金策Tim

[Market Interpreter | Trading Artisan | Independent Observer]
📈 I am Tim Zheng, a dual-sided analyst obsessed with price fluctuations 📉:
🫲 Left hand holding a fundamental analysis magnifying glass: Dissecting financial report data, tracking industry cycles, grasping value anchors
🫱 Right hand wielding a technical analysis scalpel: Deconstructing candlestick language, capturing trend turning points, formulating trading strategies

🔥 Trading is my continuously refined craft:
- Conducting multi-timeframe reviews daily
- Establishing a dynamically updated stock/crypto pool observation list
- Design traceable and verifiable trading scripts
- Validate strategies under controllable risk conditions

(Buddhist-style trading mindset) Just recording this, sending for three months in a row, let's test the waters first😎

I believe that so far, we have achieved a phased victory in opposing America's tariff hegemony. We have no way out, we can only accompany him to the end! However, the situation is changing. It can be said that Trump has begun to compromise; he announced yesterday a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs on 75 countries that have not imposed retaliatory tariffs, and during this period, all tariffs would be reduced by 10%. At the same time, he also announced an increase in tariffs against us to 125%, effective immediately. So how should we view this? Let's get straight to the point.1️⃣ First, what is the reason for Trump's current compromise? It is the result of China's strong retaliation! China has set an example for the world; due to China's tough stance, the U.S. financial system is showing signs of near collapse, which has led many countries to follow suit. For example, the EU announced a 25% countermeasure, Canada 🇨🇦 also announced reciprocal tariffs, and some countries have already begun to secretly sell off U.S. Treasuries. It should be said that under our leadership, a wave of opposition to U.S. tariff hegemony has emerged globally. Now Trump sees the situation is not good; he has to hit the brakes and quickly find a way out to prevent more countries from rising up against him and causing his collapse 💥!

Following the previous article, let's talk about the second set of key data, called the 140-year cycle curse. 🧐So what does this data say? Why is it a 140-year cycle? In fact, it refers to the period since the prototype of the Dow Jones Index withdrew in 1884. According to statistics, the three historic crashes of the Dow Jones Index in history all occurred during the Republican term. 1️⃣The first major crash was after the Republican leader Hoover took office in 1928. The Dow Jones index fell 41 points from 381 points, a drop of 89%, for 3 years and 1 month. 2️⃣The second major crash of the Dow Jones Index was in 1973, when Republican leader Nixon was in power. The S&P 500 index fell from 120 points to 60 points. This time it took 20 months to halve. 3️⃣The third major crash occurred during George W. Bush's term in 2008, when the Dow Jones Index fell from 14,198 points to 6,547 points, a drop of 54%. This process lasted 17 months.

Let’s first look at a comparison table

Everyone must pay attention❗️❗️❗️The US stock market has issued a plummeting alarm, because history is repeating itself. Many well-known American investors have recently issued frequent warnings⚠️that the US stock market is facing a major risk, because the United States is likely to experience an economic recession, and it is the economic recession that Trump needs. This view is by no means alarmist. Because there are three sets of key data that can be used to analyze and verify this plunge and the arrival of this recession.
Next, I will get straight to the point. The first set of key data is the 83% policy overlap rate. What is the policy overlap rate? He is talking about the 83% policy overlap between the main policies currently being implemented by Trump and the three-pronged policy implemented by US President Hoover in 1928. Hoover used this fatal three-pronged policy to accelerate the United States into the Great Depression. Let's compare and analyze it.

Following the morning's thoughts, I want to remind the family members who are bottom-fishing to pay attention. I don't know if it has helped some friends, but anyway, my buddies in the group are making a lot of money. We'll continue to grasp it tonight 🫵#加密市场回调 #美国加征关税
$BTC $ETH

Good morning everyone!
Last night, global risk assets staged a 'burial market' coinciding with the Qingming Festival, even Trump might exclaim about the market's timely response today. But jokes aside, let's get back to the point - how do we see today's market?
Today's trend prediction:
I believe the decline is not over! Although BTC has returned above 83k this morning, this is merely a technical repair before the US stock market closes, not even a proper rebound. Currently, the correlation between cryptocurrencies and stocks is extremely strong, and this 'false repair' is likely building momentum for the next wave of the market.
Operational suggestions:
Contract players: it is recommended to take most profits and keep the bottom position with a stop-loss to protect capital

Many people like to ask others to provide actual market data, but I want to say, what does providing actual data really represent?

When you look at someone else's analysis, regardless of whether it aligns with your own direction, it is a form of learning and referencing. If the other party's logic is flawed, it can help you strengthen your own direction. If what others say is good, it can give you an edge. Whether it's good or bad, you make your own decisions based on what you've seen; that is merely a reference, nothing more. Why criticize others, right?
Many people come in and just say they don't want any analysis, I only look at the actual market 😂

Here comes the actual market data, does that mean I don't have to provide any analysis?