咸鱼币翻身

Good morning, brothers! A new week has begun. From the perspective of the big pie weekly chart, the bearish candlestick doji indicates that there is no clear winner between bulls and bears; however, the probability of adjustment is greater when such a doji appears at relatively high levels. The daily chart also shows a doji, and in the short term, the big pie is in a range-bound fluctuation choosing a direction. Big pie support: 105000, 103000, 100000 resistance: 106800, 108500

Ethereum support: 2510, 2450, 2300 resistance: 2580, 2630. I personally believe that the big pie price below 108500 is generally bearish. The boundary for a short-term bullish breakout for the big pie is 106800; only if it surpasses this level can it strengthen again.

The big pie is continuously fluctuating, waiting for a direction to be chosen. Prices below 108500 are generally viewed as bearish, and no clear ending signal for the adjustment has been observed! #特朗普比特币金库

Bitcoin (BTC) Market Interpretation:
Yesterday's candlestick showed a bullish pattern with a long upper shadow, indicating that the market faced some selling pressure after the rally. Observing the four-hour technical chart, the $110,000 mark has once again formed an effective resistance level.
Current key positions to focus on: Short-term support range: $106,000-$107,000. Secondary defense level: $104,000 (the buffer zone if $106,000 is breached).
Medium-term important support zone: $92,000-$96,000 range.
Intraday trend prediction: A technical pullback is expected; if the price effectively breaks below the $106,000 support, it may test the $104,000 defense level downwards. Pay attention to the psychological support effect of the $100,000 round number.

Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis:
Yesterday saw a significant rebound, mainly due to the previous technical correction during Bitcoin's rebound.
However, note that: The daily level still maintains a range-bound oscillation pattern, and the current breakthrough above $2,800 lacks sustainability, with the daily closing price not significantly surpassing previous liquidation reference levels.
Key technical level reminders:
Four-hour support zone: $2,600-$2,630 range
Target area after breaking: $2,200-$2,300 range
Operational advice: It is not advisable to chase the rise currently; it is recommended to remain on the sidelines. If the $2,630 support is broken, it may open up new pullback space.#纳斯达克加密ETF扩容

BTC: Analysis and Layout Strategy
The current BTC market shows a high-level oscillation pattern. Although there has not been significant selling pressure technically, continuing to advance faces considerable resistance.
The weekly level shows a feature of rising without volume. A strong short-term rally does not indicate a continuation of the trend; rather, it may delay the bottoming process.

Key Support Range: The four-hour level requires close attention to the 107,000-107,500 area. If breached, it may drop to the second support level around 104,500.
Time Window: If it effectively breaks below the 100,000 mark within the next 5 days, the bottom structure may form earlier; otherwise, the adjustment period may extend to July, when a more ideal layout opportunity will arise. A deep correction is a prerequisite for the market's initiation in the second half of the year. The current rebound has only delayed the bottom-fishing opportunity, and patience is needed to wait for a lower safety margin.

ETH Technical Analysis
ETH's daily line maintains a box oscillation, with recent lows at 2,300 (first liquidation point) and 2,380 (last week's support), but the rebound has not broken through the upper range. If the adjustment period is prolonged, the bottom may gradually rise, and the ideal entry zone is revised to 2,100-2,200.
Short-term Defense: The four-hour level at 2,560-2,600 is the first support. If broken, pay attention to 2,450 (previous central point).
Deep Correction Level: 2,260 will become a new anchoring point, and the effectiveness of the original 2,380 support has weakened. #看懂K线

Altcoins: Current Market Analysis and Operational Suggestions
Currently, the overall trend of altcoins is still in a volatile stage, with no significant trend changes observed. From a valuation perspective, most altcoins have retraced more than 30% from our previous liquidation prices, providing some price advantage in the short term.
However, if BTC breaks below the key support level of 100,000, the market may face further downside risks, leading altcoins to continue to test lower levels.

Operational Strategy
Gradual Layout: If planning to enter the market, it is recommended to use a gradual accumulation strategy to reduce short-term volatility risks.

Risk Control: Be cautious of the potential cascading decline caused by BTC breaking below key levels; the current price may still be at a 'halfway point,' requiring reasonable position planning.

Long-term Perspective: Although under pressure in the short term, the medium to long-term trend remains optimistic, and any accumulation during dips should be aligned with one's own risk tolerance.

