BTC小诸葛
微博：BTC小诸葛，全网同名。币圈5年老韭菜，致力于做到知行合一擅长趋势操作，每天实时指导
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Morning thoughts: 105800 line entry point for the current strategy, already 2000 points! After the big rebound, it's time to short, taking profits is inevitable, directly targeting 4200 oil! $BTC #美国初请失业金人数
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Morning strategy, the 105800 line is the entry point for the strategy, currently the lowest has reached 103800, which is now 2000 points!
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🐶DOGE is gearing up, can the bulls take it to a new high? The critical moment has arrived!
🐂 Bullish opportunities are just around the corner!
DOGE is approaching the 50-day moving average of 0.19,
if it can hold, the targets will be 0.23 → 0.26!
But be cautious:
Only a breakout above 0.26 can confirm a new round of increases, anything else is just a rehearsal!
🐻 How can the bears stand by?
If it gets pushed back around 0.20,
it indicates strong selling pressure above, the bears are secretly gaining strength,
DOGE may retest the support zone of 0.16~0.14, and a drop below could lead to further weakness.
🔍 Trading reference:
📈 Breakout above 0.26 → Upward trend confirmed, aiming higher!
📉 Drop below 0.20 → Bears dominate, watch the support area!
👀 Observers → Keep a close eye on 0.26 and 0.14, act only on a breakout!
🧨 In summary: This wave is either taking off or retesting the bottom, the decisive moment has arrived! $DOGE
🐂 Bullish opportunities are just around the corner!
DOGE is approaching the 50-day moving average of 0.19,
if it can hold, the targets will be 0.23 → 0.26!
But be cautious:
Only a breakout above 0.26 can confirm a new round of increases, anything else is just a rehearsal!
🐻 How can the bears stand by?
If it gets pushed back around 0.20,
it indicates strong selling pressure above, the bears are secretly gaining strength,
DOGE may retest the support zone of 0.16~0.14, and a drop below could lead to further weakness.
🔍 Trading reference:
📈 Breakout above 0.26 → Upward trend confirmed, aiming higher!
📉 Drop below 0.20 → Bears dominate, watch the support area!
👀 Observers → Keep a close eye on 0.26 and 0.14, act only on a breakout!
🧨 In summary: This wave is either taking off or retesting the bottom, the decisive moment has arrived! $DOGE
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💥XRP Approaches Key Moving Average, Facing a Bull-Bear Showdown! Will it Break Through or Retrace? Let's Analyze Below 👇
🧱 Bearish Counterattack Imminent? Beware of Moving Average Becoming a 'Ceiling'!
Currently, XRP is nearing a critical moving average position,
Bulls are eager to leap, but Bears are also on high alert.
⚠️ If the price encounters resistance at the moving average and falls back,
it cannot be ruled out that it may retest the $2 support zone —
this has been the starting point for multiple rebounds previously.
In the short term, we may enter a phase of high-frequency fluctuations, intensifying the bull-bear battle.
🚀 Break Through the Moving Average, Charging Towards $3?
If the Bulls break through strongly and successfully stabilize,
the upper $2.65 will become the next strong resistance.
Once it breaks $2.65,
XRP is expected to accelerate, making a $3 target not just a dream! $XRP
🧱 Bearish Counterattack Imminent? Beware of Moving Average Becoming a 'Ceiling'!
Currently, XRP is nearing a critical moving average position,
Bulls are eager to leap, but Bears are also on high alert.
⚠️ If the price encounters resistance at the moving average and falls back,
it cannot be ruled out that it may retest the $2 support zone —
this has been the starting point for multiple rebounds previously.
In the short term, we may enter a phase of high-frequency fluctuations, intensifying the bull-bear battle.
🚀 Break Through the Moving Average, Charging Towards $3?
If the Bulls break through strongly and successfully stabilize,
the upper $2.65 will become the next strong resistance.
Once it breaks $2.65,
XRP is expected to accelerate, making a $3 target not just a dream! $XRP
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Seven Rules of the Cryptocurrency Circle: Go with the Trend, Seek Victory with Stability
1. Be Patient During Consolidation: Don't make random moves during sideways markets; changes will come after the consolidation.
2. Don't Get Attached to Short-Term Trends: Hot positions are often speculative; when the hype fades, funds withdraw, so frequently change positions to mitigate risks.
3. Hold Steady During Acceleration: When the K-line slowly rises, with a high opening and large volume, the accelerating market has arrived; hold steady for cryptocurrency gains.
4. Exit After Huge Bullish Candles: Once a huge bullish candle appears, regardless of how high or low, funds should decisively exit the market.
5. Moving Average Support Levels Are Key Trading Points: Moving averages and support/resistance levels must be acted upon, even if they are wrong.
6. Better to Enter Less Than Too Much: Prepare before taking action; the cryptocurrency market is unpredictable, so be cautious when entering.
7. Always Respect the Market, Dare to Pave New Paths
Only by walking the paths others dare not take can you achieve excess returns!
#Circle扩大IPO规模
1. Be Patient During Consolidation: Don't make random moves during sideways markets; changes will come after the consolidation.
