crypto小越

#行情分析📈 Good morning, brothers, on December 30, 2024, there is no room for operation on Saturdays and Sundays. The US stock market is closed. The market is in a fierce confrontation between bulls and bears, but it is obvious that funds are flowing out of the market. Although it seems that the 15-minute line has inserted a small needle in the early morning this morning, the cottage has not fallen too much. The daily line changed to make up for the rise in the morning, and the cottage's increase is still relatively objective. The current position is a relatively awkward position. Most people are waiting to break the bottom 20 days ago and wait for the 8-digit car, but it did not fall below. If it rises, the fomo sentiment will appear, which is also one of the reasons for the rise of the cottage. The current resistance level above BTC is 97500. It is critical to see whether it can stand firm at 94000. If it cannot stand firm, the designated quilt will be trapped if you chase more in the morning, but you may miss the market if you don't enter. This position is awkward. My suggestion is to enter the spot, and the contract is not considered. The position is within 5-10%. If it falls, it will make up, and it will not be too fomo if it rises. The most recent operation was on the 26th. I opened a short at 97500 and stopped the profit when it reached 9.5. The spot basically still has about 8% of the bottom position. What is needed now is patience and judgment. Trading is not a matter of snapping your head. (When I finished typing, it seemed that 94000 did not stand firm and fell down) Now it is necessary to lay out the cottage. I am optimistic about DeFi AI and Depin, which is related to artificial intelligence, and the current mainstream meme, I mean cats and dog coins. In the end, it is impossible not to buy platform coins in the bull market, but don’t limit your vision to bnb. That’s all for today. I am Xiaoyue who loves to watch the market and take you through the bull and bear markets.

The US stock market should open today at #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？ . From yesterday to today, the trading volume has clearly dropped significantly compared to the previous day, with a constant tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The FOMO sentiment from the rise on the 24th is once again evident for those who missed the opportunity. It is quite scary that tonight's opening of the US stock market will basically determine the direction of this wave: will it continue to pull back and test the resistance level downwards? Or will it break through and stand above 10.25? It is worth noting that Christmas has already passed; will ETFs continue to accumulate or will they flow out? Tonight should bring clarity. The market conditions will also reveal some hints. There are not many intraday trading opportunities, and the index has tried multiple times to break through 99500 but has not succeeded in holding above it. There are still quite a few short positions at 99500. The bullish momentum on the four-hour chart is gradually declining, but it has not ended; this stage is not suitable for entering long-term short positions. Those who were called to enter short positions at the plaza should manage their risk well; if the bullish volume continues to increase tonight, you may get liquidated. Conversely, if you can exit, don't aim too high. (This refers to those who entered short at 96000.) Now let's talk about altcoins: it can be seen that the previously weak altcoins tested their resistance levels on the 20th and 22nd, and they are currently holding steady, such as SOL, SSV, and DOT. However, for the coins that did not hit their previous lows during the second dip on the 22nd, their performance has been relatively weak over the past two days, such as ACT, DOGE, NEIRO, and ENA. At this stage, if you want to bottom fish altcoins for a swing trade, you should look for strong coins. To find them, just check the RSI on the one-hour or 15-minute chart to see who is overbought during the pullbacks. That's all for today. The levels remain unchanged: SOL at 175 for the first layer of positions, and 165-155 for additional purchases. DOGE and NEIRO remain unchanged. ACT is almost at the target, you can enter around 0.25, aiming for 0.5, which is double. All the above levels are for spot trading. The above content is personal analysis.

#圣诞行情分析 December 25, 2024. Merry Christmas, brothers. Last night's explosive rise was anticipated, as previously analyzed. It is actually closely related to US stock ETFs, and furthermore, the market makers had induced significant panic before the rise, causing many retail investors to hurriedly exit. There was almost no resistance during last night's rise, which reached around 9.9 in the early hours. Additionally, many so-called experts in the square believed that BTC would plummet before the US stock market closed last night. These people do not look at any indicators or market conditions. Blindly trusting your KOL's short signal only leads to your own losses. Today's market is likely to be volatile, with a downward test of the 9.72k support level and an upward breakthrough of 10k. In a bull market, the probability of a large contract going to zero is with short positions. A prudent approach is to go long at low levels. Today, the US stock market is closed, so the market fluctuations should not be too large. Last night's altcoins bought at the bottom on the 20th have accounted for 80% of the profits. In a bull market, securing profits is the most important. However, looking at it now, it seems that taking profits was a bit early. If Bitcoin stays flat during the day, there’s a chance for altcoins to soar again. Finally, trading tests skills, awareness, and courage, not blind following of trends. Follow Xiaoyue as he guides you through 🐮🐻. (No trades, just the purest Web3 community sharing)

Who will be the next billion-dollar meme? Pepe? Wif? Bome? Flok? Or Neiro?