Prudent Choice: If uncertain about market direction, it is advisable to wait and observe, waiting for clearer stabilization signals or trend reversals before making decisions. #特朗普马斯克分歧

Market Analysis for Today and This Week:
BTC Market Outlook
During the weekend, the BTC price tested the key resistance level of 106000 and is currently facing pullback pressure.
The primary support to watch within the day is the range of 102500-103500. If this range is breached, the price may further decline to the 101500-102500 range.
This week, pay close attention to the support strength at the 100000 round number. If it is lost, the market may continue its adjustment trend.
Short-term traders should keep an eye on the 103800 support level; if it breaks, it may accelerate downward to test lower levels.

ETH Trend Analysis
ETH has shown relatively weak performance recently, and this week, it is crucial to focus on the 2380 support level (previous daily support).
The resistance level around 2550 mentioned last week has formed pressure, causing the price to encounter resistance and fall back. If the 2380 support is lost, the next key support area is in the 2230-2260 range. This week, it is highly likely to continue the pullback trend, and investors should be cautious of further downside risks. #非农就业数据来袭

Altcoins: Liquidity Crisis Emerges:
Mainstream coins (BTC/ETH) have not yet seen a significant pullback, while altcoins have generally hit new phase lows, and the market is showing a "dual-coin siphoning" effect, with funds continuously withdrawing from the altcoin sector.

Abnormal correlation:
When BTC rises: ETH pulls back, altcoins decline.
When BTC pulls back: ETH rebounds, altcoins continue to fall.
In any market combination, the altcoin sector is under selling pressure.

Institutional funds are concentrated in mainstream coins, while retail investors’ risk aversion sentiment is rising.

The increased share of the derivatives market exacerbates volatility, and project parties continue to unlock tokens, leading to oversupply.

Maintain a cash position and observe, avoiding a "catching falling knives" strategy.

Wait for BTC/ETH to show a clear trending market, and pay attention to stabilization signals after panic selling in the altcoin market, focusing on changes in trading volume.

Retain sufficient ammunition to wait for right-side opportunities.
Set strict entry conditions (e.g., mainstream coins stabilizing + altcoins rebounding with volume)#我的COS交易 #币安钱包TGE #Circle扩大IPO规模 #美国加征关税 #币安Alpha上新

June 5: Market Technical Analysis of BTC
The four-hour level shows that key support is still located in the $104,000 range. Yesterday, a rebound was successfully triggered in the $104,000-$104,500 range. Key focus today:
The validity of the $104,000 support; if it breaks down effectively during the day, it may test the $102,000-$103,000 support zone.
The daily level of the $100,000 round number remains an important psychological barrier.
Current technical patterns show that bears are dominant; it is recommended to maintain a bearish outlook for the day.

ETH Market Analysis
Yesterday showed relative strength but failed to form an effective breakthrough: the $2660 resistance level formed a false breakout and fell back to the $2600 level.
The four-hour level has entered a consolidation pattern with narrowing volatility range.
Key levels today:
Resistance zone: $2640-$2660 (unchanged from yesterday)
First support: $2560
Second support: $2450 (recently showing strong resilience)

BTC adopts a short strategy on rallies, focusing on the breakdown of $104,000
ETH maintains a range trading strategy, with a key focus on the strength of the $2560 support
Strictly set stop losses to guard against sudden volatility risks #韩国加密政策

Accurately grasping the timing of buying and selling is more important than selecting the right cryptocurrency!

Many friends in trading easily fall into the dilemma of "buying well but selling poorly", ultimately leading to profit reversal or even losses. Today, I will share some practical market signal judgment techniques to help everyone better identify trend turning points:
1. Volume-Price Divergence Warning Top Signal
If a pullback occurs during an uptrend but the trading volume does not significantly shrink, it indicates strong market support, and there is still upward momentum ahead.
When the price reaches a new high but trading volume continues to shrink, it indicates insufficient willingness to chase prices, and one should be wary of the risk of hitting a peak.
2. Golden Rule of Bottom Confirmation
When the cryptocurrency price is consolidating at a low level for a long time, do not blindly try to catch the bottom.
An effective bottom is usually accompanied by a "double bottom + volume breakout" structure. When the price pulls back to the previous low and then quickly rebounds with increased volume, it indicates a relatively safe entry opportunity.
3. True Opportunity After False Breakouts
If a sudden surge occurs during bottom fluctuations followed by a pullback, it may be a test by the main force.
Patiently wait for a second volume breakout above the previous high, as the reliability of trend reversal is higher at this time, often accompanied by significant price increases.
4. Trap Identification in High-Level Consolidation
Narrow fluctuations following a continuous surge, especially when long upper and lower shadows frequently appear, often indicate a phase of distribution.
Under this "gentle trap", although price fluctuations are small, the risk factor surges, requiring extra caution.#Circle扩大IPO规模

