around $105,599. After a previous spike to $108,900, there was a significant pullback. The short-term moving averages are intertwined and flat, reflecting a standoff between bulls and bears, with the market direction remaining unclear in the short term, expected to maintain a fluctuating pattern. On the daily level, Bitcoin once again tested the support near $105,000 and has been consolidating sideways. The key resistance level above is at $107,000, with short-term support ranging from $105,000 to $104,000. Yesterday’s candlestick closed with a long upper shadow, and after a slight rebound at today’s opening, it retraced again. The Bollinger Bands continue to flatten, short-term moving averages are fluctuating around the middle band, the MACD fast and slow lines are trending downward with decreasing volume, and the KDJ indicator shows signs of turning. The VR indicator is consolidating around a value of 110. At the 4-hour level, Bitcoin's price broke the upper band and then sharply declined during the early hours, testing the 60-day moving average. The Bollinger Bands are in a tightening formation, and the short-term moving averages are trending upwards. After breaking the 0 axis, the MACD fast and slow lines show a turning trend, with decreasing volume. The KDJ indicator crosses downward, and the VR indicator is oscillating around a value of 100.

For Ethereum, the current price is oscillating around the $2,500 mark, with resistance concentrated between $2,600 and $2,650, and support at $2,550. The 4-hour level shows that Ethereum has effectively tested the $2,500 - $2,550 support range multiple times, and attention should be focused on the pressure range of $2,600 - $2,650 moving forward.

Current Bitcoin price: Buy around $105,800 - $106,300, target $107,000 - $108,000, stop-loss: $104,000;
Current Ethereum price: Buy around $2,550 - $2,570, target $2,620 - $2,660, stop-loss: $2,500

#美联储FOMC会议 #Solana现货ETF竞赛 #币安钱包TGE

June 17th Morning Analysis:

Yesterday, the Bitcoin market experienced a strong rally, with prices continuously climbing. During today's morning session, Bitcoin reached a recent high of $108,900, but subsequently failed to maintain the strong upward momentum and quickly retreated, currently falling below the $108,000 mark. Ethereum's performance was similarly volatile, experiencing a prolonged period of fluctuation during the early hours before swiftly rising to a high of $2,680, only to quickly dip, with prices once falling below $2,600.

Bitcoin faced significant resistance around the $109,000 mark, leading to a notable correction. This is mainly due to substantial selling pressure above $108,500, along with a liquidity gap in that area. At the same time, the current geopolitical risk factors make the market prone to extreme volatility and sharp price movements. It is noteworthy that the latest developments regarding the situation in Iran have been a direct trigger for this price dip.

From the four-hour candlestick chart, Bitcoin still maintains a structure of oscillating upward. However, despite the bulls having dominated earlier, they have not effectively broken through key resistance levels. In this context, a correction in price is a reasonable phenomenon. It is expected that after this wave of short-term volatility ends, the market may regain its oscillating upward rhythm. However, investors need to closely monitor changes in short-term fundamental news, as these factors may significantly impact market trends.

From the perspective of the hourly chart's short cycle, although the Bollinger Bands maintain an upward opening, Bitcoin's price has significantly slowed its upward momentum after multiple unsuccessful attempts to test previous key resistance areas. Thus, while there is still some upward momentum in the short term, the overall trend remains highly uncertain until the key resistance level is effectively broken.

Bitcoin: Long around 107,000-106,500, target near 108,200-109,200
Ethereum: Long around 2,540-2,510, target near 2,585-2,600

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June 12 Chen Dong Current Price Order:

Current price of the first contract is a direct short, target: around 106400, stop loss: around 109200
Current price of the second contract is a direct short, target: around 2700, stop loss: around 2830

The resistance level above is around 108500, which is both a previous rebound high and resonates with the MA14 moving average to form a suppressive effect. If the price touches this range and shows signs of stagnation, or if it breaks through and fails to hold, consideration can be given to establishing short positions. It is worth noting that the MACD indicator's green bars are continuously expanding, and the dual lines have formed a death cross, indicating that short-term bearish momentum is strengthening. It is recommended to remain cautious in operations, strictly set stop losses, and guard against the risk of price breaking down.
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June 11 Chen Dong's Current Price Order:

