文华论势

Friday, evening Bitcoin market analysis and ideas sharing!
In recent times, the overall market sentiment has been low, resulting in a slow white plate market. Whether it is a rebound or a retracement, it is just two simple words: range! It is nothing more than the overall range moving up and down, and no large unilateral market conditions have been formed. In this rhythm, what we have to do is to operate around the short-term shock range to operate short-term.
Today, the white plate is still as slow as ever, and the big cake has been fluctuating around 98,000 by hundreds of points. The overnight coin price broke through 98,500 and fell back, but there was still no continuity, indicating that the pressure is still there. At the same time, the trend structure on the daily line has not changed, and the step-by-step retracement pattern is still there. Before the pattern changes, it still insists on rebounding, not reversing. Be firm in one direction and do it. Don't waver and chase ups and downs because of short-term repetitions.
In terms of operation, try to choose short-term as the main, this rhythm is not suitable for too much pattern, just like our short-term thinking yesterday, first long and then short, give space to go, don't be greedy, after all, it is yours to eat.
At present, the 98500 line has been unable to stabilize. In terms of evening thinking, it is better to go short first, and pay attention to the 96000 line below. The defense remains unchanged. On Friday, if there is a change in the US market, adjust it in the market. At the same time, the position should not be too heavy, and enough space for response should be reserved.

#山寨季來了？

Friday is a new day and a new beginning. Good morning, everyone!
In the past two days, the market may have recovered in the short term due to the expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The price of Bitcoin has fluctuated upward. (Beijing time September 19) The United States announced that it would lower the target range of the federal funds rate. Strictly speaking, this interest rate actually refers to the interest rate of banks lending to each other. Since this ratio reflects the overall situation of the US economy and the global economy, the crypto market will also be greatly affected. Since it is a preventive interest rate cut, theoretically speaking, the extent of the Fed's continued interest rate cuts in the future is not expected to be too large.
From a technical point of view, the current trend is a rebound repair process. Since Bitcoin has been interspersed with long and short positions in the near future, the short-term repair strength is also relatively strong. Remember not to think that this wave of rebounds has reached thousands of points. It is a signal of a bullish rebound. In fact, it is not. From the daily level trend, the short-term rebound has not effectively stabilized above 98,500, and the retracement adjustment will still exist. Therefore, do not think that it is a reversal signal because of the temporary market repair and consolidation.
From the short-term hourly chart, the price of the currency is currently running around 98,000. The short-term price keeps testing upward. Since the rebound from 93,300, the rebound has exceeded 5,000 points. The hourly MACD fast and slow lines are both running upward, and the bulls have obvious advantages. At the daily level, there are signals that DEA is flattening and DIF is turning upward from the bottom, showing signs of turning bullish. RSI: The hourly RSI is around 70, close to overbought, and the daily level has rebounded from 42 to 51, showing that the upward momentum has increased. EMA: 7EMA>30EMA, there is still a gap with the 120EMA trend. The short-term mid-line upward trend is good, especially the short-term moving average support. From the short-term trend, the bulls currently have a certain advantage. Focus on the 98,500 line in the morning. If it cannot stabilize above, it is expected that the market will go out of the correction. It is recommended to wait and see before stabilizing. In the later stage, there will be opportunities to test the high position and ambush short orders.
On Friday morning, Bitcoin can continue to try to short near 98,500. The aggressive ones can go short directly near the current price of 98,000. Pay attention to the 96,000 line below. The defense should still be placed above 99,100. If it breaks through and stabilizes, we should consider short-term longs and see if the wave head continues.#币安HODLer空投KAITO #

