Crypto vn124

What is Altseason? Has it started? Here are the clearest signs!

Altseason (the season of altcoins) is the period in the cryptocurrency market when altcoins (besides Bitcoin) experience strong growth, outperforming Bitcoin in percentage price increase. When altseason occurs, investors can see increases of 2–10 times or more in a short period. But how do you know it has begun?
Here are the confirming signs that altseason has started – you should not overlook:
1. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) drops significantly
• When BTC.D falls below key thresholds like 52%, 50%, or lower, it is a sign that money is starting to leave Bitcoin and flow into altcoins.
2. BTC price moves sideways or increases slowly
• When Bitcoin increases slowly or moves sideways, investors tend to seek higher profits from altcoins – paving the way for altseason to explode.
3. Large amounts of money flow into ETH (Ethereum)
• ETH is often the 'leader' of the altcoin season. When ETH rises sharply in price, with high trading volume, and ETH/BTC increases, it signals that money is spreading to the altcoin ecosystem.
4. Altcoins consistently break short-term peaks
• DeFi tokens, Layer 1, Layer 2, meme coins… all break out of accumulation zones and continuously create new highs.
5. Altcoin trading volume surges
• For example: Tokens like 1INCH, LINK, AVAX, INJ, RNDR experience trading volumes spiking > 4–5 million USD/day – indicating that speculative money is actively flowing.
6. Altcoin Season Index > 75
• This index is provided by Blockchaincenter.net. When it surpasses the 75 mark, it is almost certain that altseason is occurring.
7. Meme coins and risky tokens surge significantly
• Meme coins or small-cap tokens start to x10, x20.

"Waiting to buy" or "riding the wave"? The psychology of FOMO and how to control it during Altseason

In recent days, the cryptocurrency market has entered a heated phase. Bitcoin's price is fluctuating sharply, dominance is decreasing, and altcoins are beginning to show signs of a new wave. Many retail investors feel "impatient" – should they buy now or wait for a correction?

This is when the psychology of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) – the fear of missing an opportunity – becomes the driving force behind investment behavior.
💥 FOMO: The biggest enemy in the crypto market

FOMO is a common phenomenon, especially when:
• A token is rising sharply (e.g., WLD, BOME, WIF…)
• The community is "buzzing" with people showcasing their profits,
• Media, KOLs, and chat groups are all "screaming" about opportunities

At that point, investors often get swept up in the wave, jumping in to buy at high prices without a clear strategy. The common outcome: buying at the peak.
🎯 Is "waiting to buy" a safer approach?

In many cases, "waiting to buy" is a wise action:
• It helps you stay calm, not getting swept up in emotions,
• You can buy at support levels, or when the market cools down,
• You have time to analyze the token, cash flow, and volume more thoroughly

However, if you are too cautious, you may miss out on a strong upward trend.

📈 How to control FOMO?

1. Determine your buying zone in advance: Set price alerts, monitor support and resistance levels.
2. Don’t buy based on hot news or vague advice – Have a clear reason for each purchase order.
3. DCA – Dollar Cost Averaging: Don’t go all-in at one time.
4. Keep an investment journal: Record the reasons for entering a trade and your emotions at that time.
5. Monitor cash flow & volume: Choose times with real cash inflow, not just short-term FOMO.

INVESTING IN TOKEN MONITORING PROFITS WITH RISKS

1. Legal Risks
Monitored tokens may be considered unregistered securities. If regulatory authorities conclude that there are violations, the exchange may be required to delist, freeze assets, or impose fines — leading to a sharp decline in token prices.
2. Delisting Risks
When a token is placed on a “watchlist” or is sued, major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase may halt trading to mitigate legal risks. This significantly impacts liquidity and the investor's ability to withdraw funds.
3. Impact on Market Sentiment
Negative news or prolonged lawsuits can cause the community to lose confidence, resulting in significant selling pressure and leading to a sharp price drop in a short period.
4. Difficulty in Relisting
Once delisted, getting a token back on major exchanges is not easy, affecting its long-term value and investment strategy.

