币圈段子手

Have you ever thought about what you would do if one day we made 100 million from currency speculation? I believe most people would say, if I withdraw my money, I can buy my car and house, change my wife, buy a luxury car, and travel around the world. How do you want to spend your money? This is not a problem, what is the real problem? That's how you come up with the money? Some friends will say, oh, I am familiar with this matter of withdrawing money. I sold it directly on the exchange for money. But what you don’t know is that when your amount reaches 100 million, it’s not that simple. Today we will talk about the topic of withdrawing money. In many places around the world, the policies for cryptocurrency are different. Cryptocurrency is a relatively sensitive area. In some places, it is legal and encouraged, and even uses Bitcoin as a national currency. However, in some places, it is ambiguous and the attitude is ambiguous. Qing Dynasty, there are even some places where it has explicitly banned it. For example, in 2021, China issued a series of red-headed documents prohibiting domestic mining and related businesses. It can be said that according to China’s attitude towards cryptocurrency at the time, it was not allowed. So we can see that almost all large cryptocurrency service institutions have chosen to go overseas, and exchanges have also stated that they want to remove Chinese users, but these so-called policies cannot stop these users at all. Aren’t many friends from mainland China still fighting in the currency circle? So how can I convert the money I earn from currency speculation into RMB? Since you want to withdraw money, you must have heard of frozen cards. In the currency circle, the main reason for frozen cards is that scams are rampant. If we are not careful, we will receive these so-called black money when we sell coins. In addition, the Bank of China is very strict in its review of capital flows. For example, the central bank has previously issued a notice that if a single transaction or cumulative transaction volume reaches more than 50,000 yuan on that day, it must be reported. So if you make 100 million from currency speculation, and suddenly there is so much extra money in the bank, how do you explain it? If they know your money is virtual currency, will they freeze your assets when you cash it out? So what should we do? Do we have to watch helplessly as the money we have worked so hard to earn in the currency circle cannot be withdrawn, or is it frozen?The first one is that if you withdraw funds OTC from an exchange, try to choose a Landon merchant that is recognized by the exchange. Second, never withdraw money from small exchanges. If you want to withdraw money, you should choose a relatively large exchange like Binance. The third is that the bank card we use for deposits and withdrawals must not be a very important card, such as your salary card or your tuition card, because once this thing is risk-controlled, it may not be able to normalize your business. All savings assets will be affected, and there are too many funds flowing in the card, so it is very inconvenient to explain clearly when making appeals. The fourth is to try not to conduct frequent transactions with the same OTC merchant. The fifth is that you should not operate too frequently. The sixth is that after the transaction is completed, do not quickly transfer funds to other bank cards to avoid contaminating other funds. The seventh is that under non-specific circumstances, try not to go to U-commerce or offline. The above are some methods of daily gold withdrawal. Of course, this is just a simple reference. Each of you should operate according to your own actual situation in different countries. Of course, as a large-scale gold digger, we Those who want to achieve financial freedom must be determined to achieve financial freedom. A8 and A9 are our ultimate dreams. So let’s discuss it next. If we really make A9 through currency speculation and we make 100 million, how can we come out smoothly? Because there are many people in the circle who have actually made A9 and successfully escaped, so these methods are industry consensus. The first industry consensus is run, which is profit. We all know that the reason why there is a risk of freezing your bank card is because the policy in your area does not allow you to trade digital currencies. So if you are in this area, if people really freeze you, you really can’t. There's really nothing you can do about compliance. In this case, most of us can think that the first solution is very simple and crude, which is to quickly obtain a country that can audit crypto assets, such as beautiful countries. Of course, if you really want to obtain an identity, it will still cost a lot of money. I won’t go into details about the specific costs involved. I can only say that these costs are still very small compared to ensuring the safety of large funds, and they are still very cost-effective.The second option is Hong Kong’s policy advantage. This year, Hong Kong has actually completely liberalized its policies on our encryption industry. There are cryptocurrency ATMs everywhere on the streets. You can exchange them into Hong Kong dollars and then into RMB in Hong Kong. Is it feasible? Let’s take a look in detail. According to Hong Kong’s new licensing system that will take effect on June 1, individual investors will be allowed to trade larger denominations of virtual currencies, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, on exchanges licensed by these institutions, provided they set up these A series of measures such as knowledge tests, risk profiles and reasonable risk exposure limits are implemented to provide protection. The current Hong Kong cryptocurrency exchange system is voluntary and is limited to customers with an investment portfolio of at least HKD 8 million. In fact, it is a compliance game for large investors. For example, you can only trade Bitcoin and Ethereum, and you must have large funds. These will exclude many retail investors, but who are you? You are the A9 boss. You have made 100 million from currency speculation. There is at least 15 million US dollars sitting in this account. So there is no problem if you deposit Bitcoin or Ethereum to this exchange. You will have no problem converting Hong Kong dollars into Hong Kong dollars. Finally, Hong Kong dollars can be converted into RMB through normal exchange channels without any problems. The above is for reference only. Of course, compared to withdrawing money, I believe everyone should focus more on how we can earn A9. After all, this is the core of the problem. When that day comes when we really have so many assets, I believe everything else will be no big deal.

