咸鱼币翻身

BTC Technical Analysis:
The daily chart shows a high pullback pattern, with a long upper shadow indicating that bulls faced resistance after a tentative breakout. However, the volume reduction during the pullback suggests limited selling pressure at high levels, representing a normal consolidation after the breakout.
The moving average system shows a bullish arrangement: the 7-day moving average crosses above the 14/30-day moving averages forming a golden cross, reinforcing the short-term trend. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines form a golden cross, and the histogram turns positive, indicating gradual recovery of momentum.

Key Levels: Upside Opportunity: If there is a pullback to the 7-day moving average (currently around 118K) and it finds support, a breakout above 120K could open up the space for 135K.

Risk Warning: If there is a significant drop below 116K (support level from last Saturday), it will likely test 111K in the short term.
Daily Focus: After five consecutive bearish candles on the 4-hour chart, a support rebound is observed at 118K (the breakout point from Sunday). The range of 117-118K is a critical defensive zone below, while the range of 120.5-121.5K constitutes a pressure zone above.

ETH Technical Analysis:
The daily chart maintains a high consolidation phase, with a two-day pullback that has not broken the moving average support, keeping the upward channel intact. The moving average system shows a steep bullish arrangement, with the MACD histogram expanding positively and the fast line recovering, indicating an acceleration phase.

Mid-Term Logic: The cumulative increase is substantial, but building a top requires time, and there is currently no risk of a waterfall-style decline.
Short-Term Signals: The 4-hour chart forms a higher low structure at 4150, with a dip earlier in the morning not breaking the previous low.
Operating Range: The range of 4240-4200 serves as the daily support zone below, while the range of 4340-4380 serves as the pressure zone above.

Brothers who are unclear about the trading direction lately can feel free to contact me (point icon) for one-on-one answers to your trading questions! #比特币市值超越亚马逊 #CPI数据来袭 #BTC重返12万

The market always bottoms in despair and peaks in euphoria—at this moment, do you choose greed or fear?

ETH is currently priced at $3660, the line of life and death for longs and shorts!
The 3700 level has been hard to break for a long time, while the 3600 support is on the verge of collapse, with the major forces performing a "psychological encirclement": driving prices up to lure in longs, smashing down to force liquidation, and covertly accumulating.

This round of correction is targeting 3600, but remember: bottom fishing is not a race, the real golden pit often arises when the market is in a bloodbath.

Remember these reversal signals:
A strong bullish candle with high volume after panic selling
Funds defending critical support levels
Multi-timeframe bullish divergence resonance

Top hunters understand:
The best trading position is when the market uses panic to help you break out.
The sweetest market often requires the most agonizing wait.

Brothers who are unclear about trading direction recently can (click on the avatar) reach out to me anytime for communication; I will answer your operational questions one-on-one! #ETH巨鲸增持 #加密股IPO季 #币安Alpha上新

Altcoins:

Although the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September continues to rise, the policy has not yet been officially implemented, and the market remains in a wait-and-see state. The ETH spot ETF has entered a technical preparation phase, but there are still no obvious signs of capital inflows; both BTC and ETH are in an adjustment cycle after a major upward trend.

Recently, many popular
projects
have started unloading their positions ahead of positive news, with frequent "early running" behaviors, combined with some altcoins experiencing a sharp decline after a short-term surge, highlighting the instability of hot money liquidity in the market and a lack of follow-up capital. Currently, the market overall is still in a structural consolidation phase and has not entered the main upward phase of a full bull market.

At this stage, the spot altcoins generally lack sustainable profit opportunities, and the difficulty and risk of operations have instead increased. Before the market clarifies, it is advisable to maintain a wait-and-see attitude and patiently await the next opportunity after the market clears.

Always remember: Altcoins are trading targets, not value investment products.

In terms of operations, a wave-based mindset should be the focus; take profits when available, and avoid being overly attached to trades. #香港稳定币新规 #币安HODLer空投PROVE

Investment Truth: Most People Follow the Trend, Few Plan Ahead
In the market, everyone is making choices, but those who can truly make money are always the ones willing to take the time to think and dare to act against the trend.

Why can most people not catch the bottom?
312, 519, these historic lows, those who managed to buy in were not lucky; they were prepared in advance and calmly executed their plans during market panic.
And what about most people?

When prices rise, they fear missing out; when prices fall, they fear getting trapped, their emotions are led by the market.
Today they listen to the big shots calling the shots; tomorrow they are dissuaded by friends; in the end, they miss opportunities in hesitation.
They don't want to spend time researching but expect to get rich by luck? The market will cure this illusion.

Real choices are counterintuitive
Observation: Stay calm when the market is crazy, seek opportunities when the market is desperate.
Judgment: Don’t rely on others' opinions, but build your own cognitive system.
Execution: When opportunities arise, dare to act when others are fearful, rather than waiting for “everyone to say it's stable” before entering.