Today's Market Technical Analysis:
BTC Four-Hour Level Analysis
Current price shows a stepped oscillation pattern, with upper space limited but downward support also present. Key levels are distributed as follows:

Primary Support: 104,000-104,500 range
Breakout Risk: If it effectively breaks below 104,000, it may trigger a sustained pullback to the 102,000-103,000 range

Upper Pressure: 106,000-107,000 range
Today's operational suggestion is to maintain a bearish outlook, focusing on the defense situation of the 104,000 support level.

ETH Four-Hour Level Assessment
Yesterday's trend formed a double top structure, with the lowest retracement near 2570, not fully reaching the 2560 support level. Key technical levels:

Short-Term Pressure: 2640-2660 range (yesterday's high formed the second resistance)

Initial Support: 2520-2560 range
Daily Key: 2450 level (effectively supported multiple times in the past)

Ultimate Defense: 2380 level
Operational Tip: The gain or loss of the 2450 support level will determine the subsequent trend direction; a break below may open up greater downward space.

Altcoins:
Market Status Analysis:
Currently, altcoins are showing overall weak performance, lacking independent upward momentum. During the previous decline of BTC and ETH, altcoins generally followed suit with even larger drops. In today's small-scale rebound, the recovery strength of altcoins is relatively weak, and market sentiment remains gloomy. This indicates that current funds are still primarily focused on risk aversion, with no significant signs of external capital entering the market; the overall market is still in a bearish pattern.

Spot investors are maintaining a wait-and-see approach, avoiding blind bottom-fishing, and waiting for signs of market stabilization.

Contract trading is primarily focused on short positions, acting in accordance with the trend, and being cautious of short-term rebound temptations.

Maintain trading discipline, avoid frequently adjusting strategies due to short-term fluctuations, and patiently wait for the trend to clarify. #加密市场反弹

BTC Intraday Market Analysis:
Today, BTC surged to around 106,500, reaching a key resistance zone at the intraday and daily levels (106,000-107,000). This area is the target level for the rebound from last week's support at 103,000, and breaking through in the short term is challenging. Currently, attention should be paid to the pullback trend, with the first support located at 104,000-105,000 (daily retracement level), and a strong support range at 102,500-103,500 (daily level bull-bear dividing line). If the rebound momentum weakens, it is recommended to focus on short positions for the day, targeting the support levels mentioned above.

ETH Intraday Trend Interpretation:
ETH broke through 2560 at the four-hour level and briefly pulled up above 2600, but altcoins are weak in following, indicating insufficient bullish momentum. The resistance band at 2600-2620 poses a risk of false breakouts, and caution is required for pullbacks. Short-term support is at 2520-2560 (an area of intense intraday trading), and if this is lost, the key level at 2450 (support weakens after multiple tests) can be targeted, with daily level support at 2380-2420 (reference area for trend reversal). Currently, it is advised to look for short positions on rallies, paying attention to breakdown signals below 2520. #我的COS交易

Shanzhai:
Shanzhai coins continue to show weak performance overall. It is recommended that investors maintain strategic stability and avoid disrupting their holding rhythm due to short-term fluctuations, focusing on the transmission effects brought by key level breakthroughs in BTC/ETH.
On the liquidity side, we need to wait for clear volume signals.
Historical experience shows that after the rally of mainstream coins (such as ETH) ends, it is often accompanied by an overall market adjustment, so current risks need to be monitored. #币安HODLer空投SOPH

BTC: Technical Analysis
Currently, BTC has formed a temporary support in the range of 106,000-108,000 after a pullback from 110,000.
The daily chart shows that yesterday closed with a solid bearish candle, but it did not effectively break below the key level of 106,000. Observing the 4-hour timeframe, if it effectively breaks this support during the day, it may further test the range of 103,500-104,500, at which point one can look for opportunities for a rebound due to overselling.
The main resistance above to watch is the area of 109,000-109,500. If the rebound is blocked, it will maintain a fluctuating downward trend.
Attention should be paid to the characteristics of market volatility; the probability of a single-day drop of 10,000 points in the short term is low, and it is more likely to show a stepwise pullback.