The protagonist of today’s article may break through your cognition, and you may also think it’s magical and a bit fake. Even I don’t think it sounds believable. You are not trustworthy because you have been living in a small world and have not seen the outside world or gone to some circles that ordinary people have no access to, so you always think that this thing is impossible. The most important thing is that you have not made any money. When it comes to money, the information is too narrow. Today's protagonist is a young man in 1998. I made more than half a billion by playing Bitcoin, but later lost all of it, and finally made some money again. Now I hold more than 8 figures in assets. At the age of 25, I have experienced ups and downs, and I have financial freedom. Here he is referred to as Ah Cheng. Ah Cheng has been playing stocks since 2014. When he was in high school, he opened an account by himself, and then he would study it when he had nothing to do out of his own interest. He really entered the currency circle in 2016, which is when he was a freshman, 14-15 years. In these 2 years, he accumulated a lot of experience, but in 2016 he didn’t know much about the currency circle, so he also participated in some It was miserable to be deceived in the capital market. In 2016, I saw a lot of coins on Yuanbao.com (one of the three giants in the currency circle at that time). At that time, Bitcoin was only 3,000 yuan, Litecoin was less than 20 yuan, and Dogecoin was 1 cent. , he got tens of thousands into it. He said that he asked some classmates and friends to do it together. At that time, there was a dealer he met. His friend bought it for less than 1,000 yuan. But later, his friend felt that the 1,000 yuan would be gone, so he took it out. Out. He said that in fact, the most profitable thing in the currency circle is not volatility, but holding coins. In 2016, he bought a lot of coins, ignored them, and forgot about them. Just like that, in 2017, after flipping over and over again, his Dogecoin It helped him earn his first pot of gold, almost 1 million. Later, after 9.4 (official red-headed document, prohibiting digital currency xxx and the like), it was bloody and the market plummeted. Most people left the market. However, for a period after 9.4, he bought a lot of coins due to the panic of others. , mainly some low-level mainstream. At the same time, after 9.4, I discovered that the bull market actually came out of the collapse and panic. The big bull market came after November of 2017. After that, I stopped playing Yuanbao.com and went to Huobi.com (the later mainstream platform) At that time, when I was crazy, I bought a lot of altcoins and Huobi (coins less than 10 cents).Just like that, he made another round of money. When he was eliminated before 2018, his account capital was about 10 million at the time. Later, he thought about giving up. Then there was a wave of adjustments after the year. He felt that this was another round of opportunities, and then he entered again. At that time I bought some ae coins and so on. He was in his sophomore year at this time. He was in the dormitory every day and had hundreds of thousands more in his account every day when he got up. What does money feel like? It doesn’t feel like much anymore. His personal peak asset should be 1,700 Bitcoins. What is the concept of 1,700 Bitcoins? Check it yourself online. Later, he went to work on contracts and futures, making millions a day, and then started to reward live broadcasts. He said that he rewarded those anchors at that time, and rewarded several million. Later, he said that he actually died in On the contract, I was playing on OK (the trading platform), and I was able to make millions and tens of millions at will. One position was accurately inserted. In the second half of 2018, it started to go downhill, and I lost a lot of money, and I also lost money in asset management (that is, some people have funds, but they can't do it themselves. If they feel that they are doing well, they will give the money to them to do transactions) The money given was lost, about 20 million, like a big dream that came to nothing. He said that at that time, he was standing in some high-level positions to give advice, and he really thought about getting over it once and for all. Thinking about it later, I really couldn't reconcile myself to it. In his circle, when other people were rich, there were just a bunch of beautiful young models with beautiful cars and cars. He didn't enjoy anything. He shouldn't have died like this. The next two months passed in a daze, and by this time he had arrived at the Guangzhou campus. At the beginning of 2019, because our freshman and sophomore years were on the Qingyuan campus, he only returned to the Guangzhou campus in his junior year. At the beginning of 2019, he still had less than 20,000 U.S. dollars in hand. He took 10,000 U.S. dollars and started to trade futures contracts again. This was considered enlightenment. He