Potential Profits
1. Low Prices After Bad News
Monitored tokens often drop sharply due to legal concerns. If issues are resolved or there is a positive conclusion from regulatory authorities, prices can rebound strongly.
2. Speculative Cash Flow
Risk-tolerant investors often seize the opportunity to “catch the bottom” to seek short-term profits, especially during technical recovery waves or “news trading” cash flows.
3. Likelihood of Winning Lawsuits or Settlements
Some projects have strong legal teams and negotiation capabilities. If a token is concluded not to be a security or reaches a favorable settlement, prices can recover quickly.

All markets follow BTC - Buying altcoins also needs to watch BTC adjustments:

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Don't forget: Everything follows BTC

Many people see altcoins rising strongly and rush to FOMO, but forget that Bitcoin is still the driver of the market.
No matter which altcoin you trade, you need to watch if Bitcoin is adjusting, going sideways, or breaking out.
• BTC dump => Altcoin dump stronger
• BTC recovery => Altcoin recovery lighter
• BTC stable sideways => Altcoin can rise strongly

=> The key is: Watch for BTC's adjustment rhythm to accumulate altcoins.

Real example:
On May 15, BTC dumped from 106K (on Haskey exchange) down to 101K, altcoins turned red simultaneously.
But when BTC began to stabilize, some altcoins immediately recovered 5–10%.

Advice:
• No need to catch the bottom of BTC
• But must closely follow the BTC chart before jumping into altcoins
• Trade like waves, don't fight the tide

BTC/USDT on Haskey exchange surged to 106,280 USDT – an unusual sign or an early signal?

While the price of BTC on major exchanges like Binance, Bybit, and OKX fluctuates around the mark of 101,500–102,000 USDT, on Haskey exchange, the 1H candle on May 15 recorded a sudden high reaching 106,280 USDT – a discrepancy of more than 4,000 USDT compared to the general level.

This could be:
• A rare price glitch.
• A signal indicating unusual buying activity on Haskey – often related to whales or trading bots.
• A sign that money flow is preparing to change direction or that a market maker is “accumulating” before pushing the price.

Why is this noteworthy?
• When a small exchange has price action ahead of larger exchanges, it sometimes signals a quick reaction from professional traders or AI bots.
• This could also be a “leading indicator” for the upcoming bounce of BTC across the market.

Proposed actions:
• Need to closely monitor the reaction of BTC prices on major exchanges in the next 24 hours.
• Check for signs of money flow leaving stablecoins, increasing into BTC or altcoins.
• If you are a spot investor: Limit FOMO, prioritize waiting for clear breakout confirmation.
• If you are a derivatives trader: Consider a short-term long position if BTC surpasses MA10 on H1 and maintains increasing volume.

If you had Long BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) at the price level of 879 and held until now (around 4,850), then this is one of the biggest "account-burning" events for the altcoin side.

1. The significance of Long BTC Dominance:
• An increase in BTC Dominance means that capital is flowing strongly into BTC, while altcoins are being drained.
• Going Long at a bottom level like 879 is an extremely accurate way to catch the wave of capital flow.
• From the level of 879 up to the peak of 5,650 and currently still around 4,850, the profit can exceed 450% if leverage is used.

2. Significance for the market:
• When BTC.D increases, altcoins often experience a sharp decline or weak sideways movement.
• This is when altcoin investors face the most psychological challenges. Many people get stopped out, feel frustrated, and leave the market.

3. Message:

Long BTC Dominance is placing trust in the flow of money towards safe havens. Those who understand the flow of money will survive in every market season.

PI NETWORK – DEVASTATING SPEED & OPPORTUNITY IN FLUCTUATION

From $0.5525 to $1.66 in just a few candles – What is Pi telling us?

Let’s look at the price chart and actual data:
• 24h highest price: $1.2273
• 24h lowest price: $0.8089
• Current price: $0.8766
• Decrease level: -27.19%
• Market capitalization: $6.36B
• Diluted market cap: $89.16B
• 24h trading volume: 203.99M PI

The all-time high of Pi was just set on 26/02/2025 at a price of $2.982. But now, the price has plummeted over 70%, hitting an all-time low of $0.4012 on 05/04/2025.

