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Recently, Bitcoin whales have been continuously increasing their holdings, and the number of addresses holding coins has reached a new high. Whether institutions or retail investors, there is a common mentality of 'buying the rise, not buying the fall.' If the price of Bitcoin breaks through the historical high, it is very likely to attract more funds into the market. #币安Alpha上新 #CPI数据来袭

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3.18 Evening Bitcoin and Ethereum Analysis and Trading Suggestions
Today's market validates the rule that "news-driven stimuli cannot change the trend"; Bitcoin and Ethereum are oscillating repeatedly before key resistance levels, and market sentiment is weak. Before the Super Central Bank's weekly policy takes effect, it is recommended to focus on short-term fluctuations, avoid chasing highs and selling lows, and pay attention to the impact of evening Federal Reserve officials' speeches on the market.
Short-term strategy:

Bitcoin: Set short positions around $83,200-$83,500, with a target of $81,500 and a stop loss at $83,850.
Ethereum: Short around $1,910-$1,930, with a target of $1,850 and a stop loss at $1,955.
The above is the daily public position; as long as you follow and execute it long-term, you will definitely achieve substantial returns. Stay tuned for more details!

What is deflation? Suppose there is a small market with 100 people, circulating a total of 1000 yuan. Among them, 5 people hold 950 yuan in savings, while the remaining 95 people have a total of only 50 yuan in savings. These 5 wealthy individuals begin to wonder: why aren't the other 95 people consuming?

The main reason for deflation lies in the concentration of wealth. In such an extremely uneven distribution of wealth, stimulating consumption has no effect, because the income of those 95 people is barely enough to maintain a basic standard of living, leaving them with no extra money for consumption. Therefore, increasing the income of these 95 people is key to solving the deflation problem; only in this way can the market be truly activated and promote a healthy economic cycle.

Successfully grasping the trend
We had a bearish outlook this morning
Right in my predicted range

Take my advice: with the current trend of BNB, it's fine to take profits, but definitely do not short it! Just be patient and wait for it to dip, seize the opportunity to position yourself, and then take profits in batches. This is simply a great chance to make money. But if you short it, it's basically like throwing money into the water; by the time you realize, it will be too late to cry. Isn't it better to earn steadily? Don't take the risk of shorting, remember!

The daily trading operations of Insider Brother are simply extremely arrogant; that short position is just sitting there, yet no one dares to touch it. Anyone with a little knowledge knows that without massive spot trading behind the scenes, how could his win rate be so ridiculously high? And how could he dare to open such a large volume? There must be some tricks involved here!

The short selling sentiment at this position of Bitcoin is weak, the overall trend is still to operate with long positions!
Buy Bitcoin at 82500-82200, and sell at 84000-85500!

In the battlefield of investment, where there are no smoke and gunfire, most people have an instinctive aversion to stop-loss. In their view, once a stop-loss is executed, the loss becomes an undeniable fact, while holding on seems to retain the hope of a turnaround. But the harsh reality is that the pain from a stop-loss is only temporary; if one does not stop-loss, that pain will follow like a shadow, becoming a long-lasting torment.

Initially, the account only shows a slight floating loss, at this moment, the luck in people's hearts begins to play tricks, and they unconsciously mutter: "Just wait a little longer, the market changes rapidly, who knows, the next second the market might reverse dramatically, and the losses could be earned back immediately."

But the market has always been cold and ruthless; it will not change direction based on personal expectations. A loss is like a snowball that rolls bigger and bigger, becoming increasingly difficult to control. At this point, some people grit their teeth, secretly swearing: "If it drops another 5%, I will definitely cut my losses decisively, without hesitation." However, when that 5% drop actually occurs, human weaknesses are exposed again, and they begin to retreat, finding excuses for themselves: "It’s already lost this much, cutting losses now is like rubbing salt in the wound, it’s not worth it. It's better to hold on a bit longer; perhaps soon there will be a glimmer of hope."

But the result often runs contrary to expectations. If one cannot bear to stop-loss, the market will intervene in the most brutal way, leading to account liquidation. The hard-earned assets vanish in an instant, and by then, there is no need to struggle with whether to stop-loss anymore, as everything has already lost its meaning.