started trading with compound interest and made 19 times and 18 times profits in 2 weeks. He made another 180,000 U.S. dollars. Then he started doing spot trading again. An elder brother took a fancy to his ability and arranged for him. He gradually accumulated experience and took over some U.S. crude oil futures. After that, he basically made money for the whole year of 2019. By 20 years ago, he Just pay back all the money owed to asset management. At the beginning of 2020, he also went to Shenzhen for development. At that time, he was also working in the currency circle. He wanted to start a start-up company. He put his only few resources into the team and earned hundreds of thousands a month in 3 months.Later, the team split up and merged several times. Because of money issues, he told the team not to look at the immediate benefits, but to look at the long-term. Unfortunately, due to concept issues, they eventually fell apart. In addition, they were fun, young models in the bar, etc., plus they wanted to step down. Red Line made quick money and he left. After experiencing several ups and downs, he was tired. The 21st to 23rd years were a period of calm, and he lived in a semi-retired state. He traveled to many cities, including Shanghai and Shenzhen, and finally returned to his hometown. What he does now is basically related to finance, but I can’t understand it. Stocks, domestic bulks, external US crude oil, US stocks, he All have contact. He said that in 2017, there was a senior who jumped off a building after the futures industry went bankrupt. That year, he was thinking that it would be nice to start over after losing money. In the next year, he experienced such a thing, that huge gap. , going from being a billionaire to being heavily in debt will break through people’s inner defenses at once, and basically no one can withstand it. There are many variables in futures life, and there is no green mountain anywhere in the world. I said: If you make so much money, luck must account for 90% of it, right? He said: 90%. I said: With so much money, will any of you circle the money and run away directly abroad? He said: Some people know how to do it, but he doesn’t know how to do it. People’s life is all about cultivation. If you want to run away, the money in asset management at that time will be tens of millions or hundreds of millions, so why not be free and easy. Money must be obtained in a wise way. At the same time, it is because some of your actions are valued and supported by your elder brother that you have a lot of resources. I said: You are someone who has made a lot of money, but your daily liquidity is so large that in your eyes it is really just a series of numbers. He said: As long as you leave this financial market, making money in other industries will be relatively slow, and any industry is likely to be related to finance. I said: For someone like you who has made a lot of money, it is impossible for you to go back to making a small amount of money. He said: No, just like he is now a second-hand landlord and earns a few hundred yuan in price difference for a house. He also likes it. A few hundred yuan a month for a house is not much, but what about 10 or 100 houses? He now owns dozens of properties. After all, he is a local in Guangzhou and has a friend to guide him, so it is just right for him to be a second-hand landlord. He has been keeping a small amount of money, making small money in the industry and making some investments, because he wants to leave a way out for himself.After all, I am only in my 20s. No one knows what will happen in the future. Life is still long. The world is big and there are many things. If no one tells you, you may only live in your own small world. While you are young, you can gain more knowledge and make more money. Some people are destined to rely on God for food. A small fortune depends on hard work, and a big fortune depends on fate. I didn't believe it in the past, but in the past two years, I met some people who made a lot of money for no reason. Some people didn't even know where the money came from. These are all real. In fact, many times, when a person makes more money than you, it does not mean that this person is necessarily better than you. Many times, it is just choosing the right industry, and then accumulating, and it just explodes. There is no shortage of hard-working people in this world, but there is a shortage of people who work hard to the end. I have seen many post-95s who have earned more than one million. In fact, their abilities are very average. They just choose the right platform, choose the right industry, and then go deep into it. There is no need to be anxious, but you must be sober, work in an industry that has a bright future, and then work hard for a few years. Listen more, watch more, and over time you will make progress. Don't just commute to and from get off work every day, then sleep and play games. I see that some boys and girls now in their 20s earn thousands of dollars a month, commute to and from get off work every day, and play games, and then they think they are very powerful. In fact, they will be eliminated by society sooner or later. If no one tells you, you Maybe you really will live in your own world forever. The world is really big. Go out more and meet more different people, especially people at a higher level than you. I believe you will make progress, and your cognition and thinking will continue to be refreshed. Don’t live the same life 30 days a month. However, the same life can bring you greater gains, so that’s okay. But people must gradually move towards advanced levels. BTC38803.99+1.02%DOGE0.08439+1.79%LTC71.8+0.60%