The speed of Pi – opportunity or FOMO trap?

Pi Network proves that it is not a sluggish asset. It can double or triple in just 1-2 days, but can also halve in value within a few hours. This is characteristic of coins with large communities, high expectations, and… full of controversy.

Message for investors:
• Don’t FOMO when green candles are everywhere. Let the chart answer, “Do you really need to enter right now?”
• Do not panic sell. Pi once dropped dramatically to $0.40 and then bounced back to 4 times. Do you have the patience to wait for that?
• Great opportunities often hide behind fear. Those who dared to accumulate at $0.55 recently may have exited at $1.6 within 24 hours.

Conclusion:
Pi is a vibrant testament that the crypto market always “hits human emotions.” Those on the outside will feel regret. Those who enter at the wrong time will feel pain. And only those with strategy and discipline can survive and win.

The Market Wants You to Give Up – And Right Then It Will Rise

The crypto market has a strange "habit": it often rises the most precisely when investors lose patience and let go.

Have you ever experienced this?
• Waiting silently for an entire month.
• Prices moving sideways, dropping slightly, then moving sideways again.
• You feel tired, skeptical, starting to think: "Maybe this market has nothing left..."
• Then you decide to sell. "Just to preserve capital."

And just when you leave... the market surges.

It's not that you're unlucky. This is how the market "culls" those with weak psychology, those who have lost faith.

Market psychology works like this:
• When everyone is excited → peak.
• When everyone is discouraged → bottom.

The strongest surges usually come after:
• Investor exhaustion.
• Weak money flow as everyone is panicking and selling.
• The feeling of "having nothing left to lose."

And then... the market silently rises when few are paying attention.

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Advice?
• Don't let the market defeat you with emotions.
• Invest with a strategy, not with your mood.
• When you feel "like giving up the most" – that could be a signal that you are about to miss the greatest opportunity.

Patience – is the ultimate competitive advantage.

Top 10 Altcoins in Layer 1 & Layer 2
I. Top 5 Notable Layer 1 Altcoins

1. Ethereum (ETH)
• Unreplaceable position.
• Largest ecosystem with DeFi, NFT, staking…
• Continuously improving through upgrades (Shanghai, Dencun…).

2. Solana (SOL)
• Extremely fast transaction processing, very low fees.
• Strong recovery after the FTX period.
• Vibrant NFT and DeFi ecosystem.

3. Avalanche (AVAX)
• Supports Subnet, flexible scaling.
• Attracting attention from many traditional financial projects.
• Good processing speed, suitable for complex dApp applications.

4. Sui (SUI)
• Emerging project using the Move language.
• High speed, backed by Mysten Labs.
• Rapidly growing ecosystem.

5. Aptos (APT)
• Layer 1 built by former Facebook members.
• Promises scalability and user-friendly UX.
• Still in the process of shaping the ecosystem.

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II. Top 5 Potential Layer 2 Altcoins

6. Arbitrum (ARB)
• Top Layer 2 of Ethereum.
• Largest TVL among L2s.
• Many DeFi projects have been deployed on Arbitrum.

7. Optimism (OP)
• Used by major protocols like Coinbase (Base).
• Aiming for a Superchain model.
• Active development community.

8. zkSync (ZK) (waiting for mainnet token)
• Utilizes zkRollup technology – a highly regarded direction.
• Supported by Matter Labs and many large funds.
• No token yet, but great potential upon launch.

9. Starknet (STRK)
• Also an L2 using zkRollup.
• STRK token has been issued.
• Developed by StarkWare – a leading unit in zk technology.

10. Base (COIN)
• L2 developed by Coinbase, built on Optimism.
• Easily accessible to new users.
• Currently has no separate token, but is highly anticipated.

Jerome Powell's Speech – The Nightmare for Long/Short Traders!

In the financial world, nothing is more terrifying than the speeches of Fed Chair Jerome Powell – and for leveraged traders (long/short), it could be the “death candle” that wipes out accounts in just a few seconds.

