仓位管理师

When I saw the account increase by 210,000, I stared blankly at the screen.

Eight years in the cryptocurrency world, my wallet is full, my hair is sparse, but my heart beats a little slower.

350,000 USD brings me back to 2016, entering with 5000U, enduring 1460 days with clumsy methods to reach 1,200,000 U: treating trading like a monster fight, considering liquidation as a revival coin, recording daily, reviewing, and controlling my hands.

Six lessons: understanding one can save you 100,000, mastering three can outperform 90% of retail investors.

Price increases like climbing stairs, price drops like sliding down a slope.

Don’t panic and cut losses on sharp declines without volume — it could be the operator squatting to build strength; a dangerous situation arises from a sharp rise followed by reduced volume and sideways movement, with a real top accompanied by a waterfall of volume — that’s a sickle signal.

Don’t catch the bottom in a sharp decline with a slow bounce; the operator is smashing down while withdrawing.

Don’t believe in “it has dropped enough”; the bottom of the cryptocurrency world is a cellar beneath an eighteen-layer abyss.

Increased volume is not necessarily a top; lack of volume at high positions is terrifying. Like KTV suddenly going silent, the next moment must be the sound of glasses breaking — low-volume increases are mostly the operator misleading into buying.

A single volume increase may mislead into buying; volume increase after continuous low volume is the signal for building positions.

Operators build positions in three steps: reducing volume to test patience, increasing volume to test the market, and reducing volume for a pullback.

Don’t stare at K-lines guessing price movements; that’s a chart drawn by the operator. When volume shrinks to the extreme, it’s a ghost town, and explosive volume is like sharks smelling blood.

No obsession: dare to turn off the screen during a big rise, not being bound by numbers.

No greed: pinch your thigh before chasing highs, impulsively putting it back in your pocket.

No fear: count your heartbeat during sharp declines, only operate after going below 120.

This is not a Zen state; it’s an instinct born from the edge of liquidation.

The cryptocurrency world lacks opportunities, but patience in waiting for them is scarce. I keep the screen dimly lit, pointing the way with fewer pitfalls for seekers — discipline is either a shackle or a climbing stick, it’s up to you to choose. @仓位管理师

Grasping the recently credited 20,000 yuan, staring at the fluctuating numbers in the exchange, you must be wondering: can I still get a share if I enter the market now?

As someone who has experienced five major liquidations in the crypto world and finally started with 2000U, I have a heartfelt piece of advice for you: the crypto market is not short of opportunities; what it lacks are people who can engrave the rules into their DNA.

This twenty thousand is not a gambling fund; it is a ticket for you to learn how to "communicate equally" with the market, and I offer you six iron rules to transform from a novice to an expert.

1. Impulsiveness is the biggest taboo: without signals, your phone is safer than K-lines.

Novices are most likely to stumble due to "impulsiveness"; as soon as the market moves slightly, they want to gamble everything, resulting in transaction fees exceeding their losses.

In my early years, I traded 15 times a day and lost 12,000 in three months; I later realized: when you can't understand the market, being in cash is 100 times more dignified than losing money.

2. Night trading is the real battlefield: at 9:30 PM, the market makers start to "remove their makeup."

The daytime crypto market is like a vegetable market, filled with false news and erratic trends that confuse people. However, after 9:30 PM every night, when European and American institutions enter, the true trend emerges.

Remember: market makers only get serious after dinner, and the K-lines at this time aren't full of tricks.

3. Take 30% profit first: if you earn 1000, pocket 300 first.

What you pocket is not profit; it is the confidence that allows you to survive in the market.

That year during the bull market, my account grew from 50,000 to 500,000 without withdrawals, only to finally retrace to 150,000. I regretted it deeply. Now, for every profit, I immediately transfer 30% to my bank account.

4. Three indicators resonance method: MACD + RSI + Bollinger Bands, you cannot enter without all three.

MACD determines the trend: (when the white line crosses at the zero axis) then go long; a dead cross underwater (when the white line crosses below the zero axis) means you must go short.
RSI prevents chasing losses: over 70 is overbought, under 30 is oversold.
Bollinger Bands catch the rhythm: observe when it narrows, enter when it widens.

5. Know how to "stack the loss": for every 10% profit, move the stop-loss up by 5%.

Liquidation taught me: stop-loss is not about cutting losses; it is about building a "safety ladder" for your principal. With this technique, I secured a 12% profit during a sharp decline, while friends who stubbornly held on ended up with losses.

6. Withdraw without fail every Friday: at 4 PM, force your account to "cool down."

Every Friday at 16:00, regardless of profit or loss, you must withdraw 30%. This habit allowed me to laugh through three major crashes in 2024. I leave you with these eight words: signals not reached, never hesitate; profits received, first pocket it.@仓位管理师

That year, I entered the trading world with the dream of "doubling every year."

My mentor said: "In the end, trading is about subtraction." I nodded on the surface, but in my heart, I disagreed—young hearts always think addition can bring more.

In the first two years, I frantically added.

Technical indicators piled on top of each other, trading systems changed repeatedly, and snippets from forums could prompt me to modify my strategies.

The results were predictable—on the night of a margin call, I finished half a pack of cigarettes on the balcony and for the first time, doubted if I had taken the wrong path.

What truly enlightened me was that afternoon when I lost 70%.

After closing my positions, I opened the dust-covered "Tao Te Ching." "The reversal is the movement of the way, the weak is the use of the way" rang like thunder in my ears.

The reversal is the movement of the way.

99% of people in the market chase high returns, which in itself is a trap.

I finally understood Buffett's deep meaning of "preserving principal"—true profit begins with "not losing."

