财经思哲
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Summary of Yesterday's Performance
Achieved a score of 5150 points, maintaining an upward outlook. Although there were regrettable minor losses in the early morning, it does not affect our overall victory. The market accommodates and digests everything; it is always correct. Adapting to the market is the wisest choice. My theory is: "Behind these significant trends, there is always an irresistible force." Knowing this is enough.
Achieved a score of 5150 points, maintaining an upward outlook. Although there were regrettable minor losses in the early morning, it does not affect our overall victory. The market accommodates and digests everything; it is always correct. Adapting to the market is the wisest choice. My theory is: "Behind these significant trends, there is always an irresistible force." Knowing this is enough.
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Morning Thoughts on November 20
The Bitcoin reached a high of 93,985 last night and then began to pull back. In the early hours, our suggestion was to look for 92,700, and if it breaks, we would see 94,000. Given the current situation, it seems to have reached that.
Currently, the price of Bitcoin is around 92,000, suggestion:
Short around 92,500-92,800 targeting 91,000.
Ethereum is currently around 3,110, suggestion:
Short around 3,120.
The Bitcoin reached a high of 93,985 last night and then began to pull back. In the early hours, our suggestion was to look for 92,700, and if it breaks, we would see 94,000. Given the current situation, it seems to have reached that.
Currently, the price of Bitcoin is around 92,000, suggestion:
Short around 92,500-92,800 targeting 91,000.
Ethereum is currently around 3,110, suggestion:
Short around 3,120.
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Morning Thoughts on November 19
Currently, Bitcoin is overall showing a fluctuating upward trend, and pullbacks can continue to buy ETH. There is intense competition for these two ranges, focusing on the key game between 3000-3080 and 3150-3220, with a pending order difference of only 3.48 million dollars. ETH is retracing to the EMA52 moving average on the 90-minute period; if it closes below the moving average, pay close attention to the buying wall transaction situation below.
It is recommended to buy Bitcoin around 90000, aiming for 91000-92000.
It is suggested to short ETH at the current price, aiming for 3100.
Currently, Bitcoin is overall showing a fluctuating upward trend, and pullbacks can continue to buy ETH. There is intense competition for these two ranges, focusing on the key game between 3000-3080 and 3150-3220, with a pending order difference of only 3.48 million dollars. ETH is retracing to the EMA52 moving average on the 90-minute period; if it closes below the moving average, pay close attention to the buying wall transaction situation below.
It is recommended to buy Bitcoin around 90000, aiming for 91000-92000.
It is suggested to short ETH at the current price, aiming for 3100.
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The current price of the second cake is high. There is still a need to increase the price. The price is seen at 3180.
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Thoughts on the morning of November 18
The current BTC price is around 89,700. It is in a volatile downward trend over the weekend, and the overall decline range is not large. At that time, Sizhe gave a volatile forecast trend. The current trend is random and out of the long-term expectation, but it will still go up after the volatile. It has been volatile for four to five days, and a new market may emerge at any time, as I said last night. This market may be reflected within 24 hours.
It is recommended to short Bitcoin near 90,000 and stop loss in the range of 1%
Ether synchronously follow
The current BTC price is around 89,700. It is in a volatile downward trend over the weekend, and the overall decline range is not large. At that time, Sizhe gave a volatile forecast trend. The current trend is random and out of the long-term expectation, but it will still go up after the volatile. It has been volatile for four to five days, and a new market may emerge at any time, as I said last night. This market may be reflected within 24 hours.
It is recommended to short Bitcoin near 90,000 and stop loss in the range of 1%
Ether synchronously follow
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Most ETFs cannot be traded on Saturdays and weekends, and some funds will flow into copycat stocks, causing the rise. This stage is a fishtail market. My point of view is quite clear. Gradually reduce positions and buy on dips. Chasing highs is not advisable from any angle.
