王建波

Friday Night Bitcoin and Ethereum Analysis Summary

In the early hours of Saturday, the cryptocurrency market experienced fluctuations again. In the afternoon, after a second test of the key support level below, the market initiated a technical rebound as expected. Bitcoin reached a daily high of 106,500, while Ethereum simultaneously climbed to 2,568, confirming the short-term market resilience. Since Wednesday, the market has gone through multiple fluctuations, and this rebound aligns with technical expectations. Although the market once again retested the 102,200 area and stabilized, and the night-time long position strategy hit the stop loss, the overall daily profits significantly covered this risk exposure. To seize opportunities in the market, the key lies in grasping the market rhythm rather than blindly chasing highs and cutting losses; otherwise, even if good opportunities arise, they may be difficult to turn into actual gains.

Current market conditions show that the early market first retraced and then tested the bottom again, but the structural support below is strong. After a brief pullback, bulls pushed prices higher once more. Although the rebound exhibits a gradual recovery characteristic, it highlights the strength of the bullish support. On the hourly chart, prices are oscillating under pressure between the upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands. Although there has yet to be a strong breakout above the previous high, the underlying support remains solid, and the low points of the retracement are gradually rising, suggesting that the market is in a phase of consolidation. Combined with the possibility of a hammer candlestick forming on the daily chart, the short-term range oscillation pattern may continue. Overall strategy-wise, Old Wang suggests focusing on bullish positioning after a pullback, taking the opportunity to establish long positions during the consolidation phase.

Operational Advice:
Bitcoin range 102,500-103,000, target 104,000
Ethereum range 2,380-2,400, target 2,500, 2,824, 810, 387, 747, 539, 989, 930

In the evening, Lao Wang's thoughts were validated, but the downward trend greatly exceeded his expectations. Due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the escalation of geopolitical conflicts, the market plummeted sharply, falling from around 106500 to about 102300. Fortunately, Lao Wang had previously mentioned the struggle between long and short trends in his blog; I wonder if everyone was able to profit from it. Currently, the market is likely to accelerate downward after breaking through the psychological barrier of 103000. Now that it has broken through the previous low again, Lao Wang suggests that everyone can observe the market's rebound strength. If the rebound fails to break through and stabilize at the 103000 level, then it is advisable to continue shorting at high levels, with a target around 101000.

【Federal Reserve Board Governor Waller Sends Clear Dovish Signal: Supports Considering Rate Cut in July】

According to news on June 20, Federal Reserve Board Governor Waller recently expressed his support for considering a rate cut in July, believing that tariffs will not lead to sustained inflation.

If this is confirmed, it will accelerate the inflow of Bitcoin and other assets, and lower the cost of leveraged funds, attracting long-term capital injection. This will also cause the safe-haven properties of Bitcoin and other assets to partially manifest in the short term, making them relatively resilient. Overall, this is positive news, and it is even more favorable for other assets.

Looking at the overall market today, Bitcoin and Ethereum are slightly stronger. So far, the price is around 106,000 points, but this afternoon it has surged to a key high on the 30-minute chart.

The only question now is whether this rise is a real breakout or a fake one? If it’s a false breakout meant to trick buyers, then entering the market could be very risky. After all, Bitcoin is still in a downward trend on the 4-hour chart, and the overall sentiment remains bearish. The rebound is likely to be a trap to lure in buyers. Lao Wang's view is that a big market movement is coming soon, so don’t rush to chase highs or sell lows. Either wait patiently for clearer signals before taking action or engage in some short-term trades.

The price is currently hovering around 1,060,000, waiting for the market to open. Related stocks have risen before the market opens, and it’s estimated that after the market opens, Bitcoin and Ethereum may push up again.
The key focus is the resistance around 107,000. If the market performs well after opening, and it rises directly to 107,000, we can follow the trend and buy more. Conversely, if the market does not perform well after opening and starts to decline, we can take a short position. #波段交易策略 $BTC

Friday Evening Bitcoin and Ethereum Analysis

The market has made another move, with Bitcoin and Ethereum experiencing a surge. However, after breaking through the 106000 mark, it couldn't hold and fell back under pressure. Ethereum broke through the 2550 mark and has been consolidating nearby. When the price surged strongly, we promptly reversed and chased the trend, taking profits around 1300 points, and timely adjusted our strategy to turn the situation around.

