jup556677

Be a diligent update author. Tonight, I guess the CPI will be between 2.3% and 2.2%. After all, they write the data themselves; the official word has two mouths. Last time, I guessed the CPI data wrong, but I got the direction right. Tonight's prediction, regardless of whether it's good or bad news, is looking at an increase. Just look for yourself; don't shout for or follow others' trades. It's a zero-sum game; you have to lose for others to gain. No matter what information, this market is led by contract funds; it will either drop first and then rise or directly surge, and we will only know at 8:30.

Ether 2425 will stand around 8 AM tomorrow, it is recommended to surrender short positions, only 2425 and 3067 have pressure

Those who were bearish yesterday were slapped in the face, but unfortunately, I didn't get on the long positions at 1765 and 94200. The market is always ruthless, often moving in the direction you initially anticipated after testing your limits. Personally, I think there’s about 12 days left of bullish trends, and I hope we can break 110,000 and see a strong bullish rally.

Tonight at 94200, I will enter a long position in BTC. I just saw that the expectation of no interest rate cut from the CME is over 97%. This will result in a price movement characterized by a large number of long and short positions, which will be closed before 2 PM. Whether closing long or short, it will all be executed within the buying range, causing a brief price spike. Then, once the news of no interest rate cut is released, there will be a downward trend. After that, when Powell speaks, there will be fluctuations with sudden rises and falls. By around 3 PM, the speech will conclude with a dovish tone, and the market will start to digest these dovish remarks. The price will begin to aggressively test resistance levels, with volatility between highs and lows, making it suitable to place long orders at lower levels.

After the contradiction between last month's unemployment rate and non-farm data, I don't want to guess the thinking of this group of amateur performers. Let's make a hasty prediction: tonight's data is likely to be bearish for the crypto market. In the past three months, after good data was released, the trend was first up and then down to new lows. By analogy, if tonight's data is bearish, it will first drop and then rise to new highs. The crypto market is just like this, nothing new. Don't spread it around; if I'm wrong, I can just slap my own face, it's just a guess.

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Get straight to the point, tonight's CPI data is expected to be 2.6, equal to the expected value. The market trend is expected to rise and then fall. Bitcoin has hit the 2000-point ceiling; it can't be ruled out that the announced value may exceed 2.6, and interest rate cut expectations won't be speculated this month. Operation advice: reduce positions on highs, consider shorting one contract between 85000 and 86000, holding for about two to three days, until the weekend.

Tonight's non-farm data is quite complex, previous value 15.1, expected value 13.5. Published value below expectations: direct increase → short-term bullish, but be wary of a pullback after a spike. Higher than expected: direct decrease → short-term bearish, watch if support levels can stabilize. In line with expectations: mainly volatile → technical aspects dominate, assess direction based on sub-item data. Personally, I think tonight's non-farm data will publish a value higher than 13.5. The tariff policy of the beautiful country is aimed at creating an economic recession, collapsing the US stock market to guide funds to buy US debt, and using unscrupulous methods to force dollar holders to save the dollar. The mess in the US is quite difficult to handle, facing a situation where either the dollar or the US dies, it's hard to save either side. In this situation, all financial products denominated in dollars face panic selling. But in the long run for the crypto circle, it is a positive sign; the day the dollar or the US collapses and disintegrates is the day the crypto circle rises. The reason is that the dollar becomes worthless, and it needs to find safe-haven assets to preserve value. When others are fearful, I am greedy; I am waiting for the event to ferment, waiting for a technical bottom price (around 74000). Shorting at high points seems reasonable; even if wrong, there will still be a pullback after a spike, and market sentiment and liquidity itself are still not good.

Why the Federal Reserve is not cutting interest rates, they are still dreaming of where to buy quality assets around the world. From 2021 until now in this wave of dollar tidal, the Beautiful Country is eyeing our real estate. At that time, we saw Xu Jiayin going bankrupt, and Country Garden blowing up, they just wanted our real estate to collapse so they could buy the dip, and then push up our housing market. The result is that we stabilized and did not let housing prices collapse, they did not get the bottom they wanted, and both sides are a bit uncomfortable. The most uncomfortable are us hapless ones, it’s tough being a leek, after the financialization of houses, every industry is also struggling. Trump goes crazy and bites himself. He raises tariffs to create a recession, various assets first drop significantly, even triggering a circuit breaker, pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, after the rate cut, the debt issue is alleviated, a series of policies are rolled out to prepare for the future, using Bitcoin as a reservoir to guide the flow of money into the reservoir, this way it won't cause inflation, then Bitcoin and Ethereum enter a crazy bull market, pushing up the prices. In this financial war, I haven't seen the east rise and the west fall yet, but I saw the big A country’s National Day rally, which seems to just let the funds circulate. But I see that the Fed's interest rate cuts are getting closer, and the money from all over the world will slowly flow, flowing into what? BTC.ETH, let’s understand.