The market is like an impartial judge; it will not force you to make a stop-loss decision, but it will accurately measure every choice you make. As long as you stubbornly cling to your decisions, you will inevitably face corresponding punishments. In this unpredictable investment world, as long as there is still a glimmer of luck in your heart, you are already on the path to failure. Only by facing risks squarely and decisively executing stop-losses can one safeguard the principal and win a chance at survival in the investment tide.

From novice to cryptocurrency expert, it all depends on these ten golden rules

Haven't achieved your small goal of 1 million after years of trading? Don't panic! Today I will share the ten secret tips that I have kept under wraps. If it doesn't work after following them, come find me!

1. Capital management: When funds are limited, be sure to budget carefully. Catching a major bull market once a year is enough; never go all in, keep enough cash for emergencies.

2. Enhance understanding: Your level of understanding determines your ability to make money. If you don't understand, you won't earn. Simulated trading can help you practice, but when trading with real money, the psychological pressure is completely different.

3. Realizing profits: When there is good news, if you haven't sold on that day and the price opens high the next day, withdraw quickly. When good news comes out, everyone wants to sell, and prices will naturally fall.

4. Holiday risk avoidance: As holidays approach, reduce your position or liquidate a week in advance. Market activity is low during holidays, and price fluctuations are large.

5. Medium to long-term strategy: For medium to long-term trading, you must keep funds on hand. Sell when it rises, buy when it falls, which can lower costs and allow for flexible strategy adjustments.

6. Short-term coin selection: For short-term trading, choose coins that are actively traded. Forgotten coins can easily trap you.

7. Price fluctuation patterns: Coins that fall slowly will usually rise back slowly, while those that drop sharply often rebound quickly.

8. Strict stop-loss: If you buy the wrong asset, decisively stop-loss; don't hold onto false hopes waiting for a price recovery. Protecting your principal is key.

9. Short-term indicators: For short-term trading, refer to the 15-minute candlestick chart, using KDJ indicators to find buy and sell points. KDJ signals are very accurate when overbought or oversold; also pay attention to MACD, RSI, and other indicators.

10. Simplified techniques: There's no need to be greedy with technical analysis; mastering a few techniques is sufficient.

#炒币日记 #币圈现状

The current market trend continues to fluctuate, with prices once again rising and then falling back, followed by a sustained period of sideways consolidation, maintaining in the range of 82,000 to 85,000. In this trend, the operational approach is quite clear: sell high and buy low, and always remember that securing profits is the top priority.

After a prolonged period of sideways fluctuations, a breakout is inevitable, but whether it will be an upward or downward breakout, the entire market is waiting for guidance from the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee). According to Yi Ning's analysis, since the price cannot break through 85,000, and the March FOMC decision will play a decisive role in the trends for April, May, and June, Yi Ning is more inclined to believe that the market will test the bottom again, and then adjust within a larger range of 75,000 to 88,000 over the next three months.

Under the current trend, there is no absolute right or wrong in long and short operations; the key is to wait for the clear direction before seizing opportunities for substantial gains. Patience is required at this time; once the direction is clear, act accordingly. Given the current situation, taking short positions in line with the trend remains the main operational strategy.

Morning analysis, successfully dropped seven hundred points

According to the current market analysis, after continuous oscillation and correction, the market experienced a slight rebound at midnight. However, the bulls failed to effectively maintain the upward momentum and break through key levels, quickly facing pressure and retreating for correction. Currently, the main resistance level is around $85,000, while the support level below is relatively solid, around $82,000. Both sides of the market show limited strength, resulting in a stalemate. Based on this, the recommendation for short-term operations in the morning is to adopt a high sell and low buy strategy:
For Bitcoin, short positions can be set around the $84,500 level; and long positions can be established near $82,500. The operational thinking for Ethereum is in sync with this.

