Regina Durden

 
On September 17, Jerome Powell steps to the mic.
Everyone’s already betting on a rate cut.
Crypto Twitter is screaming: “$BTC to the moon instantly.”
But here’s the twist → the first move won’t be up.
After digging into files, charts, and history… the playbook is clear:
The Fed’s move is a setup. A fake pump, brutal dump, then liftoff.
💡 Why Cuts Matter for Crypto
Lower rates = cheaper creditLiquidity rises = risk assets pumpLong term → bullish for Bitcoin & alts
That’s the easy narrative.
But short term? That’s where most get wrecked.
⚠️ Short-Term = Pain
A cut signals economic weakness.
Traders dump, dollar gets a temporary bounce, and profit-taking hits.
Here are the realistic scenarios:
Scenario 1: $BTC dips to ~$104K, then reversesScenario 2: $BTC nukes to ~$92K before ripping to new ATHs
The crowd expects fireworks up. Instead, the floor might fall first.
📉 Remember 2020?
The Fed slashed rates to zero in March. QE everywhere.
Markets didn’t moon instantly. They crashed.
Bitcoin lost nearly 50% in a single day.
Everyone panicked.
Then liquidity flooded back in… and the greatest bull run in crypto history was born.
2025 rhymes. Different trigger, same setup.
🚀 Q4 Always Flips the Script
Historically, Q4 is Bitcoin’s sweet spot.
Every cycle → the biggest moves came in the final quarter.
With cuts incoming, liquidity flowing, and alts lagging behind, the stage is set:
Short-term → chaos, volatility, liquidation huntsMid-term → breakout, Bitcoin ATH, altseason ignition
⚡ The Play
Don’t trade the Fed announcement → volatility will be cosmicUse dips into $92K–$104K zones as the setupWatch Q4 → historically Bitcoin’s kill zoneRotate into alts once BTC stabilizes
The Fed isn’t saving markets.
It’s manipulating the cycle. But this time, we know the script it Bitcoin-centric?