This is how I look on Sunday, having stocked up on coins on Friday during the drop to 100k and expecting a lot of reversals and panic at the beginning of next week 🙉
My thoughts on $BTC have been converging daily for over a week now.
Yesterday I wrote that there would be a weekend assault on the 106k mark, which is not guaranteed to happen - and so it happened. No drops, no head and shoulders, and nothing else. I was even called a liar in the comments 😂
So, my thoughts for today.
Yesterday we didn't reach 106k. Euphoria has passed, the market is stagnant, and there isn't enough money. Today it’s $BTC , and the entire market will likely crawl down slowly. I think we will settle somewhere between 104500-104000. Throughout the day there may be a couple of small movements, but they won't change the trend. Everyone is waiting for the whales, who will wake up at the beginning of the week. And tomorrow we will have an interesting day waiting for us 💥
I have read a lot of comments about how, upon reaching a certain number of points, users run out of coupons for their amounts on Binance, and I decided to check.
I currently had 196 points. I went to the rewards center and a coupon for 2 USDC was available. Then I clicked to get points for logging in, today is Sunday, so 1+10. It became 207 points. I open the rewards center and what do you think? The coupons for 2 USDC suddenly ran out! With a difference of 10 seconds!
Do you think I am just unlucky or is there some catch?
While the waiters are confident that $BTC will drop to 90k and only then can it be bought. This is how you look, having bought at 100k and thinking of selling for 105k today or for 107k on Monday to those guys who can't wait 😂
Today we will first attack 105500 with small volumes, and then after a couple of pullbacks, 106000. And if we take 106k, then we won’t drop below 104500 on Sunday, but if we don’t, we will fluctuate between 103500 and 105000 until Monday.
If this also works out, then I will go play with x100 leverage (joke) 😂
Since the end of last week, we have seen a long red candle every day, at least for one coin. Today it's $MASK , and the community is howling "how is this possible?" It feels like the whales are just mocking the market. $BTC on the roller coasters is not enough for them.
This will continue until the last one breaks 110k. Interesting times await us in the coming weeks.
The number of shorts has significantly exceeded the number of longs, although the situation was the opposite in the morning. This means we expect a slight pullback to 104000-103000. We will see 55%+ and the market will start to "shave the bears". And we will move further to 106000. It's all simple, it's all logical 🐻👋
Now I'm sure they're messing with us. Yesterday morning, the exchange marked "Rapid Razer" for $BTC (see my post below), where I joked that we would hit rock bottom.
Now $TRUMP s is down -10.8% marked with the label "I Am Groot". Everyone has seen Guardians of the Galaxy and knows what happened to friend Elon "Rocket Raccoon" 😂
When you bought $BTC at 105k, you look at your portfolio and understand that your ancestors were right: "A samurai has no goal, there is only the way" 😅
I thought that by morning the community would start approaching the situation with a cool head.
$BTC reduced the decline from -3.5% to -1.7%, recovering more than 50% of the difference and people are actively buying.
Of course, the coin will bounce once, maybe even three or four times, to 102, then to 103, so that those who sold in panic at 101, later bought at 101.5, made some profit and were not in such a loss.
Smart money is buying up and waiting. Trade without emotions.
Scrolling through the feed. One "Witness 76k", the second is the collapse of the entire global financial system, the third says the next world war has already started...
I open the chart, and $BTC has only dropped by 3.5%. Of course, I understand that every tweet from Trump and Musk affects the market, but tomorrow they will make up and everything will return. And everyone who didn't manage to buy in will just stock up. And the panic sellers will be posting memes about "I missed everything again" :)
I am sometimes shocked by the logic. Two hours before the fall of $BTC , I wrote that there would either be a big pump or a pullback to 103 thousand, so that the whales could buy more.
Currently, there is a process of large players buying back from panickers who are selling at a loss. If the logic works, then in 5-6 hours we will see 105000-105500 again, then a pullback and a rise to 106000. After that, it is extremely difficult to predict.
Memo for beginners. How various events affect the market:
Project is liquidated -100% Project leader sold all his coins -80% Major player transferred all his coins from cold wallet to exchange -50% Ministries of economy of major countries announce global stagnation -25% Trump reintroduces tariffs -10% Project announces its growth +5% Trump cancels tariffs again +10% Project announces that it has developed technology from the year 2125 +15% Major blogger wrote that the coin will soon increase (he has already bought it and is accumulating liquidity) +25% An eccentric trash streamer gets a tattoo on his forehead with the coin's logo +50% The Prime Minister of a major country kissed a frog +75% to $PEPE Pavel Durov's girlfriend got a new dog +100% to $DOGS Elon Musk renamed his account to Glutus Maximus - Australian Safe Shepherd (ASS) +1000000000%