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Personal insights, for reference only

1-hour cycle price trend: Consolidation
1. Overall Analysis
Recently, the price has fluctuated around 2554.00
In the short term, the market is in a downward consolidation trend, but MACD indicates there may be a rebound demand in the short term. However, both EMA and MA show that downward pressure still exists, and the current price is below all major moving averages. Overall, the bearish trend dominates.
Suggestion:
Short-term operation: Although the current price shows signs of rebound, there is obvious resistance above (such as 2879.22 and various period moving averages). Short-term traders need to control risks and consider reducing positions or taking light short positions near the resistance area.

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1. Overall Analysis
Recently, the price has been oscillating below the moving averages, showing a weak market overall, with unclear short-term direction, but the MACD shows initial rebound signs.
In the short term, the bullish three soldiers pattern and MACD indicator suggest the market may be in the early stages of a short-term rebound, but the overall bearish arrangement of moving averages and EMA indicates limited rebound strength, and there may still be pressure and oscillation risks ahead. Attention should be paid to the breakout situation near the key point of 400.0.
Suggestion: The current market signals are not clear enough. Conservative investors may wait for clearer breakouts or reversal confirmations before taking action; aggressive investors may try short-term long positions with light positions, setting stop-loss below the support level of 347.4, while paying attention to the performance at the resistance level of 400.0. Heavy positions are not recommended. Long-term, it is still necessary to observe whether the price can effectively break through and stabilize above the MA120 moving average to confirm a reversal trend.

In recent years, the US government's trade policy of imposing tariffs on goods from multiple countries has attracted widespread attention in global markets. These trade protection measures have not only affected traditional commodity trade but also had a profound impact on the emerging cryptocurrency market. This article will analyze in depth how the US tariff policy affects the cryptocurrency market through various channels, including its appeal as a safe-haven asset, its alternative role in cross-border payments, the geographical shift of the mining industry, and the potential interlinked changes in regulatory policies.
I. Tariff Policies and the Safe-Haven Attributes of Cryptocurrencies

1. Overall Analysis
In recent times, the overall price has shown a trend of fluctuating decline, indicating that bearish forces dominate in the short term. From the interpretation of indicators such as MACD, EMA, and MA, the current market is in a short-term weak fluctuation, but the long-term trend has not been completely damaged.
In the short term, the market still has some downward pressure: the short-term candlestick pattern has formed a 'black three soldiers', combined with the death cross phenomenon of short-term EMA and MA lines, supporting the judgment of short-term decline. At the same time, the main MACD line and signal line maintain a bearish trend, indicating that bearish forces still dominate, posing relatively high risks.
In the medium term, attention should be paid to whether the key support levels stabilize: 107524 and lower at 100372.26 will be important support points; if broken, it may indicate an opening of downward space. If the price stabilizes at the support level and rebounds, attention should be paid to whether the trading volume and momentum indicators support further rises.