Tonight's CPI data leans towards being bullish, with a small positive expectation. The previous CPI value was 3.0, and the expected value is 2.9. If the published value at 20:30 is below 2.9, it will be a big positive; if it equals 2.9, it will be a small positive; if it is above 2.9, it will be bearish; and if it exceeds 3.0, it will be quite bearish. Personally, I expect the published value to be around 2.9, but I do not rule out the possibility of it being below 2.9. The method of operation is to open a long position with 33x leverage around 20:28, and after the data is published, profits can be locked in within 15 to 20 minutes. If I'm wrong, a stop-loss of 2% will suffice. Although I have been correct many times, I do not have a 100% guarantee every time. Switch to isolated margin mode with 33x leverage, and if liquidation occurs, just take the loss with the amount you are willing to risk. Every time I provide data, it can lead to wealth, depending on one’s own operational ability. In terms of Ethereum, the market is holding the bottom line at 1850; a breakthrough at 1950 would indicate a top-bottom conversion. Take profits when you see gains; the US stock market is still struggling. Finally, a personal note: deep down, I actually hope for a bearish data release tonight, as this would create a divergence and the market would reverse. Of course, whether the data is 2.9, 3.0, or 2.8, it does not affect the bullish outlook for this year. A value of 2.9 represents the Federal Reserve's stubbornness; 2.8 would indicate compromise; and 3.0 or above, next year on this day, would be the anniversary of old Powell’s demise.
This is purely a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Please follow along, my friends; I want to create some influence. An'an, give me some traffic, woof woof 😘

Today's non-farm data previous value 14.3, expected value 16. If the published value is lower than 16, Bitcoin will rise; if it is higher than 16, it will fall. My prediction is: there will be a crypto summit tonight, and the actors from the Federal Reserve will give Trump face by providing a value lower than 16, which will be announced at 9:30 PM. If they dare to announce a value above 16, that would be a slap in Trump's face. This series of actions suggests that tonight's non-farm data release will likely be favorable for cryptocurrency prices. The method of operation is to expect a slight drop before the announcement at 9:30 PM, and then the price will shoot up once the data is released. The risk is that I guessed wrong!

Almost done, the mining machine shutdown price is 78000, the rebound after arrival is pretty good, starting bottom oscillation, opening up for a bull market wait. Damn, don't go long on Ethereum, there's a moodengeth chain on-chain, the community is good, the consensus is good, the prosperity of the Ethereum ecosystem, starting with on-chain tokens (hippo) a hundred times. Go add some liquidity pool.

Always only trade one coin, profit is a *😅 while losses are just that. The only asset you can quickly and easily increase your position and recover with is BTC. Don't exceed two types of coins in your portfolio; you can't manage more than that. Wake up early from the illusion of wealth that comes from making quick money in altcoin long positions (except when the altcoin index exceeds 75), as that is a trap. The most efficient way to make money in contracts is still BTC. Once a person becomes a puppet of desire, they become a slave to their own life. Trading is a process: self-reflection, enlightenment, and improving one's own practice. It can also just be a numerical game of finding patterns.

1. According to Bloomberg, Trump Media announced that its board has approved the purchase of cryptocurrency assets. 2. The New York Stock Exchange has submitted a proposal to allow staking of Grayscale's Ethereum ETF. 3. West Virginia Senator Ross has introduced a bill allowing West Virginia to invest some public funds in "any digital asset with a market cap exceeding $750 billion." 4. Senator Lummis announced that the race for nations to purchase #Bitcoin has begun.

The CPI data at 21:30 tonight is 2.9 for the previous value, 2.9 for the forecast value. If the published value is higher than 2.9, it will drop; if lower than 2.9, it will rise; if equal to 2.9, it will continue to fluctuate at the bottom technically. In terms of price performance, if the published value is above or below 2.9, the price will fluctuate wildly, and then we will choose the direction based on this data value. Personally, I guess the CPI data tonight leans towards a decrease in cryptocurrency prices. Last night, Powell said there was no rush to cut interest rates, and the President's tariff actions could trigger inflation data. The non-farm data is also looking good. These players will either announce the data as 2.9 tonight or publish it above 2.9. I won't go into too much detail as it's too long. The suggested approach is to short when the price reaches the resistance level after a high point during the day. In the 5 minutes before 21:30, short when the price pretends to rise. A stop loss of 1000 points or 50 points for Ethereum should be sufficient for this shorting strategy, which I personally favor. Conversely, if the price keeps falling during the day and fails to rise, and if the data is published below 2.9, consider going long, with the same stop loss. These players want everyone to miss out; they have completed their positioning and aim to start a bull market with the CPI data. Just consider it if my analysis is incorrect.