#加密市场反弹 In the market, it is always 20% of people who make money; those who are infinitely bearish in the square do not know if things are still good now. This morning, I felt that the U.S. stock market would have a rally when it opens tonight, because it is the last trading day before the holiday, plus there is a MACD hourly divergence. Those who got in around 93,000 are truly making a profit.

#比特币市场波动观察 Hello brothers, the analysis I coded this morning was accidentally deleted due to my shaky hands. Tonight is Christmas Eve, tomorrow is Christmas Day, and the US stock market was relatively strong last night, although ibit and micro strategy opened low and continued to decline, but they did recover a bit after hours. It’s worth noting that there has been a net outflow of about 2900 ETF units for two consecutive days, with a significant outflow on the 20th, mainly due to outflows from Grayscale and BlackRock, along with the 1300 BTC that flowed out yesterday. Tonight is quite critical, with a shorter trading time, as the market will close early for the New Year, the prediction is that there is still a high possibility of an upward movement. Conversely, 9.25 will inevitably break down. It may settle between 80k-91k. Another point of interest is that although the Asian market had little fluctuation during the day, it could not withstand the selling pressure from Europe and America in the evening, and today it basically declined until after hours in the US stock market before starting to rebound. Lastly, yesterday's slight decline did not lead to most altcoins following suit, but instead, there was a small strength shown. Could the long-awaited altcoin surge be coming? I won't give specific levels today; we need to focus on tonight's trend. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments section for a rational discussion, and please refrain from negative comments. $SOL
$BTC
$DOGE

U.S. stocks opened lower before the market, and we'll see if there will be a rally or a drop later tonight. On the previous trading day, BlackRock's ibit and Grayscale sold a total of 1,650 BTC. Tonight will determine if there is an outflow or inflow; currently, the likelihood of outflow seems higher. Special note: except for the 6th and 7th of November, BlackRock hasn't had consecutive days of BTC outflow for several months. The last time there were two consecutive outflows, it was followed by a surge. Will there be a reversal tonight?

#圣诞行情分析 The one-hour MACD has shown a top divergence, those who bought the dip at 9.37 today should have made a profit.

#加密市场盘整 #圣诞行情预测 Bitcoin weekly chart has closed with a large bearish candle. You can go to the square to see the level of market panic; among ten people, how many are bullish and how many are bearish? Probably 2 to 8. I can only say that holding contracts to go long carries a lot of risk right now, but do you think the market will allow the majority to make money? There's no rush for spot trading; just gradually increase your position and face the downturn calmly. You can look at those bearish people in the square; when they see 150k, they are also the ones who say it will drop to 80k. Even if it drops to 80k, what does it matter if you hold spot? Those who easily lose their composure and shout in the square are basically high-leverage contract gamblers. Such people can be scared to death by a slight change in the wind; Bitcoin contracts really shouldn't exceed 10x leverage. Looking at the market, Bitcoin's resistance level is slightly adjusting downwards. From yesterday to today, there has only been one breakout above 9.7 in the four-hour chart, which was then suppressed. The daily chart is still showing a bearish decline, with resistance levels at 9.65-9.75. Now, those holding contracts with too high of a leverage ratio need to reduce their positions. Otherwise, next time you’ll definitely find yourself on the liquidation list of tens of thousands of people. Spot altcoins are actually only a rapid Bitcoin decline away from breaking below the previous low of 12.20; it's not that they don't follow the drop. Previous mainstream coins like SOL and ADA are relatively weak. SOL has buy orders below at 165-170 and 150-155. ADA has buy orders at 0.75, 0.7, 0.65, and 0.58. For NEIRO, which I previously recommended, if you have placed orders, you might be in profit and can choose to close or hold, depending on your position size. Not much more to say, nor to ramble; view the market with an even mindset, be decisive in your actions, and know when to hold and when to let go. $BTC $SOL $ADA

