User-91242tao

#特朗普税改 特朗普突然认怂了！4月9日，他宣布对多国暂停征收"对等关税"90天，但对中国仍保持高压。表面说是"谈判策略"，实则是被美债市场暴击——3天抛售580亿美元国债，30年期收益率飙破5%，创1981年来最惨纪录。
三大真相撕开遮羞布：
🔥 华尔街逼宫：摩根大通CEO戴蒙警告"经济衰退"，共和党金主电话轰炸白宫
💣 韭菜救市：美股单日暴涨8%创纪录，但74%投资者已亏损
⚠️ 中国反杀：145%关税下，美国自行车涨价50%，沃尔玛货架告急
专家嘲讽："暂停？不过是把定时炸弹延后90天！"

$ETH The current popularity of Ethereum is no longer as high as Dogecoin.
Ethereum has made a lot of efforts, but the biggest problem is that it hasn't retained users.
Changing from PoW to PoS means no more mining, losing global GPU users.
Developing secondary networks has led to internal conflicts and serious infighting, causing the entire ecosystem to bleed out.
There has been no support for memes, causing all the gamblers to run to Solana.
Slow upgrades and continuous selling of coins have hurt the feelings of old players.

#特朗普暂停新关税 Trump suddenly backed down! On April 9, he announced a 90-day suspension of "reciprocal tariffs" on multiple countries, but maintains high pressure on China. He claims it's a "negotiation strategy," but in reality, he's been hit hard by the U.S. bond market — $58 billion in Treasuries sold in 3 days, with the 30-year yield soaring past 5%, setting the worst record since 1981.
Three major truths tear off the veil:
🔥 Wall Street's pressure: JPMorgan CEO Dimon warns of "economic recession," Republican donors bombard the White House with phone calls
💣 Retail investors' rescue: U.S. stocks surged 8% in a single day, setting a record, but 74% of investors are already losing money
⚠️ China strikes back: With a 145% tariff, American bicycles increased in price by 50%, and Walmart's shelves are in crisis
Experts mock: "Suspension? It's just delaying the ticking time bomb for 90 days!"

The current popularity of Ethereum ($ETH ) is not as high as Dogecoin.
Ethereum has made a lot of efforts, but the biggest problem is that it hasn't been able to retain users.
Switching from PoW to PoS means no more mining, resulting in a loss of global GPU users.
Developing secondary networks has led to infighting, causing significant damage to the entire ecosystem.
There has been no support for memes, causing all the gamblers to run to Solana.
The upgrade process is slow, and continuously selling coins has hurt the hearts of old players.

#以太坊的未来 Now the popularity of Ethereum is not as high as Dogecoin.
Ethereum has made a lot of efforts, but the biggest problem is that it hasn't retained users.
Changing from PoW to PoS means no more mining, losing global GPU users.
Developing secondary networks resulted in them fighting among themselves, seriously harming the entire ecosystem.
There has been no support for memes, causing all the gamblers to run to Sol.
Slow upgrades and continuous selling of coins have hurt the feelings of old players.

On Tuesday, Bitcoin rose and then fell, closing lower, so go long according to the trend.
In the early hours, there was another round of declines, from 88460 to 87000, with bulls giving back all the gains from the previous trading day. This kind of rise driven by news cannot fundamentally change the technical structure of the overall trend; the market makers push the price up to sell off. Next, we will continue to go long without much concern, and in the morning we will continue to go long.
Today, there has been hardly any rebound space since the early hours. To be honest, I am familiar with this rhythm, and it likely won't provide too many opportunities, so a slight drop during the Asian session is enough to enter long positions. Remember to advance with a portion of your position and reserve 5% of your capital for a rebound of 1000-1500 points, which also helps avoid missing out.
Go long in the Bitcoin 86500-87000 range, target 89000.
Go long in the Ethereum 1530-1550 range, target 1650.

On Tuesday, September 26, 2023, Bitcoin surged and then fell back, closing lower, suggesting to go long with the trend.
In the early hours, there was another round of declines, with a drop from 88460 to 87000, as bulls took back all the gains from the previous trading day. Such increases driven by news cannot fundamentally change the technical structure of the overall trend; the manipulator raises prices to offload. Moving forward, we continue to go long without too much concern, and we will continue to go long in the morning.
Today, there has hardly been any rebound space since the early hours. To be honest, I am familiar with this rhythm; there should not be too many opportunities. Thus, during the Asian session, a slight decline provides an entry for long positions. Remember to enter positions with a probe and reserve 5% of your capital to add back on a rebound of 1000-1500 points, which also helps avoid missing out.
Go long on Bitcoin in the 86500-87000 range, target 89000.
Go long on Ethereum in the 1530-1550 range, target 1650.

