Gustavo Ambrosine

This community is unbearable. Now, every "expert" only knows how to teach placing stop losses. And they still throw out that classic phrase: "Oh, but if you had used a stop loss, you wouldn't have lost so much!" What jokers!

I have never placed a stop loss on a trade in my life. But, 100% of the time, I do set a stop gain. I don't mind taking risks because I know exactly how much I want to earn. Just by opening the chart, I can already predict the probabilities and identify the right point to set my stop gain.

Do you know why no one teaches this? Because they want to see you holding. They want to sell you the idea of infinite highs. But the hype of holding in cryptocurrencies has already passed. Those who still push this narrative are either naïve or acting in bad faith.

Your biggest enemy is not volatility, it’s not the market. It’s your greed. Stop thinking that if you had placed a stop loss, you would have lost less. Start thinking that if you had set a stop gain, you would have earned more!$BTC

good morning, it's better to start doing the opposite of what Trump wants, he doesn't care about the crypto market, he treats the market like a mess and the sardines are the small fries lol. btc below 80k you have to keep an eye on Michael Taylor when that unfortunate person melts down it will ruin the rest of the market.$BTC

I only believe if it holds until Wednesday.

Zelensky in the USA for Business? Is War a Business?

The fight is not for the freedom or sovereignty of Ukraine, but for the value of rare earths, military aid, and gas. And in the midst of all this, no one speaks about the value of the lives of Ukrainians. This seemingly commissioned war cannot end anymore, and it seems to be the agenda of Zelensky, who, ironically, is no longer an elected president.

If the war ended today, it would be necessary to call for new elections. But would the president who dragged his country into a conflict, where the well-being of the population was put last, remain popular? Zelensky has turned his nation into chaos, and the human damage caused can never be recovered. Ukraine has already lost this war: it has lost its peace, it has lost its sovereignty. It remains to be seen for whom.

While Ukraine fights for a place in NATO, the rest of Europe, which does not consider countries like Poland or Lithuania as "first-line members," controls the narratives. Even with Ukraine being placed at the center of the war, it will only inherit more debts and problems. There are no significant benefits in this.

Zelensky has become a shielded figure. His image has been constructed in such a protected way that his political and financial actions are rarely questioned, as if he were untouchable. The Western media largely does not investigate its own interests nor the human impact of this war. Zelensky, like other leaders such as Gaddafi, began his rise with the support of the West, but soon turned into an authoritarian and controversial leader, where his mistakes and abuses are constantly ignored, while the narrative of the "fight for freedom" is promoted.

In the end, who really benefits from this is Zelensky, who, by all indications, is already collecting allegations of enrichment from this war. And to top it off, Trump also does not care about lives, but rather about rare earths. In the end, the war has always been about business, while human life remains secondary.

🔫 The bullets are running out, and the target is getting further away. This is the current situation of Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy. After hours of research, I couldn't find the exact average price of their Bitcoin purchases, but estimates suggest something between $72,000 and $75,000, not including fees and interest. 📉💸 Yes, he is leveraged, and like anyone operating with debt, he has to deal with financial costs that never stop growing.

⚡ So far, the movement of BTC follows a normal flow—there was a significant rise and now it is undergoing a correction. But those who live in this market know: Bitcoin is marked by great catastrophes created by greed. 💀🔥 Being here is like living on an island where, from time to time, a tsunami 🌊 comes and takes everything away. And this tsunami may be forming now due to MicroStrategy, just as we have seen in the past with FTX, Terra/Luna, and other sector implosions. 💥📉

⚠️ The level of $75,000 will be a critical point. If BTC approaches this range and MicroStrategy faces a margin call, we could be on the verge of an unprecedented crisis in the Bitcoin market. If Saylor miscalculates the next move, the cascading effect could be devastating. ⏳💀#MicroStrategy #MichaelSaylor $BTC

Guys, I've arrived at Canary Wharf! I'm going to ask for everyone's money back 💰😂 I came by DLR because the Ferrari is broken 🚆🤣 Don't worry, it'll be fine! 💸🔥 #london

For the newbies, this was just a free sample of what is to come. If you remember correctly, 20 days ago the market had already tested 89k and recovered quickly. This time, the situation is different: we are not seeing a quick correction, and the most likely scenario is that the price will sideways for a few days before seeking a new lower level.

