币小言

The current market state is somewhat stagnant, with weak upward momentum and difficulty in sustaining downward trends, overall fluctuating back and forth in a range.

The lack of sufficient positive stimuli makes it hard for the market to show clear breakthroughs. To break this deadlock, we may have to wait for potential interest rate cut news next month to possibly reignite market vitality.

At present, the overall trend is not clear; there are no signs of a full bull market, nor have we entered a deep bear market, but rather it resembles a back-and-forth fluctuation within a 'horizontal large box' structure.

"Cutting losses short and letting profits run" is a common phrase in trading circles, but few truly understand it. In fact, it's somewhat similar to gardening.

As a flower enthusiast, I know that a plant's growth needs to follow its natural course. Once the seeds are buried in the soil, excessive intervention can be detrimental. Constantly digging them up to check the root system or altering their orientation can harm even healthy seedlings.

Trading is the same. Frequently entering and exiting the market may seem like controlling the situation, but in reality, it leads to missed profit opportunities. Many traders incur losses precisely because they don't understand the principle of "doing nothing to manage," and excessive actions disrupt the market's rhythm.

The true path to profit lies in patiently waiting, allowing the market the time to establish its own rhythm, and then harvesting at the right moment, rather than forcibly intervening. The market has its own rules; by respecting them, profits will naturally grow. #加密市场反弹

It won't go back so quickly here
Belongs to the slow decline

It will be repeated, family members

Not like you think it will crash down like sliding down a slide

It will definitely fall, then suddenly rise

Retail investors will enter, and then it will crash again

The script has already been written for the dog dealer

Let's wait and see

#特朗普施压鲍威尔

Adjustment, a brief pause, the pace of the pancake is slowing down. After peaking and falling back to 92,000 last night and rebounding again, it is currently around 94,000, basically maintaining a normal structure. Overall, the volume has decreased and entered a range of fluctuations, still in the correction phase. The strength and rhythm of the correction are quite good, basically running around the range of 92,000-94,000. It has not yet exited the fluctuation area, so we can seize the opportunity for high shorts and low longs within this range for layout.
#特朗普施压鲍威尔

When the hype fades, no matter how strong the 'Dogecoin' is, its path to zero seems to be just a matter of time, and the practical significance of this viewpoint is increasingly prominent. Even if there are occasional brief rebounds, they are merely a flash in the pan and difficult to change the overall downward trend.

The current market trend is becoming increasingly complex, and the difficulty of operation has significantly increased. In this environment, the primary task should be to protect the principal—making money is not easy, and blindly chasing highs is like 'drinking poison to quench thirst.' Only by stabilizing oneself can one quietly await the winds of change and welcome real opportunities.

On the blockchain front, last Sunday the Bitcoin turnover rate hit a recent low (16,000 BTC/24 hours), reflecting a lack of market activity, but the 83k support remains solid, and market confidence is still there.

On a macro level, the market has turned its attention to the GDP data for the first quarter of 2025 to be announced later this week, which will provide clear guidance for 'recession trading.'
This week, tech giants Tesla and Alphabet will release their earnings reports after the market closes on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively, and their performance may cause market volatility, affecting Bitcoin and other risk assets.

The appointment of the new SEC chairman brings new hope to the crypto industry, as the repeal of SAB 121 demonstrates a friendlier regulatory stance. It is expected that by the third quarter of 2025, policies regarding spot Ethereum ETF staking will become clearer, with a high likelihood of approval.

The cryptocurrency has not yet broken through the upper boundary of the box and has not entered a higher level box. From the trend analysis, it is highly likely to first retrace to the support levels of 80,000 or 78,000, and then break upward. Overall, the outlook for May is optimistic, and it is expected that the cryptocurrency's high point this month could reach 92,000 - 94,500.

Open a long position near the current price of GUN at 0.0557, with a stop loss at 0.0538. The initial target is 0.0586, then look at 0.0600.

Both the larger and smaller time frames show an upward trend, so take a small profit first. ​​​​ #波场ETF

Put ten thousand hearts at ease, it will definitely go down!

The news-driven momentum won't hold.

After digestion, we will see free fall again!

8,8000-8,8500 short, protect 8,8888, first look at 8,5000, 8,3000

Life is a long journey, and the future is as brilliant as the stars and the sea.

There is no need to hesitate over the past's small regrets.

Those so-called regrets may be a form of growth.

The wounds once endured will eventually turn into the light that illuminates the path ahead.