The recent rhythm is very strong. In the morning, we gave the idea of ​​going long first. If the pressure concentration area is not broken, then go short. The idea is very consistent with the market trend. There is also 1,800 points of space to capture in the ten-day long and short positions, and only 71 points of space to capture the two ethers. We have eaten more than 1,800 points of the fluctuation space of more than 2,000 points, which is considered to be the ultimate in operation.
At present, the decline of the big cake has slowed down after stepping back to the 96,800 line. This round of rebound in the evening is the second time in the past half month to touch the 98,000 pressure concentration area. Since it stabilized above 96,500 yesterday, it has broken through the middle track of the daily line. If the closing line tomorrow can break through and stabilize above 98,500, the currency price may attack the 100,000 mark again, otherwise it will continue to retreat and adjust.
On the 4-hour chart, the technical side is biased towards bulls, but if the resistance area near EMA200, which is the upper edge of the box, cannot achieve a substantial breakthrough, then we should not be too optimistic about chasing the rise, but be cautious, don't worry about missing the market, and it is not a bad idea to follow the trend after confirmation.
For Ethereum, the overall fluctuation space is not large today, basically maintaining the range of 2700-2770. Similarly, the focus at midnight is whether the upper edge of the box can break through and stabilize. From the current short-term 4-hour chart, the previous K-line closed negative after the pin, and did not test the pressure of the 2800 line vigorously before falling back. It is said that there will be a certain inertial action. The key trend line above cannot substantially break through, and the risk of downward exploration remains.
Therefore, the ideas we have given in the short term have been very clear. We will not look at the big unilateral for the time being. Basically, we will run short-term around the small-level shock range. Although the short-term is biased towards bulls, as long as the box is not broken, it is not recommended to gamble on the rise and chase the rise. Be more patient and stay calm at all times, just like driving a car, don't always rush to accelerate, safe driving is the most important.
At midnight on Thursday, Bitcoin still refers to the 98500 first-line suppression position, and the defense is placed near 99100. The two positions below are 96000 and 94600. Ethereum is still under strong pressure at 2800. If the rebound does not break, continue to layout at high altitudes, and the support below is 2600.

Thursday, good morning in a new day!
Overnight, Bitcoin prices fluctuated and slowly rose, reaching a high of around 96800. The short position entered near 96500 at midnight yesterday is still being held!
Currently, it seems that after running through the night, the coin price shows signs of stabilizing above 96500. The short-term pattern has changed somewhat; although the daily line is still in a downward structure and the overall shape has not reversed, with the K-line about to close in the green, the morning's fluctuations and slow rise may continue. However, the resistance at the upper level around 98500 remains heavy, and there is still a risk of a pullback if the rebound touches but does not break through. In the short-term 4-hour level, after consecutive green K-lines, the coin price is temporarily stabilizing at the middle track, with the auxiliary indicators pointing upward. There is still an expectation for further rebounds in the short term, but the coin price is about to reach the upper edge of the fluctuation range. If it cannot form an effective breakthrough, it will still be under pressure to fall and maintain a wide fluctuation rhythm.
On Thursday morning, the short position near 96500 from yesterday will continue to be held. If the coin price continues to fluctuate and slowly rises, stabilizing above 97000, then decisively close the position and reverse, looking to enter high short positions again near 98500. The lower side will continue to focus on the 94600-95000 area, followed by the short-term low point around 93000.
As for Ethereum, the short position near 2730 given at midnight is still valid. The coin price has rebounded and touched this position. The resistance will continue to limit the rebound strength, with the upper limit around 2760. For fans who have not entered the market, it is still possible to attempt a light position in the short at the current price near 9725.
On the daily line, the coin price is still under pressure at the middle track (around 2800). The K-line continues to alternate between red and green, and the overall shape is still within the range. In the 4-hour level, the coin price has also temporarily stood above the middle track. Although there is a further rebound trend, the upper space is indeed limited. The auxiliary indicators' trajectory gradually flattens after running at a high level. Even if there is a continuation of the rebound, the probability of a significant extension is very small, and BOLL is in a flat state, with the upper track also having certain suppression. Therefore, in the short term on Thursday morning, the main idea will continue to be high shorts; if it touches support without breaking, then consider reversing!
On Thursday morning, the current price of Ethereum around 2725 can directly take a light short position, adding to the short position near 2760 upon rebound. The lower side will continue to focus on 2660, followed by the lower edge of the range around 2600. #FTX赔付 #SOL走势分析 #地缘政治对比特币的影响