Of course, this is assuming that the market follows its "normal" cycle — if we can use that word in the crypto world. But come on, this is the scenario if nothing out of the ordinary happens.

Many people believe that this BTC bubble could be even bigger than we imagine. And everyone knows what happens when an American bubble bursts, right? The rest of the world pays the bill.

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Ainda tem salvação ou quando o mercado abrir vai afundar mais?

📉🔥 Gente, a hora que o mercado americano abrir, vamos ter a resposta para tudo isso. Está tudo ligado, e essa baixa na Binance ainda não sentiu a influência dos ETFs e da MicroStrategy. Se o mercado de ações apertar, podemos ver manobras de venda dos big players como BlackRock e Grayscale... Aí o negócio vai endoidar! 😨🚀🔥
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What effect will MicroStrategy have on BTC right now? Tomorrow, when the market opens, it's worth watching how investors will position themselves. If MicroStrategy's stocks collapse, it could be the catalyst needed for a full-blown crypto crisis.

Every crisis has a catalyst. As everyone will remember, the last major crisis in the crypto market was caused by the collapse of FTX, when the exchange collapsed due to manipulation of client funds, liquidity issues and revelations of massive fraud, leading to a wave of panic and cascading liquidations in the market.

I've been saying for months that this will be the turn of Michael Saylor, owner of MicroStrategy. I don't know if it will be tomorrow, but it's worth keeping an eye on. The scenario could look something like this.#SaylorBTCPurchase $BTC

If $BTC breaks 89k will it go straight to 75k or will it slow down? The % is very low compared to the market. If a whale sells the business will go crazy 😭😭😭😭

I only see people crying 😭 and saying "I lost, I lost, I lost"... But calm down, it hasn't even started to fall yet! People, wake up! 🚨 BTC will hit 80k, it's inevitable! 🚀

Now tell me: what do you think will happen to Solana when that happens? 🤔 The rings go, the fingers stay...

It's time to organize the portfolio 📊 and see what really makes sense - if anything makes sense in this crypto market! 😅

Good night everyone! 🌙🔥 $BTC
$SOL

I saw an analysis today on a specialized channel that, in short, said the following: if it breaks 91k, it will fall further; if it breaks 109k, it will rise 🤷. And the analyst still gets paid for it. I'm going to make a more assertive forecast than his, and I don't even get paid for it.

It's not 'if', as the expert said. It's 'when'. Because it's inevitable that the average of 25 will cross the average of 99. When that happens, the value will correct between 15% and 20%. This is because the big players use robots to manage purchases and sales, and whenever these crossovers happen, the market moves in the direction of the trend.

It's important to make it clear that this type of analysis does not take politics into account. Trump's actions can accelerate or slow down this movement, but the break and correction are inevitable$BTC

Do you know what the next wave in the crypto market will be? This has been a constant discussion between me and some partners. As I mentioned in several posts, I used to mine ETH and today I work in the futures market. The BTC halving wave was excellent, everything went according to plan. I surfed this wave calmly and sold at the old ATH of 69k.

The Trump wave? I confess that I didn’t really believe it and I wasn’t able to make the most of it. But now, I am convinced that the next wave will be focused on providing liquidity to the market. The market is at a standstill and everything indicates that it will remain sideways for a long time.

Providing liquidity to the market by selling BTC in futures can be an excellent strategy. This practice has been around for a long time and there are companies that work exclusively with this, a strategy known as "Market Making". Stay tuned, because riding this wave could be the key to the next big move in the crypto market.
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In fact, it's the opposite, right? There are plenty of gurus out there promising a value of 500 without mentioning the risk of getting stuck in a high position. For those who like graphics, it's a good idea to take a look at LTC. Those who stayed in a position above 300 never saw a light at the end of the tunnel. Years in the red.