Current price of Bitcoin is directly short, target around 108200, stop loss at 110600
Ethereum and Bitcoin are moving independently, no suggestions for now

Currently, upward momentum shows a significant weakening trend, and the KDJ indicator has been lingering in the overbought zone. It is noteworthy that its values are frequently oscillating at high levels, exhibiting typical fatigue characteristics, which suggests that bearish forces are accelerating their buildup in the short term. From a technical analysis perspective, the market has accumulated significant correction pressure, and prices may face deep adjustment risks in the near term

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June 10 Evening Market Analysis:

Let's review today's market: Bitcoin's daily line rose from a low of around 105250 yesterday to a high of around 110650, closing near 110250. In the afternoon, Bitcoin showed a sideways consolidation pattern, with prices fluctuating within a narrow range. After Ethereum dipped to the 2655 level, buying pressure pushed the price up, reaching a peak of around 2784. On the daily level, Bitcoin completed a classic 'double bottom' structure confirmation, bouncing back after hitting the strong support level of 100000 USD, with five consecutive days of positive closes, strongly rebounding to the key resistance zone of 112000 USD—this level serves as both a previous high resistance and the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. Whether it breaks through or not will determine if the market enters an acceleration phase. The lower level of 109000 USD acts as the center of contention between bulls and bears, and its gain or loss directly affects the continuation of bullish momentum.

On the 4-hour level, BTC has formed a 'top divergence' prototype, with prices encountering resistance at 110000 USD and undergoing a technical correction. The focus is currently on the effectiveness of the support zone between 108000-109000 USD; if it breaks below the neck line at 107000 USD, it may trigger a short-term trend reversal. ETH continues to oscillate within the 2600-2730 USD box, with a breakout above the 2700-2730 USD resistance confirming an upward trend, while a failure to break may lead to a retest of the lower boundary of the box.

Short position on Bitcoin near 109300-109800, target 108500-108000.
Short position on Ethereum near 2680-2710, target 2620-2580.

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Chen Dong's Long-term Positioning:
First Contract 103675 in, 110040 out, gained 6365 points, profit 46,000 oil
Second Contract 2474 in, 2632 out, gained 4158 points, profit 47,000 oil
If trend trading is a strategic layout from a macro perspective, then intraday trading is a close combat on the micro battlefield. In the time slices measured in minutes, the market pushes the volatility's destructive power and the urgency of decision-making to the extreme. There is no strategy buffer of 'time for space' here; every order is a direct dialogue with the market, and every profit and loss is the most authentic instant feedback from the market. Only by experiencing this high-frequency game can one truly touch the pulse of the market.

#看懂K线 #纳斯达克加密ETF扩容 #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH

Last Friday, we positioned ourselves in the medium to long term with early profits. A true trading expert should be able to navigate the market at any time frame and achieve stable profits. Simply relying on extending the time frame to 'cover up' volatility is essentially betting on probabilities, rather than truly understanding the laws of market operation. Medium to long term trading has its advantages, but please remember: the market changes rapidly, and easily claiming 'stable profits' is merely a frog in a well. Only by maintaining a sense of reverence can one progress steadily and far in the investment journey.

#看懂K线 #纳斯达克加密ETF扩容 #加密市场反弹 #比特币走势观察 #中美贸易谈判 $BTC $ETH

This morning's market price order unfortunately hit the defense level. Ethereum's second rise is aggressive, and the stop-loss is regrettable. The market's predictions have come true, and the consequences have already arrived. In the current stalemate, I firmly adhere to the established strategy and am unwilling to easily shift direction. However, the carefully woven trap by the operator is too realistic, making it hard to distinguish between the real and the false. Ultimately, the stop-loss order was ruthlessly triggered, and this contest of bulls and bears inevitably came at a cost.