2. Don't Get Attached to Short-Term Trends: Hot positions are often speculative; when the hype fades, funds withdraw, so frequently change positions to mitigate risks.
3. Hold Steady During Acceleration: When the K-line slowly rises, with a high opening and large volume, the accelerating market has arrived; hold steady for cryptocurrency gains.
4. Exit After Huge Bullish Candles: Once a huge bullish candle appears, regardless of how high or low, funds should decisively exit the market.
5. Moving Average Support Levels Are Key Trading Points: Moving averages and support/resistance levels must be acted upon, even if they are wrong.
6. Better to Enter Less Than Too Much: Prepare before taking action; the cryptocurrency market is unpredictable, so be cautious when entering.
7. Always Respect the Market, Dare to Pave New Paths
Only by walking the paths others dare not take can you achieve excess returns!
#Circle扩大IPO规模
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Federal Reserve 'Beige Book' Alarm Sounds: Economic Slowdown, Employment Pressure, Tariffs Become Fatal 'Trigger Point'
On June 4 local time, the Federal Reserve released the latest national economic conditions survey report—commonly known as the 'Beige Book'. The report is like a bombshell, revealing that the U.S. economy is experiencing a worrying downturn: economic activity has slightly contracted, the job market has clearly cooled, and tariff issues have become the 'eye of the storm' impacting the economy.
Overall, since the last Beige Book was published on April 23, the U.S. economy has not shown significant signs of recovery. The report shows that economic activity has substantially declined in regions such as Boston, New York, and Philadelphia; although regions like Richmond, Atlanta, and Chicago have seen slight growth, it is insufficient to offset the downward pressure nationwide. More critically, regions generally reflect that economic and policy uncertainty has significantly increased, making businesses and households increasingly cautious and hesitant in their decision-making.
Overall, since the last Beige Book was published on April 23, the U.S. economy has not shown significant signs of recovery. The report shows that economic activity has substantially declined in regions such as Boston, New York, and Philadelphia; although regions like Richmond, Atlanta, and Chicago have seen slight growth, it is insufficient to offset the downward pressure nationwide. More critically, regions generally reflect that economic and policy uncertainty has significantly increased, making businesses and households increasingly cautious and hesitant in their decision-making.
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Last night's market rebounded to 105900 and then went south throughout, with a space of 1900 points. Did everyone catch this wave of the market last night? $BTC
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6.5 Bitcoin Morning Thoughts
The four-hour analysis failed to rise to 106800 and has started to decline continuously. It has now fallen below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the market sentiment has weakened. The two lines of the MACD are about to cross downwards, and all three lines of the KDJ are also moving downwards, clearly indicating that the bears are in control. The morning still favors a high short strategy. Set proper stop losses and do not hold losing positions.
Personal suggestion:
Short Bitcoin around 105500-106000, target around 104000.
Short Ethereum around 2650-2680, target around 2570.
The four-hour analysis failed to rise to 106800 and has started to decline continuously. It has now fallen below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the market sentiment has weakened. The two lines of the MACD are about to cross downwards, and all three lines of the KDJ are also moving downwards, clearly indicating that the bears are in control. The morning still favors a high short strategy. Set proper stop losses and do not hold losing positions.
Personal suggestion:
Short Bitcoin around 105500-106000, target around 104000.
Short Ethereum around 2650-2680, target around 2570.
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The United States has officially legalized stablecoins, which seems like a victory for the crypto circle, but for Chinese players, it is a disaster!
This is not alarmism, my personal experience tells me that there is a huge risk hidden behind this:
❗Fatal shift: U is becoming a 'legal' channel for capital flight.
In the past, many large funds were afraid to touch USDT, worried that the United States would not recognize its legal status.
Things are different now—America has officially endorsed stablecoins as 'digital dollars,' U = dollar credit, directly recognized by the authorities!
What does this mean?
✅ Using U to transfer assets is 10 times faster than underground money houses.
✅ The transaction fees are almost zero.
✅ The cash withdrawal path is clear and difficult to trace.
Recently, when I was selling U, I casually asked a few buyers about their purposes—resulting in three wealthy individuals directly saying within a week that they 'want to run away.' I immediately blacklisted them and did not sell.
❗Fatal shift: U is becoming a 'legal' channel for capital flight.
In the past, many large funds were afraid to touch USDT, worried that the United States would not recognize its legal status.
Things are different now—America has officially endorsed stablecoins as 'digital dollars,' U = dollar credit, directly recognized by the authorities!
What does this mean?
✅ Using U to transfer assets is 10 times faster than underground money houses.
✅ The transaction fees are almost zero.
✅ The cash withdrawal path is clear and difficult to trace.
Recently, when I was selling U, I casually asked a few buyers about their purposes—resulting in three wealthy individuals directly saying within a week that they 'want to run away.' I immediately blacklisted them and did not sell.
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Seize the opportunity to act in accordance with the trend!
Successfully gained 500 points, Luodai 1500u!
Successfully gained 500 points, Luodai 1500u!