From then on, I changed all my plans of "how much can I earn from this" to "how much can I possibly lose from this."

The weak is the use of the way.

In the past, I fancied catching every market trend, but now I understand that acknowledging my inability to comprehend or achieve is true strength.

I started to subtract—removing redundant indicators, giving up ambiguous opportunities, only acting when the highest probability patterns appeared.

Many people say they already know these principles.

But there is a vast distance between knowing and realizing. Just like everyone understands that "smoking is harmful to health," only those who end up in the hospital truly quit smoking.

Now, my trading has become simple: I only trade three familiar patterns, with a single loss not exceeding 2% of my principal, and I trade no more than five times a week, with profits instead growing steadily.

I finally understand that the subtraction in trading is not about techniques, but about the noisy desires in my heart.

When we let go of the fantasy of getting rich overnight, the obsession with seizing every market movement, and the determination to prove our intelligence, the market begins to show its gentleness.

If you are also wandering in the trading maze, why not stop and ask yourself: Is it time to do subtraction?

Less is more, slow is fast. This simple principle can only be truly understood after traversing countless mountains and rivers. @仓位管理师

Surviving for many years in the smoke of the cryptocurrency world, I gradually realized a seemingly contradictory yet incredibly true principle: true wisdom begins with acknowledging one's limitations.

I call this methodology - the Fool's Survival Rule.

Once, I was obsessed with complex technical indicators, firmly believing I could crack the code of the market.

Candlestick patterns, Bollinger Bands, MACD... my screen was filled with colorful lines, thinking I had mastered the key to victory.

But I was always ruthlessly taught a lesson by the market: meticulously calculated entry points would instantly break down, and the support levels I believed in would collapse. The most painful time was when I stubbornly held onto a losing position, watching my principal get halved.

At that moment, I finally understood: in front of the market, being clever is the most fatal weakness.

The transformation began with the complete acknowledgment of 'ignorance.' I gave up the delusion of predicting the market and calmly accepted a fact: the market conditions I can truly understand are extremely rare.

Trading strategies became exceptionally simple - only act when two patterns I am completely familiar with appear; during other times, even if the opportunities are tempting, I resolutely remain a bystander. This restraint allowed me to avoid countless traps.

More importantly, it was the establishment of execution discipline. Since I acknowledged that I am a 'fool,' making mistakes became an expected occurrence.

Now, every order comes with a preset exit mechanism; once the market proves my judgment wrong, I leave immediately without hesitation. Acknowledging the limitations of my cognition has granted me unprecedented execution power.

When the rare profit window opens, I let the profits run fully.

Since the correct moments are so rare, one should seize ample returns when the trend favors them.

Fundamentally, this rule ensures that I always prioritize the safety of my principal. Whenever a trade shows unfavorable signs, I immediately stop-loss and exit. Because I know well: as a 'fool,' I can accept multiple small losses, but I absolutely cannot bear a single fatal blow.

Interestingly, when I stopped trying to prove how smart I was, the account curve began to rise steadily.

The core of this 'Fool's Survival Rule' is very simple: recognize one's own limitations, stick to the circle of competence, cut off mistakes in time, and fully exert correct judgments.

If you are also cycling through gains and losses in the market, you might as well try this 'fool's' persistence - in the marathon of investment, living long is more important than running fast @仓位管理师

After 7 years in the crypto space, I used to be a "hardworking retail investor": drawing trend lines on a dozen indicators, executing trades dozens of times a day, ruining my health and draining my account.

It wasn't until I reviewed with two friends who had also stumbled that I discovered the truth about making money hidden in "anti-smart" simple methods.

This strategy, which only looks at two moving averages and takes 10 minutes each day, surprisingly maintains a win rate above 95%.

I used to think that more indicators meant more safety, stacking up MACD, RSI, and Bollinger Bands into a mountain, only to be repeatedly slapped in the face by volatile markets, saying goodbye to "indicator superstition": seeing trends clearly with two moving averages is like driving while only looking at the navigation and speedometer; a golden cross upwards means to step on the gas and go long, a death cross downwards means to hit the brakes and short, any extra dashboard only distracts the view.

Small timeframe candlestick charts are like a casino, tempting you to bet every minute, resulting in 9 out of 10 times getting cut, while the 4-hour candlestick chart determines life and death: filtering out 80% of ineffective fluctuations.

We only take action on the 4-hour chart: when EMA21 crosses above EMA55 and a bullish candlestick closes, we go long; when it crosses below and closes bearish, we go short.

Once, because I held onto a position, I watched helplessly as a 20% profit turned into a 30% loss; now I’ve ingrained stop-loss into my DNA—stop-loss is a life-saving charm: if wrong, admit it, never hold onto a position.

When going long, the stop-loss is placed at the low of the previous 4-hour candlestick, and when going short, it's placed at the high; single trade losses should never exceed 5% of the principal.

The first position will always only use 5% of the capital; after making 5%, increase the position by 5%, then after making another 5%, continue to add, until the two moving averages cross again, rolling over the position: letting profits snowball.

Remember: don’t think about getting rich overnight; letting profits take care of themselves is a hundred times smarter than frequently changing positions.

Now I spend a fixed 10 minutes every day doing two things: at 9 AM, I check the 4-hour candlestick close, and if it meets the signal, I place an order; at 10 PM, I check if the stop-loss has moved, following the lazy person's philosophy: doing less is more profitable than doing more.

Data shows that accounts with fewer than 10 trades a month have a profit probability 4 times that of high-frequency trading because "not trading" is the ultimate weapon against emotions.