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Overall market view:
The general view remains unchanged. The current ETF has clearly shown signs of weakness, with capital outflows and insufficient bullish energy from buyers. Therefore, the limit of this round of market is still 98,000-100,000-102,000. At this stage, even if there is still room above, it is still a fishtail market and is not worth betting on! However, for altcoins, if Bitcoin can get out of the range and consolidate at a high level, then the profit of Bitcoin will flow into other altcoin markets, and other altcoins will theoretically make up for the rise. Sizhe's advice to you is to buy at low prices and buy at low prices. Don't chase high prices. This behavior of chasing high prices is not advisable, whether from the perspective of profit and loss ratio or from the perspective of risk! And as you can see, the current altcoins are very fragile, right? As long as BTC pulls back a little bit, other altcoins will avalanche and fall faster than anyone else. If you chase high prices, you will be standing on the top of the mountain! If you have altcoins that you entered at a low price, please refer to the price of Bitcoin when choosing to exit. If the price of BTC reaches 93,000 or 95,000, please exit in batches to take profits. Remember not to chase high prices!
The general view remains unchanged. The current ETF has clearly shown signs of weakness, with capital outflows and insufficient bullish energy from buyers. Therefore, the limit of this round of market is still 98,000-100,000-102,000. At this stage, even if there is still room above, it is still a fishtail market and is not worth betting on! However, for altcoins, if Bitcoin can get out of the range and consolidate at a high level, then the profit of Bitcoin will flow into other altcoin markets, and other altcoins will theoretically make up for the rise. Sizhe's advice to you is to buy at low prices and buy at low prices. Don't chase high prices. This behavior of chasing high prices is not advisable, whether from the perspective of profit and loss ratio or from the perspective of risk! And as you can see, the current altcoins are very fragile, right? As long as BTC pulls back a little bit, other altcoins will avalanche and fall faster than anyone else. If you chase high prices, you will be standing on the top of the mountain! If you have altcoins that you entered at a low price, please refer to the price of Bitcoin when choosing to exit. If the price of BTC reaches 93,000 or 95,000, please exit in batches to take profits. Remember not to chase high prices!
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Thoughts in the morning of November 16
The ETF on the 14th was the first to show outflow since the election, so it is absolutely right to be cautious at this stage. The practice of cutting wood for a thousand days and burning it in one day should not happen to us. The inflow and outflow of ETFs are closely related to the emotions of retail investors and major players. If there is a large outflow of ETFs, the market sentiment will gradually deteriorate, resulting in a rapid drop that cannot be reacted. So be careful and you will be safe
Last night, the long and short positions of the big cake swept back and forth, and the fluctuation range was large. The upper pressure level was around 93,000. The liquidity of the big cake funds decreased over the weekend, and the market may be slightly weak. Funds flowed into the cottage, waiting for the opportunity to get on board.
The ETF on the 14th was the first to show outflow since the election, so it is absolutely right to be cautious at this stage. The practice of cutting wood for a thousand days and burning it in one day should not happen to us. The inflow and outflow of ETFs are closely related to the emotions of retail investors and major players. If there is a large outflow of ETFs, the market sentiment will gradually deteriorate, resulting in a rapid drop that cannot be reacted. So be careful and you will be safe
Last night, the long and short positions of the big cake swept back and forth, and the fluctuation range was large. The upper pressure level was around 93,000. The liquidity of the big cake funds decreased over the weekend, and the market may be slightly weak. Funds flowed into the cottage, waiting for the opportunity to get on board.
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Thoughts for the morning of November 15
After opening yesterday evening, the US stock market stretched slightly and then fell like a waterfall. These were predicted by Sizhe before the opening. For details, please see the homepage
The current price of the big cake is around 87,400, which basically meets the concept prediction chart given by Sizhe. At present, both retail investors and major players basically refer to the buying situation of ETFs to decide whether to sell or not! ETFs are bought strongly, retail investors and major players will naturally not sell in large quantities. If the ETF gradually reduces the buying volume, then retail investors and major players will begin to consider selling. This is the chain reaction of the market.
The lower support level is still around 85,000-86,000
If the lower support level is not broken, we will still be bullish in the direction. According to everyone's funds, we will determine the entry point by ourselves
It is recommended that the big cake be long around 87,000-86,600
The target is 89,000. The market changes rapidly. If you reach a suitable stop-profit point, you can leave the market first and take the profit.