1: In a bull market, the more popular a currency is, the faster and more severely it will fall. 2: No one in the market of real potential coins and hundred-fold coins will publicize and promote them in large quantities. On the contrary, only a few people will occasionally talk briefly in the early stages (little traffic). 3: Market value, number of online exchanges, currency holding addresses, and investment institutions are not reliable as references for currency selection. 4: The market always changes in a flat curve. 5: There are always predators in the market. 6: Altcoins will have the same pulling operation method during a certain long rebound period. 7: The market follows the same rules. 8: For newly launched coins, those that first rise sharply and then plummet are untouchable. 9: Similarly, there are always those who chase the rise and kill the fall in the market. 10: It goes down when you buy it, and it goes up when you sell it. Just like social rules and systems, you can't change them. 11: Any currency whose purchase/sale price falls by more than 0.5% to 10% cannot be touched. 12: As soon as I bought it, it didn’t fall, but rose, with a profit of 5% to 20%. Suddenly it started to fall back, indicating that this coin was about to start harvesting money and cutting leeks. 13: The one with the strongest rebound is definitely not the potential currency. 14: In a bull market, if you want to rebound, choose a currency that has a larger increase and is currently a hot spot. 15: If you hold the opposite direction to most people’s views, you can often break out of the situation. 16: In a bull market, the currency that follows the rise and fall of Bitcoin, and the rise and fall fluctuates violently, must be the currency with the greatest potential in this bull market. 17: There has always been danger in the market. 18: Strong banker is not terrible. 19: In the bull market, some potential coins perform mediocrely in the first half of the bull market, but will start a 20-fold surge in the second half of the bull market. 20: In a bull market, if a currency can trade sideways for several months after a 10-fold surge, it must be a potential currency. 21: In the bull market, if the currency rises less than 10 times and then goes sideways for several months, it must be a domestic currency. And it will definitely plummet 100 times. 22: In a bull market, if you see a currency skyrocketing 10 times and then plummeting, and then find another currency starting to skyrocket again, you must buy it decisively. 23: In the bull market, when a currency rises three times and fluctuates around 20% sideways, the currency will continue to rise more than three times. 24: In a bull market/bear market, a potential currency is on the rise list and can continue to surge 3 to 6 times.The fluctuation range is generally 20% to 50%. 25: In the currency circle, your money is not lost, but deliberately taken away by the dealer. 26: Whenever someone in the market says that a certain coin can fetch a certain amount, then this coin must be a leek coin. Please plan for risks. 27: In a bull market, coins that generally rise or fall in the opposite direction to Bitcoin are not potential coins. BTC37927.02-0.03%

Bitcoin’s data has seen a major turning point, but don’t panic, you must know about this upcoming big news. Let's see what happened. First of all, the China Securities Regulatory Commission is causing trouble again, suing Kraken, the second largest exchange in the United States, and more than a dozen small coins, which affects a wide range of areas. First of all, the SEC sued Precon, the second largest exchange in the United States, for operating without registration, illegal trading, and misappropriation of customer funds. The charges are not small. It seemed like a cruel move. And not only that, the SEC directly classified these dozen coins as unregistered securities, such as Solana, Horseshoe Coin, Ada Coin, etc., causing these named altcoins to plummet. It seems that the market is really going to crash. It is not recommended that you hold these named coins. The future is very unclear. Not only the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, but also the U.S. Department of Justice has announced joint enforcement against the currency circle. The control