#SOL走势分析 #参与投票-PI该上线币安吗？ #币安HODLer空投KAITO #FTX赔付 Wednesday, after an overnight rebound, the European market is fluctuating and rebounding, but the strength is still lacking, and the US market remains stagnant with heavy pressure above!
Last midnight, the strategy provided was very accurate, with short positions aiming for around 93000 and then reversing to catch the rebound at 95000. The market trend has basically followed expectations; after more than 1200 points of profit from the shorts, there were no further entries, resulting in missing this rebound space of over 2000 points. In the early session, the coin price consolidated around the 95000 line without showing signs of a pullback, and again arranged for long positions in the market, closing with just over 700 points of profit by the evening, while simultaneously capturing 55 points in Ethereum. Currently, the coin price continues to fluctuate a few hundred points around 96000. I believe friends who followed the strategy have had good gains in the past few days.
After the market oscillates back and forth between long and short, it will ultimately return to technical analysis. Looking at the current trend, both long and short are still in a tense oscillating period.
Looking at Ethereum on the daily and four-hour charts, it is again pressured around 2750, while Bitcoin has been unable to stabilize at the short position we emphasized at 96500 in the evening. On the daily chart, Bitcoin is still under pressure from the middle track, continuing to oscillate downward, and after consecutive bearish candles, the downward structure has become clearer. On the daily MA indicators, the 7-day and 10-day moving averages are turning downward and pressing on the 96500 line. If this position does not show significant volume and rise, the market will continue to decline. At the same time, on the four-hour level, although the European market has shown a rebound action, it still has not formed an effective breakthrough; the concentrated pressure area has moved to the 96500-97000 region, with the disaster zone still at the 98500 line. If the coin price cannot stabilize above 96500 at midnight, there will still be risks of a high pullback.
For the midnight strategy, it is recommended to short Bitcoin in the 96500 to 97000 area, initially looking at around 9400; the second target still looks at 93000. Ethereum remains unchanged, still shorting around 2730, targeting about 2650. The recent market is volatile; regardless of long or short, remember to manage risk well, as the market is frequently changing. The strategy is for reference only, with specific guidance based on real-time advice!

Continuous fluctuations in recent days have prevented the Bitcoin price from breaking through the resistance level of 98,500, forming a short-term top. The price even fluctuated downwards and directly fell below the 95,000 level, reaching a low point of 93,300. After that, the price attempted to rebound, but the momentum was not strong, and it is currently consolidating around 95,000. Above, the 96,500 level constitutes direct resistance. On the BTC/USD hourly chart, a key bearish trend line has formed, with the resistance also at the 96,500 level, corresponding to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the aforementioned downward trend.
In the short term, the BOLL indicator on the 4-hour chart continues to spread downward, with successive lower highs, and the support below is also continually probing lower. Coupled with the likelihood of a market cycle node, it is expected that the downward fluctuation trend will continue. At the same time, the hourly chart shows clear signs of selling pressure as the price rebounds. After a slight rebound in the morning, the price entered a sideways correction state, and the candlestick chart has not stabilized, with market selling pressure still apparent. If Bitcoin fails to break through the 96,500 USD resistance zone, it may initiate a new round of decline. If the price continues to drop, it may test the strong support level around 91,000 in the short term.
Therefore, during the European session, focus on the resistance situation at the 96,000 level. If the rebound fails to form an effective breakthrough, consider entering short positions at this level. The first support level below to watch is around 93,000, followed by 91,000. For Ethereum, the short-term pressure is at 2,730, with support at 2,600. You can operate in sync with Bitcoin!