After opening yesterday evening, the US stock market stretched slightly and then fell like a waterfall. These were predicted by Sizhe before the opening. For details, please see the homepage
The current price of the big cake is around 87,400, which basically meets the concept prediction chart given by Sizhe. At present, both retail investors and major players basically refer to the buying situation of ETFs to decide whether to sell or not! ETFs are bought strongly, retail investors and major players will naturally not sell in large quantities. If the ETF gradually reduces the buying volume, then retail investors and major players will begin to consider selling. This is the chain reaction of the market.
The lower support level is still around 85,000-86,000
If the lower support level is not broken, we will still be bullish in the direction. According to everyone's funds, we will determine the entry point by ourselves
It is recommended that the big cake be long around 87,000-86,600
The target is 89,000. The market changes rapidly. If you reach a suitable stop-profit point, you can leave the market first and take the profit.
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Thoughts for the evening of November 14
This afternoon I analyzed the current situation for you, so I won’t repeat it in the evening thoughts. If your thoughts are not clear, you can go to Sizhe’s homepage to check it out. I hope it can help you sort out your thoughts.
From the current point of view, the bottom of the range is around 84,000-85,000 points, and the top is around 93,000 points! During the day, the profit-taking of the currency circle is shipped, and after the ETF opens for trading at night, the price may be bought up again, so for friends who do contracts, if this view is valid, you can go high and low in this range! In fact, for the current market, as long as people in the currency circle do not sell, the price will naturally be bought up by the ETF, and generally in a unilateral rising market, there will basically be a downward pin pullback to wash the market.
This afternoon I analyzed the current situation for you, so I won’t repeat it in the evening thoughts. If your thoughts are not clear, you can go to Sizhe’s homepage to check it out. I hope it can help you sort out your thoughts.
From the current point of view, the bottom of the range is around 84,000-85,000 points, and the top is around 93,000 points! During the day, the profit-taking of the currency circle is shipped, and after the ETF opens for trading at night, the price may be bought up again, so for friends who do contracts, if this view is valid, you can go high and low in this range! In fact, for the current market, as long as people in the currency circle do not sell, the price will naturally be bought up by the ETF, and generally in a unilateral rising market, there will basically be a downward pin pullback to wash the market.
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Today's market performance is not good, mainly due to the altcoins, and the retracement is a bit strong. BTC is okay, belonging to the market of high-range consolidation. ETH is a bit weak, like altcoins, but it is also the leader of altcoins. From the data, although the inflow of ETFs is not as crazy as the previous two days, it is still good overall. Even the net inflow of Ethereum ETF has reached 130 million! So many people don't understand the current market, and many people feel confused. It feels like this bull market has ended before it even started, but is it really the case? Today, I will take some time to sort it out with you.
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The current price of the big cake is around 89900
The current price is short and the target is around 89000
The second cake is expected to go down to 3168
The current price is short and the target is around 89000
The second cake is expected to go down to 3168
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Thoughts in the morning of November 14
After reaching 93,000 in the early morning, the current price order was adjusted down again. This is actually a normal correction, because even in a bull market, it is impossible to only rise without falling. The decline is for a better rise, and the market has a need to clear leverage
As long as there is no major event, the market will maintain an upward sentiment before Trump takes office on January 20, 2025. If there is a big correction, it is also an opportunity to reverse. See if you dare to go up.
The current price of the big cake is around 89,700, and the support below is around 89,300
The idea is to continue to hold more corrections, buy more on dips, and sell less.
After reaching 93,000 in the early morning, the current price order was adjusted down again. This is actually a normal correction, because even in a bull market, it is impossible to only rise without falling. The decline is for a better rise, and the market has a need to clear leverage
As long as there is no major event, the market will maintain an upward sentiment before Trump takes office on January 20, 2025. If there is a big correction, it is also an opportunity to reverse. See if you dare to go up.
The current price of the big cake is around 89,700, and the support below is around 89,300
The idea is to continue to hold more corrections, buy more on dips, and sell less.