Introduction to the Coin Circle Chande Theory: From Basic Concepts to Accurate Buy and Sell Points
Basic Concepts
- Fractal: A top fractal refers to a situation where the high of the second K-line is the highest among three adjacent K-lines, and the low is also the highest, with the highest point being the top; a bottom fractal refers to a situation where the high of the second K-line is the lowest among three adjacent K-lines, and the low is also the lowest, with the lowest point being the bottom.
- Segment: A segment is formed by taking two adjacent top fractals and bottom fractals, with at least one non-shared K-line in between, creating an upward segment and a downward segment.
- Line Segment: Composed of an odd number of segments, at least three segments, and the first three segments must have overlapping parts, divided into upward line segments and downward line segments.
- Central Area: In a certain level of trend type, the part that is overlapped by at least three consecutive sub-level trend types. In an upward trend, it examines the sub-level of "down-up-down"; in a downward trend, it examines the sub-level of "up-down-up".
- Divergence: In a certain level of trend, the latter segment is weaker than the previous segment, thus forming divergence.
Buy and Sell Points
- First Type of Buy and Sell Point: Occurs after trend divergence.
- Second Type of Buy and Sell Point: Occurs during the first return to the central area after a trend reversal, without making a new high or low.
- Third Type of Buy and Sell Point: Occurs when leaving the central area, and the subsequent pullback does not return to the range of the central area.

At 8:30 PM tonight, the U.S. will release retail data, which is crucial to consumer confidence and even expectations of a recession. It is very important.
The market expectations this time seem particularly optimistic, both indicators are stronger than expected, but the key to a favorable outcome is whether they can beat expectations, that is, whether they can perform better than expected.
If they are higher than expected, the clouds of recession will diminish, and the market will start to rebound. If they are lower than expected, it will be negative; the extent of the negativity will depend on how much lower than expected it is. If it is slightly lower than expected, that would still be acceptable, after all, this time will at least be much better than last month.

Evening Market Analysis: After the data is released, if the result is below 0.6, the market may experience a rebound. When it rebounds to around 86000, consider placing a short position.

If the data is significantly bearish, short at the 83500 level. The target price is initially set at 80000, and if it breaks through, further aim for 79000. Ethereum (Auntie) operation strategy is synchronized.

Today I saw a piece of data that is indeed quite heartbreaking; the collapse of faith happens in an instant;
A friend who has faith in Ethereum just ended a 3-year position; this friend, who has a special affinity for Ethereum, spent 1771 dollars to buy Ethereum three years ago; at the peak, there was an additional 2.3 million dollars in the account;
Now, only 126,000 dollars remain as he chooses to exit with an empty position;
More and more Ethereum holders are choosing to sell, but what is the reason behind this?
The answer is obvious: it never disappoints you in terms of disappointment.

Rise from Monday to Thursday is beneficial in any case

Because this Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell faces a tricky task
He must assure investors that the U.S. economy is still on a solid growth path while also conveying that policymakers are ready to take action if necessary.

The weekend's gains have completely evaporated, has Bitcoin shifted to a long-term bearish trend?

Recent market trends show that although Trump's statements regarding cryptocurrency reserves briefly halted the downward momentum, underlying macroeconomic issues remain. Over the past few days, Bitcoin's price has exhibited extreme volatility. Essentially, Trump's statement may have only superficially addressed a very serious problem. Last week, the cryptocurrency fear and greed index fell to its lowest level since 2022, and there are several reasons for Bitcoin's current bearish sentiment:

Firstly, the macroeconomic situation does not present a bullish factor for cryptocurrencies. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model now predicts that by the end of the first quarter of 2025, the U.S. GDP will contract by 2.8%. From an economic perspective, this prediction is catastrophic compared to the 3.9% growth forecast made four weeks ago. Another important factor is the tariff policy proposed by Trump. While some analysts believe that tariffs are not the main cause, a significant drop in the cryptocurrency market occurred when Trump recently announced a 25% tariff on the European Union. In other words, macroeconomic factors largely influence market sentiment in the cryptocurrency industry. Since the approval of the spot Bitcoin ETF, cryptocurrencies have deeply integrated with traditional finance. Therefore, if the U.S. economy falls into recession, the downsides of this integration will become fully apparent.

Regardless of how the market moves in the future, Shen Li can help you get a piece of the pie; whether you come or not, I will be here.