is too obvious. However, Chuxin immediately reminded members that the big investors should run away yesterday, and sure enough, he started to fall later. Have you ever thought about whether this script looks a bit familiar? In early June this year, the SEC made this announcement, which caused the currency circle to plummet and Bitcoin fell below 25,000. And big institutions are crazy about bargain hunting. Everyone has seen since then that major Wall Street institutions, led by BlackRock, immediately submitted Bitcoin spot ETFs to raise prices after completing their fundraising, allowing Bitcoin to hit new highs. Now that the SEC crash is out, as long as there is a big correction, it is a good time for us to make plans. I hope everyone can seize this opportunity and don’t miss this great opportunity! I think now is an excellent time to buy the dips, especially in the 32,33,34,000 area. It is expected that there will be a wave of warm-up in the market before the ETF approval next year. So, looking back at historical data, where are we now? Judging from the chart of BTC holding addresses, the profit ratio has exceeded 80%, which means that 80% of Bitcoin holders are now profitable. The profit margin is huge and the selling pressure is not small. Compared with previous bull markets, this is actually close to the peak. Taking past bull markets as an example, such as the calf markets at the end of 2015 and 2019, there was a sharp retracement after reaching 80% of the holding profit ratio. Therefore, this time I expect the market may retrace 20%, which means the price will be around the 30,000 mark.It should be noted that the market has not yet entered a bull market, so it is difficult for this data to reach a 90% or even 100% holding profit ratio. Generally speaking, the bull market will stabilize between 80% and 85%. Therefore, for investors, if you enter the market above 37,000, the profit-loss ratio may not be satisfactory, because there is actually not much room for upwards, but the retracement is very considerable. After talking about the broader market, let’s talk about the situation of ORDI, the leader of Bitcoin Inscription. How high can this coin go in a bull market? How big is the background of the promoter behind it? This coin actually involves the interests of many people, and behind it is the support of all miners and major mine owners. They were like Naruto in the night, waving the flag and shouting. The development prospects of this coin are very worth looking forward to. As a result of these inscription transfers, Bitcoin miners’ earnings increased significantly. Now, the Bitcoin network's daily income is as high as more than 300 Bitcoins, which is higher than the gas fee of a house, triggering crazy pyramid schemes among miners. However, unlike fermentation, ORDI does not have any selling pressure and is very scarce, with only 21 million units. As the first coin born under the Audenos NFT protocol, it has a lot of room for speculation. At present, its market value is only 400 million, and all the coins are unlocked, with no selling pressure from the project side. This is many times better than big enemies such as APE or ID. In my opinion, it shouldn’t be too much for ORDI to enter the top 50 in market capitalization. The current market value of MK2 is US$1.4 billion. If ORDI rises another four times to reach US$80, I think it is possible. Please note that this is the current market value. When the bull market arrives, the overall market value of each currency will increase six to seven times based on the current basis. Especially altcoins, it may increase even more. ORDI is not too expensive as a very scarce coin with only 21 million pieces. Before, we told everyone about the layout of ORDI. At that time, it had not been listed on the exchange and the price was only one US dollar. I realized its potential. If he can really rise to 500 US dollars in the later period, that will be a 500-fold profit. However, no matter how good a project is, the timing must be chosen right. Projects like ORDI have risen so much recently, and it is obvious that a correction is coming. I believe that in this bull market, we can achieve financial freedom. Next, I want to talk about a hidden benefit.As everyone knows, the SEC is settling with Binance, and they want $4.3 billion. Some people worry that Changpeng Zhao will sell Bitcoin to raise money, which will cause strong selling pressure and may even lead to the failure of the settlement. But in fact, Boss Zhao had already prepared the funds two weeks ago. You can look at the picture. 13 days ago, Binance transferred 3.9 billion USDT from the second cold wallet to the hot wallet. There is no need at all. Sell ​​coins to raise money. After the settlement, the American version of Bian may be resurrected and start its IPO journey again. You can buy some of B’s BB on Binance. Now, there are only four months left until the Bitcoin halving, and our years of waiting are finally about to come true.