Here is the latest signal for everyone: I can browse Twitter without climbing over the firewall with my telecom card. I post on Moments and discuss cryptocurrencies in the group, and my account is no longer abnormal. Some things may be loosened. If China and the United States enter a honeymoon period, the United States will strongly support cryptocurrencies. There is a lot of room for imagination in the follow-up. Combined with what I said before, the whole world is printing money and the United States is entering a cycle of interest rate cuts. Fiat currency needs to find a capital sedimentation pool. Banks are lending crazily to stimulate consumption and the economy. We are in an environment of a century of opportunities and changes. I don’t think there will be this opportunity in the next 20 years. Therefore, it is correct and worthwhile to dare to borrow from banks, dare to be in debt, make money with money, and buy high-quality assets within your own cognition. Take risks that you can bear, make the worst plan, and do everything with risks. Do things within your own cognition with a willing attitude. This plunge also made me reflect and summarize. The most important thing for investment is to ensure the safety of the principal. At the right time, withdraw the principal and keep the profit, and use the profit to bet on the future. It is also important to hold positions without risk. Greed and fear of missing out are not good investment behaviors. Fortunately, we have not been trapped at the highest point. We have been holding the currency and can outperform more than 90% of the swing traders.

ETH is the builder of this industry, the cornerstone of the industry, and an important target for value investment. You just need to fulfill your original dream, and in due time, you will return as a king. Keep it up! No matter what, I will not give up on you and you all. Retail investors are like fair-weather friends, running wherever there is profit, just like eggs: when broken from the outside, they are food; when broken from the inside, they are life. Great achievements come from self-breakthrough.

Let me tell you a joke. If Ethereum falls below 2000, from a technical perspective, an M-head is established. If the weekly M-head is established, then the drop from 4000 to 2000 is the first stage, and the drop from 2000 to zero is the second stage. If you don't know what an M-head is, look at the M-head marked at the daily level in my picture. One by one, don't be so greedy to buy more Ethereum. If it rises a little, buy more Ethereum. If it falls below 2000, we can be a family together. You can short it. Shorting can pull the market, but you can't make money by going long. If you see it, please forward it. Thank you 🙏.

To tell the truth, the leeks are always cut by themselves. Human nature dictates that after experiencing losses, the leeks look for reasons to vent their frustrations and convince themselves to accept the outcome of those losses; this is called the instinct of psychological balance. Speaking for myself, as an old leek with two cycles of bull and bear market experience, last year I kept thinking, Bitcoin has risen, so Ethereum should catch up, right? So I went long on Ethereum spot, but I always underperformed the market until this bull market had already progressed significantly. Only then did I realize that I did not truly understand the fundamental logic behind the price fluctuations before. Now, having seen just the tip of the iceberg, I have shared it in the image below. I hope everyone can like and share it more to save themselves. Otherwise, Ethereum won't rise.

Don’t open many Ethereum, don’t open leverage on Ethereum, and don’t ask others to open long orders on Ethereum. Wait for Vitalik to speed up the Ethereum chain, reduce gas fees, and provide favorable support, so that the ecosystem, let the Tugou project party, issue coins on Ethereum, and let the Ethereum chain come out with a money-making effect. Deposit, buy, and withdraw are the fundamentals for a token to rise. BTC has been deposited, bought, and withdrawn, so BTC has been rising in the bull market. There are many Tugou in Sol, and Sol has risen after depositing. As for Ethereum, there are few Tugou on the chain, and the 10,000-fold coin has become extinct. What’s more terrifying is that everyone agrees that Ethereum will rise in this round of bull market, and they desperately buy contracts and double the number, thinking of making a fortune, and then it becomes like this. Eliminate the behavior of going long on Ethereum. Buy Ethereum, withdraw to your wallet, and it will rise. I hope retail investors can save themselves, so that when Ethereum rises, there will be a copycat season. In fact, there is no so-called dog dealer main force, it is just a series of market behaviors triggered by news, and this is the underlying logic of the currency price operation.