The core of this simple method can be summed up in one sentence: simplify a complex market into a math problem; don’t believe in "precise predictions"; the smartest strategies in the market are often the ones that look the "dumbest"—it helps you skip human traps and replace impulse with discipline.

After all, when you can make money lying down, why stand up and stay up late? @仓位管理师

Last week, I met an old hand from the crypto world at a café. When we talked about last year's market, he smiled wryly and shook his head: with a two-million principal, he was left with just a fraction.

Then he thought I was doing quite well, and I smiled and asked, would you be willing to pay a million as tuition to learn from me?

He said if only he had met me earlier, I just smiled; in fact, even if he had met me, he wouldn’t have put that money up for me.

Beginners always blame losses on "market manipulation," but overlook the most dangerous opponent hiding in the mirror.

Clearly having set stop-loss orders, they can’t help but manually cancel them as soon as the stock price dips below the defense line, thinking to themselves, "If I just hold on a bit longer, it will rebound"? Or seeing a rapid short-term surge, knowing it doesn’t fit their trading system, yet they rush to chase it due to fear of missing out?

Let me ask, during your last violation of trading rules, what emotion was driving your actions? Greed, fear, or resentment?

He asked me if I had any secrets for quickly making back losses, and I handed him a note: only enter when the daily line stabilizes above the 60-day moving average, and strictly set the stop-loss below the recent low by 2%.

Is it really that simple? Yes, the truth of trading often lies in the most basic rules.

Think back, have you ever spent hours studying complex technical models, yet never adhered to the iron rule that "you must exit if breaking key support levels"?

In your current trading system, how many core rules can you state off the top of your head? Have you ever made the rules cumbersome and ineffective because you "wanted to seize every opportunity"?

I've seen too many highly educated traders fall victim to leverage; they can calculate K-line probabilities but can’t understand human weaknesses.

The real way to survive is simple: set inviolable red lines for yourself.

What percentage of your total capital is your maximum single loss limit? Have you ever broken this limit in a moment of impulse?

If you trigger a stop-loss three times in a row, what measures will you take? Blindly averaging down or calmly reviewing your trades? These rules may seem rigid, but they anchor your coordinates in a chaotic market.

That guy frowned at the note: "Will this cause me to miss out on major market movements?" Rules are not shackles; they are insurance provided by the market for those who keep discipline, just like when driving, no matter how rushed you are, you must wear a seatbelt.

Before leaving, I left him with a thought: those who can rise from losses are simply the ones who repeat simple rules countless times, turning discipline into a part of their being @仓位管理师

Newcomers with less than 1500U in their wallets, be careful: don't follow others to gamble on rising prices

Last year, a fan came to me with 1200U, wanting to earn tuition fees. Four months later, the account reached 38,000 U without any liquidation.

It wasn't due to divine operations, but rather this set of 'playing poor' methods, which I share with you today.

1. Diversification: Turn 1200U into three defensive lines. First, split it into three 400U bags, each with strict rules.

1. Only trade on the day’s market that can be completed, with a 3% take profit and a 2% stop loss. When the time is up, you must shut down. This money is for practice; losing it won't hurt, but it will force you to learn 'to take profit when it's good.'

2. Wait for weekly level breakout opportunities. If the risk-reward ratio is less than 1:3, absolutely do not fire. Ten trades a year is considered a lot, but each time it should be 'aim before shooting,' never waste bullets.

3. Directly lock it in a cold wallet, and give the key to your mom for safekeeping. Even if the first two bags are lost, this 400U is your 'restart capital.' No matter how tempting the market is, don’t touch it. Remember: without the principal, you don’t even have the qualification to enter the market.

2. Waiting: Please stay away from the screen 80% of the time. 80% of the market movements in the crypto world are 'ineffective fluctuations,' just like fishing when most of the time the water surface remains still. At this time, fidgeting will only lead to losses.

Go for a run, binge-watch shows, just don't stare at the market, until a breakout occurs or the daily price drops significantly, then come back and load the bullets of your hunting bag.

As long as the profit exceeds 20% of the principal (for example, earning from 1200U to 1440U), immediately transfer 30% to your bank card, turning numbers into real cash.

3. Rules: Let the computer be your discipline supervisor. Write the trading rules as a screensaver and force yourself to comply.

Red: If a single loss reaches 2%, automatically stop loss. After cutting, no replenishing is allowed, and absolutely no cursing.

Yellow: When there is a 4% profit, first close half of the position, and set a trailing stop for the rest (for example, sell all if it drops below the 1-hour MA10).

Green: If there are two consecutive days of losses, forcibly stop trading for 48 hours. No one can persuade otherwise. At this time, trading is not about correcting mistakes but rather venting emotions. Stopping is more important than losing money.

4. Mindset: The survival philosophy of small capital is 'slow is fast.'

That fan turned 1200U into 38,000 U, annualized at 30 times, but the maximum drawdown was controlled at 7.4%. It wasn't about catching the explosive rise, but rather surviving through each drop without significant harm.

Entering with small capital, the greatest fear is the 'poor mentality' in the crypto world. 'Playing poor' is not something to be ashamed of; blindly charging forward is the real way to self-destruction @仓位管理师 .

Three years ago, I went bankrupt and was left with only 19,700 U, with a debt of 20,000. Even my girlfriend thought I only saw the red and green K lines, and we argued every day. Later, my girlfriend broke up with me.

At that time, I vowed never to touch contracts again, but in desperation, I developed a "rebellious position" escape technique.

Today, I am breaking down this "rebellious mindset" so that even if you are a beginner, you can directly copy the homework.