Why are Powell's speeches so dangerous?
1. The market reacts immediately to every word: Just a hint from Powell saying “inflation is still persistent” – asset prices instantly plummet. If he shifts to “ready to cut interest rates” – the entire market turns bright green right away.
2. Unpredictable: Even if the market expects him to “talk soft,” Powell can unexpectedly turn hawkish, or vice versa – causing trading positions to reverse without warning.
3. Extreme volatility: Within just the first few minutes of the speech, asset pairs can fluctuate by tens of percent, “sweeping” both long and short positions at the same time – a phenomenon traders call “double kill.”

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A warning for traders:
• If you are using leverage, stay out when Powell is about to speak.
• Check the economic event calendar (FOMC, CPI, Non-farm…) and keep your account safe before the “shark waves.”

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Conclusion:
In the financial market, Powell doesn’t say much – but every time he does, it’s “red all over the board.” Always remember: Keeping your capital safe is essential for long-term fighting.

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“Just bought it and it’s red”: The psychological tragedy of investors standing outside too long

Have you ever experienced the feeling of standing outside the market, watching prices soar, your heart restless? When you can’t bear it anymore, you decide to “follow along” – and right after that, a long red candle strikes down your hopes like a stick. If you have ever found yourself in this situation, you are not alone.

1. FOMO Psychology: Standing outside watching the market soar

When the market starts to rise, especially after a long period of adjustment or sideways movement, investors can easily fall into a state of FOMO (fear of missing out). They continuously check the charts, see assets rising by 10%, 20%, then 50% – and start blaming themselves for not entering the trade earlier.

2. Impatient decisions – and the price to pay

Many people buy at the peak of a rising wave – not because they have a clear plan, but because of psychological pressure. As soon as they enter the trade, the market turns around. A long red candle, or even a series of consecutive correction sessions, frightens them, leading them to sell at a loss – and repeat the cycle.

3. Lesson: Don’t let emotions control your trading decisions

The market always has cycles. When you’ve missed a move, it’s best to calmly observe and wait for clearer opportunities instead of chasing out of fear of missing out. Planning, determining reasonable entry points, and managing capital are what help you survive in the long run.

4. Conclusion

Trading is not just about technique – it is also the art of controlling emotions. Don’t let a few candles change your entire strategy. Opportunities will always come back – as long as you maintain discipline and calmness.

HSK - A fleeting craze or a sleeping opportunity?

HSK/USDT once recorded a dizzying increase to 2.5982 USDT, before plummeting uncontrollably to the current level of 0.3786 USDT – equivalent to a decrease of over 85% on a weekly basis.

1. What happened?
The weekly chart shows that HSK is a token that experienced strong FOMO in the early stages, but lacks sustainable support. Trading volume has gradually declined, and the MA5 crossing below the MA10 indicates a clear weakening trend.

2. Is this the bottom?
Currently, the price is fluctuating around 0.32 - 0.38 USDT, a narrow accumulation zone after a strong sell-off.
• CCI indicator: currently at -82, indicating oversold conditions.
• KDJ: K (10.87), D (9.51), J (13.57) – all three are in the low range, potentially signaling a rebound in the short term.

3. Opportunity or risk?
With 24h volume still maintaining over 200,000 HSK, HSK continues to attract a group of speculative investors or bottom fishers. However, caution is needed as there is no clear fundamental information accompanying it – which is crucial when evaluating a new token.

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Summary:
HSK could be an opportunity if this is truly an accumulation bottom, but it could also just be a typical “pump-dump.” Keep a close watch on the cash flow and fundamental information before making a decision.

In the crypto world, exchange tokens are one of the asset groups with the potential for stable and long-term profitability. These are not only the tokens of centralized exchanges (CEX) such as Binance, OKX, HTX, but also of decentralized exchanges (DEX) such as Uniswap, dYdX, GMX.