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The BNB trend is similar to that of Yi Tai, currently showing bullish patterns in the smaller timeframes, with minor support at 666. If this level is not broken, the market can continue to look for rebounds to push higher, with resistance at 673.677. A break would target 690. If the hourly closes below 666 again, it indicates a weakening bullish pattern in the hourly timeframe, with lower target support continuing at 650$BNB
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The SOL four-hour level rebound has ended, with a four-hour level resistance at 158. For the market to rebound and rise again, at least a four-hour level closing needs to break through the 158 resistance for a chance. The upper daily resistance is at 164. Currently, the smaller levels are all looking at the bear side target support at 150.$SOL
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Thoughts in the afternoon of June 4:
From a technical perspective, the short-term trend is bearish. The green column of MACD continues to expand, and the DIF line runs below the DEA line, indicating that the bearish momentum is still dominant; at the same time, the three lines of the KDJ indicator diverge downward, further confirming the short-term weak pattern.
Therefore, the afternoon operation strategy is still recommended to focus on shorting at high levels:
Big cake: It is recommended to try short orders in the range of 105,800-106,500, with the target at 103,500;
Auntie: It is recommended to arrange short orders in the range of 2,640-2,670, with the target at around 2,500. #美国加征关税 $BTC
$ETH
From a technical perspective, the short-term trend is bearish. The green column of MACD continues to expand, and the DIF line runs below the DEA line, indicating that the bearish momentum is still dominant; at the same time, the three lines of the KDJ indicator diverge downward, further confirming the short-term weak pattern.
Therefore, the afternoon operation strategy is still recommended to focus on shorting at high levels:
Big cake: It is recommended to try short orders in the range of 105,800-106,500, with the target at 103,500;
Auntie: It is recommended to arrange short orders in the range of 2,640-2,670, with the target at around 2,500. #美国加征关税 $BTC
$ETH
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Xiao Zhuge believes that in the coming month, Bitcoin will mainly trend downwards. Although there will be rising market conditions during this period, they are more likely to be technical rebounds during the downward process. I judge that the market may not truly bottom out until July or August. However, this round of decline will not be a straight line down; it will be accompanied by multiple fluctuations and significant rebounds.
I personally believe that Bitcoin will break below 100k, and it won't be too late!
Bitcoin: Trade within the range of 106000-106800, 🎯 target looks at 100000-98000!
Ethereum: Trade within the range of 2650-2680, 🎯 target looks at 2450-2350!
I personally believe that Bitcoin will break below 100k, and it won't be too late!
Bitcoin: Trade within the range of 106000-106800, 🎯 target looks at 100000-98000!
Ethereum: Trade within the range of 2650-2680, 🎯 target looks at 2450-2350!
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🎓 The first lesson in investing is actually learning to 'lose money'
Only through real losses can you truly grasp the laws of the market and learn to respect it.
The moment your account declines, and your heart races while you feel restless, that is the best teacher. It forces you to think about stop-loss, position sizing, and emotional management—these are the foundational skills of investing.
💡 Using a small amount of money as 'tuition' to experiment and make mistakes is actually the most effective way to grow.
Losing what you can afford allows you to learn quickly. Because you know: this is a 'learning fund', not your life’s bottom line.
When you no longer fear volatility, your mindset stabilizes, and you begin to reflect: 'Where did I lose this time? Was it a wrong read? Did I buy too early? Or was it emotional?'
Relaxation of the mind allows your thoughts to truly start turning.
✅ Identifying risks and practicing responses through small losses means that when real storms arrive, you won’t panic.
What’s truly scary is not losing money, but losing it without preparation, or losing to the point you can’t get back up.
So—
Don’t fear losses; use funds you can handle to experience and understand.
When you treat losses as a compulsory lesson, staying calm and clear-minded, that is your true starting point for achieving long-term profits.
🚫 The biggest risk is not losing that little 'tuition',
but rather being too afraid to start because of the fear of losing.
Only through real losses can you truly grasp the laws of the market and learn to respect it.
The moment your account declines, and your heart races while you feel restless, that is the best teacher. It forces you to think about stop-loss, position sizing, and emotional management—these are the foundational skills of investing.
💡 Using a small amount of money as 'tuition' to experiment and make mistakes is actually the most effective way to grow.
Losing what you can afford allows you to learn quickly. Because you know: this is a 'learning fund', not your life’s bottom line.
When you no longer fear volatility, your mindset stabilizes, and you begin to reflect: 'Where did I lose this time? Was it a wrong read? Did I buy too early? Or was it emotional?'
Relaxation of the mind allows your thoughts to truly start turning.
✅ Identifying risks and practicing responses through small losses means that when real storms arrive, you won’t panic.
What’s truly scary is not losing money, but losing it without preparation, or losing to the point you can’t get back up.
So—
Don’t fear losses; use funds you can handle to experience and understand.
When you treat losses as a compulsory lesson, staying calm and clear-minded, that is your true starting point for achieving long-term profits.
🚫 The biggest risk is not losing that little 'tuition',
but rather being too afraid to start because of the fear of losing.
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