ETH: Independent Market Assessment
ETH has recently shown a differentiated market trend but has not effectively driven the altcoin sector. The current price is still within the previously indicated stage of profit-taking range, with altcoins generally being more than 10% lower than expected, reflecting that market liquidity has not yet fully recovered.
The resistance of 2,760-2,800 has been reached during the day, and it is expected to retest the support zone of 2,560-2,600. The key risk control level to focus on is 2,560. An effective break below this will open up a downward space to 2,450 (the daily support level). It is noteworthy that the ETH/BTC exchange rate trend shows that its temporary strength may be difficult to sustain. #特朗普媒体科技集团比特币财库

Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis:
Day trading should focus on the validity of the $106,000 support zone. Yesterday, the market tested the $106,000-$108,000 range and formed a typical 'bottom-fishing rebound' pattern. This support area has demonstrated strong buying pressure.
If the key level of $106,000 is effectively broken, it will open up downward space, potentially triggering a volatility event at a ten-thousand-point level.
The upper resistance range of $109,000-$110,000 constitutes short-term pressure.
Operational strategy suggestion: Conservative investors may wait for confirmation of the $106,000 watershed, while aggressive traders can focus on range oscillation opportunities, strictly setting stop-loss orders to guard against breakout risks.

Ethereum (ETH) Trend Analysis:
In terms of pattern structure interpretation, after the formation of a double top pattern, the pullback is limited. Currently, it maintains a high-level oscillation pattern. Technical indicators suggest that the adjustment cycle may continue, and the time window forecast indicates that the complete adjustment cycle is expected to last until around mid-next month, approximately a 20-day natural period of adjustment. Investors need to remain patient while waiting for the trend to clarify.
Key support levels distribution:
Primary support: $2,560 (recently verified multiple times)
Secondary support: $2,450-$2,480 range
Strong support zone: $2,380-$2,420 area#特朗普媒体科技集团比特币财库

Altcoins
The market has been performing steadily recently, with low volatility. It is important to remind that at this stage, it is unwise to blindly chase after rising prices or to buy in too early.
Although some cryptocurrencies may experience short-term rebounds, if BTC and ETH see a pullback, altcoins often follow with a more significant decline, easily resulting in a single-day drop of over 10%. Investors need to remain patient and strictly manage risk. #比特币2025大会

Today's Market Analysis: BTC
The four-hour level trend shows a bottoming recovery pattern, with the current key support area maintained in the 106000-108000 range.
If this support level is effectively broken during the day, there may be a further decline to the 102000-104000 support zone in the short term.
It is important to pay close attention to the significant support range of 100000-102000, while the mid-term still needs to focus on the key price level of 92000-96000.
The previously suggested short position strategy above 11000 can continue to be held, and the current volatility around the ten thousand level provides a good trading opportunity.

ETH
The four-hour chart has not yet formed a complete bearish structure, but the daily level has shown a double top pattern. Currently, the retracement from the high point is about 200 dollars, with fluctuations being quite erratic.
The key resistance to watch during the day is in the 2560-2600 range, and the price quickly retreated after testing 2600 yesterday, confirming the pressure strength in this area.
The short-term support level is around 2500, and if it fails to hold, it may test the 2380-2450 support zone. In the medium to long term, the 2000-2200 range will serve as an important observation area. #币安钱包TGE

Today's Highlights: Bitcoin (BTC):
Short-term resistance remains concentrated in the 100000-102000 range, with a key focus point around 108000. If this level is breached, the market may move further upwards. For intraday operations, one can directly observe Bitcoin's upward momentum.

Ethereum (ETH):
On the four-hour chart, Ethereum has experienced multiple spikes and adjustments. It is expected to start moving upwards this afternoon or evening. The first focus point is around 3600, while the most critical position is at 3800. If this key level is breached, the market is likely to rise further. Support levels are mainly concentrated in the 3380-3420 range, which is an important support area for the day.