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The market has come to this point, I hope everyone keeps their original intention. Successful people know that they are lucky and the market gives you opportunities to seize them, so they should quickly make money. Failed people should not give up because of this failure, sort out their mentality, and figure out why they failed. Sizhe hopes that everyone can have a good harvest. If you are not clear about the direction, you can read Sizhe's ideas. I hope it can help everyone sort out the logic and make the right transactions.
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When the market fell, Sizhe told everyone very clearly that it was just a retracement, it was just clearing leverage, and clearly told everyone to cover the position of altcoins at a low point. The fact shows that Sizhe is right again. The market is following Sizhe's point of view. Congratulations to BTC for reaching 90,000 points.
There is no market reference for Bitcoin now. Most of the trend is predicted by years of experience and various news.
The current price of Bitcoin is around 92,000.
There is no market reference for Bitcoin now. Most of the trend is predicted by years of experience and various news.
The current price of Bitcoin is around 92,000.
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November 13th Early Morning Thoughts
In the evening, a big drop occurred, with a slight rebound after 3 PM, and starting from 5 PM, there was a continuous significant decline. We mentioned in the afternoon thoughts that there would be a large retracement (can be found on the homepage in the image below).
Currently, the Nasdaq is consolidating at a high level, still in a bullish trend. The strength of ETF buying and selling also depends on the Nasdaq; if the Nasdaq plunges, the ETF will also see reduced volume. Tonight's ETF is crucial; currently, the exchange is crashing and clearing contracts. If Wall Street can ignore the exchange's crash, the Trump trade is still on. If the ETF shows a significant decrease in volume, it indicates that Wall Street's confidence in the market outlook has been shaken due to the rising prices, leading to a fear of heights.
It is recommended to go long near 86,000 for a target of 88,000.
In the evening, a big drop occurred, with a slight rebound after 3 PM, and starting from 5 PM, there was a continuous significant decline. We mentioned in the afternoon thoughts that there would be a large retracement (can be found on the homepage in the image below).
Currently, the Nasdaq is consolidating at a high level, still in a bullish trend. The strength of ETF buying and selling also depends on the Nasdaq; if the Nasdaq plunges, the ETF will also see reduced volume. Tonight's ETF is crucial; currently, the exchange is crashing and clearing contracts. If Wall Street can ignore the exchange's crash, the Trump trade is still on. If the ETF shows a significant decrease in volume, it indicates that Wall Street's confidence in the market outlook has been shaken due to the rising prices, leading to a fear of heights.
It is recommended to go long near 86,000 for a target of 88,000.
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Altcoin Market Analysis
The altcoin market, which of course includes ETH, is not rising as dramatically; aside from DOGE being able to keep pace with BTC, other altcoins are unable to follow BTC's rhythm. The main reason is that BTC is rising too quickly for other altcoins to react in time. By the time they do react, BTC's price has already skyrocketed. At that point, entering the altcoin market raises concerns about BTC's potential correction, which could lead to a collapse in altcoins. Therefore, the current sentiment towards altcoins is one of caution; BTC's rapid increase is not beneficial for altcoins. The ideal scenario is for BTC to rise, then experience high-level fluctuations and consolidation, allowing altcoins to catch up. Once altcoins have fully adjusted, BTC can continue to rise. Only with this kind of trend can the entire market take off collectively.
The altcoin market, which of course includes ETH, is not rising as dramatically; aside from DOGE being able to keep pace with BTC, other altcoins are unable to follow BTC's rhythm. The main reason is that BTC is rising too quickly for other altcoins to react in time. By the time they do react, BTC's price has already skyrocketed. At that point, entering the altcoin market raises concerns about BTC's potential correction, which could lead to a collapse in altcoins. Therefore, the current sentiment towards altcoins is one of caution; BTC's rapid increase is not beneficial for altcoins. The ideal scenario is for BTC to rise, then experience high-level fluctuations and consolidation, allowing altcoins to catch up. Once altcoins have fully adjusted, BTC can continue to rise. Only with this kind of trend can the entire market take off collectively.
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