1. What are exchange tokens?

They are the native tokens of a trading platform, used to:
• Reduce trading fees (BNB, OKB, HT)
• Reward for staking/farming/liquidity mining (UNI, DYDX)
• Participate in IEO, Launchpad, Airdrop (BNB, OKB, KCS)
• Governance – Community management (UNI, DYDX, GMX)

2. Classification of exchange tokens
Type of exchange
Example tokens
Outstanding features
CEX (Centralized)
BNB, OKB, HT, KCS
High reputation, large user base, stable growth
DEX (Decentralized)
UNI, DYDX, GMX, CAKE
New trend, closely linked to DeFi, strong governance
3. Top exchange tokens by market capitalization (Updated May 2025)
#
Token
Exchange
Market Cap (Estimated)
Type
1
BNB
Binance
~$87B
CEX
2
OKB
OKX
~$6B
CEX
3
UNI
Uniswap
~$5B
DEX
4
DYDX
dYdX
~$1.8B
DEX
5
KCS
KuCoin
~$1B
CEX
6
GMX
GMX
~$800M
DEX
7
HT
HTX
~$700M
CEX
8
CAKE
PancakeSwap
~$650M

4. Why should you monitor the group of exchange tokens?
• Stability and long-term: Exchanges have large cash flows, consistent profits, and a model similar to stocks.
• Periodic token burn: Reducing supply => Increasing value (like BNB, KCS, OKB)
• Growth potential during bull runs: An increase in users leads to revenue and token price increases
• Long-term investment strategy: The group of exchange tokens is the backbone of crypto infrastructure – "investing in the casino rather than the gambler."

5. Notes when investing in exchange tokens
• Prioritize large, transparent, and highly secure exchanges (Binance, OKX, Uniswap).
• Monitor revenue, trading volume, buyback/burn programs.
• Avoid tokens with legal or liquidity issues.

Investor Psychology: Why Do We Always Sell at the Bottom – Buy at the Top?

Introduction:
In the crypto market, there is an unofficial but very frequent rule: Retail investors often buy at the top and sell at the bottom. Why is this the case? The answer lies in human psychology – fear and greed.

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1. FOMO Effect (Fear of Missing Out)
When the market is booming, coins are rising by tens or hundreds of percent, investors easily get swept up in the FOMO wave.
They feel that if they don't enter a position immediately, the opportunity will slip away. The result is: buying at the peak, when it is already too late.

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2. Fear of Loss When the Market is Crashing (FUD)
When the market drops sharply, negative news floods in, many people panic and sell off.
They do not want to see their accounts go negative further, so they accept taking losses at the bottom – often just before the market recovers.

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3. Emotional Vicious Cycle
• Prices rise → Excitement → Buy in
• Prices fall → Worry → Wait for a rebound
• Prices drop sharply → Panic → Sell off
• Prices recover → Regret → Buy back at a higher price

This is the repeating cycle that causes many people to “travel a long road and still incur losses.”

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4. Solutions to Escape the Psychological Trap
• Discipline with investment strategy: enter positions according to plan, not emotions
• Allocate capital wisely: DCA, not all-in
• Understand market cycles: prices do not rise forever, nor do they fall forever
• Learn to stand aside: Sometimes, doing nothing is the best choice

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Conclusion:
Investing is not just a financial game, but also a battle with one's own emotions.
Those who control their emotions – control their profits.

What is Altseason?

Altseason is a term that refers to the period when altcoins begin to grow significantly, surpassing Bitcoin in terms of growth rate. This is a time when altcoins are actively traded and experience sudden price increases, potentially reaching new all-time highs.

During an altcoin season, we often see BTC Dominance decrease sharply, and altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL), and many others grow strongly, leading to overall market growth.

# BTC Dominance Breaks - Is Altseason Coming?

Currently, BTC Dominance is showing signs of a sharp decline, which could be a clear signal for the start of altcoin season. When BTC Dominance breaks down below a key support level, altcoins will receive significant attention from investors.

Historically, when BTC Dominance falls to 40-45%, altcoins begin to grow strongly and the cryptocurrency market tends to shift from Bitcoin dominance to altcoin dominance. This signals an altcoin season, where altcoins may experience significant price increases, even outperforming Bitcoin in terms of return rate.