🌟 If you are in the cryptocurrency market and still find yourself repeating phrases like:
• “I am hoping the price will drop so I can buy more.”
• “Bitcoin is the currency of the future; anyone who doesn’t invest now will regret it.”
• “I’m going to sell everything and put it into Bitcoin, it’s guaranteed profit.”
• “Anyone who criticizes Bitcoin doesn’t understand anything about finance.”
• “Bitcoin will replace all fiat currencies soon.”
• “Investing in anything other than Bitcoin is a waste of time.”
• “Bitcoin is a foolproof hedge against any economic crisis.”
• “All the big investors are secretly buying Bitcoin.”
• “If you don’t understand Bitcoin, you’re old-fashioned.”
• “Bitcoin is completely anonymous and untraceable.”

... maybe it’s time to reevaluate your view of the market. These statements are repeated ad nauseam, but few of them make sense, especially in a market as volatile as the current one.

Bitcoin, for example, has not delivered the expected gains in the last 4 to 5 years. An objective analysis of the chart reveals patterns that look more like traps for novice holders than a safe tool for multiplying wealth.

🔑 The big truth is this: either you evolve into a trader's mindset or the market consumes you and expels you. Anyone who has traded on B3 knows that Binance offers a friendlier environment — with affordable fees and without the suffocating pressure of day trading.

📈 This is the ideal time to turn the key and follow a more conscious and strategic path.$BTC $ETH $XRP

What if BTC were legalized once and for all? What if the government used it as currency and, even better, forced you to use BTC? What would it be like? El Salvador answers:

Even though the country adopted Bitcoin as its official currency in 2021, the experiment was a huge flop. The numbers don't lie:

74% of the population has not used BTC since its officialization.

Only 12% of Salvadorans made any transactions in BTC in 2023.

Most prices remain in dollars, the population's preferred currency.

Why did this happen? Simple: no one wants to deal with something so volatile on a daily basis. Imagine going to the market and seeing the price of bread rise or fall 5% to 10% in a few hours. Buying breakfast would be one trade, lunch another, and dinner yet another.

Stress is the name of the game. Living under this constant uncertainty is terrifying. Your salary today may buy a Ferrari, but tomorrow it may only buy a bicycle. And the people of El Salvador said "no".

I would say no too. What about you? Would you like to live dangerously like that?$BTC

just the beginning 🫠🫠

What is the logic in what you are saying? Isn't it easier to sell and wait for the drop to buy cheap? Holding on doesn't make sense.

$BTC Today, the 99-day average was broken. Although many already know this, it is important to emphasize that if the 25-day average breaks the 99-day average, the downtrend will be confirmed. In this case, only if Trump creates the much-dreamed-of "store of value" can it drive a rise, which rarely happens in the short term.

There is a time to enter and a time to exit, and now it seems that we are approaching the time to exit. Those who are not familiar with market cycles need to understand that if BTC goes down, it will not be a correction lasting months, but years.

In my first experience, I mined ETH using NiceHash and converted everything to LTC, which was one of the most promising currencies at the time. When LTC fell, it never recovered its value. If I had held that position, I would have been at a huge loss for years.

No one knows for sure when a currency will lose value. So don't be greedy, especially if you are already in profit. Don't get stuck in a position you may never return to.

Who dares to predict how far BTC will fall? What will be the reset point for a new high and, who knows, the search for a new ATH? Honestly, I don't believe we will see a new all-time high in this cycle – unless Trump decides to reserve BTC, which was unlikely from the beginning and is now practically impossible.

But then, how far will BTC fall? Testing the nerves of newbies, liquidating leveraged traders and making the "let it fall and I'll buy more" crowd end up selling at a loss. Because let's be realistic: if BTC reached 100K, it was by swallowing liquidations and feeding on the desperation of the impatient.

In my view, the bottom of this cycle should be between 49K and 74K – exactly the zone of the previous cycle. And we will only see a drop below 49K if there is a crash in the American market.

Now the question is: do you have the courage to sell now, make a profit and buy back at a low price, or are you going to hold on tight and give it up cheap to the sharks? $BTC