1. Lock the principal into the "anti-emotion safe"
Don't believe the nonsense of "all in for a gamble". I only leave 5% of my principal on the exchange, and the remaining 95% goes into a multi-signature cold wallet. The private key is hidden on page 88 of "Five Years of College Entrance Examination and Three Years of Simulation". Every time you want to impulsively place an order? First, flip the book to find the private key; the 30 seconds of flipping pages is enough to cool down your adrenaline.

2. Refuse to "buy more as the price drops" and only "take advantage of profits"
Traditional averaging down is to stop the bleeding from losses, but the rebellious faction only moves when there are floating profits: every time you earn 8%, take half of the profits to open a new position while raising the stop-loss to the cost line.

3. Buy a "golden life-saving charm" with profits
Floating profits exceed 50% of the principal? Immediately take 20% to buy gold ETFs, the kind that grannies rush to buy. Gold won't skyrocket or plummet, but it can cure your "late-night staring anxiety."

4. Treat big influencers as "contrarian indicators"
Create a group and stuff all the shouting influencers in. The market is anti-human nature; following the crowd will lead to death. Instead, do the opposite: when others are greedy, retreat; when others are fearful, pick up the bargains. Negative times negative equals positive, and the win rate quietly increases by 15%.

5. Adjust the K lines to black and white, giving your eyes a "calm filter"
Red and green K lines are amplifiers of emotions. I directly adjust them to grayscale mode, so a crash looks just like a slightly longer bar, not so glaring. Then pair it with a Pomodoro timer: watch the market for 25 minutes, close your eyes for 5 minutes, forcing your brain to cool down.

6. Write a "bankruptcy plan" every month to douse ambition with cold water
I write every month, "If I go to zero next month, how will I survive?": I can edit videos, teach English, and my hometown has two acres of land...

7. Change "getting rich" to "getting poor" and chain up desires
Repeat ten times a day: "getting rich = getting poor". The more you think about doubling, the faster you die.

The ones who survive in the crypto circle until the end are never the ones who run the fastest but the "rebels" who understand and go against human weaknesses.

Are you ready to be that survivor who dares to challenge yourself? @仓位管理师

As a newcomer with 2000U diving into the crypto world, don't treat it as gambling capital.

First survive, then talk about making money.

Remember: preserving capital is more important than making money; this is the core task for beginners. I've divided it into four points, feel free to take a look if you're interested.

First point: Divide the 2000U into three parts; don’t throw all of it into the account at once. Split it into three parts in a "3:5:2" ratio, with each part having a clear mission.

600U for tuition (for trial and error) - each order should not exceed 50U, specifically for tuition fees.

1000U for operational funds (main forces) - only use this money when the tuition fund is down to 200U, or when you can calmly set a stop-loss.

400U for emergency funds (never touch) - lock it in a cold wallet, never touch it. Even if the first two amounts lose everything, this 400U is your restart capital.

Second point: Control your position: if you lose more than 50U in a single trade, stop for 24 hours immediately. Set a hard rule: no matter which amount, if you lose more than 50U in one trade, close the software immediately and stay calm for a day.

Write it down clearly: "Why did I buy this coin? Was it because I saw others making money and followed the trend, or was there a real signal? Did I set a stop-loss? Why wasn’t it executed?" If you can’t write it down clearly, keep your hands off. If you can, stick the paper to your computer and read it three times before the next trade.

Third point: Avoid greed: if you make over 200U, withdraw it first. Don't think "I'll wait to withdraw more." A beginner's profit is like sand in your hands; the tighter you grasp it, the faster it leaks.

If the total profit exceeds 200U, immediately transfer 200U from the operational funds to the cold wallet. This is your "capital protection fund." If the remaining money loses, it doesn’t touch the principal, and your mindset will be much steadier.

Fourth point: Avoid pitfalls: do not accept these three types of coins, even if offered for free.

The "God coin" that suddenly floods the group: if it truly could make you rich, others would have already made silent profits. Why would they bring you along? It’s highly likely the operator wants to offload their stock, using you as a bag holder. Don’t even touch it.

New coins without 3 months of K-line data: you can't even see historical fluctuations; they could suddenly crash to zero. The risk of new coins is ten times that of old coins. Beginners shouldn’t be guinea pigs; start practicing with mainstream coins like BTC and ETH.

Sudden spikes and drops at 2 AM: people are sleepy late at night, and judgment declines. Trading at this time is either gambling or panicking. Data shows that the loss rate for trades at dawn is as high as 80%. It's better to sleep and check the market when you’re awake during the day.

Don’t envy others making 10 times a month; it could be luck or the result of paying hundreds of thousands in tuition fees @仓位管理师 .

Beginner's Guide: Don't Let Desire Devour Your Capital

With a few thousand U rushing into the cryptocurrency contract market, imagining a hundredfold return overnight, beginners often end up with nothing left of their capital.

At that time, with a capital of 6000U, I opened a 50x leverage position to chase the rise, and within half an hour, I lost 3000U.

It's not that the market is too harsh; it's that we are blinded by desire.

Beginners often regard leverage as a "wealth accelerator," but they don't realize it's primarily a "risk amplifier."

Rather than gambling on small probabilities for a turnaround, it's better to first learn to survive in the market using the "no-leverage mode."

Thinking that more trading means more profit? Wrong. The exchange's fees and slippage are like the casino's rake, quietly nibbling away at your capital with every trade.

I once saw a beginner trade 200 times in 3 months. They didn't lose capital in the market but were eaten away by fees by 40%.

Remember: The cryptocurrency market is not a vegetable market; there’s no need to "rush to the market" every day. Patiently waiting for high-value opportunities is more important than blind trading.

The biggest misconception for beginners is relying on emotions and news to make trades.

