阿安说币

Do not hold grudges against the past, because it is already gone. Never lack the courage to start over, as milestones are more important than the finish line. Keep moving forward; every tomorrow is worth looking forward to, hoping for everything to get better and better.

Morning Doudan Successfully Bagged

June 20 Morning Thoughts
In the early hours of today, the coin price dropped to the 103945 level and quickly rebounded to the 104795 level. Currently, the coin price has returned to around 104600 for a narrow range adjustment. Our long position established at 104910 in the early hours of today has again achieved a 900-point gain. Although the price fluctuations are not as pronounced as in previous days, our timing remains precise.
From the four-hour perspective, the candlestick pattern shows alternating bullish and bearish movements, with no effective breakthrough of resistance above or support below. As of now, there has not been a strong one-sided market yet. Although the current rebound trend is relatively slow, bullish signals are beginning to emerge. From the 15-minute perspective, the coin price has crossed the mid-line twice, and it is currently oscillating near the upper line. The Bollinger Bands are opening and turning upwards, indicating that the bulls are about to sound the counterattack horn.
For Bitcoin, buy in the range of 104300-103800, targeting around 105500. For Ethereum, buy in the range of 2510-2480, targeting around 2580.

Evening Thoughts Accurate Verification

Opportunities are for those who are prepared and brave.
After successfully obtaining a wave of profits yesterday by finding the teacher and a friend, I'm here to find the teacher again today. The morning order is 600u.

Evening Thoughts on June 19
From the current 4-hour candlestick trend, the Bollinger Bands show a clear narrowing pattern, indicating that the price has entered a narrow range consolidation phase, with a short-term trend showing a neutral to weak pattern. In terms of technical indicators, the DIF and DEA lines in the MACD continue to operate below the zero axis, clearly indicating that the market is still dominated by bearish momentum; however, the histogram has not significantly enlarged, suggesting that current bearish strength has not reached an extreme level. The RSI is in the neutral zone, and this reading highly corresponds with the current oscillating market characteristics, with no obvious unilateral trend formed in the market. We will also maintain our bearish rebound outlook unchanged.

Bitcoin: Short near 105000-105300, short-term target 103500
Ethereum: Short near 2530-2545, short-term target 2470-2479-7513

It is definitely fine to suggest going short from a high position! This space will just come!

Thoughts and actions are like the wings of a bird; if one only indulges in daydreams, it is difficult to traverse a journey of thousands of miles.

Today's 2nd order completed, received 600 oil

Where is there an instant victory? Only through repeated tempering can one be forged into steel;
Where is there luck without reason? Only by enduring trials can one seize good opportunities.

If you find this path difficult to walk, it must be an uphill road! Face it! Resist it! A child without an umbrella must run hard on their own.

Morning Kongsun took down 500 pancakes and Auntie Tai 28! #BTC

Morning thoughts successfully validated. When opportunities arise, you must seize them! #BTC #ETH

Yesterday evening, the Silu made an accurate prediction and the Kongshan was successfully pocketed

【Federal Reserve Dot Plot: Still Expecting Two Rate Cuts This Year, But More Officials Hope for No Rate Cuts】
Jin Ten Data June 19 Report, the Federal Reserve dot plot shows that among 19 officials, 7 believe there will be no rate cuts in 2025 (4 in March), 2 believe there should be a cumulative cut of 25 basis points in 2025, meaning one cut (4 in March), 8 believe there should be a cumulative cut of 50 basis points in 2025, meaning two cuts (9 in March), and 2 believe there should be a cumulative cut of 75 basis points in 2025, meaning three cuts (2 in March). #美联储FOMC会议

Transparency is not the absence of distractions, but the understanding of what to give up. Time is not the remedy; the posture of running forward is closer to the answer. #BTC #ETH

Currently, although the short-term is in a slightly bearish structure, the long-term support is still there, essentially it is still oscillating, with limited ups and downs.

Either stand out or be eliminated! #行情

June 18 Evening BTC Market Analysis & ETH Trading Recommendations
Affected by the escalation of geopolitical risks in the Middle East (Iran announces the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz), Bitcoin price quickly fell from the high point of 107,436, tested the support level of 103,300, and then rebounded slightly, showing that short-term bearish forces dominate.
On the daily level, Bitcoin price has broken below the 5-day moving average (about 106,500) and the 10-day moving average (about 105,000), with the short-term trend turning downward. The 20-day moving average (about 102,500) remains intact as a medium-term support level, but caution is needed regarding the further decline in price impacting the medium-term structure.
Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX value has fallen from yesterday's 22 to 20, below the trend strength threshold of 25, indicating that the market trend strength is further weakening and the battle between bulls and bears is intensifying. If the ADX continues to be below 20, it may enter a sideways market.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): On the 4-hour chart, the RSI has dropped from yesterday's 48 to 42, approaching the oversold area (30), indicating that market sentiment has shifted from overheated to neutral and slightly bearish. If the price continues to fall, attention should be paid to whether the RSI drops below 30 to trigger a technical rebound.
Stochastic Oscillator (KDJ): The KDJ indicator fluctuates in the 40-50 range, with the J value falling from 52 to 48, indicating that market sentiment has shifted from overheated to neutral, and bearish momentum has strengthened.
Bitcoin: 106,000-105,500 short, target 104,800-103,400 Ether: 2550-2500 short, target 24600-2450

Tonight, the Federal Reserve will hold a meeting, expected to maintain the federal funds rate at 4.25% - 4.50%, in response to inflation risks posed by tariffs and uncertainties brought about by robust economic growth. The updated economic forecast summary and dot plot may suggest a reduction in the number of rate cuts to two by 2025, starting in September.

At the press conference, Fed Chair Powell is expected to emphasize the principle of "data dependence," indicating that more evidence is needed to support the rate cut decision, and will mention the lagging effects of tariffs on inflation transmission. Despite pressure from Trump for an immediate rate cut, Powell may reiterate the Fed's independence, stating that policy decisions are based on economic data and the balance between inflation and employment.

Double Duo One Concave Yesterday Stone Profits

On June 18, U.S. major banking regulators plan to reduce key capital buffer requirements for large banks by up to 1.5 percentage points. Previously, there were concerns in the industry that existing rules were constraining banks' trading activities in the $29 trillion Treasury market. According to informed sources, the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency are focusing on the so-called Enhanced Supplemental Leverage Ratio (eSLR), which applies to U.S. systemically important banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley. The new proposal aims to lower the capital requirement for bank holding companies under the eSLR from the current 5% to a range of 3.5%-4.5%. The capital requirements for bank subsidiaries are also expected to be simultaneously reduced from 6% to the same range. This adjustment is similar to the 'customized' revision approach to the eSLR calculation for systemically important banks during the Trump administration in 2018, but specific terms may still be modified. #Market