How to become one of the few winners?
Don’t rush to catch the bottom— the market won’t give you cheap chips just because you “can’t wait.”
Don’t be disturbed by noise— the opinions of big shots and FOMO in groups are just references; decisions must be based on your own logic.
Real money-making opportunities often arise when “most people haven’t figured it out” yet; by the time everyone thinks it’s stable, the market may have already completed half of its movement. #Solana期货交易量创新高 #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹

108 See

This week's ultimate market turning point! PCE inflation + Federal Reserve decision + key economic indicators such as non-farm payrolls - will Bitcoin (ETH) lead the surge? Or is a deep correction storm approaching?

The waterfall is here 😂

BTC Daily Chart Analysis:
The daily level shows a pin bar bearish pattern, with the current price maintaining in the key support range of 11700-11800. Observing from the four-hour level, the market is in a narrow fluctuation pattern, with short-term resistance located in the 11800-11900 range. It is essential to pay close attention to the 11720 support level today; if it is effectively broken, it may further test the 11600 mark. It is noteworthy that this week will welcome the end of the monthly chart, and market volatility may intensify. Operational suggestion: today, one can wait for a minor rebound to test the resistance level before establishing short positions.
ETH Market Interpretation:
After yesterday's spike and subsequent drop, the current four-hour level has formed a resistance range of 3760-3820. The current price has fallen back to the 3720-3760 support zone, and short-term attention can be paid to resistance performance near 3800. If the 3720 support is effectively broken today, it may accelerate the downward test of the 3600 key defense level. One should be wary of the risk of closing with a large bearish candle; in extreme cases, it may dip to the 3500-3600 support range before rebounding. The current market volatility has increased, so it is advisable to strictly control position risks. #上市公司加密储备战略

BTC Market Analysis:
The daily level has continuously closed with gains, and the price has rebounded to the key resistance level near $120,000. Last week, it broke below the support at $116,000, with a minimum drop to around $115,000. According to conventional trends, the rebound resistance should be in the $117,000-$118,000 range, and then it may continue to retrace to the $113,000-$114,000 range. However, the market has shown strong performance, directly breaking through the resistance and returning to around $120,000, preventing the downward channel from fully opening.

This week’s focus:
Key support level: Daily level at $116,000. If broken, it may further drop to the $113,000-$114,000 range.
Short-term resistance: Pay attention to the $117,000-$118,000 range at the four-hour level. This position is the key resistance area after the rebound, and it is essential to closely monitor whether the price can stabilize.
Operational advice:
The current price is close to the $120,000 resistance level. You may consider short positions for short-term trades, with a stop loss at $120,800 and targets aimed at the $116,000 and $113,000-$114,000 ranges.

ETH Market Analysis:
ETH has been extremely strong, with a potential challenge of the $4,000 mark this week. The previous high was $3,860, and it has already surpassed $3,900 today, just a step away from the target.
This week’s key points:
Closing pattern: If this week continues to close with gains, then the retracement at the beginning of next month may be limited, and the market may only adjust temporarily before attacking again; if a deep retracement occurs this week (such as a solid bearish candle or a long upper shadow bearish candle), it may drop to the $3,200-$3,400 daily support range.
Short-term support: Pay attention to the $3,720-$3,760 range during the day. If broken, there is a high probability of a bearish close this week, increasing the risk of retracement.
Operational advice:
Aggressive traders may attempt light short positions in the $3,900-$4,000 range, with a stop loss at $4,050 and targets aimed at the $3,700-$3,600 range; if it retraces to the $3,500-$3,600 support, consider setting long positions to speculate on subsequent rebounds.

This week, BTC focuses on the $120,000 resistance and the $113,000-$116,000 support range, while ETH closely watches the $4,000 mark and the $3,500-$3,600 support area, flexibly responding to breakout or retracement trends. #ETH重返3800

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July 1: BTC/ETH Market Analysis and Trading Strategies

BTC Trend Analysis:
The 4-hour level shows a bearish signal, currently within a descending channel, with short-term support around 106000.
Yesterday, the support at 106500 triggered a rebound but could not sustain; if it effectively breaks below 106000 today, the downward space will open up to the 103000-104000 range.
The target for the descending channel can be seen near 96000, and attention should be paid to the breakthrough of key support levels.
Trading Suggestions:
If rebounding to the 107000-107500 range meets resistance, consider lightly shorting, targeting 106000, and holding on a break.
If it directly breaks below 106000, follow the trend with a short position, aiming for 103000-104000.