On the 4-hour chart, the candlestick pattern closed with an inverted hammer after a series of bullish candles, and currently, there is no significant support near the price level, but there is clear resistance above. On the 1-hour chart, the price is in an overbought state, with the candlestick closing quickly, and in the future market, the advice is to maintain a bearish outlook.

Trading Suggestions:
Buy Bitcoin around 106300, targeting near 105000.
Short Ethereum at the current price, targeting around 2500.

The current market has once again emerged, and Old Wang has also timely adjusted his thinking. When the price broke through the 105,500 mark strongly, he took a long position, which resulted in a slight loss but greater gains. Old Wang has mentioned many times in his blog that one should go with the trend. Various indicators are just a way to analyze the market; contracts should be handled calmly in response to unexpected situations, following market fluctuations rather than judging market conditions based on personal will. #鲍威尔发言 $BTC

The market trend diverges from Lao Wang's short-term target, but it does not affect Lao Wang's judgment on the strategy. Currently, the market has shown a strong upward trend. We can look at the resistance level at the integer mark of 106000 above. The price has now risen to around 105500, and the rising momentum is starting to shrink. We can short at high levels, aiming for the support level of 104000 below, and be cautious of the price testing downwards again. #X超级应用转型 $BTC

Friday Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Analysis

As we enter the afternoon, the overall market remains in a sideways structure, oscillating back and forth. The direction of various indicators is unclear, indicating that the market is still in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. In the short-term oscillation range, one can short at high levels and go long at low levels. I wonder if any friends have kept up with Lao Wang's rhythm; even the smallest mosquito is still meat.

Looking at the real trading situation, from the hourly chart, the K-line is running at the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong short-term momentum. However, the middle Bollinger Band serves as a key area for the battle between bulls and bears, and it has encountered multiple downward probes. Fortunately, the bulls have been able to quickly counterattack. Currently, in real trading conditions, the bull-bear contest is led by the bulls, while the bears continue to probe lower. Focus on the area around the middle Bollinger Band at 104500. If the bears effectively break through and continue to increase volume below it, the bulls may weaken. We can look to chase long or enter short near the support level around the integer mark of 104000 based on volume; conversely, if the bulls are strong and continue to rise, we can look to enter near the upper integer mark of 105000 based on the upward trend.

Trading Suggestions:
Short near 105000 for Bitcoin, target 104300.
Short near 2540 for Ethereum, target around 2490. #X超级应用转型 $BTC

Friday Morning Ethereum Analysis

Good morning, currently the price is hovering around 2520 after a rebound following a dip below the 2500 mark during last night's test of short-term support. From the one-hour price chart, the current price is in the upper half of a fluctuation range, with limited upward space and larger downward space. However, from the MACD indicator, a death cross has appeared below the 0 axis, indicating a potential significant decline. Currently, there is no strong unilateral trend in the market, and it is still undergoing range adjustment. Old Wang suggests waiting and watching for a unilateral trend to emerge before making short-term trades — selling high or buying low. Key short-term support at 2490 and resistance at 2550.

Trading Suggestion:
Sell near 2550, target around 2490. #加密概念美股 $BTC

Friday Morning Bitcoin Analysis Summary

Good morning, currently the price is hovering around 104700 after a rebound from a short-term support level, having tested and dropped below the 104000 integer mark last night. From the 15-minute price chart, the price has reached the upper end of the short-term fluctuation range, closely touching the Bollinger Gold line, and even briefly entering an overbought state. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has exhibited a death cross above the 0 axis, and the KDJ indicator has reached 69, indicating that there will likely be a wave of short positions for a pullback adjustment in the short term. However, from the 4-hour and 8-hour price charts, the price is currently in the lower half or even mid-range of the wide fluctuation area, and various indicators show that the trend is not clear, indicating a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces in the market. I suggest that in the short term, one could consider going short around 105000, while maintaining the strategy of pulling back to sell high and buying low as seen yesterday.

Trading Suggestions:
Short around 105000, with a target near 104000. #鲍威尔发言 $BTC

On June 19, the intraday market has completed its course, with Bitcoin peaking around 105,100 and dropping to a low near 103,800, while Ethereum peaked around 2,540 and dropped to a low near 2,450. Throughout the day, Lao Wang suggested monitoring the actual market conditions to engage in high short rebounds and low position longs, as the intraday market fluctuations were not large, still operating in a wide oscillation range for long and short battles. When there is no clear market direction, it is best to observe, and secondly to follow the trend. Fortunately, in the afternoon, the market fluctuations were captured, and the high short strategy was realized, leading students to profit, each achieving their own returns.