On December 21, 2024, good afternoon brothers. The sharp decline over the past three days has made many new investors experience a roller coaster ride. Although I haven't been trading cryptocurrencies for long, my experiences are still rich. This time the level of panic in the market during the pullback is far less than on the 8th of May. With Christmas approaching, it is estimated that institutions will sell again. Next Monday's opening will be crucial; whether we can see a different market trend remains to be seen. Additionally, during this pullback, most people have entered some positions. Yesterday, there was a strong rebound in the four-hour chart, pulling back 5,000 points, and funds are still flowing in. Over the weekend, the market is fluctuating, and it depends on whether altcoins can rally; most altcoins have basically dropped to the bottom of last month. Last night, I was torn about whether to close some positions first, but in the end, I didn't take action and am looking forward to the rise of altcoins over the weekend. Additionally, my BTC contract with a 10x leverage and 30% position is very safe, with the liquidation price at 30,000. Moreover, I can add more at any time; I have added to my position twice, increasing it by 30%, which has significantly lowered my entry price. To all contract warriors, as long as the leverage exceeds 10x, your position should not exceed 10%, otherwise this time's drop will lead to liquidation. Finally, trading is a long journey, but don't forget to enjoy life. Have a great weekend.

#市场调整後的机会？ Is this an opportunity? From the perspective of time, this decline may be the last chance before Christmas? Or is it the beginning of a disaster? When everyone thinks it is a bull market, you are hit hard. Will everyone lose their spot profits or be trapped?

#加密市场回调 Good morning, brothers. December 20, 2024, yesterday, U.S. stock pre-market MicroStrategy stock had a slight increase before opening, and after half an hour of opening, it surged. BTC has dropped 13,000 points in two days. I have entered one-third of my position in spot trading and am currently at a floating loss. But I am not worried at all; those who panic and exit are all new investors. Many altcoins have started to discount, and some are even close to their previous lows. BTC has also dropped below its support level and is in a daily downtrend. Whether the trend reverses will depend on how this week's weekly and next week's weekly close. The previous points of SOL and NEIRO have dropped to the point where one should enter the market, gradually accumulating positions, remaining calm and steady, to get through this difficult half-month period. For BTC, we need to watch whether it breaks the 9.4 and 90,000 levels over the weekend; if it breaks 90,000, it may consolidate for a long time.

#内容挖矿 #加密市场盘整 2024 December 19, Good morning brothers, last night at three o'clock the Federal Reserve meeting, Powell's speech directly affected the cryptocurrency market. The general idea is that someone asked whether BTC would be regarded as a strategic reserve for the United States, and he indirectly denied it. This meeting analyzed the situation of the U.S. economic development in 2025. The Federal Reserve may only lower interest rates twice in 2025, maintaining the rate at 4%. After the news came out, U.S. stocks plummeted in the latter half of the night, only slightly recovering after hours. Our market is indirectly affected by U.S. stocks, with Bitcoin directly dropping from 10.5 to the 100,000 mark. Overall, the selling pressure was very strong once it stood above the 10.8 position two days ago. The bulls are likely to be liquidated. The three coins analyzed yesterday, BTC, SOL, and NEIRO, I have already entered positions. I placed an order at 10.2 yesterday, and this morning when it dropped to 10.03, I added to my position, referring to contracts. BTC needs to focus on whether it can stand above 10.25W to indicate that the bearish trend may temporarily end, with support levels at 9.85W. These two points are both entry points for low buys. For BTC contracts, do not exceed 10 times leverage, and each position should not exceed 10%, so it is unlikely that you will get liquidated. Spot: SOL has fallen to 205 from its high for the fourth time, and this position is suitable for entering a core position. Lower points at 195-180-165-155 for incremental buying. Little Dog Neiro: still needs to be washed. I have already entered my core position at the recommended points from yesterday. Place orders below; the trading volume of this coin is still there. Meme coins' market values are all declining, so don't rush. Continue to invest for value, all in on meme coins to live like a king!!!! $BTC $SOL $NEIRO

#比特币冲向11万？ #sol板块 #山寨季何时到来？ 2024.12.18 Good afternoon, brothers. Yesterday there was a lot going on, and I didn't have enough time to analyze in the afternoon, so I must make up for it today. Yesterday, after the market surged past 10.8, it started to pull back. Looking at the K-line and combining it with previous analysis, I completely missed this wave of the market. On the 16th, I analyzed that the market would pull back to around 10.25 to go long, but it only dropped to a low of 10.33 and did not break below. I completely missed this wave of the big coin. However, today it has fallen, and there are many reasons for this, mainly three points: first, the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates on the 19th, and it cannot be said to be a done deal; second, the United States is approaching the New Year, and next week is Christmas, they want their dividends; third, the dog contract liquidation at 10.8W short has caused bloodshed, with 10.8W profit reduction leading to a price drop. Everyone should note that this drop is not a violent spike; do not blindly go long around 10.3. Support is at 10.25W as the first level, and the second level is at 9.85W; these two points should be monitored for orders. Currently, do not blindly short; it has only broken below the middle track on the four-hour chart, and it could recover at any time. The daily upward trend has not changed. Same as before, BTC contracts and other altcoin spot markets.
SOL: Yesterday, when BTC dropped, I didn't get into SOL at the daily line point of 211 because I was too busy and didn't analyze it carefully, so I missed the market. SOL now has resistance at 230 and 240, while I still see 200-205 as entry points for long positions (I only do spot for altcoins).
Lowercase dog: Lowercase dog has dropped below 0.0014 today, but the position is too heavy and needs to be washed out; the chips need to be redistributed. The entry points are at 0.001-0.00105, and the second level is 0.0008-0.0009.
I really don't have much time to look at other altcoins; you can revisit the recommended altcoin sectors from before. The above content is personal analysis; the crypto market is highly volatile, so trading requires caution; do not get overly excited！！！！！！$BTC $SOL $NEIRO

