莫邪

$BTC Directly get to the point
Step 1: Increase awareness, recognize value. You need to know which assets are valuable, which are undervalued, which will attract future capital inflows, and which are inevitably going to absorb excess currency issuance. Step 2: Emotion management. You need to have stable emotions and practice delayed gratification. Step 3: Firm execution. Continuously invest the cash flow you earn through working or business into valuable assets, then hold on to them. Give up short-term trading, focus on the long term, and do not fantasize about becoming rich overnight. By gradually accumulating wealth, a qualitative change will occur, and compound interest will naturally follow. The more you want to get rich quickly, the slower the results will be. The development of things has its own rules. If you want to make big money, it must come from societal development, economic development, and market cycles. In other words, it is money provided by the market, not because of your personal capabilities. Short-term trading is essentially a zero-sum game, where retail investors face institutions and market makers, positioned at the end of the information chain with negligible capital. The technical indicators you learn are already publicly available in the market, and there are no secrets. So, on what basis do you believe you can harvest profits from exchanges, institutions, and market makers? Logically, it doesn’t make sense. Retail investors should abandon short-term thinking and adopt a bundling strategy, which may be the most rational solution. As technology progresses, social and economic conditions develop, and currency issuance inevitably increases, the prices of good assets will rise, right? You just need to continually invest the money you earn into the best risk exposure and hold on. The problem is that you can't control your impulses because there is noise in the market. If you are too close to it, you will be disturbed. Once your emotions are disrupted, the next thing will be distorted operations. The pitfall of short-term trading lies here. You will face countless choices, and making one wrong move could lead to total loss. Therefore, controlling your impulses is very important. In summary, it all comes down to the process of cultivating the mind. The phrase 'knowledge and action unified' is actually incomplete; it lacks emotion management in the middle. Without effective emotion management, you cannot align your actions with your awareness, even if your awareness is very high, it still cannot be realized.

Traders' tendency to try to take shortcuts may ultimately lead to their failure, so we need to avoid greed, fear and shortcuts. In addition, there are three tendencies that need to be avoided. Otherwise, even if you have a very good trading strategy, you will most likely not succeed because it will be difficult for you to stick to it. These three tendencies are actually behavioral deviations caused by three cognitive fallacies.
The first is the tendency to try to predict the market. I noticed that no matter how many people keep warning that the market is unpredictable, people always like to predict. Prediction is also the hottest topic on social media. This situation is caused by many factors, such as the desire for success, anxiety, and people's need to create gods. What I want to say is that because no one can master all the information, it is even more impossible to analyze the intensity of the interaction between various variables, so accurate predictions are never possible, and investment is different from daily life. In daily life, you can tell everyone where you will be and what you will do tomorrow, and you can also know your status next week more clearly, but your life in a few years will be more difficult to predict, not to mention more than ten or even dozens of years later. Investment is completely the opposite. It is possible to predict the market price in a few years with a high probability, but investors are powerless for next month, next week and tomorrow. Since the prediction is invalid, or to be more rigorous, accurate short-term prediction is impossible, then we might as well focus on more valuable things, such as finding a strategy with a positive expected value through backtesting of historical data and market analysis. This strategy can guarantee with a high probability that as long as we strictly abide by its operating discipline and continue to operate, we will make money. Then, as time goes by and the market environment changes, we can backtest the data and analyze the market regularly or irregularly to ensure that the strategy is always effective. An experienced investor never focuses on predicting the market, but on integrating various possible situations into his operating system, grasping advantages, controlling risks and firmly executing.

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Index abbreviation FGI

Index NameFear & Greed Index
Official website: https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/Compiled document Crypto Fear & Greed IndexIntroduction Cryptocurrency market behavior is very emotional. When the market is rising, people tend to get greedy, which leads to FOMO (fear of missing out). When the market is falling, people often sell their cryptocurrencies in an irrational reaction. With the Fear and Greed Index, we try to stop you from overreacting emotionally. There are two simple assumptions: one is that extreme fear may be a sign that investors are too worried, which may be an opportunity to buy; the other is that when investors become too greedy, it means that the market will have a correction. Therefore, we analyze the current sentiment of the Bitcoin market and compress these market movements into an index range from 0 to 100. 0 means "extreme fear" and 100 means "extreme greed."

(Value Averaging Strategy - A Safe and Simple Method to Achieve High Investment Returns) provides investors with an effective formulaic investment strategy. In short, this book is the best guide to obtaining a stable cash flow mechanism from a portfolio.
Renowned financial historian William Bernstein compares this book to Graham's 'The Intelligent Investor' and Malkiel's 'A Random Walk Down Wall Street', stating, 'Since its first publication in 1991, the reputation of (Value Averaging Strategy) has soared and it has gradually become a classic work.'
The author of this book, Michael Edleson, has served as the Chief Economist of NASDAQ, a professor at Harvard Business School, and an executive director at Morgan Stanley, with rich experience in the investment field. In this regard, Paul S. Marshall, a finance professor at Wieden University, remarked: 'This book is indeed a classic that needs to be preserved forever. In my career, I spent a lot of effort trying to find faults in the value averaging strategy, but I never succeeded. I have great admiration for Dr. Michael Edleson and this book!'