ETH Trend Analysis:
Strong resistance at 2520, with multiple failed attempts to break through, and a clear high-low structure on the daily chart.
Recently, frequent wicks indicate insufficient bullish momentum; if BTC breaks down, ETH will accelerate to test the 2400 support.
Once 2400 is lost, the downward target looks towards the 2200-2300 range.
Trading Suggestions:
The area around 2520 remains an ideal entry point for short positions, with a stop loss set above 2550, targeting 2400.
If it breaks below 2400, consider following the short position down towards 2300.
Trading Mindset Reminder:
Maintain patience amid market volatility; do not rush due to short-term profits, nor panic due to temporary losses.
Wait for high-probability opportunities, strictly manage risks, and only then can steady returns be achieved.
Adhere to discipline, and in the end, the market will reward calm traders. #下一任美联储主席人选 #美国加征关税

Today's Market Analysis: BTC, ETH Key Level Interpretation
BTC Market Analysis
Currently, BTC is at a key defensive level in the daily downtrend channel, with both intraday trends and daily levels showing that the current price faces resistance at high points.
The four-hour level has reached the third resistance level after pulling back from the previous high; if this high is confirmed as valid, the next market wave may test around 96,000.
Key support range: 102,000 - 104,000 (focus on this during the day)

ETH Market Analysis
ETH on the daily level has also reached a critical point, testing the resistance range of 2480-2520 after a new high yesterday, with the highest point reaching around 2480 before falling back. Today, this range can still be monitored as a reference for short positions.

Daily level: If the pullback continues, focus on the major support range of 2000-2200.
Intraday level: Short-term support to watch is 2320-2360; if it falls below this, it may test the key defensive level of 2260.
Currently, market volatility is increasing, so caution is advised near key levels for breakthrough or pressure signals, and strategies should be adjusted flexibly. #加密市场反弹

The most lethal poison in the market is not the wild fluctuations of the candlestick chart,
but rather the fact that you understand the trend yet lose to the patience of holding a position.

Good morning, brothers! A new week has begun. From the perspective of the big pie weekly chart, the bearish candlestick doji indicates that there is no clear winner between bulls and bears; however, the probability of adjustment is greater when such a doji appears at relatively high levels. The daily chart also shows a doji, and in the short term, the big pie is in a range-bound fluctuation choosing a direction. Big pie support: 105000, 103000, 100000 resistance: 106800, 108500

Ethereum support: 2510, 2450, 2300 resistance: 2580, 2630. I personally believe that the big pie price below 108500 is generally bearish. The boundary for a short-term bullish breakout for the big pie is 106800; only if it surpasses this level can it strengthen again.

The big pie is continuously fluctuating, waiting for a direction to be chosen. Prices below 108500 are generally viewed as bearish, and no clear ending signal for the adjustment has been observed! #特朗普比特币金库

Bitcoin (BTC) Market Interpretation:
Yesterday's candlestick showed a bullish pattern with a long upper shadow, indicating that the market faced some selling pressure after the rally. Observing the four-hour technical chart, the $110,000 mark has once again formed an effective resistance level.
Current key positions to focus on: Short-term support range: $106,000-$107,000. Secondary defense level: $104,000 (the buffer zone if $106,000 is breached).
Medium-term important support zone: $92,000-$96,000 range.
Intraday trend prediction: A technical pullback is expected; if the price effectively breaks below the $106,000 support, it may test the $104,000 defense level downwards. Pay attention to the psychological support effect of the $100,000 round number.

Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis:
Yesterday saw a significant rebound, mainly due to the previous technical correction during Bitcoin's rebound.
However, note that: The daily level still maintains a range-bound oscillation pattern, and the current breakthrough above $2,800 lacks sustainability, with the daily closing price not significantly surpassing previous liquidation reference levels.
Key technical level reminders:
Four-hour support zone: $2,600-$2,630 range
Target area after breaking: $2,200-$2,300 range
Operational advice: It is not advisable to chase the rise currently; it is recommended to remain on the sidelines. If the $2,630 support is broken, it may open up new pullback space.#纳斯达克加密ETF扩容

BTC: Analysis and Layout Strategy
The current BTC market shows a high-level oscillation pattern. Although there has not been significant selling pressure technically, continuing to advance faces considerable resistance.
The weekly level shows a feature of rising without volume. A strong short-term rally does not indicate a continuation of the trend; rather, it may delay the bottoming process.

Key Support Range: The four-hour level requires close attention to the 107,000-107,500 area. If breached, it may drop to the second support level around 104,500.
Time Window: If it effectively breaks below the 100,000 mark within the next 5 days, the bottom structure may form earlier; otherwise, the adjustment period may extend to July, when a more ideal layout opportunity will arise. A deep correction is a prerequisite for the market's initiation in the second half of the year. The current rebound has only delayed the bottom-fishing opportunity, and patience is needed to wait for a lower safety margin.