Altcoins:
Continue to pay special attention to the performance of the AI sector and gaming sector, as strong coins in these sectors may lead a rebound. Overall, in the short term, the main focus is on the key levels of Bitcoin and Ethereum, while opportunities in the altcoin market are still concentrated in the AI and gaming fields. #BIO将上线币安 #币安Alpha公布第10批项目 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿 #比特币走势观察 #AIAgent热潮

Today's Market Focus: Bitcoin (BTC):
Currently, Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase on the four-hour chart, with support levels to watch around 95,000 points during the day.
If the price breaks below this level, a pin bar pattern may occur again, further probing down to the 92,000-93,000 range. The resistance area above remains between 98,000 and 102,000 points.
If Bitcoin can break through and stabilize above 102,000 points, there is hope for a renewed upward trend, watch for further advances.

Ethereum (ETH):
Yesterday, Ethereum clearly showed a pin bar pullback, with the lowest point around 3,300. Today, the 3,300 support can be observed for rebound strength. The focus area for resistance is between 3,500 and 3,600 points. If the price can break 3,600 and hold, it is expected to further challenge the key position at 3,800.
Only if it breaks and stabilizes above 3,800 points will the market possibly start a new upward trend, at which point altcoins will also generally follow suit, though the degree of increase may vary, with some rising by dozens of points, while others may increase by thirty to fifty points.
I am long-term bearish; if you currently don't know how to position yourself, feel free to reach out to me for some exchange of ideas!

Today's market focus: Bitcoin (BTC):
From the daily level, Bitcoin is currently in a support range of 96000-97000 points. If the price retraces to this level, you can pay attention to the support performance in this range.
The first resistance level above is at 102000 points. After breaking this level, it may face the first two resistance ranges at the daily level, around 106000 points.
Overall, the market may show a trend of fluctuating upwards, so excessive focus on Bitcoin's short-term volatility is not recommended, and contract trading of Bitcoin is advised against due to increased volatility risks.

Ethereum (ETH):
At the four-hour level, Ethereum is currently facing minor resistance around 3560 points. From the intraday level, focus on the support range of 3380-3420 points. If a short-term spike occurs, special attention is needed, and altcoins may also be about to retrace.
However, if a spike occurs, a sharp rebound is expected, breaking through 3600 points. The key resistance range at the four-hour and daily levels is 3760-3820 points. If Ethereum breaks and stabilizes above 3800 points, it is expected to bring more upward momentum to the market, and altcoins are also likely to approach a breakout.
At this time, you can position yourself based on the strong coins you choose, as different coins may see different gains; some may rise by 50%, while others around 20%. The fluctuating market is a good opportunity for investors; as long as a correction occurs, appropriately increasing positions is a wise choice. #2025加密趋势预测 #币安Alpha公布第6批项目 #“圣诞老人行情”再现 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？ #萨尔瓦多将“加速”增持BTC
I am bearish. If you don't know how to position yourself right now, you can come to me for discussion!

Today's market focus: Bitcoin (BTC):
Today, the Bitcoin price has once again returned to around 100,000 points, aligning with the resistance range mentioned yesterday.
From the current trend, the support level is roughly in the 95,000-96,000 range, while the resistance has expanded to the 104,000-108,000 range. Therefore, the market may continue to show a fluctuating upward pattern.
Although there might be short-term adjustments, if such adjustments occur, it is expected to rebound quickly, leading to excessive concern. For investors who fear operations, it is important to pay attention to market fluctuations.

Ethereum (ETH):
The trend of Ethereum is currently quite clear, with the price having returned to the resistance level around 3,500 points, and it is expected to consolidate here for some time.
The current effective support level is in the 3,360-3,420 range. If the consolidation area is broken, there is a possibility of testing the key position of 3,800 points in the short term.
If it successfully breaks through and stabilizes at 3,800 points, it may open up greater upward space, and at that time, not only Ethereum but also the altcoin market is expected to have a promising performance.
In short-term operations, it is recommended to take profits at the target price, not to be overly obsessed with the larger pattern, and to maintain a strategy that allows for step-by-step operations, locking in long-term operation gains, withdrawing principal, and ensuring risk control. #币安Alpha第6批项目上線 #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #加密市场反弹 #BinanceLabs投资Usual #币安LaunchpoolBIO

I am Long Bearish, if you currently do not know how to layout, you can come to me and we can communicate together!