#Strategy增持比特币 Tuesday, Bitcoin surged and fell back to close lower, going long in the trend.
Another round of declines occurred in the early morning, from 88460 to 87000, the bulls gave back all the gains from the previous trading day. This kind of rise driven by news cannot fundamentally change the major trend's technical structure. The pump by the market makers is for unloading, and the next step is to continue going long without too much worry; keep going long in the morning.
Today, almost no rebound space was provided since early morning. To be honest, I am familiar with this rhythm and it shouldn’t offer too many opportunities, so if there is a slight decline in the Asian session, just enter long positions. Remember to enter the probe position first and reserve 5% of the position to rebound by 1000-1500 points to avoid missing out.
Go long in the Bitcoin 86500-87000 area with a target of 89000.
Go long in the Ethereum 1530-1550 area with a target of 1650.

#加密市场反弹 I feel that the current market is like 'pretending to rebound after a fake fall'. The market makers definitely won't let the market drop all the way down; they will first pretend to rise to deceive people into entering. Once the retail investors jump in, they will close the door and harvest.
Take Ethereum as an example, many people previously sold at a loss between $1900 and $1700. If it really were to drop to $1200, the market makers wouldn't just crash it; they would first pump the price to make retail investors think the bull market has returned. When everyone is frantically bottom-fishing, they will short at high positions, which is a more efficient way to harvest losses.
Why do I say we haven't hit the bottom yet? Look, there are still people in various groups shouting to buy the dip and get rich. The true bottom looks like this: no one speaks in the groups, no one shares profits on social media, and even the critics are too lazy to criticize. That’s when we have truly hit the bottom. There are still so many people dreaming of getting rich, which indicates we haven't fully dropped yet!

#中美贸易关系 China has issued warnings to countries that may cooperate with the United States in restricting trade with China and has taken reciprocal countermeasures, including increased tariffs and export controls on rare earths. Although the Trump administration proposed tariff exemptions in exchange for ally support, the actual effect was limited—American tech giants pressured policy adjustments due to supply chain cost pressures, and most countries find it difficult to bear the economic costs of decoupling from China.
This situation may lead to an accelerated restructuring of global supply chains in the short term, the increased importance of regional trade systems (such as RCEP), and challenges to the US dollar's dominance due to the promotion of the digital yuan. In the long term, the competition between China and the United States will shift towards rule-making and technological competition. If the US continues to escalate tariffs, it may trigger risks of global recession, while China can enhance its resilience through domestic demand expansion and industrial upgrading.

$ETH Market Value Change: In the first quarter of 2025, the total market value of cryptocurrencies dropped from a high of $3.8 trillion at the end of 2024 to about $2.7 trillion, indicating an overall downward trend in the market.
Trading Volume Fluctuation: The average daily trading volume in the first quarter decreased by 27.3% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, falling to $146 billion, reflecting a decline in market participation.
Market Sentiment: Market sentiment plummeted to a low at the end of the first quarter, with KOLs remaining silent, investors becoming increasingly desperate, and trading activity significantly decreasing.
Investor Behavior: Investors generally adopted a strategy of buying on dips and holding long-term.

#特朗普施压鲍威尔 Trump wants to fire the Federal Reserve Chairman?
The independence of the Federal Reserve is facing unprecedented challenges.
The US stock market is about to crash.
History does not repeat itself, but it is always remarkably similar.
In 2018, Trump threatened Powell, and the Dow Jones fell 600 points in a single day; this time, the impact could be doubled, with a plunge of 1200 points.
Powell: staunchly defending the 4.5% interest rate red line, internal divisions within the Treasury, former Federal Reserve Chair Yellen opposes dismissal.

Market Value Change of #加密市场季度观察 : In the first quarter of 2025, the total market value of cryptocurrencies fell from a peak of $3.8 trillion at the end of 2024 to about $2.7 trillion, indicating an overall downward trend in the market.
Trading Volume Fluctuation: The average daily trading volume in the first quarter decreased by 27.3% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, falling to $146 billion, reflecting a decline in market participation.
Market Sentiment: Market sentiment plummeted to a freezing point by the end of the first quarter, with KOLs silent, investors growing increasingly desperate, and trading activity significantly declining.
Investor Behavior: Investors generally adopted a strategy of buying on dips and holding long-term.

