背納

Recently, I've really lost my mind. I don't know if it's bad luck or if there's a problem with the trading system. I'm sorry to many friends who believed in my trades.

I've been playing really hard lately, not daring to hold positions, but the market keeps fluctuating. On Thursday night, I held a position for a bit, and in the morning, unexpected news hit. A wave of Ethereum dropped nine points, and my contract account retraced more than fifty percent. I feel numb; I didn't take profits on the high in the spot market and also lost.

I don't know if the market is too difficult or if I'm just too unlucky lately; everything I do has been going poorly. I think I need to take a break for a while. #加密市场回调

Previously, the article updates were too chaotic; I would just say whatever came to mind, which led to many people saying that Kai Ge is sometimes bearish and sometimes bullish.

In the future, I will write daily analyses that will include some general thoughts. As a trader, it’s easy to be bullish one moment and bearish the next. This is not a good approach for writing articles.

Additionally, I will have a scheduled broadcast at nine o'clock in the future.

The beginning of short selling has明显增加
Note
105 is not an ideal position for short selling
$BTC

Celebrating the live account surpassing eight million,
Distributing ten thousand Bitcoin red envelopes
Wishing all brothers a hundredfold in this bull market,
Reply: Hundredfold Automatically claim

Reviewing the trades, to be honest, I've really been doing poorly lately.

Originally, the long positions were good, but they were pulled back and forth by news, sometimes long and sometimes short. Moreover, there was no strict profit-taking or stop-loss. I hope to give my all this coming month and do well. #Stripe稳定币账户

Reviewing the trades, to be honest, I've really been doing poorly lately.

Originally, the long positions were good, but they were pulled back and forth by news, sometimes long and sometimes short. Moreover, there was no strict profit-taking or stop-loss. I hope to give my all this coming month and do well. #Stripe稳定币账户

Sending Bitcoin red envelopes to my brothers, a total of ten thousand red envelopes.
Happy Labor Day, wishing my brothers happiness beyond just Labor Day.
Reply: Happy Automatically receive Bitcoin red envelope

Brothers, the crypto world is ruthless, but the new brother is loving
Ten thousand Bitcoin red envelopes are here,
Reply in the comments: Keep it up Automatically receive.

Bitcoin has risen from 76,000 to 84,000, entering the early stage of an upward trend confirmed after the bottom of a bull market. It is necessary to dynamically balance risks and rewards, with the phased operational framework as follows:

1. Validate the core assumptions of the market stage

1. Confirm whether it has moved away from the bottom: On-chain data validation, focus on SOPR, net inflow to exchanges, NUPL; technical validation, check if the weekly price holds above 84,000 and breaks the 200-day moving average, whether the trading volume continues to increase.
2. Priority of driving factors: Short-term focus on the net inflow of Bitcoin ETF funds; medium-term focus on the historical rising pattern in the 3 months before the 2024 halving; long-term focus on the timing for the initiation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle.

2. Profit maximization strategy (position management)

1. Initial trend confirmation (84,000): 70% core position holding spot, moving stop-loss; 20% flexible position for swing trading; 10% to hedge using put options. Can enhance profits with staking + leverage cycles, inter-period arbitrage.
2. Main upward wave phase (breakthrough previous high by 10%-20%): Increase position after breaking 90,000, allocating to leading altcoins. Use options strategies of selling out-of-the-money call options and buying call spreads.
3. Frenzy period (market FOMO phase): Based on on-chain alerts, sentiment indicators, and technical signals to take profits, retreat in stages.

3. Risk hedging toolbox

1. Extreme volatility protection: Use VIX-related derivatives, gold/BTC inverse positions to respond.
2. Liquidity crisis plan: Keep 10% stablecoins, diversify holdings across multiple exchanges.

4. Key data monitoring table

Monitor on-chain, derivatives, macro, and sentiment indicators, and take corresponding actions when reaching warning thresholds.

5. Practical case (100,000 USD principal)

Position operations and asset allocation based on different stage prices.

Core principles

Reject "All-in," utilize market irrationality to increase positions during panic pullbacks, adhere to the principle that time > price, and avoid FOMO chasing highs. The above strategies need to be dynamically adjusted with real-time data, and it is recommended to use a combination of TradingView + Glassnode + DeFiLlama as monitoring tools.