Later, I was able to achieve stable profits, thanks to a "survival system" built with real money, which I divided into three steps:

1. Don't touch during convergence: When the Bollinger Bands converge, it indicates that the market is gathering strength. Entering at this time is just betting on the direction;
2. Look at the middle line to determine direction: If the middle line is upward biased, go long; if downward biased, go short; only trade in the direction of the trend;
3. Wait for the bands to widen and then enter: Wait for the Bollinger Bands to widen + increased volume, confirming the release of momentum before entering.

I posted three notes next to my computer, constantly reminding myself: Single loss ≤2%: Even if you are wrong 50 times in a row, you still have 36% of your capital left, allowing for a chance of recovery.

Single day opening ≤2 times: Reducing trading frequency means reducing emotional interference.

Lock in profits at 50%: Once you earn 50%, raise your stop-loss to the cost line to ensure you don't give back profits.

These three rules may seem conservative, but they are a "lifeline" earned from the experience of being liquidated.

Beginners without a mentor need to remember: Placing orders based on feelings is handing your account over to luck; trading with a system is taking your destiny into your own hands.

The market has never lacked opportunities; what it lacks are those who can survive until the opportunity arises @仓位管理师 .

Ingraining "capital preservation first" into your bones, you'll find: slowly becoming rich is actually faster.

Survival in the Cryptocurrency World: The Weak Mindset

Every day in the cryptocurrency world, myths of sudden wealth unfold, but it is also filled with the bloody lessons of chasing highs and selling lows.

Those who can truly achieve stable profits often remember one core principle: first consider themselves as the weak.

Acknowledging that one is not omniscient can help avoid 99% of the traps set for inexperienced traders.

Entering the market with a weak mindset: admitting one's limitations. The biggest misconception for ordinary traders is thinking they can 'beat the market'.

A real trader's first step is to let go of the arrogance of 'I can predict'.

Admitting one is a 'weakling' is not about self-deprecation; it is about putting on a 'protective shield'.

Follow rather than predict: the long-term trend is the best compass; the core of the weak mindset is 'following'.

Join when there is an upward breakout, withdraw when there is an effective downward breakout, do not guess tops and bottoms, only ride the 'tails of trends'.

Only trade within your capabilities: protect your own circle of competence; every trader should have their own 'safe zone'.

And the smart weak will set strict rules: for example, 'only go long when above the weekly MA60 moving average, and observe when it breaks below', or 'only enter when divergence signals appear, and do not take profits until the target profit is reached'.

These seemingly rigid rules actually filter out 80% of ineffective fluctuations through discipline.

Not trading is also a form of wisdom: waiting for high-value opportunities. The biggest trap in the cryptocurrency world is making people feel that 'missing every fluctuation is a loss'.

The true weak mindset understands that sometimes not trading requires more courage than trading.

When the market is incomprehensible and signals are unclear, staying in cash is the best strategy.

Just like crocodiles lurking underwater most of the time, striking swiftly only when prey appears, we should also learn to patiently wait for the 'prey' on the weekly and monthly lines to appear.

The cryptocurrency world is never short of smart people; what it lacks is the clarity to 'admit one is not smart', inscribing the word 'weak' into trading philosophy.

Do not predict rises and falls, only follow trends; do not be greedy for small opportunities, only seize major trends; do not be blindly confident, only guard your circle of competence.

After all, in this uncertain market, surviving and slowing down is what allows time to become your ally @仓位管理师 .

Friend, before you press the trade button, please listen to a few heartfelt words from someone who has traversed two rounds of bulls and bears.

You may have come with a desire to change your destiny.

But first, recognize one fact: the stories of tenfold and hundredfold gains are celebrated in this market precisely because they are extremely rare.

Behind those shining wealth legends are countless ordinary people who silently exited.

Let me tell you a few truths:

About "faith" — do you really understand zero-knowledge proofs and sharding technology?

Or are you merely attracted by the slogan of "next-generation internet"? Most people's faith is built on shallow understanding.

True faith requires a deep technical understanding and value judgment.

About "freedom" — no need for banks, cross-border payments; these beautiful visions remain more theoretical for ordinary investors.

The price you pay for "freedom" could be irreversible financial losses. Remember, the freedom here comes with unimaginable risks.

If you still decide to stay, please engrave these survival rules in your heart:

Only invest spare money; this is your only anchor to maintain rationality during market storms.

When prices plummet, only those who use funds not affecting their lives can maintain calm judgment.

There are no saviors in this market; the only reliable thing is the knowledge you acquire. Those who promise to make you rich often lead you to the abyss.

Protect your mnemonic phrase; it is more important than any asset. Exchanges are not safes.

Treat it as your lifeline, because once lost, no one can help you retrieve it.

Maintain a proper distance from the market; a 7×24 hour market does not require you to keep staring at the screen, but rather to patiently wait.

Overly focusing on short-term fluctuations will only make you a slave to your emotions.

The cryptocurrency market will eventually return to its essence; it is not a casino, but an emerging field that requires expertise and patience.

Here, the ultimate victor has never been the smartest person, but the one who can best control their emotions.
Friend, if you choose to stay, may you not be driven by the fantasy of sudden wealth, but rather with a spirit of exploration.

Remember: in this dark forest full of temptations and dangers, surviving is the greatest victory.

Only those who can withstand several cycles will see the sun of tomorrow @仓位管理师 .

In fact, trading well is very simple: remember "Don't make small profits, don't incur big losses," and you can avoid 90% of the pitfalls.

Long cycles are a protective shield for ordinary people; ordinary players can't get insider information, so don't think about following short-term news to trade coins.