Whatever you say, come on! Do you have any friends who have reached this point? #阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #CardanoETF讨论 #地缘政治对比特币的影响

Can the pattern continue? #阿根廷总统MEME币争议

As expected, the pancake finally fell below 95000. It held up for a few days but still couldn't sustain. The high-altitude strategy that has been provided over the past few days can be considered fully utilized. Late at night, first observe the continuation strength of the bears, the next key level to watch is around 93000. If it can once again test the 91000 level and stop the decline, it may form a bottoming pattern. At that time, the strategy will need to change, and the market may reverse to primarily follow a fluctuating upward trend!#CardanoETF讨论 #地缘政治对比特币的影响 #加密货币普及

In the recent period, as BTC miners sold more than 2,000 bitcoins, the crypto market continued to weaken, and Bitcoin fluctuated and fell all the way. In the afternoon, it almost fell below the 95,000 mark. Although the overall price of the currency has not fallen much in the past 24 hours, only falling by 0.67%, there are undercurrents behind the market. The liquidation volume of more than 200 million US dollars is staggering, among which long-term traders have lost up to 134.34 million US dollars. With the increasing pressure on bulls, whether Bitcoin will further fall has become the focus of all cryptocurrency investors.
From the perspective of technical analysis, the trend of Bitcoin on the 4-hour price chart is not optimistic. The bulls have not been able to effectively break through the resistance level. Not only are they suppressed by the resistance trend line, they have repeatedly hit the wall and fallen back at the 50% Fibonacci level of the 98,500 line. At present, the price of Bitcoin continues to pull back and has approached the 23.60% Fibonacci level, which is the key support level near 94,600. Prior to the latest price correction, Bitcoin's price action seemed to be showing a rounded bottom reversal pattern that could be supported by the 23.60% Fibonacci level, giving the market a glimmer of hope. However, the current retest of this support level is very likely to weaken the possibility of such a reversal, putting more pressure on this support level, and thus greatly increasing the downward trend of Bitcoin prices.

Looking at the dynamics of Bitcoin miners, their behavior is also sending a signal of lack of confidence to the market. According to data released by cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez on the X platform, Bitcoin miners have unloaded more than 2,000 Bitcoins in the past week. Bitcoin miners' reserves have also fallen from 1.81 billion on February 10 to 1.8089 billion this week. The decline in miners' reserves means that the supply of Bitcoin in the market has increased. If there is not enough institutional purchase to take up these additional supplies, the price of Bitcoin is very likely to fall below the 23.60% Fibonacci level support level of $94,393. Once the support is broken, the next possible target will be the horizontal support around 91000. #加密货币普及 #美国加征关税 #地缘政治对比特币的影响

#地缘政治对比特币的影响 #阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #加密货币普及 #美国加征关税 # Rhythm is very important. In recent times, the thinking has been mainly short-selling, and the overall rhythm is still in place. Here I would like to tell you that I rest very late every day, sometimes not for trading, but to review, think, review and summarize the reasons and problems of each transaction success and failure, so that we can better give back to everyone. This is a good habit that every financial person and trader must have. Of course, the issue of risk control should always be put first, which cannot be ignored.
Next, let's briefly analyze the current market:
For BTC, the weekly K and daily K continue to close in the negative, but the entity column is not large, in a volatile negative rhythm, the currency price continues to be suppressed by the moving average, and the attached indicator crosses and shrinks. Although the overall downward momentum of the market is not very strong and the continuity is poor, it is very clear that the trend structure is empty. At the same time, if the downward trend is insufficient and lacks strength, it is easy to make repeated corrections. This is also a very obvious rule in the overall trend in the near future. In the short term, there was a wave of retracement in the morning, and the low point gradually dropped. The short volume continued to be released. There is still room below. The idea is to continue to treat it as a short position.
In terms of Ethereum, after closing positive yesterday, there was a trend of turning negative again. The recent conversions were frequent, but the overall rhythm has not changed. It is difficult for the bulls to do anything for a while. Although there was a pullback yesterday, it failed to stabilize. At the same time, the weekly suppression was also obvious. In the near future, it is likely to be dominated by a weak shock pattern. In the short term of 4 hours, after yesterday's rebound, all the gains were quickly killed and all were spit out. At present, the K line has closed negative continuously, and the short volume will be further released. The idea of ​​the evening is still the main theme.
On Tuesday night, if Bitcoin rebounds again near 96,000, it can still be shorted. At the same time, the short position above this position will continue to hold in the afternoon. The target of 93,000 remains unchanged, and the second is still 91,000. Ethereum synchronized with Bitcoin, the short position near 2730 at noon continues to fall, the target is 2630-2600 area.