# How to Monitor Altseason Signals
• BTC Dominance: Monitor changes in BTC Dominance. If it continues to decline below key support levels, that is a sign that altcoin season is approaching.
• Altcoin Volume: Strong growth in trading volume of altcoins is also a clear sign of Altseason.
• Technical Indicators: Indicators such as RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD can help determine the best times to enter and exit altcoins during altcoin season.

BTC Dominance Breaks: Is the Altcoin Season Coming?

In the cryptocurrency market, BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is an index measuring the market capitalization ratio of Bitcoin compared to the entire cryptocurrency market. When BTC Dominance decreases, it often indicates that altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) are gaining traction in the market. Is the decline in BTC Dominance a signal that the altcoin season (Altseason) is approaching?

$ What is BTC Dominance?

BTC Dominance is the percentage ratio between the market capitalization of Bitcoin and the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies. If BTC Dominance is high, it indicates that Bitcoin is dominant and altcoins are not receiving strong interest from investors. Conversely, when BTC Dominance decreases, the market capitalization of altcoins increases, potentially signaling that Altseason is near.

$ Why is BTC Dominance decreasing?

The decrease in BTC Dominance can stem from several reasons:
• Increased interest in altcoins: Investors shift from Bitcoin to altcoins with higher potential for short-term growth.
• The appeal of altcoins: Some altcoins, especially tokens in DeFi or NFT projects, can attract significant attention due to innovative features or strong development.
• Changes in market sentiment: After Bitcoin reaches high price levels, investors tend to seek quick profits from altcoins, leading to an increase in the market capitalization of altcoins.

Investing in Stablecoins: Safe, Low Risk but Low Returns

Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency whose value is pegged to stable assets, usually USD, to protect investors from the sharp price fluctuations of other cryptocurrencies. Although the returns from stablecoins are typically low, they are a safe and low-risk investment option, suitable for those seeking stability.

1. Safe and Low Risk

Stablecoins like USDT (Tether), USDC (USD Coin), or DAI maintain a stable value, usually 1 stablecoin = 1 USD. This helps minimize risk when the cryptocurrency market experiences significant fluctuations. When investing in stablecoins, you don't have to worry about sudden price drops of other cryptocurrencies.

2. Low Returns, High Liquidity

Although the returns from stablecoins are not high, they offer high liquidity. You can easily convert stablecoins to fiat currency or other cryptocurrencies without incurring large transaction fees or delays. This is an ideal choice for those who don't want to take risks but still need assets that can be easily converted.

3. Minimal Transaction Fees

Stablecoins have low or almost no transaction fees, helping to save costs compared to transferring money through other blockchains. This makes storing and converting stablecoins much more convenient and efficient than other cryptocurrencies.

4. A Safe Choice for Investors

Stablecoins are the ideal tool for those seeking safety in investments. Although they do not provide high returns, they help protect assets from market volatility and maintain stable value over the long term.

ADA – A Solid Foundation in the Blockchain Race

Cardano (ADA) is one of the leading blockchain platforms today, built on a scientific philosophy and academic approach. Founded by Charles Hoskinson – co-founder of Ethereum – Cardano aims to create a secure, sustainable, and scalable blockchain ecosystem globally.

With a market capitalization currently in the top 10, ADA not only demonstrates stability in a volatile market but also shows long-term growth potential. The trading volume of ADA remains high, reflecting strong interest from the community and institutional investors.

The standout strength of ADA lies in its smart contract platform, Plutus – developed based on the Haskell programming language. This ensures that DApps (decentralized applications) on Cardano are highly secure, easy to maintain, and less prone to bugs. Additionally, ADA's staking system is very user-friendly, providing passive income and helping to secure the network.

Cardano is gradually expanding its ecosystem with numerous DeFi, NFT, and educational, healthcare, and decentralized finance solutions in developing countries. With sustainable development, ADA continues to be a worthwhile consideration for long-term investors, especially during a market phase searching for truly valuable and useful foundations.