Trump has brokered a ceasefire between India and Pakistan.
After a long night of negotiations mediated by the United States, I am pleased to announce that India and Pakistan have agreed to a COMPLETE AND IMMEDIATE CEASEFIRE. Congratulations to both countries for showing common sense and high intelligence.
Brief Analysis: Ripple and SEC Have Finally Settled Their Conflict
📌 Essence of the Event:
Ripple and SEC have concluded a years-long lawsuit.
Ripple will pay a fine of $50 million, instead of the initial $125 million.
Both parties will withdraw their appeals, officially ending the conflict.
📈 Market Reaction:
The price of XRP rose by 6.2%, reaching $2.31.
Market Capitalization: $136 billion, 4th place in the market.
⚖️ Significance for the Industry:
The decision strengthens the legal status of XRP as a commodity rather than a security.
This increases the chances of approval for a spot ETF based on XRP (according to Polymarket — a 39% probability by the end of July).
🏦 Ripple's Financial Strategy:
The company continues its active expansion: acquiring the broker Hidden Road for $1.2 billion and attempting to buy Circle for $5 billion (unsuccessfully).
Ripple's growth is supported by the Trump administration, which may also influence further regulation.
🔮 Forecast:
In the short term, further volatility and moderate growth are possible.
ETF approval will be the catalyst for a new wave of XRP growth.
📉 Options expiration of $3 billion: what will happen to BTC and ETH?
🗓 Today expires: ▪️ BTC options — worth $2.6 billion ▪️ ETH options — worth $364 million
🔻 Maximum pain points: ▪️ BTC — $94,000 ▪️ ETH — $1,850
These are the levels at which most options will expire worthless. Often, the market tends to gravitate towards them, causing short-term dips.
📊 Current quotes: ▪️ BTC — $103,000+ ▪️ ETH — $2,240+
📉 Bearish sentiment prevails: ▪️ Put/call ratio above 1 ▪️ Market participants expect a correction below $100,000
⚠️ Additional trigger: Over the weekend — negotiations between the US and China on tariffs. ▪️ Negative outcome — possible pullback of BTC to $90K–93K ▪️ Positive outcome — rise to $105K–110K
🧠 Conclusion: We are monitoring the expiration and negotiations. These factors could set the market direction for the coming days.
📌 Are you expecting a pullback or a rise? Write below 👇
📊 Bitcoin is back above $100,000 — what's next? 📅 Forecast for May-June 2025
💡 After breaking the "hundred", BTC is approaching its historical maximum — $109,114 (as of January 20). Investors expect a new ATH by the end of the week.
📈 Top forecasts from analysts and traders: 🔹 $140K in June — Ash Crypto and Jelle 🔹 $200K by the end of summer — trader Alemzadeh 🔹 $250K — blogger Sensei believes that BTC is entering a phase of market optimism according to cycle psychology 🔹 Further growth — indicates Crypto Rover: resistances are easily broken 🔹 Start of a bull run — analyst Michael van de Poppe 🔹 Support from the stock market — Trump promises growth, and crypto follows the indices
⚠️ On Polymarket, the majority of votes favor continued growth of BTC
📊 In the market — growth of FOMO (fear of missing out). This may intensify purchases and push the price even higher.
📍 What are your BTC targets for this summer? Write in the comments!
🚀 Why is Bitcoin rising again? — Main reasons 📅 Morning of May 9
💰 BTC is above $100,000 again, returning to the highs of late January. What is driving the price up?
📌 Key growth factors: 🔹 Expectations for easing Fed policy — the rate remained unchanged, but the market anticipates a reduction amid a recession. This could lead to "money printing" and increased demand for crypto. 🔹 Trump supports rate cuts, increasing pressure on the Fed. 🔹 Growing interest in Bitcoin ETFs — an influx of funds is being recorded. 🔹 Regulatory movements in the USA: ▫️ OCC allowed banks to trade crypto ▫️ FDIC permitted storage and related crypto services 🔹 State laws (Missouri and others) — Bitcoin reserves can be created and capital gains tax can be abolished 🔹 Improvement in international trade — the market is reacting to a potential US–UK deal and negotiations with China 🔹 Crypto as a safeguard for savings in an unstable economy
📈 Forecast: Analyst Peter Brandt expects BTC to rise by the end of summer or fall 2025.
💬 Do you believe in $120K this summer? Or is it too late to enter?
📰 What happened in the crypto market while everyone was sleeping — morning of May 9
🔹 Meta is back in the game — the company may implement support for stablecoins (USDT, USDC, etc.) on its platforms. Negotiations are already underway, three years after the failure of Diem. 🔹 Coinbase reported for Q1 2025: ▫️ Revenue — $2 billion (–10% quarter-over-quarter) ▫️ Profit plummeted by 95% — $66 million 💥 ▫️ Acquired Deribit for $2.9 billion to strengthen its position in the derivatives market 🔹 Rumble and Tether will launch a non-custodial wallet for BTC, USDT, and possibly XAUT — release in Q3 2025. Competition with Coinbase Wallet is intensifying.