#看懂K线 #加密市场反弹 #比特币走势观察 #Strategy增持比特币 #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH

June 10th Chen Dong Today's Welfare Order:

BTC current price around 109400, suggest lightly entering short positions, target around 108000, set the upper stop loss at around 110800, strictly control risk;
ETH current price in the 2630 area can enter short positions, target around 2600 with the defensive stop loss moved up to 2680, pay attention to short-term pullback pressure.

#看懂K线 #比特币走势观察 #Strategy增持比特币 #中美贸易谈判 #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH

Last night, the Bitcoin market experienced significant volatility, with prices plunging sharply to a low of $100,305, breaking through multiple key support levels. As bearish sentiment was fully released, this morning the market saw a slight recovery. As of now, the BTC price is fluctuating around $101,600.

15-Minute Chart: Weak Rebound, Beware of 'False Recovery'

From the 15-minute candlestick chart, although BTC showed a rebound in the early session, the strength of the rebound was clearly insufficient, failing to effectively hold above the $10,200 mark, indicating that it is still in a technically weak pattern of pullback. Notably, while the MACD indicator has shown signs of a golden cross, its momentum bars are very weak, suggesting that this rebound may only be a fleeting moment. Investors should be wary of the 'false recovery' trap and should not chase prices too easily.

4-Hour Chart: Bearish Trend Established, Downward Pressure Significant

Switching to the 4-hour timeframe, the bearish advantage is even more evident. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands (BOLL) has clearly started to turn downwards, with prices continuously falling towards the lower band area. Crucially, a large bearish candlestick has directly engulfed several previous candlesticks, forming a strong bearish signal. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has just formed a death cross, and the bearish momentum bars are continuously expanding, indicating that the market's bearish forces are steadily increasing, and subsequent downward pressure should not be underestimated.

Capital Flow: Net Outflow of Main Funds, Strong Bearish Sentiment

Data on capital flow further confirms the current bearish atmosphere in the market. The latest data shows that the net outflow of main funds from BTC reached as high as $1.205 billion, clearly indicating that the sentiment of major institutions is significantly bearish. Against the backdrop of continuous capital outflows, BTC prices may face the risk of further declines in the short term.

Key Points for Short-Term Trading

Upper Resistance Level

The $10,220 - $10,280 range constitutes a strong resistance level. If the BTC price cannot effectively break through this range, the rebound may be difficult to sustain, and bears may re-emerge to dominate market rhythm.

Lower Support Level

The $100,300 - $99,800 range serves as an important support line. If the price falls below $100,300, it is very likely to trigger panic selling in the market, leading to a new round of liquidations. At that time, BTC prices may further decline, with target levels possibly looking towards the $98,500 - $97,500 range.

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Many people say this wave of the bull market looks towards 120,000 to 150,000. So what happened? After a high-level adjustment, it continued to decline. The more it rises, the deeper it falls. The market rises and falls in the same way. During the frenzied moment when Bitcoin broke through the key level of 111,500, Chen Dong decisively took action and accurately locked in the short signal! From the high point to now, he has steadily grasped the downward trend, hitting the market rhythm perfectly with every trade. He demonstrates what true trading confidence and a super high win rate really are, refusing to do retrospective analysis after the fact. His practical forward-looking judgment allows him to keep the market in his hands!

#我的COS交易 #美国初请失业金人数 #Circle扩大IPO规模 #币安钱包TGE #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH

June 5 Evening Market Analysis:

Let's review today's market: The market continued its sluggish trend today. In the early hours, Bitcoin's price suddenly plummeted, reaching a low of $104,350, and then started to rebound with fluctuations. Although there was a brief recovery during the midday session, the bullish momentum was lacking, and the price never managed to break through key resistance levels. In the afternoon, Bitcoin again dipped to $104,321, followed by a slight rebound to $104,880, but encountered resistance and fell back, showing a clear pattern of weak fluctuations. Ethereum was also under significant pressure, briefly rising to $2,634 in the afternoon before quickly retreating, with a pronounced downward trend, dropping to a low of $2,580 in the afternoon, and the market sentiment was relatively pessimistic.