Weekly and monthly charts represent true signals — the turning points created by institutions using money are the real starting points of trends.

Human weaknesses lead you to make small gains and incur big losses. New traders often make two mistakes: they sell quickly after a 10% gain (fearing a drop), but hold on stubbornly after a 20% loss (hoping for a rebound).

The result is "make small profits and run, hold big losses". The more you try to capture every fluctuation, the more likely you are to lose money. Don't imitate gamblers with frequent operations; the market always has opportunities, so don’t rush.

Technical analysis should establish fixed rules. Don't get obsessed with looking at 1-hour charts and drawing lines, or watching small indicators like MACD golden crosses; the more you look, the more chaotic it becomes. What’s truly useful is to set rules on the weekly charts.

Use "small losses and big gains" to counter risks. Skilled traders may lose seven out of ten trades, but they make money from three big wins.

They only use 1% of their capital to experiment, setting a target of more than 10% when they profit.

This is not about win rates, but about the strategy of "losing small amounts and making big profits," using mathematical probabilities to defeat the market.

The key to making money in the crypto world is two words: patience.

Don't focus on small fluctuations; wait for big opportunities on weekly and monthly charts. Don’t expect to profit every time; allow yourself to incur small losses, but hold on tightly to major trends.

Remember: slowing down is a thousand times better than operating blindly every day.

By achieving "Don't make small profits, don't incur big losses," you will have outperformed most people @仓位管理师 .

Many people often ask me: "Starting with 5000U, achieving 380,000 in the first year and breaking a million in the second year, what is the secret?"

Others ask me for the secret to rapid growth with small funds?

The key actually lies in understanding two rules:

1. The size of the capital rewrites the trading script​

When trading with small funds, the cost of trial and error is low; one dares to go all in and decisively cut losses. However, when the capital increases, the mindset changes, leading to hesitation in opening positions and difficulty in cutting losses.

At the same time, the trading system needs to be restructured: high-frequency strategies that work with small funds may fail due to liquidity impact when trading with large funds.

There is no unified formula for trading; different tactics apply to small and large funds. ​

2. The only choice for small funds to break through​

The mainstream market patterns are divided into short-term (high win rate, low profit-loss ratio) and medium to long-term (low win rate, high profit-loss ratio).

Medium to long-term has a long cycle and low capital utilization, relying on significant market movements and strong mindset, which is not suitable for ordinary small funds.

Intraday short-term trading is a better solution, but one must avoid blind high-frequency trading and full positions; the core issue lies in human weaknesses: enduring stop losses, taking small profits, and holding onto large losses.

Therefore, if small funds want to accumulate quickly, intraday short-term trading is almost the only choice.

But remember, "intraday short-term trading" is not blind high-frequency trading, nor is it about always going all in and gambling on luck.

I have seen too many beginners fall into this trap; the problem has never been with the model itself, but with human weaknesses: unable to bear the pain of stop losses, taking small profits quickly, and holding onto large losses, ultimately being dragged down by fees and emotions.

Let me share four practical points that I have tested and found effective.

Review historical market data to summarize a basic strategy with a win rate of over 75% and a profit-loss ratio of 1:1. If you need guidance, you can contact me at @仓位管理师 .

Establish three iron rules: floating losses must be cut at the stop-loss line, stop trading if you incur two consecutive losses in a day, and at least reach a target of 1:1 for floating profits.

Always keep more than 50% of your position; for every 2 fixed opening units you gain (for example, if you open a position with 1000U each time, use 1000U as the unit), increase your position by 20%. For every 2 units you lose, reduce your position by 30%. This "stair-step position" strategy allowed me to control risk while not missing out on opportunities to amplify profits during the phase from 380,000 to a million.

Spend 1 hour each day recording every trade: Why did you open the position? Did the signals meet the criteria? Were your stop-loss and take-profit levels in place?

Finally, I want to say that the core of growing small funds has never been about "finding secrets," but rather accepting the truth of the market.

Last night I forwarded the students' review notes to the discussion group, and unexpectedly it was shared over a thousand times in half an hour.

Looking at the messages popping up on the screen saying "Request for updates" and "Request for inclusion," I suddenly remembered how I used to scratch my head in front of the K-line chart when I first entered the market.

Today, I will share my "K-line Mind Reading Technique" that I have polished for three years, hoping that every retail investor can take fewer detours, which are the K-line secrets I have understood over the years.

1. How to distinguish between true and false breakouts? Remember two points.

After a true breakout, it is difficult for the stock price to rise back within 1 hour; a false breakout will quickly pull back to the key price level before the market closes.

When it breaks down, there is a high volume but a low volume during the rebound, indicating that the main force is creating panic through washing out positions, and the shares are not truly sold.

2. Let's look at the key signals of volume-price relationship.

For example, when a certain cryptocurrency is in a sideways market, if the trading volume doubles but the price does not increase, and then suddenly rises sharply—this is a signal that the main force is quietly accumulating.

When volume and price are inconsistent, be cautious; whether it is a risk or opportunity, abnormal fluctuations are signs of a market shift.

3. Sideways movement is not rest but a key stage of the tug-of-war between bulls and bears.

Bottom sideways (for example, a certain liquor stock): bullish candles are longer than bearish ones, with low trading volume when falling, quickly rising again, and significantly increased trading volume during the breakout, this is the main force accumulating shares.

Top sideways (for example, a certain tech stock): when rising, it shows long upper shadows, bearish candles gradually eat away bullish candles, and institutional positions decrease, this is the main force distributing shares.

During accumulation, the stock price cannot drop; there is capital support; during distribution, any rise will trigger selling pressure, which cannot hold—K-lines have long recorded these movements.