The expected halving time of Bitcoin is expected to be April 28, 2024. The four-year Bitcoin halving is getting closer and closer to us, and the dawn of the bull market is about to appear. In the first halving cycle, Bitcoin rose from two US dollars to more than 1,000 US dollars, an increase of more than 500 times. In the second halving cycle, Bitcoin rose from more than 100 US dollars to 20,000 US dollars, an increase of more than 100 times. In the third halving cycle, Bitcoin rose from US$3,000 to more than US$60,000, an increase of more than 20 times. Now that we have reached the fourth halving week of Bitcoin, how high can Bitcoin rise in this round? Many bloggers and experts have made predictions about this. Some of them said it was US$100,000, some said it was US$200,000, and some said it was US$1 million. However, they all ignore an important question, that is, what are the possibilities? For example, what is the possibility of it rising to 100,000 yuan? 100% or 50%, what is the probability of reaching $1 million? it's 1%. Still 10%. If I predict that Bitcoin will rise to 10 million US dollars in 2025, but the probability is only 0.1%, then this prediction has no meaning. Therefore, our predictions must be made with high certainty, otherwise they will be meaningless. Under the interference of different external conditions, the price of Bitcoin will also be different. The price of Bitcoin is mainly affected by two major aspects, one is internal factors and the other is external factors. Internal factors refer to factors within the blockchain industry, that is, Bitcoin’s halving cycle. External factors are factors in the traditional world, such as the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, Bitcoin ETFs, the general election in the United States, etc. Let’s first look at the halving cycle. The halving cycle is an unchangeable rule written into the Bitcoin code. That is, every four years or so, Bitcoin’s mining rewards will be reduced by half. When Bitcoin was first launched in 2009, its mining reward was 50 BTC per block. In 2012, it was halved for the first time to 25 BTC. In 2016, it was halved for the second time to 12.5 BTC. In 2020, the mining reward was 50 BTC. Halved three times, it becomes 6.25. By 2024, Bitcoin will undergo another halving. As we all know, mining rewards are the main source of income for Bitcoin miners. If Bitcoin production is halved, then assuming that the cost remains unchanged, if miners want to maintain the original income unchanged, they must sell Bitcoins. The price is doubled.Therefore, from the perspective of supply and demand in the entire market, assuming that demand remains unchanged and the supply is reduced by half, the price will inevitably double. The demand for Bitcoin here is actually the consensus of Bitcoin, and this consensus has been increasing. In other words, the demand for Bitcoin has been increasing. So, in general, from the most conservative scenario, Bitcoin will at least double in 2025, which is to reach 40,000 US dollars. This is a lower limit, and the probability of reaching this price is almost 100%. On the other hand, within the industry, in addition to changes in supply and demand, there is also speculation about the concept of halving. Of course, this hype will continue to decrease as Bitcoin’s market share decreases. In the first halving cycle, Bitcoin rose more than 500 times, and in the second halving cycle, it rose more than 100 times, which is almost one-fifth of the first time. The third increase was more than 20 times, which was one-fifth of the second increase. Therefore, according to the decreasing trend of the increase, the halving increase this time was one-fifth of 20 times, which is 4 times. The corresponding price is US$80,000. Generally speaking, the cycle and hype within the industry can allow Bitcoin to reach a price of US$40,000 to US$80,000 in 2025. Next, we look at external causes. First of all, the biggest external factor is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut. Cutting interest rates will bring a large amount of funds to the market, and part of these funds will flow into the crypto market, thereby pushing up the price of Bitcoin. So, the most critical question is, when will interest rates be cut? According to industry analysts, the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates around mid-2024. Their analysis is based on inflation data and unemployment rates. We will not go into details here. What I’m talking about here is another related external factor, the US presidential election. As we all know, the U.S. presidential election happens every four years, and the Bitcoin halving cycle also happens every four years. This 4-year halving is likely to be deliberately designed by Satoshi Nakamoto. Moreover, not only will the price be halved in four years, the year of the halving will also be the year of the US presidential election. Next year is 2024, Bitcoin will be halved in April, and the presidential election will be held in November. So, what does the presidential election have to do with interest rate cuts?The logic is that stimulating the economy by releasing water is an important means for politicians to win