欧阳少峰

I am not a wealthy person, nor a big blogger. I am just a small clerk in the office, working in the construction industry. I hope that hoarding coins can improve my life. I also started to get involved in the cryptocurrency circle in 2020. It is really exciting. I bought a small ether at more than 30 yuan, and it rushed to 180 overnight. I also experienced the bloodbath on 519. It only fell a few points from the beginning. At night, it was flooded all the way. I almost lost my pants. Fortunately, I resisted and did not clear my position. I came back later.
I entered the market in April this year, and slowly hoarded a lot of spot goods, looking forward to the bull market. I always think that if you want to get several times or more than ten times the profit, you have to bear the pain of your account being cut in half. This is undeniable. No one can accurately bury it at the bottom, at most it is the bottom range. This time I bought people, ssv, horseshoe, sats, except for people, most of the others are in a loss state. People has been sold near the high point of 0.14, and the average purchase price is about 0.03. I made some profit, so the account loss is not very ugly, but the total account is also a loss of 40%. As of today, the price of Bitcoin is around 61,000, but the current ssv is only about 20, a loss of 40%, and the horseshoe is about 0.42, a loss of 44%. Today there is a slight rebound, with a daily profit of 2.5%. It is still very good to see that it can recover a little every day. I have always believed that the bull market will not be absent, but it is on the way again. If you keep calm, you will outperform 80% of people. Hold on to the chips in your hands and don't die before dawn. This is to inspire you and also to encourage myself.

I still stick to my view and continue to be bearish. There may be new lows after the interest rate cut. There will be new highs in August, but it will definitely be very bumpy. #美联储何时降息？
The basic logic of the currency circle is that the market sentiment is sluggish, the dealer will not enter the market, there is not enough hot money outside the market, and it continues to fall.
If the market is bullish and reaches a new high, the dealer will ship in advance. After some dealers ship, retail investors are still bullish, and high prices are shaky. A little bit of wind and grass will immediately cause panic stampede, which is why there is 312.
The market is bullish, but the car is getting heavier and heavier, so it is necessary to wash the market. Coupled with the economic crisis, this is the reason for the plunge yesterday. Yesterday's plunge also proves the role and nature of the market circle as a reservoir.
Three principles: The circle is the most primitive market. The rise and fall of dealers and the market is the truth of the fluctuation of the currency circle; don't stick to the boat to find the sword; the pie is not independent of the economy.
If you are interested, please follow me
$BTC #加密市场反弹

$ETH Ethereum this year, even the upgrade of the ETF through Vitalik Buterin's call, so many heavyweight positives seem to be unable to move it.
As the former king of public chains, Ethereum can be said to be recognized as a blind investment target in the currency circle. Now that investors have spurned it, is there any value left?

If you can predict that it has been a copycat bear market from April this year to now, you can completely take a short position and rest. The problem is that you cannot predict the future. You cannot predict whether each panic low point will still fall below or whether it is a medium- and long-term low point.
Here comes the point. Although we cannot know whether each panic low point is an absolute low point, and whether it will continue to reach a new low later, there is a rebound after each panic. In other words, there is a probability advantage after a panic.
In this market, the only way to make money is to buy after a sharp drop and sell after a rebound. In other words: buy in panic and sell when it rises.
This is an ideal, which is very against human nature. If you don’t have this ability to defy nature, don’t even think about it, just keep your position short. When the market is not good, the best strategy is to not toss.

The bull market is over. See you again if we are lucky.

Boys, put on your yellow robes and save your capital in the wind and rain.
Girls put on stockings and go to the nightclub to wait for the next bull market.

They all have light in their eyes, just waiting for the words "bull market will come back soon".

$BTC

Let me tell you seriously:

Pessimistically speaking, the biggest narrative of BTC (halving) has ended, and it is difficult to have a unilateral rise in the future.

Optimistically speaking, the rhythm of the currency circle is stronger than before, and there will always be small and medium-sized narratives appearing continuously, so there are more opportunities to make money, but at the same time, they are also more hidden, and the time point is after September.

A word of warning to all old leeks: learn to "discard" your own cognition.

$BTC

You play with your evm value coins, I play with my ton game coins, we both have a bright future

$DOGS

This is the bull market I have been waiting for for 4 years. I am crying because of the loss.