Due to the slow pace of today’s market, combined with the American-style break, the intraday gains were quite small. Lao Wang did not provide many insights to the students he was guiding, resulting in overall minor gains. The future market fluctuations are expected to remain slow; we can observe, as not taking action is the best strategy. More aggressive traders may also engage in short-term opportunities in the direction of the trend.

In the four-hour Bitcoin price chart, the price has consistently been at the lower boundary of the oscillation range, and the Bollinger Bands show no signs of contraction. Lao Wang anticipates a slight retracement trend; in the one-hour price chart, after the price reached the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands, there was a wave of bullish rally, returning to the middle band. Lao Wang's suggestion is still to observe in the evening or make trades. Aggressive traders can continue to follow Lao Wang's strategy of buying on retracement and shorting at high positions.

Operation Suggestions
Buy Bitcoin near 104,000, target around 105,500
Buy Ethereum near 2,480, target around 2,550

After experiencing a long period of sideways fluctuations in the Japanese market, the evening trading dropped to the line of 104500, approaching 104300. Currently, we are observing the short-term support at the round number of 104000. If it strongly breaks down below 104000, we can take a short position accordingly, and then look at the second support level at 103000. If it breaks down or slowly declines to the 104000 level, we will take a long position at a low level, continuing the sideways fluctuations. #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC

Friends, this account is no longer available. It is true that the blogs Lao Wang posts every day are not very real-time. Many friends have privately contacted Lao Wang to ask for real-time ideas. I know that everyone is following Lao Wang's ideas, but it is indeed limited now. You can add me to contact others. You can contact me at any time if you need. The ideas and analysis given to everyone are free, and friends who want to get on board are also not familiar with fat. #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC

Currently, the market volatility is slow, and it is basically operating in a range-bound structure. Old Wang suggests observing the market. For those who are aggressive, they can roll positions back and forth in the middle. It is important to pay attention to the information regarding the upper resistance levels and lower support levels while waiting for market conditions. #加密概念美股 $BTC

Thursday Evening Bitcoin Ethereum Analysis

Let's interpret today's market situation. The Bitcoin price has a daily fluctuation of less than 1%, and the internal trend is mainly in a breakdown state, so we need to be cautious of further local dips. It’s a market where it’s better to watch more and act less; the suggestion is to enjoy life and leisure, as not operating is also a form of operation at this stage.

Although the current market is in a short-term bearish structure, the long-term support level still exists. Essentially, it remains a phase of oscillation and tug-of-war. From the 4-hour and 8-hour market charts, the overall market trend continues the breakdown pattern that started on the 17th. The further we extend this timeline, the greater the uncertainty and therefore the risk. Only if we see a recovery trend of over 3% from the baseline of 106200 will there be a chance for a second retest.

Old Wang suggests that before there is increased volatility, there is no need for excessive operations. Just be cautious of further price dips and consider entering after a dip. The short-term resistance level is around 106000 (a breakout and retest can be used for small waves), and the support level is 102000 (in case of a sharp drop, one can seize the rebound). #鲍威尔发言 $BTC

Thursday Afternoon Bitcoin Ethereum Analysis

The intraday price movements have not shown significant fluctuations, oscillating within the range of 104500-105500, with both bullish and bearish forces continuing to compete. The short-term outlook is not clear, with no strong unilateral trends emerging. In this situation, Old Wang suggests going with the trend, either buying on pullbacks or shorting at high positions. The support level below is viewed at the integer level of 104000, while the resistance level above is seen at 106000. Currently, the price is hovering around 105000. Friends can wait for a clear situation to enter the market, for example: if the price approaches around 104000 and the downward space is narrow, one can take a short-term long position; conversely, one can short.

The bounce strategy suggested in the morning has been achieved. After the market pulled back to 104600, it began to rebound upwards, reaching a high near 105100. Friends who followed Old Wang's strategy should have gained a hundred points in this wave. Later, Old Wang mentioned in the blog that the strategy should be to short at high positions. I wonder if everyone managed to catch this wave, which again means nearly a thousand points of space.