December 16, 2023, good morning, brothers. Morning analysis: I didn't trade over the weekend, so my positions haven't changed much. When I woke up today, I saw that the market has broken through the previous high. Over the weekend, it retraced to 10.05 but held, and the bottom is continuously being raised. The market sentiment is still very strong; it is definitely not at the top right now. Currently, trading is happening before the 19th (a rate cut feels like a high-probability event; it’s unlikely to happen, black swan), looking for opportunities to buy on the dip, focusing on the two levels of 10.25w-10.18w. Yesterday to today, there was another round of short liquidations, and I have to say the bears have provided some fuel again. Of course, this rise in the market has absorbed some of the altcoins before breaking the previous high, but after the breakthrough, the altcoins also had a part of the rebound; most altcoins are still some distance from the previous high. Currently, looking at the BTC market share, altcoins have not yet reached the explosive stage, so don't rush to liquidate and take profits on your spot holdings. At this stage, you can look for breakout buying opportunities and add positions on retracements. I have a lot on my plate this morning, so I’ll leave it at that. Remember, don’t let emotions occupy your mind and judgment. If you don't want to miss out on the market, you can follow me for daily morning analyses, BTC contracts, and altcoin spot trading.

#BTC☀ #sol板块 #加密市场反弹 Good morning, brothers. Today is December 13, 2024. After the unemployment benefits data in the U.S. was released yesterday, the market broke through 10.2 and fell to the 100,000 mark. Since December 11, from 94,000 to yesterday, it has rebounded more than 8,000 points. There are many profit-taking trades, and a slight pullback is healthy. However, we need to pay close attention to the 98,000 mark. If it falls below 98,000, the lower defenses are 95,500 and 90,000. Currently, as Friday approaches the weekend, BTC is unlikely to have significant movement, and there is a high chance of range-bound fluctuations. If any brothers have entered at yesterday's take-profit and short positions, they could benefit from both long and short trades.~
Below is the spot position analysis: Yesterday, Trump spoke again about making the U.S. the number one authority in cryptocurrency. Moreover, stablecoins on various chains have started to rise; USUAL, ENA, and ANZ have surged. However, family, please note that the ultimate goal of blockchain technology is to serve society, and currency must ultimately circulate and trade, which requires cross-chain payments, lending, and DEFI. Therefore, in the future, I will adjust my positions, reducing the holding ratio of SOL and focusing on selecting tokens with potential for price increase among XRP, DOT, ATOM, AAVE, COSMOS, UNI, etc., based on my research and analysis with you.
Additionally, Trump stated at the Nasdaq opening ceremony on the New York Stock Exchange that he will also make great strides in the field of artificial intelligence, which will require a large amount of electricity. This news allows everyone to lay low on: DEPIN track, as well as AI + computing power and AI + MEME tracks, such as IO-Render-grass-hnt. AI + MEME: ACT -GOAT, etc. Leading AI tokens include WLD, NEAR, FET, etc. The above content is all personal analysis; cryptocurrency investment carries risks, trade cautiously!!!

#美降息25个基点预期升温 #CPI数据 December 12, 2024, good morning brothers. Yesterday afternoon, before the CPI came out, the market rose to 9.7-9.8 and then consolidated. The announced CPI data met expectations. No change is the biggest positive. Yesterday, Microstrategy and US stocks also surged, and Nvidia rose back to around 140. Most altcoins rose by 10%-20%. The market broke through 100k, but was suppressed at the previous resistance level of 102k. Today, we will see if it can stabilize at 101.5k, which would mean there is a possibility of testing the previous high this week.