$DOGS Bought in stock

#美联储何时降息？
The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates is getting higher and higher. If the rate cut is made in September, the global assets will collapse together. Gold, silver, equity, Bitcoin, luxury goods, and art, you can think of them will fall. But of course, I don’t think the United States will cut interest rates in September.
The first is liquidity risk, and the second is panic.
When liquidity risk appears again, the most valuable thing is cash. Buffett has already set an example for us. In fact, if you want to gamble, you should gamble big. Don’t you have to reduce it? I bet it will not change, and I will gamble big. $BTC

$BTC Bitcoin short orders are already on the way, US stocks open low at 58,000

The United States cut interest rates seven times, and the performance of various assets

BTC statistical time:
Opening price on August 1, 2019 - Closing price on March 31, 2020

$BTC

Ton ecology sucks blood from sol ecology
Sol ecology sucks blood from Ton ecology
Now, ton has collapsed and the opportunity for sol ecology has come again...
In addition, BTC ecology is the unshakable king

$ETH Ethereum is actually quite controversial. As the largest public chain in the ecosystem, I personally think that the reason why it is so bloated and competitive is that its L2 has too many application layers. In fact, one or two L2s may be enough, but after subdividing them again and again, the project parties are exhausted and retail investors are troubled, and everyone has lost their direction. Regarding the short- and medium-term Ethereum, at least after the ETF is passed, the trend has basically replicated the early trend of Bitcoin. If this analogy is maintained, Ethereum will directly reach a new high within two months. Let time take care of it.

There may be a downward trend next.

First of all, the probability of something going wrong at the beginning of the interest rate cut is indeed not low.

Secondly, at the beginning of the interest rate cut, the real economy and liquidity are still in a pessimistic state.

In addition, it is speculated that due to the interest rate cut entering a downward cycle, there may be leverage clearance. To put it bluntly, borrowers pay back the money and then borrow it out after the interest rate drops. In this way, funds will also flow out in the short term.

Especially in the currency circle, when the big bull market starts, the main force (dog dealer) is more likely to find reasons to go to the sulfur plate and wash the plate to absorb funds.
$BTC

In the past, I would not hold contract positions overnight, and I would close them after work at night.
Now, looking at the market, the fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market are indeed mostly at night, and I often stay up until 2 or 3 o'clock. Later, I gradually developed a magical skill. Every day at 3 o'clock and 5 o'clock, I would wake up naturally for 1 minute to check the positions and then fall asleep peacefully.

$BTC The rare rebound atmosphere in the market has been destroyed. Now people are talking about the problems of centralized projects everywhere. We still have to be bearish.

Entering the election period, the interest rate cut is expected to be in December.
The most important thing for the Fed Chairman now is to hide and delay,
otherwise the new president will give him a bad face.
The interest rate cut is a "gift" to the economic system after the new president takes office.
Powell + repeats the same words back and forth, saying that the interest rate cut must be based on 2% inflation, and that the real interest rate cut does not need to look at inflation. Anyway, the meaning is that he is unwilling to cut now.

Regarding whether Bitcoin will rise after the US interest rate cut and its impact on the economy, we can analyze it from the following perspectives:
1. The relationship between Bitcoin and monetary policy: Generally speaking, when the Federal Reserve adopts an interest rate cut policy, liquidity in the market will increase, which may lead investors to seek investment channels with higher returns. Since Bitcoin is considered a high-risk, high-return asset, it may attract more investors during periods of loose monetary policy, which may push up the price of Bitcoin.
2. Market expectations: The market's expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut may be reflected in the price of Bitcoin before the policy is officially implemented. If the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates, the price of Bitcoin may have risen before that.
3. Changes in the US dollar exchange rate: Interest rate cuts may cause the US dollar to depreciate relative to other currencies. Since Bitcoin is different from traditional currencies, it may benefit from the depreciation of the US dollar because investors may seek non-US dollar assets to avoid the impact of currency depreciation.
4. Economic environment: Interest rate cuts usually occur when economic growth slows or faces downside risks. If the interest rate cut is in response to economic weakness, then this may have a negative impact on the price of Bitcoin because economic uncertainty may reduce investors' risk appetite.
5. Risk appetite: Rate cuts may reduce investor demand for risky assets as the relative attractiveness of fixed-income investments increases. However, if rate cuts lead to increased volatility in stocks and other traditional markets, some investors may view Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset.
6. Actual economic data: The actual performance of Bitcoin prices after rate cuts will depend on a variety of factors, including economic data, market sentiment, global events, etc.

Bitcoin has risen in anticipation of a rate cut, but it won't go too high. The US rate cut is a killer move. The US regime has changed this year, and many people say that it will start to cut in September. I think at least after the election at the end of the year, the non-agricultural data has always been a smokescreen, and politicians only care about whether they can make money. The US has been dragging its feet on cutting interest rates to fight a financial battle, to warm up its own economy, and to drag the whole world down with it
$BTC