voters. However, the negative consequence of releasing water is inflation. Therefore, when inflation is high and people feel that prices are too high, politicians will raise interest rates in order to stabilize public sentiment. Raising interest rates will control inflation, but it will also bring about new problems, that is, the stock market and housing market have fallen, causing people to suffer losses in their investments. In the past two years, under Biden's rule, interest rates have been rising. Many people's investments have been damaged and many people have lost their jobs. These people will vent their grievances on the president. Therefore, the next president's campaign slogan must be to cut interest rates. A new round of Quantitative easing allows the economy to continue to maintain false prosperity and passes the consequences of inflation to the next president. Therefore, from these two perspectives, an interest rate cut in 2024 or 2025 is a high probability. In addition, one of the most important external factors is the possibility of the Bitcoin ETF being approved. Bitcoin ETFs refer to exchange-traded funds that track the price of Bitcoin. If you buy a Bitcoin ETF, you are indirectly buying Bitcoin. Although what you buy is a fund and does not hold real Bitcoin, their returns are exactly the same. Bitcoin ETF has two major advantages. The first is that for ordinary retail investors, they do not need to learn complicated and difficult technical operations such as cold wallets and mnemonic phrases. They only need to use simple methods like buying stocks. Invest in Bitcoin, which expands Bitcoin’s audience. Second, for those large traditional funds that hold a lot of money, they can use part of the money to invest in Bitcoin in full compliance, thus increasing the funds on the market. For them, even a small amount of money can have a big impact on the Bitcoin market. At the same time, Bitcoin ETFs will also have a great impact on market sentiment. People will compare Bitcoin ETFs with the gold ETFs of the year. After the gold ETF was approved that year, the gold market experienced a super bull market. Now, Bitcoin is called digital gold and will play the role of gold in the future metaverse virtual world. Therefore, it is entirely possible for it to have another bull market similar to gold.So is it possible for a Bitcoin ETF to pass? In 2021, the Bitcoin futures ETF has been approved, and now everyone is waiting for the approval of its spot ETF. Now, Wall Street heavyweight institutions such as BlackRock and Fidelity have begun to apply for Bitcoin spot ETFs. Although they have been rejected by the SEC, this appeal has been supported by the court. At the same time, more and more large Wall Street institutions have joined the application process. Therefore, at present, it is only a matter of time before the Bitcoin spot ETF is approved. To sum up, judging from the above external factors, the possibility of Bitcoin rising sharply is very high, and Bitcoin already has the possibility of starting a bull market. So, driven by a combination of internal and external factors, how much will Bitcoin be worth in 2025? Here we refer to the predictions of the founder of ARK, known as the female version of Warren Buffett, for our estimation. Sister Mu predicted that Bitcoin will reach 1 million US dollars in 2030. This time point is probably the next round of bull market. We work backwards and convert according to the proportion. The highest price of Bitcoin in the bull market in 2025 should be 280,000 US dollars. Taken together, under the influence of internal factors, Bitcoin can conservatively reach US$40,000 to US$80,000. If these and external factors are added, it may reach US$280,000. I believe that 40,000 to 280,000 is a relatively objective price range prediction. That is to say, if there is no interest rate increase (cut) and no ETF passes, and none of these happen, then the worst-case scenario, Bitcoin It should reach 40,000 US dollars, and it cannot be lower. There is a high probability that it will return to the previous high of more than 60,000 US dollars. If you are more optimistic, it will be 80,000 US dollars. If the external environment improves, it may be possible to challenge US$280,000. However, you said it will reach 500,000 US dollars or 1 million US dollars. I think it is impossible. Such a super bull market will have to reach the bull market in 2029/2030, because at that time, the Kangbo cycle The depression period will end and a new Kang wave cycle will begin. At that time, the conditions for a bull market will truly be determined. The last question is, in which month will the big bull market in 2025 occur? According to previous situations, this usually occurs at the end of the year, but the bull market in 2021 will be a double top.Therefore, it is difficult to predict the specific month, but the high probability may be in the second half of the year. In the months when a top may appear, we must pay close attention and escape from the top at the appropriate time. Then, we use our profits to buy the bottom of the next bear market, and so on, constantly increasing our wealth. Thanks for watching, there is no threshold to enter the circle!

