Currently in the market, BTC.D (Bitcoin's market share) is still strong, and BTC's performance is about the same. I saw a tweet earlier mentioning that SOL's future performance may not be as good and may not continue to lead altcoins. Speaking of this, I know some may not be happy; when chatting with friends privately, I joked that SOL might become the next ETH. From a technical chart perspective, I have this opinion, which I will elaborate on later. However, let's start by discussing the core foundational logic; both ETH and SOL have some pain points that people criticize.
With this mindset, it's no wonder you'll never make money in your lifetime.
故事比人好听
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Oh no! I finally understand why Zhao Changpeng said that future exchanges should not audit any tokens and should aim to create decentralized exchanges! Today there was a major incident that many people in the crypto community are likely aware of, where a certain platform's market maker set the sell price at 0.15 and the buy price at 0.13! Retail investors discovered this and went crazy trying to counter it, causing the trading volume of this token to reach 10 billion. Afterward, the platform froze all users who had traded this token, and if everyone could withdraw, the total loss would be around 1 billion. With such a large amount of capital, is the market maker acting as a market maker or is the platform itself? Only today did I understand why Zhao Changpeng previously said platforms should not participate in token audits; I even thought he was being irresponsible. Now I realize that Zhao Changpeng was right. We purchased tokens because of decentralization, yet we are still trading on centralized exchanges and expecting them to be responsible for auditing decentralized items! This is very contradictory. We believe that every individual has good character, but the power of interests is immense; it can corrupt an individual, but it cannot corrupt a group. In the future, I will only hold BNB and the tokens of decentralized exchanges as a sign of respect. $VOXEL
$SOL family, the cryptocurrency circle is now a life-and-death situation! If this round of bull market ends hastily, don't expect another bull market to come; the entire circle will be 'finished'!
Why do I say this? The reason people keep rushing into the cryptocurrency circle is the 'big dreams'—every round of bull market, even if retail investors end up losing everything, as long as they've experienced the thrill of asset doubling, they'll think 'I'm just unlucky, it's not that the circle doesn't work.' This fantasy of getting rich quickly is the core that attracts retail investors to keep coming back. But if this round doesn't even allow them to taste floating profits, who would still be willing to risk frozen accounts and policy risks to invest money? Old players will feel disheartened and exit, new retail investors will take one look and run away, and in the end, won't it just become a 'ghost market' that no one cares about?
The cryptocurrency market in the second quarter of 2025 exhibited complex dynamics. After the total market capitalization fell to $2.8 trillion in the first quarter, there was a slight recovery at the beginning of the second quarter, but it remained significantly affected by macroeconomic uncertainty, leading to considerable volatility. Bitcoin's dominance was reinforced, with a market share of 60.6%, and its price hovered around $85,000, outperforming most altcoins.
#Solana激增 The only thing left to watch in the market now is SOL! A sad monkey market! Today's key market focus: 1. Bitcoin is experiencing short-term fluctuations and adjustments, with CEX trading activity continuing to be sluggish. Today, Ethereum is expected to retrace to 1500. 2. Here's a joke: Trump again criticized the Federal Reserve last night, directly pointing at Powell for being "slow to act and making poor decisions," and emphasized that now is the best time to lower interest rates, even stating that "firing him would not be too much."
Under the recent impact of tariffs and stock markets, the cryptocurrency market has experienced significant volatility. There was a rebound at the end of the week, reaching 86100, showing short-term strength.
In the future, the spread of panic is the biggest risk, as the market is concerned about a potential recession in the US economy, a decline in the dollar leading to a credit crisis, and a sell-off of US Treasuries. Heightened panic will drive inflows into safe-haven assets, stimulating an increase in cryptocurrency prices.
Considering both the fundamentals and technical aspects, the price has a good upward momentum in the short term, but bullish sentiment is high, which can lead to price fluctuations and frequent shakeouts. Operations need to ensure risk control. One can short in the range of 85500-86500, targeting a decline of 2000-2500 points. A reminder to strengthen defenses again! (Personal opinion, for reference only)
#币安安全见解 Binance, as a leading cryptocurrency trading platform, excels in security protection. On the technical side, it uses a cold wallet storage mechanism, with most assets stored offline, and has introduced AI to detect abnormal trading, along with two-step verification and biometric login protection. In terms of regulation, it actively collaborates with various countries to obtain compliance licenses, ensuring that the flow of funds is transparent and traceable. There is also a SAFU protection fund set up to compensate users for losses in extreme cases. However, users themselves must also enhance security awareness to avoid phishing risks.
Protecting cryptocurrency assets requires multiple layers of defense. First, store the majority of your assets in a hardware wallet (cold storage), keeping private keys offline to avoid network attacks. Use hot wallets only for small amounts needed for daily transactions. Second, keep your private keys and seed phrases strictly confidential; never screenshot or store them in the cloud. It is recommended to handwrite backups on fireproof and waterproof physical media, and store them in different locations. Enable two-factor authentication (2FA) and avoid using SMS verification; prefer Google Authenticator or hardware security keys. Be cautious of phishing links; always verify the authenticity of the website before trading and avoid clicking on unknown emails or social media messages. Regularly update your wallet software and operating system to patch security vulnerabilities. Diversify investments across different wallets and exchanges to reduce single points of failure. Finally, maintain a rational approach to high-yield projects and be wary of smart contract vulnerabilities and scam traps.