From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's daily chart has shown three consecutive days of bearish closes, with the price continuously falling from the $107,000 range to the $104,000 range, indicating a short-term downward trend has formed. The hourly chart shows volatile fluctuations, frequently displaying long upper and lower shadows, reflecting intense market competition between bulls and bears, with selling pressure and support coexisting. In terms of specific indicators, the MACD on the hourly chart continues to operate below the zero line, with both the DIF and DEA lines in negative territory. However, the MACD histogram shows a continuous reduction in volume, indicating that while bears dominate the market, their strength is gradually weakening. The RSI on the hourly chart remains around 40, not yet reaching the oversold area, suggesting that the current market is still in a weak fluctuation phase. Additionally, the EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, and the price has repeatedly encountered resistance and fallen back after testing the EMA7 moving average, highlighting heavy pressure from above in the short term. Overall, the cryptocurrency market still faces significant downward pressure in the short term.

Bitcoin: Short near $106,000 - $105,200, target $103,800 - $103,000

Ethereum: Short near $2,660 - $2,630, target near $2,560

#我的COS交易 #美国初请失业金人数 #Circle扩大IPO规模 #币安钱包TGE #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH

June 5 Morning Analysis:

Last night’s market review: Bitcoin quickly rebounded after touching the key support level of 104350 in a volatile decline; Ethereum continued its correction trend, dipping to around 2596. As predicted in yesterday's evening strategy, real investors who followed the operations reaped significant rewards.

From the current market observation, both bulls and bears are engaged in a tug-of-war, with the candlestick chart displaying an alternating pattern of bullish and bearish movements. On the daily level, consecutive bearish candles paired with frequently appearing doji patterns indicate that the market is undergoing a regular consolidation phase.

Looking at the 4-hour candlestick chart, the market trend has undergone significant changes. Previously, prices fluctuated orderly within an upward channel formed by the upper and middle Bollinger Bands, with each touch of the upper band triggering a technical correction, and support being found near the middle band. However, this pattern has now been broken, and the market is fiercely contesting around the middle Bollinger Band. It is noteworthy that the price has repeatedly formed alternating bullish and bearish candlestick combinations near the middle band, and during the most recent dip to the middle band, a long lower shadow hammer candlestick was formed, highlighting strong buying power at the key support level.

However, the current market is highly volatile, and both bullish and bearish forces are evenly matched. It is crucial to set reasonable stop-loss and take-profit levels when trading. Stop-loss can help control risk when the market diverges from expectations, while take-profit ensures that profits are secured, allowing traders to grasp market rhythm and move forward steadily.

Bitcoin: Buy around 104400, target 105500-106000
Ethereum: Buy around 2595, target 2640-2670

#我的COS交易 #币安钱包TGE #Circle扩大IPO规模 #美国加征关税 #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC $ETH

June 4th Morning Analysis:

Yesterday midnight, the market showed significant fluctuations, with Bitcoin's price starting a downward trend from the intraday high of $106,775, having fallen to a low of $105,200 by early this morning; Ethereum also faced pressure, retreating from a high of $2,659 to a low of $2,577. The price movements of both cryptocurrencies are highly correlated, demonstrating characteristics of a joint decline.

From a short-term technical perspective, Bitcoin's rebound momentum continues to be constrained, with strong resistance levels forming a significant cap above. Even if there is a brief rebound during the day, it is still difficult to break through the key resistance zone, indicating a clear weak pattern. Ethereum is similarly limited by high-level resistance, suggesting the possibility of further adjustments in the future.

In terms of technical indicators, the 4-hour K-line chart for Bitcoin shows a long upper shadow pattern, indicating heavy selling pressure near $106,770; the daily level has recorded three consecutive days with K-lines that have lower shadows, suggesting that a staging bottom support has formed around the $103,000 area. The MACD indicator shows that the fast and slow lines at the 4-hour level formed a golden cross below the zero axis, but the energy bars continue to shrink, reflecting insufficient bullish strength; the fast and slow lines at the daily level have continued a downward trend after forming a death cross at a high position, with bears dominating. Regarding the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the 4-hour RSI14 value oscillates around 50, while the 1-hour level hovers in the 52-60 range, indicating intense competition between bulls and bears in the market.