Summary of these three years: K-lines are the records of the tug-of-war between bulls and bears, and trading volume is the key clue. Understanding false breakouts, volume-price divergence, and the truth of sideways movement will help you grasp the main force's intentions!

The market is like a chess game; understanding these secrets can at least help avoid major traps—this is the first step for retail investors to progress.

Want to know more tips? Follow @仓位管理师 , and let's analyze the latest K-line signals together!

In the cryptocurrency world over these years, going from 10,000 to 10,000,000 has made me realize

What secret can be passed down?

It's nothing more than your understanding of this circle and thoroughly grasping these four underlying rules, making good use of them.

1. Trend, go with the flow, don’t be the fool rowing against the current.

The market is never a chaotic splash of waves. Look at the rivers rushing, when do they flow upstream?

When the price rises for long, it must correct; when it falls deep, it must rebound. This is the natural rhythm of the market.

2. Inertia, don’t expect a high-speed train to stop suddenly.

Once the market starts, it’s like a train traveling at high speed — braking requires distance, and turning requires a buffer.

When rising, the inertia of buying will push the price to continue to surge; the corrections along the way are merely opportunities to get on board and pay the fare.

3. Regression, the price will eventually return to the value anchor.

No matter how crazy the bubble, it will burst; no matter how depressed the quality coins, they will rise again.

In 2021, a certain air coin skyrocketed to a hundred and then returned to zero; in 2022, Ethereum fell below a thousand and then

returned to its peak — the market is like a tireless pendulum, oscillating between greed and fear, yet always revolving around the midpoint of "value."

4. Repetition, the K-line chart hides the old script of human nature.

Open a ten-year K-line chart, and you will find: similar plots are always on repeat — the double top of 2013, the divergence of 2017, the V-shaped reversal of 2020; although the time is different, the patterns seem familiar. This is not a coincidence, but a human nature repeating machine.

Why do these rules never go out of style? Because the market is composed of "people," and the root of all rules is the unchanging nature of humanity.

Greed makes people chase high prices, fear makes people cut losses, and the herd effect makes people lose judgment.

From knowing to doing, what’s lacking is the courage to go against human nature.

To survive in the cryptocurrency circle, complex strategies are not needed.

Ingraining "trend, inertia, regression, repetition" into your bones, overcoming greed and fear, refusing to follow the crowd blindly, is the way to make the rules work for you.

Seeing through human nature allows you to see through the market@仓位管理师 ; perhaps you can avoid stepping into a few pits.

Buddy, looking at the dazzling cryptocurrency scene of 2025, feeling itchy?

Don't rush, before you dive headfirst into this jungle of gold and traps, engrave these three things into your DNA.

2025 Cryptocurrency Survival Guide: Want to enter the market? First, get these three things done!

This is not some wealth secret, but a "self-defense technique" that can help you live longer.

First, turn "watching the show" into "mining".

Don't just linger in the group waiting for some "wealth secrets". It's 2025, AI finds news better than you, and regulation is becoming more transparent. The era of getting rich just by following the trend is basically over.

Which retail investors are making money now? Aren't they all "half-experts" first?

You need to know what problem this coin actually solves, and where the chain is fast. The information gap dividend is gone; now it's about cognitive differences.

Second, from "taking a gamble" to "fastening your seatbelt".

The cryptocurrency scene is exciting, but it also treats all sorts of disobedience. Those who thrive here are not the ones who make the most money, but the ones who understand "not losing" the best.

You need to have your own "risk survival rules":

Idle money, idle money, still idle money! Saying this a thousand times is not too much.

Don't put all your bullets in one place; mainstream coins, potential new coins, stablecoins for interest, all need to be balanced.

Think ahead about the timing of "running away"; don't get euphoric when prices rise, and don't play dead when they fall.

Be cautious of the pitfalls behind those new gadgets, like smart contract vulnerabilities or cross-chain bridges being hacked; you never know when regulation might come in for a "look back".

Remember, here, surviving is the biggest victory.

Third, don't just focus on prices; feel the "heartbeat".

The cryptocurrency scene of 2025 is no longer just about trading coins. It is intertwined with AI and the metaverse, and the story is getting more and more complex.

You need to learn to maintain a bit of calm amidst the collective frenzy of the market, finding opportunities that are wrongly killed amid everyone's general fear. The rhythm is much more important than reckless actions.

Finally, let me remind you:

The only constant in this circle is "change". Come in with your brain, your discipline, and your patience. Your primary goal is not to drive a Lamborghini overnight, but to steadily live until the next bull market. After all, once the capital is gone, no matter how good the show is, you won't see it, right?

ETH bottoming signal is strong, is the little dogecoin about to take off?

Old players all know that ETH is the "emotional switch" for altcoins.

In the past, when ETH broke through $600 and $4000, which time did not follow a wave of altcoin frenzy?

Now the weekly bottom divergence signal is clear, plus the Fed's interest rate cut expectations are becoming stronger, and the money in the market is starting to stir.

The whales have the keenest sense; the top 100 addresses holding little dogecoin have directly increased by nearly half in two weeks. This signal is quite straightforward, right?

First, let's talk about V God’s recent operation, it’s simply divine assistance.

He donated 150 billion little dogecoins to a charity fund. In the past, some people would definitely panic and sell, but the market this time didn’t panic at all — instead, it recalled that SHIB was sold by V God for 220 trillion coins back in the day, which later surged by 260,000 times.

To put it simply, coins that truly have a community experience short-term selling pressure as just a washout; when top traffic hits, it rather fuels consensus.

Also, Musk's "dog system buff" is always effective.