Currently, there is some profit-taking and selling in the Asian session in the K-line, and the market is slightly down. However, the upward trend has not been broken, and we should focus on the 98k level, which is a weak support. This is the first position to consider going long during the day. If it falls below 98k, it may enter a bearish trend.
🈲🈲🈲 Important reminder about the interest rate cut news on December 18, which is likely to drop from 4.75 to 4.5, also a positive, but there is still a week before this positive comes into effect, so be wary of manipulation by the market makers!!!!!!!
In addition, BTC is the most suitable cryptocurrency for contracts, with medium to low leverage contracts; in a bull market, do not blindly short. Don't fall into the logic of shorting every time there is an increase. Most of those trapped in the market are short positions. When going long, strictly control your position and set stop-losses; if you encounter sudden spikes, just take the loss.
As for spot trading, I do not recommend buying BTC, as the possibility of doubling is low. I personally hold 10% in BTC contracts, and the rest is in altcoin spot. Below are analyses of several held coins. This is my personal opinion; feel free to discuss in the comments.

#BTC☀ #sol板块 #doge⚡ 12 November 11, good morning Binance. Last night, after the Microsoft meeting results came out, the market faced a bearish trend, and the market revisited 94000. Sol retracted to 203. As analyzed yesterday, there are quite a few retail investors placing orders around 200, and most coins had a rebound of 5-10% in the latter half of the night. If you read my analysis post yesterday, you should have made a small profit today, referring to spot trading. This morning, BTC is repeatedly suppressed at 97,000, and it is still in a consolidation phase. The daily downtrend has not yet ended. Although most altcoins have experienced severe corrections, this is not the best time to enter the market with large positions. Today's November CPI will be announced, so beware of the market manipulators. Do not over-FOMO. I mainly focus on altcoins and meme coins, and the following points are my personal analysis for reference only. Please strictly follow trading logic for cryptocurrency trading!!!!
① My main position: SOL
Currently discussing contracts: Focus on the key points of breaking below 200 for short positions and breaking above 220 for long positions. The upper resistance levels are 240-245. A retracement in spot is an opportunity, enter in batches at the first point of 195-200, the second point of 175-180, and the third point of 155-160. During this period, place orders in batches, if the market is unclear, it's better to take profits. Now is not the time to be aggressive; the bearish sentiment has not yet settled.

② BTC: For contracts, if it falls below 94,000, take a small position to go long, and strictly limit the stop-loss space. Place short orders around 98,000 within 2000 points. I will not exceed 5x leverage for contracts. If using high leverage, just ignore me. I won't buy it in spot, ha ha ha.

③ Doge: It's about to break down; the manipulation for Doge has just begun. You all know the positive news from the Mask Doge department. If they don’t harvest retail investors, who will? In spot trading, wait for it to break down for the best entry at 0.25-0.3.

④ Bome, which hasn’t risen much: Although I bought a portion at the last crash on the 8th, I didn’t hold it; it rose to 0.001 before I sold. However, the manipulation for this coin has been ongoing for several months. In spot trading, you can enter the first position at 0.65-0.7 and add in batches.

⑤ NEIRO: A low-cap coin on Ethereum, which has also been correcting for a month. Buy on dips, as it has potential like Bome. A stable first position can be placed at 0.0125; if afraid of FOMO, place an order at 0.00139 for this coin's pattern.
$BTC $SOL $DOGE

#sol趋势 Recently, everyone's FOMO sentiment has been too strong. After multiple dips in the market, the V-shaped recovery has led many new investors to have extremely strong FOMO feelings. More and more investors are coming in, how could the big players not take profits? Yesterday, contract liquidations exceeded 1.7 billion, breaking the record. Solana has attempted multiple times to break the 240 resistance level but has not managed to stay above it. When it was at 240, I became bearish and cleared out my last three layers of positions. Yesterday, I successfully entered the market with a limit order at 205, taking an 8-point rebound before exiting. Currently, the bearish sentiment remains strong; I will be watching to see if 220 can hold. If it does, forming effective support, the next resistance level to watch is 240. The contracts should focus on these two points and set appropriate stop losses. The current market conditions are not suitable for long-term positions; it's better to make quick trades and look for rebound opportunities on hourly charts. The spot market has already pulled back about 40 points from 264. Spot positions can be built around the 200-205 range, and for additional buying, consider levels below 185-180 and 165-155, buying in batches. The biggest positive news in the future would be Trump's return, but the biggest negative in December will be the Christmas season when institutions need to settle dividends, which may lead to selling. Additionally, keep an eye on CPI data and the potential interest rate cuts in December. Historically, the cryptocurrency market in December has not been very good. Spot traders must endure loneliness, strictly follow trading logic, and avoid FOMO. The above are my personal insights; please don't criticize if you disagree, and feel free to discuss.