Currently, the Bitcoin price on the 4-hour chart is oscillating narrowly between EMA7 ($105,728) and EMA30 ($105,540), with the lower EMA120 ($105,284) forming a key short-term support. Overall, despite occasional rebounds in coin prices, they have entered a broad oscillation range; attention should be paid to breakthroughs of key support and resistance levels to determine market direction.

Big Cake: Buy around $105,000-$104,500, target $106,500-$107,000
Second Cake: Buy around $2,570-$2,550, target $2,630-$2,670

#我的COS交易 #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #韩国加密政策 #FTX赔付 $BTC $ETH

Evening Market Analysis on June 3:

Today's market saw significant fluctuations in the morning, with Bitcoin's price briefly breaking through the $106,000 mark, reaching a high of $106,500 before quickly retreating, oscillating around $105,000. In the afternoon, market trading sentiment turned dull, with both Bitcoin and Ethereum experiencing narrow range fluctuations. Among them, Bitcoin found support and rebounded at an intraday low of $104,822, currently maintaining consolidation around $105,200; Ethereum's fluctuation range is even more limited, with prices oscillating between $2,594 and $2,620, overall presenting a lack of trading volume in a sideways trend.

From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin successfully broke through its historical high, reaching around $120,000, and has started a gradual pullback, currently retracing to the support level near $103,000. It is noteworthy that this support level has shown strong effectiveness during this pullback; as long as the $103,000 support holds, the overall bullish trend remains solid. The subsequent key resistance level above is at $107,000. In contrast, Ethereum has recently been trapped in a range-bound pattern, with the main fluctuation range concentrated between $2,500 and $2,700, where $2,680-$2,700 serves as a strong resistance zone, and $2,500-$2,450 forms an important support line.

Switching to a 4-hour perspective, Bitcoin rebounded quickly after testing the $103,000 support level, but faces short-term resistance in the $107,000-$109,000 range during the upward process. As for Ethereum, it remains constrained by the key resistance level of $2,700, with the current short-term resistance level moving down to $2,650, and key short-term support to focus on is $2,550; if this level is broken, it may trigger further adjustments.

Short on Bitcoin near $105,500-$106,000, target around $104,000-$103,000
Short on Ethereum near $2,620-$2,650, target around $2,550-$2,500

#我的COS交易 #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 #韩国加密政策 $BTC $ETH

June 3rd Midday Analysis:

Recently, the BTC market has seen a small rebound, reigniting hope for many investors and warming market sentiment. However, beneath the seemingly recovering surface lies hidden risks; it is still too early to be blindly optimistic.

From a daily chart analysis, the current BTC price performance is not ideal, failing to effectively stabilize above the Bollinger Band's middle line at the $106,500 mark. This lackluster rebound undoubtedly casts a shadow on the market's prospects. After today's opening, the BTC price has fallen into a narrow trading range, currently fluctuating around $105,000, with a lack of clear direction.

On the technical side, $106,000 has become the key resistance level for BTC's upward movement. After reaching this level, the market failed to break through effectively and immediately entered a pullback mode. If the pressure above continues to be difficult to overcome, the subsequent market trend is likely to remain sluggish. Additionally, from the daily MA indicators, the BTC price has consistently failed to achieve an effective breakout, being strongly suppressed around the 10-day moving average of $106,600, subsequently initiating a downward trend, further confirming the current weak market pattern.

It is noteworthy that although Ethereum has seen a significant overall increase recently, after peaking, the four-hour candlestick closed with a long upper shadow, which is a strong signal indicating that bullish momentum is gradually exhausting, and the risk of subsequent price pullback is increasing.

Looking at the weekly level, the downturn in the BTC market has not fundamentally reversed. From the weekly trend perspective, despite a rebound, the overall trend remains downward, and the subsequent market is highly likely to repeat the pattern of rising and then falling back.