ETH Technical Analysis
ETH's daily line maintains a box oscillation, with recent lows at 2,300 (first liquidation point) and 2,380 (last week's support), but the rebound has not broken through the upper range. If the adjustment period is prolonged, the bottom may gradually rise, and the ideal entry zone is revised to 2,100-2,200.
Short-term Defense: The four-hour level at 2,560-2,600 is the first support. If broken, pay attention to 2,450 (previous central point).
Deep Correction Level: 2,260 will become a new anchoring point, and the effectiveness of the original 2,380 support has weakened. #看懂K线

Altcoins: Current Market Analysis and Operational Suggestions
Currently, the overall trend of altcoins is still in a volatile stage, with no significant trend changes observed. From a valuation perspective, most altcoins have retraced more than 30% from our previous liquidation prices, providing some price advantage in the short term.
However, if BTC breaks below the key support level of 100,000, the market may face further downside risks, leading altcoins to continue to test lower levels.

Operational Strategy
Gradual Layout: If planning to enter the market, it is recommended to use a gradual accumulation strategy to reduce short-term volatility risks.

Risk Control: Be cautious of the potential cascading decline caused by BTC breaking below key levels; the current price may still be at a 'halfway point,' requiring reasonable position planning.

Long-term Perspective: Although under pressure in the short term, the medium to long-term trend remains optimistic, and any accumulation during dips should be aligned with one's own risk tolerance.

Prudent Choice: If uncertain about market direction, it is advisable to wait and observe, waiting for clearer stabilization signals or trend reversals before making decisions. #特朗普马斯克分歧

Market Analysis for Today and This Week:
BTC Market Outlook
During the weekend, the BTC price tested the key resistance level of 106000 and is currently facing pullback pressure.
The primary support to watch within the day is the range of 102500-103500. If this range is breached, the price may further decline to the 101500-102500 range.
This week, pay close attention to the support strength at the 100000 round number. If it is lost, the market may continue its adjustment trend.
Short-term traders should keep an eye on the 103800 support level; if it breaks, it may accelerate downward to test lower levels.

ETH Trend Analysis
ETH has shown relatively weak performance recently, and this week, it is crucial to focus on the 2380 support level (previous daily support).
The resistance level around 2550 mentioned last week has formed pressure, causing the price to encounter resistance and fall back. If the 2380 support is lost, the next key support area is in the 2230-2260 range. This week, it is highly likely to continue the pullback trend, and investors should be cautious of further downside risks. #非农就业数据来袭

Altcoins: Liquidity Crisis Emerges:
Mainstream coins (BTC/ETH) have not yet seen a significant pullback, while altcoins have generally hit new phase lows, and the market is showing a "dual-coin siphoning" effect, with funds continuously withdrawing from the altcoin sector.

Abnormal correlation:
When BTC rises: ETH pulls back, altcoins decline.
When BTC pulls back: ETH rebounds, altcoins continue to fall.
In any market combination, the altcoin sector is under selling pressure.

Institutional funds are concentrated in mainstream coins, while retail investors’ risk aversion sentiment is rising.

The increased share of the derivatives market exacerbates volatility, and project parties continue to unlock tokens, leading to oversupply.

Maintain a cash position and observe, avoiding a "catching falling knives" strategy.

Wait for BTC/ETH to show a clear trending market, and pay attention to stabilization signals after panic selling in the altcoin market, focusing on changes in trading volume.

Retain sufficient ammunition to wait for right-side opportunities.
Set strict entry conditions (e.g., mainstream coins stabilizing + altcoins rebounding with volume)#我的COS交易 #币安钱包TGE #Circle扩大IPO规模 #美国加征关税 #币安Alpha上新

June 5: Market Technical Analysis of BTC
The four-hour level shows that key support is still located in the $104,000 range. Yesterday, a rebound was successfully triggered in the $104,000-$104,500 range. Key focus today:
The validity of the $104,000 support; if it breaks down effectively during the day, it may test the $102,000-$103,000 support zone.
The daily level of the $100,000 round number remains an important psychological barrier.
Current technical patterns show that bears are dominant; it is recommended to maintain a bearish outlook for the day.

ETH Market Analysis
Yesterday showed relative strength but failed to form an effective breakthrough: the $2660 resistance level formed a false breakout and fell back to the $2600 level.
The four-hour level has entered a consolidation pattern with narrowing volatility range.
Key levels today:
Resistance zone: $2640-$2660 (unchanged from yesterday)
First support: $2560
Second support: $2450 (recently showing strong resilience)

BTC adopts a short strategy on rallies, focusing on the breakdown of $104,000
ETH maintains a range trading strategy, with a key focus on the strength of the $2560 support
Strictly set stop losses to guard against sudden volatility risks #韩国加密政策