📊 BTC price: $102,366 📈 Ethereum leads in growth among the top 10: +17% in a day, +20% in a week — trading at $2,218 💥 Leader of the day in the top 100: Virtuals Protocol (+35.9%) 📉 Outsider: Four (–7.95%)
💬 What do you think about Meta's return to crypto — a rise or another failure?
🚀 EOS at a monthly high: +19% in one day! Reasons — rebranding and a soft Fed
💡 What happened: 🔹 The price of EOS increased by 19%, reaching $0.83 — this is the highest in the last 30 days 🔹 The company Vaulta announced the rebranding of EOS → A with a 1:1 token swap 🔹 Inflow in the spot market — $3.49 million, a record since December 🔹 Trading volume for the day — $480+ million (+270%)
📊 The Smart Money Index (SMI) rose to -11.86 — a five-month high. This indicates an increase in institutional interest and continued accumulation.
📈 Growth target — $0.98 (level from January) 📉 A pullback is possible to $0.67 if active profit-taking begins
🟢 Bulls are still in control, but volatility is off the charts. We are watching $0.85 — this is a key level.
💬 Do you think EOS can really break $1 after the rebranding?
🚨 Arthur Hayes: BTC to $150,000 by the end of the year — the conditions have already been created
📍 The Federal Reserve maintains the rate at 4.25–4.5%, and this, according to BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes, is the perfect environment for Bitcoin's growth.
💬 In the Crypto Banner podcast, he stated:
"Now is the best time for a rally in risk assets. High uncertainty will force the Fed to turn on the 'printing press'."
📈 After the meeting, BTC jumped nearly +3%, closely approaching $100,000 Next target: $125,000, and by the end of 2025 — $150,000
🧩 What drives the growth:
Weakening dollar = increased interest in crypto
Inflows into spot BTC ETFs
Support for the industry from Donald Trump
Expectations of an altcoin rally — ETH and SOL are already on the starting line
🧠 Investors are fleeing from the dollar into assets that can survive any storm. Bitcoin is the main one.
💬 Do you believe in $150,000 by December — drop a 🔥 in the comments. If you don't believe it — tell us why 👇
📈 The Fed has warmed up the market: interest in BTC-ETF is back in play
Bitcoin ETFs experienced swings this week, but the market is on the rise again after a positive signal from the U.S. Fed.
💡 What happened? The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged — and this became a trigger for increased investor confidence. Volatility before the meeting gave way to confident recovery:
📊 The numbers speak for themselves:
Monday: +$425.45 million in BTC-ETF
Tuesday: -$85.64 million (investors were nervous)
Wednesday: +$142.31 million again ⠀ 🔝 Record one-day inflow:
ARKB (Ark Invest + 21Shares): +$57.73 million
FBTC (Fidelity): +$39.92 million ➡️ FBTC is now in the lead — total inflow $11.64 billion
🔥 No fund showed outflows on Wednesday — for the first time in a long while.
📈 BTC has risen to $98,888 (+2%) against this backdrop At the same time:
The funding rate remains positive — bulls are on the attack
Demand for call options > puts — the market is betting on growth
🧠 What does this indicate? Institutionals are returning, traders are going long, and the macroeconomics are playing in favor of crypto.
💬 Are you betting on $100K by the end of the week? Comment below 👇
📊 Standard Chartered: BTC up to $120,000 by the end of the quarter
Bitcoin is not just rising — it is becoming a full-fledged asset of the institutional world. Analysts at Standard Chartered are confident: by the end of Q2, BTC will break its all-time high (ATH) and reach $120,000. Why?
💼 Institutions are entering with money:
In one month, over $2 billion has flowed into spot BTC ETFs
Just in the last 3 weeks, net inflows amounted to $4 billion — according to Glassnode
The price of BTC has risen from $84,000 to $99,000 during this time
📉 MicroStrategy ("Strategy") continues to purchase:
They own 555,450 BTC — this is 2.6% of the total supply
Plans to increase the portfolio to 6% — up to 840,000 BTC, at the current price this is $84 billion
🏦 Sovereign funds, banks, and pension giants:
Abu Dhabi, Switzerland, Norway — already hold BTC or shares of related companies
New Hampshire was the first in the US to pass a law on a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Arizona, Texas, and Oregon are next.
💬 Jeff Kendrick, head of research at Standard Chartered:
"I apologize if my forecast of $120,000 turns out to be too modest."
🔥 A new maximum is just around the corner. The only question is — are you ready for it?
📈 Bitcoin has broken through $100,000! What’s behind this?
For the first time since February, Bitcoin (BTC) has surpassed the historic mark of $100,000 on the largest exchanges! 🚀 Although the price pulled back slightly later due to profit-taking, the crypto market is literally buzzing with optimism.
💬 What was the trigger? U.S. President Donald Trump announced the signing of a trade agreement with the United Kingdom — this is the first deal under a new tariff program aimed at reducing duties and stimulating trade. According to Trump, several key deals are on the way.
📉 This reduces inflation risks and anxiety in the stock market. This means that interest in cryptocurrencies as a "safe haven" has sharply increased again.
📊 Also playing a role was the statement from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell: in the face of economic risks, crypto seems like a lifeline.
💥 Result:
$492 million was liquidated in short positions in one day.
The new target for the bulls is $105,000, and if the momentum continues — $120,000 no longer seems like a fantasy.