/; The current market is equal to 19 years. During the period from bear to bull, there is a market but it is difficult. btc: The next production cut will be in the first half of 24. It is clear that the market will be favorable, and there will be a black swan event with a high probability. Most of the contracts will lose money in the sky today, so it is better to hold the spot all the time. The price is reasonable at about 30,000, and the exact point cannot be judged. It can only be known when the dynamic game comes. eth: The eth leverage must be cleaned up before the bull market can come. Deflation is not a good thing and tends to btc. The increase in eth in the last bull market will not happen again. USDT: Stable currency BNB: In terms of profit and loss ratio, bargain hunting bnb is not as good as eth btc, and ico is also stretched. XRP: A currency created by American consortiums and banks. The outbreak period is at the beginning and end of the bull market. billion, Twitter 20 billion...ADA: Similar to XRP, it is better to buy XRP, which is also a consortium currency. Solana: I feel that I have changed the banker, and the strength is OK. The problem is that there are too many lock-up plates. TRX: Sun Ge coin, don’t touch MATIC: Personal The point of view is a good target. The current price is a bit high. There is hope for 0.3 0.4 in the second half of the year. LTC: It is better to buy the big pie DOT: an old currency. I don’t touch it personally. There is a lot of lock-in. TON: There is no need to play WBTC: The bridge is on the chain. DAI: Stable currency , there is a problem with usdc, dai fell together, the safest, the treasury has eth btc mainstream currency SHIB: no need to play, it is better to speculate on new coins in the meme sector, speculate on new coins instead of old ones AVAX: VC coins, no need to play on BCH: South Korea entered the market and fell all the way LINK: The leader in the oracle machine track, you can buy it, the increase may be greater than that of Ether, but it may not be as good as the new currency XLM: Don’t touch BUSD: bnb stable currency LEO: Zombie coin UNI: Decentralized exchange, you can enter but don’t expect it Hundred times ATOM: The technology is nb, but it has nothing to do with the currency price. : Check the exchange. If you have money, you can check the platform currency ICP: Death-level project LDO: Personal opinion commemorative coins are similar to uni, the profit and loss ratio is higher than uni, speculate on new ones rather than old ones HBAR: Entrepreneur concept coins, there is no need to play Round L2 will be the main theme. The L1 public chain is copy and paste and cut leeks. L2 may enter the top 30 or even 20 APT: new public chain, 70% btc 10% new public chain, 2.5~3 is the institutional cost price, close your eyes in the 4~5 range Buy, the current price is a bit high, you can get it in the second half of the year, and I will definitely buy it if you plan to buy it at the end of the year. The only way to promote it is to pull the offer, and then build the infrastructure dex nft loan agreement, which requires a public chain token, and then the banker will ship ARB: L2 is currently the leader. FDV is more than 10 billion, the market value of the listing is too high, and the next round of opportunities is much less. 70% btc, arb ops take turns changing positions in different outbreak periods, ops are earlier, changing positions arb, CRO: bankrupt platform currency VET: the light of the Chinese public chain It’s better to buy L2’s new public chain NEAR: The old ones don’t play QNT: The old projects don’t play MKR: The founders are buying back, so they have recently pulled the market, and the layout of defi can buy some. Personally, I prefer the small-risk public chain leader AAVE: I don’t play with mining coins. OP: arb is the same leader, but the outbreak period is different. OP pulls ARB first, and which one to buy depends on the price. L2 layout, 10~15 of 30 positions are in L2, technology nb, the problem is that the new public chain is the same, the circulation is only 15%, no It may rise by 0 like matic.25~0.37 is the institutional cost price. It is safe to buy at 2 times the institutional cost price. If you want to gain something in the next bull market, but can’t find a clue or direction now, you can click on my homepage to add a follow and check it out. Introduction, enter the threshold-free circle to communicate and learn together. In addition, I do not sell courses, do not play contracts, and do not play with capital disks BTC36866.12-1.68%ETH2012.71-2.67%ARB1.0007-3.57%