Since the opening this week, the overall trend of Bitcoin prices has been downward, with the price consistently unable to stabilize at the 97,000 mark, let alone rebound and test the strong resistance at the 98,000 line. In the early hours, the price tested downward again, touching the short-term support at the 95,000 line before stopping and rebounding for correction.
According to market news, as investors reduce their risk exposure at the current price, BTC may enter a new bearish phase.
With Donald Trump taking office, BTC surged to an all-time high on January 20. The strong bullish momentum came to an abrupt halt, and since then, this flagship cryptocurrency has struggled to regain momentum, hovering below the 100,000 mark, with multiple bullish attempts resulting in failure, further intensifying market panic. If the bulls cannot form an effective counterattack, it may further fuel bearish sentiment, leading to a continued decline in prices.
In the short term, the focus remains on the 98,000 line; only if the price stabilizes above this level can it attempt to challenge the 100,000 mark again. Similarly, there is significant resistance at 97,000; if the price continues to face pressure, the bears will continue to push lower.
On Tuesday afternoon, Bitcoin's current price around 96,200 may allow for short positions, aiming to add to shorts at 97,000. The target remains unchanged, looking down to around 93,000! As for Ethereum, the short position set up at around 2,740 this morning has already gained some space and can continue to be held, targeting around 2,630!

Tuesday, the overnight rebound is weak, and the strategy remains bearish!
Last night, I suggested a short position at the 97000 level for Bitcoin. The price quickly touched this position and then retraced sharply, with the low point reaching the target of 95100. After realizing profits from the short position, I suggested continuing the short strategy around 96000 early in the morning. The overnight price rebounded near 96300 and then started to decline again. Congratulations to the followers who kept up with the strategy!
From the current trend, the price continues to maintain a downward oscillation. The continuous retracement has led to a strong sense of market panic, and bullish enthusiasm has largely dissipated. If a good rebound cannot be established, there is a possibility of further downward movement. At the same time, the strength of the rebound is gradually weakening, and the upper resistance on the short term is slowly descending. If the resistance area cannot be broken, the price is expected to go lower. On the 4-hour line, the price continues to be under pressure at the middle track, with multiple rebounds failing to achieve results, maintaining a weak oscillation. All moving averages show a downward posture, and the short-term range is continuously moving down. If the low of 95000 is refreshed again, the bears will continue to push further down!
On Tuesday morning, Bitcoin continues to reference a short position near 96500, looking down at the unchanged target of 93000! The short term may continue to involve repetitions, so remember to manage risk well while catching rebounds, and do not be greedy! #地缘政治对比特币的影响

On Monday, after a wave of pullback in the early session, the short position set up overnight at 1099/61 points was as expected, and then the coin price showed signs of stopping. The short-term trading strategy involved capturing rebounds, and after a long day's wait, the coin price finally made a rebound correction in the evening. After taking 763/74 points with long positions, the coin price quickly fell back after a spike. Once again, decisively reversing to a short position to look for a decline, the coin price dipped to around 95700, where I exited after capturing 1063/58 points. Since the overnight setup on Sunday, I executed three trades: two shorts and one long, totaling a gain of 2925/193 points, perfectly concluding the day.
From the current pattern, the daily chart continues to weaken, and the mid-line pressure is obvious. After the K-line body closed in the red, it gradually dipped again, maintaining an overall downward structure.
On the short-term 4-hour chart, since the coin price spiked and rebounded around 98700, the coin price has shown an overall oscillating downward structure, with limited strength in the intermediate rebound. After correcting during the day, the evening spike rebounded and tested resistance but still failed to break through, quickly falling back. All moving averages continue to trend downward, and the volume indicator shows increasing bearish momentum. The coin price still faces further downside risks. The midnight rebound correction continues to follow the trend, watching for bearish continuation!
On Monday midnight, Bitcoin slightly rebounded around 96000 and initiated a short position, targeting 93000. Ethereum rebounded around 2760 and initiated a short position, targeting around 2630!
#地缘政治对比特币的影响 #美国加征关税

#CardanoETF讨论 #地缘政治对比特币的影响 #加密货币普及 #美国加征关税 Technical indicators bearish CryptoQuant's latest analysis shows that Bitcoin's Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse has turned bearish. This indicator shows that Bitcoin flows out of derivatives exchanges and enters spot exchanges, which usually indicates a decline in market risk appetite and may mark the beginning of a bear market phase [^0^].

2. Decline in market sentiment and trading volume According to Santiment data, Bitcoin's active addresses and trading volume have decreased by more than 30% in the past few weeks, showing a decline in market activity. This trend may indicate a weakening of investor interest in the market, which in turn has a negative impact on Bitcoin prices [^1^].

3. Test of key support levels Bitcoin's current key support level is around $91,000. If Bitcoin fails to hold this support level, it could trigger further price declines.

4. Macroeconomic and policy uncertainty Although the market has expectations for the Trump administration's possible cryptocurrency-friendly policies, there is still a lack of clear policy guidance. In addition, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and inflation data may continue to put pressure on Bitcoin prices[^3^].

5. Market volatility and profit-taking In early 2025, the price of Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $109,000, but then fell back. This pullback after a rapid rise may trigger profit-taking, further exacerbating price volatility[^4^].

Although the market remains optimistic about the long-term trend of Bitcoin, in the short term, factors such as the technical indicator turnaround, declining market sentiment, and macroeconomic uncertainty facing Bitcoin may push the price into a period of adjustment. Investors should pay close attention to the key support level of $91,000, as well as changes in policies and macroeconomic data, to cope with possible downside risks to prices.

In terms of Ethereum, although the price rebounded at the end of last week in tandem with Bitcoin, it is undeniable that there is still significant pressure above. The bulls have had to face selling pressure again in order to create further continuation. After two days of consolidation over the weekend, a decline began in the early morning. Meanwhile, the short-term high points are gradually moving down along with Bitcoin, and the sentiment remains bearish. The daily chart continues to maintain a downward structure, and there have been no clear signs of a bottoming out in the short term. The pullback is not yet over; therefore, in the morning outlook, continue to short at higher levels! On Monday morning, look to short Ethereum at around the 2700 level. Pay close attention to the support and resistance at the 2600 level below. If it breaks down, look to further targets at the 2560 level! #BNBChainMeme热潮 #美国加征关税

On Monday, the cryptocurrency price fell as expected, continuing from the morning!
Yesterday, the article continuously suggested a short position, and the overnight cryptocurrency price performed the expected pullback action. The short position entered after noon at Tenpan saw Bitcoin drop by 1000 points, and Ethereum by over 60 points, both achieving profits as expected.
From the current trend, it is highly likely that the daily K-line will close bearish again, with the cryptocurrency price continuing to be pressured at the mid-track without forming a breakthrough, and the pressure at the 98500 line becoming more apparent. On the 4-hour line, after the spike at the end of the week reaching the 98700 line, it failed to stabilize, and the price has been fluctuating downwards without providing a strong rebound, clearly showing a weak pattern. At the same time, the indicators on the attached chart are turning downward, with bearish volume starting to increase, indicating that there will be a continuation of downward movement. Therefore, in the morning operations, a slight rebound action can provide an opportunity to continue entering short positions.
On Monday morning, short Bitcoin near the 97000 line, targeting the 94600-95100 area below. Only consider capturing a short rebound once signs of stopping are evident.
#加密货币普及 #美国加征关税

On Sunday night, it is still mainly short first!
With the end of the weekend, the price of the currency has gradually moved downward after a small range of fluctuations at the 97500 line.
For the short-term in the evening:
1. Don't be blindly long, especially this week the price of the currency has been under pressure, and has not been able to break through and stabilize. It is still necessary to guard against the risk of retracement.
2. The market is still in a wait-and-see mood. There is a lack of macro narratives and news support. It is difficult for the price of the currency to move out of too much space without an effective breakthrough.
3. As far as the current trend is concerned, there has been no reversal in the short-term 4-hour pattern. It is basically maintained within the box range, and there are multiple pressure concentration areas above, even if the rebound increase is limited.
Therefore, do not blindly chase the operation, the risk of retracement is still very large. At the same time, remember that whether it is short-term operation or short, you must do a good job of risk control. If the US market gives a downward action as expected, do not blindly buy the bottom, and beware of the continuation in the early morning. At present, the pressure of Bitcoin is still concentrated in the 98000-98500 area. If there is a rebound at night and there are signs of pressure near this position, short orders will be entered first. The bottom will first look at 95000.
Ethereum also fluctuated and fell in the afternoon. Although the force was very small, it also fell below the 2700 mark. The idea is the same as Bitcoin. If it rebounds slightly near 2730, short orders will be entered first. The bottom will still look at the 2600 line first.
#加密货币普及 #美国加征关税 #开通交易实盘认证

On Saturday, the Bitcoin market slightly rebounded in the morning after dipping to the 96600 line at midnight yesterday, reaching around 97900 before falling again. Subsequently, Bitcoin has been oscillating in the 97000-98000 range, with overall volatility being low. There isn't much room for operations, and it can mainly be based on ultra-short-term point trading. There are not many positions taken in the ten-point layout, with both long and short participants, but the space taken is relatively small.
From the current trend, the possibility of a breakout in the short term is low. Bitcoin has consistently oscillated within the upper and lower bands on the daily chart. Although the overall price range has slightly moved upward, it has not managed to break out and stabilize, with the mid-band at 98500 still presenting some pressure. On the 4-hour chart, the overall shape is gradually leaning towards bullish. It has stabilized above the BOLL mid-band during the day, and the auxiliary indicators show signs of flattening. The rebound strength in the short term is expected to be limited, with short-term pressure concentrated in the 98000-98500 area and support in the 96000-96500 area. Midnight will focus on the pressure level breakthrough and stabilization. If the rebound does not break, a short position can be attempted, and a retest of support can be re-entered. For the short term, continue to focus on high selling and low buying within the range!
Regarding Ethereum, in the short term, focus on the 2760-2800 area, with support below at the 2600 line. In the short term, synchronize with Bitcoin for point trading within the oscillation range.
During the weekend, the market fluctuations are small, and relatively speaking, there is not much room for operations, so the focus can only be on accumulating ultra-short-term positions. If points are not well managed, there can be a drop at any time. The weekend is always open, always here!

In terms of macro narrative, the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in March is almost non-existent, and the current labor data will reduce the probability of a rate cut in March. This is within the market's expectations. As far as the current market sentiment is concerned, to be honest, the current macro data is of limited help to the market. After all, Powell himself said that the labor market is not very concerned, so let's look at inflation data, especially housing inflation. In general, today's labor data is good for the economy, but it is not conducive to the Fed increasing the number of interest rate cuts. From a technical analysis perspective, after nearly a week of adjustment, the price of Bitcoin has not given a strong retracement. The short-term repeated testing of support and pressure levels, but has not been able to form an effective breakthrough. Challenges at the macro level still exist, and there is no clear direction in the short term. The next weekend may enter "garbage time" and the volatility will not be too large. Therefore, the operation is mainly based on the short-term running of the shock range. #加密货币普及 #美国加征关税