Big Cake: Short around $105,500-$106,000, target around $103,500;
Second Cake: Short around $2,600-$2,620, target around $2,540.

#我的COS交易 #中心化与去中心化交易所 #交易类型入门 #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC $ETH

June 3rd Morning Analysis:

Recently, the Bitcoin market has shown a narrow range of fluctuations and a relatively stable trend. The daily price movements over the past few days have demonstrated a rhythm of 'first suppressing and then rising', which is highly consistent with the previously provided strategy direction, validating the effectiveness of the strategy. Investors should pay close attention to the fact that the current market repair process is nearing its end, and it is highly likely to brew a new round of significant volatility.

Since the Bitcoin price effectively broke below the key ascending trend line around $109,000, the market has officially entered a short-term adjustment cycle. The current price continues to fluctuate within the range of $103,000 to $106,000, and this week may become a key time node for determining the direction of the market. If this support range can stabilize effectively, the market is expected to regain upward momentum, initiating a new round of upward movement; conversely, if the support level is lost, the market will face deep correction risks.

From the daily technical analysis perspective, although the current price has temporarily stabilized above the support level of $103,500, the overall trend has shown a bearish dominance, and the price has entered a downward channel. In terms of technical indicators, the MACD indicator shows that the green bars are continuously contracting, but the activity level of capital holdings is increasing; the DIF and DEA dual lines are diverging downward from a high position, gradually approaching the 0 axis. In the Bollinger Bands indicator, the middle track resistance level is at $106,400, and the lower track support level is at $101,600. In terms of operational thinking, focus on the breakthrough situation of the resistance level at $105,800; if it cannot effectively break through, consider placing short positions on rallies.

The four-hour level trend shows that the price has fallen below the key trend indicator, indicating that there is further downward momentum towards previous lows. The MACD indicator continues to expand downward, showing a clear stepped decline pattern; the Bollinger Bands are continuously narrowing, with the upper track resistance level at $105,500 and the lower track support level at $103,300. Before the price breaks through these two key ranges, it is recommended that friends seize the opportunity for range trading.

Big Cake: Short around $106,000 - $106,700, target around $104,000
Second Cake: Short around $2,600 - $2,630, target around $2,520

#我的COS交易 #中心化与去中心化交易所 #交易类型入门 #Strategy增持比特币 #韩国加密政策 $BTC $ETH

June 2 Evening Market Analysis:

From the daily level perspective, Bitcoin's decline came to an abrupt halt at the shark bull-bear line. The price not only failed to break below this key support level but also triggered strong buying power. According to harmonic theory, as long as the bull-bear line remains unbroken, significant downward trends are unlikely to occur.

On the 4-hour chart of Bitcoin, the price retreated after two attempts to break higher, once again approaching the neck line, initially showing the characteristics of a small double top adjustment. However, whether the double top pattern can ultimately be established still depends on the strength of the neck line support. From yesterday's closing situation, Bitcoin failed to quickly recover after the retreat and did not re-establish at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the current price continuously running below the middle band. This indicates a slightly weak trend at the 4-hour level, with a low closing price, and a fierce battle currently unfolding around the neck line support. It's worth noting that although Bitcoin is still in an upward channel, the upward momentum has weakened, and there is strong resistance around $108,000.

Looking at Ethereum, from the daily technical indicators analysis, the current coin price has risen above the 5-day moving average. Currently, Ethereum is undergoing box oscillation adjustment near $2,500. In terms of technical indicators, both KDJ and MACD indicators continue the oscillating upward trend; the MA5 and MA10 moving averages maintain an upward divergence trend; and the BOLL indicator's bands are continuously narrowing. In summary, it is expected that Ethereum's price will likely maintain a sideways consolidation around $2,500 for the day. The short-term trading suggestions are as follows:

Buy Bitcoin near 102800-103000, target around 105800-106000
Buy Ethereum near 2450-2475, target around 2540-2560

#我的COS交易 #中心化与去中心化交易所 #交易类型入门 #Strategy增持比特币 #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH