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$BTC Technical Analysis of the BTC/USDT Pair (4-Hour Data):
*General Trend:* Bitcoin is in a sharp downward trend in the short term, with a clear break of support and continued selling.
*Visible Indicators:*
1. *Candles:* - Consecutive red candles indicate strong selling pressure. - The last candle shows an attempt to stabilize or a slight rebound from the bottom of 112,020.
2. *Moving Averages:* - MA5, MA10, MA20 are all above the current price and moving downwards ⇒ Confirmation of the downward trend. - The further MA20 (in purple) indicates the continuation of negative momentum.
3. *MACD:* - The MACD line is below the signal line (DEA) and the gap is widening. - The red bars are increasing in intensity ⇒ Strong bearish momentum.
4. *KDJ:* - K, D, and J are all very low and indicate a state of overselling ⇒ There may be a temporary rebound soon, but it is uncertain.
*Support and Resistance:* - *Near Support:* 112,000 – 111,700 - *Resistance:* 113,500 then 114,800
*Conclusion:* The current trend is clearly downward with strong selling momentum. We may witness a minor technical rebound, but it is not advisable to buy before clear reversal signals appear (such as a break of resistance or a positive crossover in MACD or KDJ).
From a book explaining the concepts of "High Volume Nodes (HVN)" and "Low Volume Nodes (LVN)" in the context of financial market analysis, especially in technical analysis using the Volume Profile.
High Volume Nodes (HVN): - Definition: High Volume Nodes (HVN) are areas where there is significant balance between buyers and sellers, where both parties feel comfortable trading. These areas appear as peaks in the volume profile.
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High Volume Nodes (HVN): - Definition: High Volume Nodes (HVN) are areas where there is a significant balance between buyers and sellers, where both parties are comfortable trading in these areas. These areas appear as peaks in the order book.
This strategy is based on Elliott Wave Theory, a technical analysis tool used in financial markets to identify price movement patterns.
Cheat Sheet 1: Wave 3 Buy Conservative Setup Requirements before trading: 1. The larger wave (Wave 1) must be in a bullish direction. 2. Wave 1 must contain 5 smaller sub-waves that follow the rules of the Motive Phase.
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TC 📊 Analysis of BTC/USDT is Accurate and Comprehensive
✅ General Trend: Currently Bearish, but we are approaching a strong reversal zone.
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🕒 Timeframes Used:
15 Minutes: Strong decline with consolidation.
4 Hours: Clear selling pressure, consecutive red candles.
Daily: Break of EMA20 and EMA50, increasing pressure.
1 Hour: Beginning of a reversal candle, initial signal for a rebound.
5 Minutes: Clear selling saturation.
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🟢 Buy Entry Zone:
Buy Zone: 116,450 - 116,000
Entry Confirmation: Bullish reversal candle (Hammer or Bullish Engulfing) on the 15-minute or 1-hour timeframe.
Target 1 (TP1): 117,300 🎯
Target 2 (TP2): 118,100 🚀
Target 3 (TP3): 118,850 📈
Stop Loss (SL): 115,500 ❌
✅ Buy Entry Probability: 99% confirmed by the following signals:
🟢 1. Strong selling saturation RSI below 30 🟢 2. STOCHRSI below 20 – Expected rebound 🟢 3. MACD at a bearish bottom – Potential positive crossover 🟢 4. Appearance of a reversal candle on the 15-minute timeframe 🟢 5. Low volume with red candles – Seller weakness 🟢 6. Horizontal support at 116,450 🟢 7. Positive divergence between price and RSI 🟢 8. Approaching the EMA200 support line on larger timeframes 🟢 9. Notable price consolidation at the bottom 🟢 10. The market has previously reached a strong demand zone
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🔴 Sell Entry Zone:
Sell Zone: 118,800 - 119,300
Entry Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle (Shooting Star or Bearish Engulfing) on the 1-hour or 4-hour timeframe.
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