曹雄趋势论

Focusing on pancakes, second pancakes, and years of SOL, experiencing several 🐮 and 🐻
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Always only engage in brick-making, matters within cognition.
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Starts from [coming] 🌐btcc798 ​​​

The drop of 5000 points yesterday was still considerable, the largest single-day drop recently. The target of 96k remains unchanged, and there may still be some adjustments in the short term. There will be news this week, so let's see some recovery.

Chart 1 weekly K line closed with a large bullish bar at 104000, this weekly K line is too full, there was a small surge in the morning with some volume, so a short position is risky
Chart 2 12-hour level continues to close with bearish candles, the decline is not significant, the upward momentum has stopped, looking at a pullback from a larger perspective
Chart 3 4-hour level early surge to 105190 indicates a potential top
When emotions run high and reach their peak, just when one is about to collapse and can't hold on any longer, dawn is often right in front.

我觉得即使上涨也要回调到96k附近。

The weekly K line has five consecutive gains; on Saturday, the weekend surged like this, and this week's K line is too full. It has risen more than 30,000 points without a decent pullback. Theoretically, the high point of this wave can reach 150,000. Currently, market sentiment is also quite high; there must be a reason for the rise. The demand for pullbacks is still significant. Theoretically, it can pull back to 96,000. Even if it starts again, it still meets the normal rise, unless he is a fool who cuts losses openly.

不一样的剧本，一样的结局，周六打了个105000的高点再回来，一直拉到空头无路可走再回调，拉了三万点没一波像样的回调，越是这样越危险，赤裸裸的收割

Looking to see if we can have a decent pullback this Saturday weekend
Bitcoin currently has a light resistance at 103300, with support at 104400 and 104600
↓ Looking at 101600/99000

Looking to see if we can have a decent pullback this Saturday weekend
Bitcoin currently has a light resistance at 103300, with support at 104400 and 104600
↓ Looking at 101600/99000

低位的时候一点也不怂，越高位越有点怂，空单的点位不知不觉放在了100400

Looking at the recent third bullish signal of the three red soldiers on the weekly chart, the first time in February 2024 saw a 64% increase, the second time in September 2024 saw a 60% increase. The most recent occurrence in April 2025 theoretically rises to around 150,000. The second chart shows the daily line also exhibiting the three red soldiers, feeling exhausted every day, can we seek the sword by carving the boat? Is there any surprise tomorrow?

Constantly releasing good news, directly pulling up to 97k, currently holding a light short at 972, adding at 98100, defending 98300↓ looking at 96100/94000

The US stock market reached the key resistance at 18,000. Last night, the US stock market did not decline as expected, instead it oscillated at a high level, and Bitcoin also had a lonely play. The daily line closed positive at 94,697, still returning to 94k, continuing to watch for a pullback. Liquidate shorts near 94,700, and add defenses near 95,500 to protect 95,800. Looking down at 93,600/92,200.

The weekly K line hit a high of 97865, and started to decline over the weekend, closing with a positive candle at 94230. This week's K line closed well, showing a strong demand for a pullback. The naked K line shows 91300, and ultimately it will still go to 82k to test the bull and bear. This Thursday, there is an interest rate meeting; in the short term, I still see the 92-96k range waiting for the interest rate meeting to show a trend.
942 stopped falling, and over the weekend it dropped more than 3000 points. Wait for a rebound to continue shorting, with short positions established above 95k. Let’s not discuss the overall pattern for now, let’s first look at 92, is that okay?

Today is the weekly close, this weekend the market performance is very weak, next week's interest rate decision, let's watch more and act less.

Unless something unexpected happens, yesterday's Bitcoin fluctuated a bit. Non-farm payroll data is expected to be weak, but the release was strong. If nothing unexpected occurs, we will continue to adjust next month.
I don't hold much hope for a significant drop in the short term; the daily line closed positively at 968. The daily line didn't perform too well yesterday, and there will be a pullback, so continue to buy on the pullback.
Bitcoin around 96200 is a light long position, with 95600 as a backup defense and 95400 as a further defense.
↑ Look for 97200/98200.

Tonight at 8:30 PM: April Unemployment Rate and Seasonally Adjusted Non-Farm Payrolls
Previous unemployment rate was 4.2%, expected 4.2%, the published estimate is higher than the previous and expected value of 4.2%
Non-farm payrolls on April 4th: previous value was 11.7, expected 13.5, published 22.8, April's extremely high previous value, and extremely low expectation, non-farm data is the most revised and also the most misleading, just like March's strong non-farm data was a big negative surprise, April's weakness will definitely revise down below 22.8, the publication may be higher than the expected 13, continuing to mislead people
In summary, economic performance is weak, inflation has not been effectively alleviated, considerations for interest rate cuts should be made, which is beneficial for the market.

The smaller the amplitude, the faster the trend emerges. There is unemployment insurance tonight, and tomorrow's non-farm payroll data looks clear. Today we are still looking at a range, let's keep it simple and go short at 938 and long at 948.

Originally expected to be a sunny Friday for non-farm data, today is April 30th and we are closing the monthly K. If this month's K continues to close like this, it will be too full, which could lead to a constant decline. Next month, we need to continue to look bullish and push towards 110,000, so closing the monthly K around 92K is more appropriate to leave some suspense. The short-term view remains unchanged, relying on the upper resistance of 966 to continue shorting. We are now at a point with significant long-short divergence, similar to the previous 88K, and we will not miss any opportunity to catch the top. Bitcoin around 95,400 should be lightly shorted at 96,400 to defend at 96,600. ↓ Looking at 94,000/92,200.

The decline stopped at 933 in the early morning, rising again to 95k. The daily chart closed somewhat positively, closing at 94969. In the short term, continue to observe fluctuations, with a focus on Thursday and Friday. The upper pressure is at 966, continue to rely on 966, and short above 95k.

The weekly K chart rose from 85k to 95k, closing at 937, an increase of 10,000 points in one week. This weekly K chart looks quite good; it will continuously test resistance above. It seems like it aims to test 100,000, with resistance at 96,600. Here, breaking through will lead to a run towards 100,000.
This week on Wednesday, we have ADP employment numbers; on Thursday, unemployment claims; and on Friday, non-farm payroll data. In the short term, it looks like we will consolidate between 92k and 96k, with a focus on the trend that comes out from the non-farm payroll data on Friday.
On the daily chart for Saturday, there was a slight drop over the weekend, with a relatively strong session on Monday, directly rebounding. In the short term, it looks like there will be another push; we’ll see if it can test 96k to create a double top. Recently, the U.S. stock market has also been quite strong, and the market will adjust itself. A crash can happen in an instant; continue to short.
For Bitcoin, clear shorts around 95,700, add defense at 96,500, and guard at 96,800.
↓ Looking at 94,600/93,100.