As we move into the afternoon, observing the 4-hour market trend chart, the price has been oscillating near the lower Bollinger Band, continuously testing the support level below. However, this also proves the strength of the support level below. Although the market is currently under strong bearish sentiment, the information that the price can rebound after a downward movement, combined with the strong defense of the key support level at 103000, indicates that bullish forces are beginning to gather. Therefore, we will continue to maintain the strategy of buying low and shorting high in the afternoon.

Trading Suggestions:
For Bitcoin, watch the range of 104000-104500, aiming for 106000.
For Ethereum, look at the range of 2580-2500, targeting 2550.

The morning market has once again performed as expected. After Old Wang's post this morning, Bitcoin pulled back to around 104600, and then it surged to around 105200, reaching the 105300 level mentioned in Old Wang's morning post. After that, it began to correct. The altcoin also reached a high of 2546, and after hitting around 2550, as indicated in Old Wang's post, it started to correct as well. Bitcoin has already brought us a profit of 600 points, and the altcoin 30 points. I wonder if everyone has followed Old Wang's thinking on this wave.

Currently, the live market is influenced by fundamental factors, and the market is undergoing a correction. In the short term, we can continue with the range fluctuation strategy, observing the upper resistance level around 105500. If it breaks but fails to hold, we can continue to position for short trades under pressure. If it does not break, we act accordingly, shorting at high positions and going long on pullbacks. The support level below is at the 104000 mark.

Trading suggestions:
Bitcoin around 104200, target 105300.
Altcoin around 2480, target 2550#GENIUS稳定币法案 $BTC .

Good morning, this is the strategy from Lao Wang in the early morning for everyone. He suggested to take a long position on the pullback, and it has indeed played out in the market. This is the benefit of following the market trends. I wonder if any of you managed to catch this perfect opportunity of thousands of points back and forth and exited successfully.

Now, let's return to the actual market. Looking at the 1-hour price chart, the interest rate decision and Powell's press conference in the early morning did not bring any favorable market trends. The price is still oscillating within a wide range, and the K-line is currently close to the upper Bollinger band, with limited upward space. Additionally, the MACD indicator has shown a death cross below the zero line, so Lao Wang continues to maintain the strategy of taking long positions on pullbacks to view the market trends. From the Bollinger Bands, we can see that the short-term support level is around 103000, while the upper side is heavily pressured. A correction due to stagnation is inevitable. Therefore, in the short term, we will first take short positions to seize the opportunity, and then wait for the price to pull back before taking long positions in the direction of the trend.

Trading suggestions:
Bitcoin near 105300, target 103500.
Ethereum near 2550, target 2480. #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC

#美联储FOMC会议 $BTC Wednesday Evening Bitcoin and Ethereum Analysis

As the day ends, let's review the market on June 18. After yesterday's strong continuation, the entire market entered a corrective and volatile range, engaging in a tug-of-war between long and short forces in the 103500-105500 range. Throughout the day, there wasn't much fluctuation in the market, and Old Wang could only follow short-term trading patterns to continue making trades. In the analysis for Wednesday's market, Old Wang also provided many ideas for buying on dips. In the morning, afternoon, and evening sessions, relative market movements were observed. In the short term, the afternoon saw a stagnation and pressure at the 105500 mark, again suggesting a buying opportunity on dips, with short positions initiated around 104500 for profit-taking. In the evening, another buying opportunity emerged, gaining nearly a thousand points.

Today, the new members led by me achieved a profit of 2300 points.

From a daily perspective, the overall trend continues downward as yesterday, still within a wide range of fluctuations; however, the downward space is limited, and the MACD indicator has formed a golden cross above the zero axis. Currently, the price is close to touching the lower Bollinger band, and as long as the support level of 102000 holds, we can still consider buying on dips. It is important to note that the market is in a volatile tug-of-war situation, and the outlook remains unclear.

On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands have also shifted to a stable trend, with prices below the middle band. The downward space is narrow, and the price is currently around 104500. It seems that tonight's meeting may determine whether the market breaks the current volatility. From a news perspective, we will see if tonight is “hawkish” or “dovish.”

Trading Suggestions:
Buy Bitcoin around 103700-104000, targeting around 106500.
If it breaks below 103000, consider reversing to short.
Buy Ethereum around 2450-2470, targeting around 2550.