Little dogecoin carries the genetic traits of the dogecoin family, and the community is full of old friends. With a market value of 37 million in the face of 5 billion in incremental Ethereum funds, it’s like a small pebble thrown into a lake; any influx of funds can easily stir things up.

Moreover, platform X is testing its use as a payment method, with real transactions exceeding 100,000, proving it’s not just a purely speculative air coin.

On the technical side, it has built up enough momentum. If ETH breaks through its previous high of $4950, the Meme sector is likely to explode.

Little dogecoin previously rose by 1100%, and now the daily chart has formed a compact flag shape, with trading volume shrinking almost to pre-launch levels, like a spring compressed to the bottom, ready to bounce up at any moment.

The window period is just these few days; don’t hesitate when it’s time to act. The current market is like a concert about to begin, and the front-row seats are being snatched up quickly.

Bitcoin dominance has dropped to 48%, and Ethereum’s ecological share has risen to 32%.

The inflow of funds into the small market cap sector is even stronger than during DeFi Summer — this is not ordinary rotation; it’s a significant shift in the market from "hoarding Bitcoin" to "speculating on the ecosystem."

Such opportunities with weekly-level bottoming, top-tier traffic support, and funding resonance happen only two or three times a year; the real big shows always belong to those who enter early!@仓位管理师

Eight years in the crypto world, I've learned that some things are better left unsaid!

I remember at the end of the bull market in 2019, my cousin followed a live stream to buy a MEME coin, and after it dropped 60%, she called me crying asking what to do.

I could only grit my teeth and say "Don't sell yet" knowing full well that some things, even if said, won't reach the listener.

Last year, I helped a friend avoid getting caught up in a pump of a shitcoin, but then he turned around and followed others into DEFI mining, putting his house down payment at risk.

At the dinner table, he said, "I should have listened to you earlier," while I just held my wine glass in silence.

It reminds me of even earlier times, when I brought him to buy BTC at $20,000, and after making 30%, he was anxious to sell, only to see it rise to $60,000 later and blame me for not reminding him.

So in the market, no one can be a lifelong guide; you worry yourself sick, and people still think you meddle too much.

In the fan group, there are always people asking "What’s the next hundredfold coin?" Later, I simply replied, "I don't understand."

When the other party only wants a code to get rich, no amount of professional talk is useful; it's better to keep my mouth shut to save some breath.

What really taught me to keep my thoughts to myself was the night before that crash!

I saw several abnormal large transfers on-chain and sent a message to three old friends saying "Be aware of the risks."

Two seconds later, I got a reply, "Understood," while one continued to ask for details.

Staring at the chat window, I suddenly felt shaky—too much talk could lead to responsibility, too little might be of no use, in the end, I only replied with a handshake emoji.

As expected, there was a waterfall in the early morning, and those two who understood quietly cleared their positions, while the one who asked later cursed "Monday morning quarterback" in the group.

I rarely talk to others about it now; at most, I mumble a couple of words, and when I see newbies asking in forums "Can I bottom fish?" I’ll reply with "Don't go all in." When relatives and friends bring up the crypto world, I just laugh and change the subject.

This isn't indifference; it's understanding the truth after seeing too many "Who are you to guide me?" looks!

The market only recognizes the money in its own pocket; no matter how much others say, it won't matter.

In these eight years, from desperately proving I know my stuff, to now learning that sometimes it's best to keep certain things to myself.

Rather than wasting breath to persuade others, it's better to focus energy on my own strategies.

Perhaps maturity is like this: knowing that some paths must be walked through falling, and some pits must be climbed out of by oneself, and what we can do is to buckle up our own seatbelt when the storm comes!@仓位管理师

There are always people staring at my early funding curve asking: "Starting with 5000U and reaching a million in two years, is there some exclusive secret?"

First, solidify your fundamentals, stop thinking about showboating.

These four simple methods helped me get through the toughest novice period, whether you look at them is up to you.

When I first started playing, I felt like a headless fly, chasing the rise and cutting losses at the drop—does that sound like you?

1. Set rules for trading; stop rushing around. If you break the previous day's low, you must cut losses. Only open a long position after breaking the 4-hour resistance level, and set your profit target to at least 1.5 times your stop loss.

The most dangerous thing is not losing money through stop loss but breaking the rules and not taking it seriously.

2. These three ironclad rules will teach you a lesson if you encounter them once; you must cut your position if you suffer a floating loss of 2% of your capital.

If you lose on two consecutive trades, shut down your system; go out for a jog or have a good meal, calm down and come back—don’t let emotions carry you away.

Do not sell until your profit reaches the target, even if you see half of the profit disappear, you must grit your teeth and wait for the market to finish.

For small capital wanting to grow large, the worst mistake is to go all in at once.

3. Position management must be steady; don’t learn to gamble like a player going all in. It's like playing a game; you need to maintain healthy health points to continue advancing.

4. Reviewing trades is a thousand times more important than placing orders! Circle mistakes in red, such as not stopping losses when you should have, and mark correct operations in blue, like taking profits according to rules.

Analysis: Why did I hold onto positions at that time? How should I handle such situations next time?

In the first year, when I reached 380,000, I traded dozens of times a day, fueled by "fearlessness" with small capital trying crazy mistakes.

After reaching 500,000, I clearly felt a change in mindset: I repeatedly confirmed before opening positions, and my fingers trembled when stopping losses—once the capital increased, there really is a "psychological burden."

Later, I took the initiative to slow down, reducing the number of trades; one mistake might require ten profitable trades to make up for it. At that time, I finally understood that truly skilled traders are not those who trade quickly, but those who know when to hit the brakes. @仓位管理师