48792596909 As the cryptocurrency market continues to expand, scams and security risks are also escalating. Investors should not only focus on profits but also prioritize the safety of their funds. Basic operations include choosing wallets that support MPC or multi-signature, enabling two-factor authentication on exchanges, and avoiding clicking on unknown links. In particular, do not fall for the tricks of 'airdrop phishing' or fake customer service contacting you; many people have stumbled due to these details. Remember: only with safe funds can you talk about profits. How do you manage the security of your assets?
#交易心理学 In the cryptocurrency world, mindset determines success or failure; emotional management, overcoming biases, and maintaining discipline are crucial. During severe market fluctuations, I cope with fear and greed by setting strict stop-loss and take-profit levels to avoid impulse trading driven by FOMO. For example, during the BTC crash in 2022, I stuck to my plan and did not chase the bottom, thus avoiding further losses. To overcome cognitive biases, such as overconfidence, I regularly review my trades, analyze the root causes of poor decisions, and reference multiple data sources rather than relying on a single prediction. In terms of discipline, I set clear trading rules, such as daily limits and fixed analysis times, to eliminate arbitrary operations.
#风险回报比 The risk-reward ratio (R/R ratio) is a core indicator for assessing the value of each trade. A good risk-reward ratio, such as 1:2 or 1:3, means that even with a low win rate, long-term profit can still be achieved. Blindly chasing after price increases and decreases often ignores risk control, while setting clear stop losses and target levels is a reflection of rational trading. High-reward opportunities often come with high risks, and the key is whether it is worth taking that risk. Mastering the risk-reward ratio is the first step towards stable profit and an important foundation for building a trading system.
Win when betting, many people react oppositely when facing losses. This is why many in the cryptocurrency space can lose 80%-95% and nearly go to zero. It's not that they don't understand the trend; it's that after suffering too many losses, they begin to resist the trend psychologically. After losing too much, they often stop loss at the lowest positions, always holding onto a sense of luck, ultimately leading to even greater losses. When in loss, they stubbornly hold on; when they just make a little profit, they rush to sell, not looking at the trend, not looking at the trading volume, only fixating on the profit and loss ratio in their accounts. And the result? They lose terribly when they are losing and earn pitifully when they are winning. It should be the opposite: hold on tightly when in profit, and quickly cut losses when in loss.
Diversified assets refer to the allocation of funds across different investment currencies (mainstream, altcoins, etc.), AI, and inscriptions to reduce the risks associated with the volatility of a single asset. The core idea is to utilize the low correlation between assets to avoid the concentration of losses from putting 'all eggs in one basket.' For example, when altcoins decline, major coins may retain their value, and the cyclical misalignment between emerging and developed markets can hedge risks. It is necessary to regularly assess the holding ratios and dynamically adjust them to maintain risk balance. Diversification does not completely eliminate risk, but it can effectively smooth out the return curve and serves as a fundamental strategy for long-term investment.
Rebound or reversal? Let's start with the conclusion: it’s a rebound!
Good afternoon everyone, today we’ll discuss Bitcoin. The news about postponing tariffs for 90 days has shaken the market twice, and of course, the simultaneous downturn of US bonds, stocks, and currency has contributed. The back-and-forth of news has led to a risk-averse market, causing gold to rise. As I mentioned in my analysis a couple of days ago, the low-probability event of 84000 happened, and over the weekend, during the Asian session, the short positions were forcefully driven up to 86000, which was expected. It’s best not to engage in speculation over the weekend.
The Hong Kong conference has successfully concluded! 😘 Attended many cocktail parties, met a lot of people, and will gradually update my experiences and news at Binance Square.
#加密市场反弹 2025 The counterfeit must rise, a storm is about to break! These 5 coins have the potential to soar by 80%+, miss it and wait for the next bull market!】 1. $XRP |The king of cross-chain support, making a strong comeback! Current Addition: 1.87 | Market Value: 109.2 billion+ 2. $HBAR |Enterprise-level invisible giant, running on the blockchain highway! Current Addition: 0.1537 | Market Value: 6.48 billion 3. $ALGO |DeFi off-chain engine, silently exploding! Current Addition: 0.1748 | Market Value: 1.49 billion 4. XLM|A global support solution that everyone can use! Current Addition: 0.2288 | Market Value: 7.04 billion 5. LINK|The lifeline of smart contracts, the oracle king! Current Addition: 11.62 | Market Value: 7.41 billion
The tariff policy has been delayed for 90 days! This means that this tough-talking Trump has backed down! As soon as the news of the 90-day tariff suspension came out, many people felt it was a significant positive development, believing that stock prices would definitely rise. Tonight, the market indeed surged rapidly, as if everything was moving in the direction everyone had hoped for. But if we think about it calmly, what does this 90-day suspension really mean? In my view, these 90 days are like Schrödinger's cat; they seem favorable but actually contain hidden mysteries. I can easily announce the cancellation of the suspension at any time during these 90 days, or even release some negative news. Trump's words will certainly continue to have an impact in the future, so don’t feel like you’ve missed out; this is just a rebound after panic, so be patient and wait for the formal end of the tariffs. Right now, it is just a suspension.