Recently, Solana has been performing exceptionally well. By early 2025, its total supply of stablecoins on the network surpassed 10 billion USD, primarily driven by the minting of USDC, surging approximately 110% since January. Influenced by Trump's crypto policies and the memecoin craze, trading activities in the Solana ecosystem have skyrocketed, with the native token SOL's price breaking $260, reaching an all-time high.
Solana is a high-performance blockchain capable of supporting on-chain program development, with a rapid confirmation time of 400ms and low transaction fees. Its advantages are now evident, with outstanding on-chain metrics and nearly 67 million transactions daily. As the Firedancer upgrade plan progresses, it is expected to handle 1 million transactions per second in the future, likely attracting more institutional investors and continuously expanding its market influence.

Recently, Solana has performed remarkably well. By early 2025, the total supply of stablecoins on its network surpassed the 10 billion dollar mark, primarily driven by USDC minting, which has soared approximately 110% since January. Influenced by Trump's cryptocurrency policies and the memecoin craze, trading activity in the Solana ecosystem has surged, with the native token SOL's price breaking through 260 dollars, setting a new all-time high.
Solana is a high-performance blockchain that offers on-chain program development, a rapid confirmation time of 400ms, and low transaction fees. Its advantages are now fully evident, with outstanding on-chain metrics and daily transaction volumes nearing 67 million. With the advancement of the Firedancer upgrade plan, it is expected to handle 1 million transactions per second in the future, potentially attracting more institutional investors and continuing to expand its market influence.

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#Metaplanet增持比特币 Accelerates Asia's Largest Bitcoin Holdings Position
On April 14, the Japanese listed company Metaplanet increased its holdings by 319 Bitcoins, worth approximately 26.3 million USD, with an average price of about 82,549 USD each. This move brings its total Bitcoin holdings to 4,525, valued at around 386.3 million USD, solidifying its position as the largest corporate holder in Asia and ranking tenth globally. Metaplanet employs a strategy of direct purchases and options trading, with a BTC yield of 95.6% in the first quarter of 2025, indicating strong growth. The company's goal is to hold 10,000 Bitcoins by the end of the year and reach 21,000 by 2026, accounting for approximately 0.1% of the total Bitcoin supply. This strategy has attracted market attention, with the stock price surging over 3000% since the implementation of the Bitcoin strategy. However, uncertainty around tariffs and market volatility pose challenges. Metaplanet is actively financing its Bitcoin expansion plan through bond issuance and stock subscription rights.

#止损策略 Risk-Reward Ratio: Is Your Trade Worth the Risk?
In the cryptocurrency market, high returns often come with high risks, but many people only focus on 'how much can I earn' and forget to ask 'how much can I lose?'.
Let's do a simple calculation:
- If you use $1000 to buy a coin, expecting it to rise to $2000 (2 times), but you set a stop-loss at $800, then your risk-reward ratio is 1:2 (lose $200 vs. gain $1000).
- However, if you set your stop-loss too far, for example, you only sell when it drops to $500, then the risk-reward ratio becomes 1:1 (lose $500 vs. gain $1000), making it hard to profit in the long run.

#风险回报比 Risk-Return Ratio: Is Your Trade Worth the Risk?
In the cryptocurrency market, high returns often come with high risks, but many people only focus on 'how much can I earn' and forget to ask 'how much can I lose'.
Let's do a simple calculation:
- If you buy a coin for $1000, expecting it to rise to $2000 (2x), but you set a stop loss at $800, then your risk-return ratio is 1:2 (lose $200 vs earn $1000).
- However, if you set your stop loss too far, such as at $500 before cutting losses, the risk-return ratio changes to 1:1 (lose $500 vs earn $1000), making it difficult to be profitable in the long run.

In this circle, the water is deep. Many times, it's not that you are not smart, but that the scammers are too professional. When I was new to airdrops, I fell for a scam once. The other party disguised themselves as customer service from the project team and made me connect my wallet to sign an operation, resulting in one NFT being swept away. Later, I summarized: 1. Don't click on links casually, especially those shared in groups; 2. Only trust official websites and verified accounts; 3. Regularly clean up wallet permissions, don't wait until something happens to think about it. One more very important point: don't be greedy; all 'guaranteed returns' are traps. The money is yours, and safety always comes first.