山寨开始蠢蠢欲动，保持乐观的心态耐心等待，
总量10亿的IP，2小级别上震荡许久，后续看反弹4.7附近，至笋3.4

Waiting for another pullback to 75k, last time the tariff pullback was a bit too cautious
Btc Sol these two need to pull back
Hesitating is disrespectful to them #币安LaunchpoolINIT

持续一周震荡
整体小区间震荡，昨天真的是坎坷的一天
今天又一样到现在为止，我还没看到有太大的盘中波动，跟之前做对比来看行情波动不大，大涨大跌不在我今天考虑范围之内 ​​​​ #币安Alpha上新

老鲍讲话美股哐哐跌，大饼仍然能维持在8.3W-8.6W的震荡区间，跟喝了虎骨酒一样硬！

从日线图中可以看到前面5天都收了明显的上影线，小时图中震荡高度在慢慢降低，表明8.5W以上的压力还是较大的。 日内继续观察 8.5W的压力情况， 站不上去的话就得再次去测试8.27-8.3支撑，再次去测试的话，下坡的概率在增加。

总结来说目前震荡区间很明显， 未能脱离之前当做震荡来做，突破或者跌破才当做出方向。 现在8.5W，激进的这里就是可以尝试崆头仓的位置，止损就是突破站上箱体。 #Metaplanet增持比特币

In the field of economics, the concept of "only getting rich once" is a highly cautionary idea.

Data shows that 99% of people only have one key opportunity to accumulate wealth in their lifetime, and most struggle to maintain their achievements, ultimately reverting to poverty.

Looking back over the past two decades, it is not hard to find that about 80% of former high-income groups eventually fell into financial difficulties. The root causes are twofold: first, mistaking the opportunities presented by the times as personal ability; second, personal desires far exceeding actual control.

For example, there was a real estate tycoon who managed 50 projects at his peak but ended up with 3 billion in debt due to a broken funding chain.

In fact, preserving wealth is far more challenging than creating it.

In reality, cases of wealth shrinkage are not uncommon: some have lost their fortunes due to gambling addiction, others have exhausted their savings due to poor entrepreneurial decisions, and still others have lost everything due to excessive borrowing or stock market gambling, even suffering significant property losses due to marital disputes.

A senior executive of a certain company, due to failed futures investments, not only lost tens of millions in assets but also fell into a debt trap.

In contrast, those who successfully preserve their wealth have a profound understanding of their own capability limits.

A founder of a technology company decisively cashed out at the peak of industry dividends, rationally diversifying the funds, and has since maintained steady returns.

Thus, it is evident that restraining desires and making rational decisions are the core principles of protecting wealth.#币安上线WCT

What is the current situation in the market?
Liquidity has just improved a bit, for example, liquidity has recovered by 50%
The number of people placing orders has doubled
The meme industry chain has made memes produced like sausages
When liquidity is a bit better, the machines start producing

And retail investors like to study the patterns on sausages #加拿大推出SolanaETF

美联储主席鲍威尔暗示放宽加密监管，美国数字资产立法加速推进

据BlockBeats援引TechinAsia报道，4月17日，美联储主席鲍威尔在芝加哥经济俱乐部访谈中透露，未来可能放松对银行开展加密业务的监管限制。鲍威尔坦言，过去几年加密行业频发暴雷与欺诈，但如今市场已更趋主流化。他表示：“美联储此前对银行的监管指引较为保守，其他机构甚至更严格，但相关规则有望放宽。我们将在保障金融体系安全、保护消费者免受未知风险、确保银行稳健的前提下，推动适度创新。

”自特朗普今年1月上任以来，美国联邦银行业监管机构持续调整对数字资产的政策。上月，联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）撤销旧版指引，允许监管机构无需事先审批即可开展合规加密业务；货币监理署（OCC）也明确联邦银行可参与加密相关活动。

与此同时，美国国会正加速构建稳定币立法框架。众议院和参议院的相关法案均已通过委员会审议，特朗普表示希望尽快签署成法。鲍威尔对此评论：“稳定币作为潜在的广泛应用数字产品，应配备常规消费者保护和信息披露要求，这正是国会立法工作的核心。” #比特币与美国关税政策

DARK is only 4 times away from the $RFC high point

Big gold is built layer by layer, it won't be done in one go, taking a big step forward and a small step back, slowly washing out the paper hands,

In April, I took these two big positions, didn't play much with others, I'm not good at small coins, only suitable for playing with large coins and focusing on heavy positions, avoiding PVP

$RFC has reached A8
$DARK will also reach A8 soon

After finishing these two in April, I plan to take a break #币安上线WCT

This week's initial pancake's upward momentum has slowed after a recovery, rising to nearly 8.6 before retreating, currently hovering above 8.4.

Last week, it rose by 10%, followed by a mild correction. The futures market sentiment did not follow the surge, with a significant rise from November 2024 to early 2025, but the futures sentiment index peaked early and has now declined, approaching support levels, possibly due to profit-taking, among other factors.

However, there are optimistic signs in the derivatives activity; the buy/sell ratio of its participants shows that bullish trading is once again active, which, while not guaranteeing a market reversal, may bring short-term momentum. #加拿大推出SolanaETF #币安上线WCT

Although I won't be trading ETH for the next couple of days, I still want to provide everyone with my personal subjective short-term entry opportunity!

In the evening, you can wait for ETH to rebound upwards to 1590 and then enter after a pullback at 1570, aiming for the 1605 area.