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Yesterday, Bitcoin showed a downward trend overall, with the price gradually declining from a high point. It found support at 103300 and then rebounded, currently oscillating around 104000. From a short-term perspective, although the downward momentum has eased, the rebound strength is also relatively weak. Only when the trading volume significantly increases and the price breaks through the key resistance level of 106000 can we expect to open up further rebound momentum: if it cannot break through, the price may test the support level below again. Suggested actions: Bitcoin rebound near 105700-106000, target 103300.
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Six Basic Principles of Position Management:
First: Do not operate with a full position; always maintain a certain percentage of reserve funds:
Second: Buy and sell in batches to reduce risk, average costs, and amplify profits. The advantage of buying in batches downwards and selling in batches upwards is that your average price is lower than others, resulting in higher profits.
Third: When the market is weak, hold a light position; in a bear market, it's best not to exceed half a position. During a strong market, it is acceptable to hold a heavier position; in a bull market, it is recommended to limit the position to 80%, with the remaining 20% as short-term or reserve funds for unexpected occurrences.
Fourth: Adjust positions according to market changes; appropriately increase or decrease positions.
Fifth: During a sluggish market, it is advisable to hold a short position and wait for opportunities to arise.
Sixth: Change positions: retain strong cryptocurrencies while selling weak ones.
The above six principles apply to both spot and contracts. If you still don't understand, please read it carefully a few times!
First: Do not operate with a full position; always maintain a certain percentage of reserve funds:
Second: Buy and sell in batches to reduce risk, average costs, and amplify profits. The advantage of buying in batches downwards and selling in batches upwards is that your average price is lower than others, resulting in higher profits.
Third: When the market is weak, hold a light position; in a bear market, it's best not to exceed half a position. During a strong market, it is acceptable to hold a heavier position; in a bull market, it is recommended to limit the position to 80%, with the remaining 20% as short-term or reserve funds for unexpected occurrences.
Fourth: Adjust positions according to market changes; appropriately increase or decrease positions.
Fifth: During a sluggish market, it is advisable to hold a short position and wait for opportunities to arise.
Sixth: Change positions: retain strong cryptocurrencies while selling weak ones.
The above six principles apply to both spot and contracts. If you still don't understand, please read it carefully a few times!
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BlockBeats news, on April 8, according to market information, due to the delisting news, tokens like BAL experienced a significant short-term drop:
BAL dropped over 10% in a short time, currently reported at 0.99 USD;
BADGER dropped over 9% in a short time, currently reported at 1.011 USD;
CREAM dropped over 20% in a short time, currently reported at 3.07 USD.#BTC #区块链
BAL dropped over 10% in a short time, currently reported at 0.99 USD;
BADGER dropped over 9% in a short time, currently reported at 1.011 USD;
CREAM dropped over 20% in a short time, currently reported at 3.07 USD.#BTC #区块链
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From the current market perspective, observing at the daily level, the overall trend is weak. After a wide-ranging fluctuation, a downward breakout has occurred. The price of the currency has declined, opening the Bollinger Bands to extend downward, continuously breaking below the support level of the lower band, with long lower shadows. Therefore, there are definitely signs of a short-term rebound, indicating that the bulls are losing strength. The four-hour level shows the market rising in a staircase pattern near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, accompanied by minor pullbacks. The MACD shows a decrease in volume while accumulation increases, indicating a warming of the bulls. However, this is only a technical correction. Based on the current situation, as long as there is no sustained and strong upward breakout by the bulls, this weak pattern is difficult to break. The current market is still in a bearish trend, and it is recommended to continue with a rebound high short strategy in morning operations.
Bitcoin can be shorted at 80500-81000, looking towards around 78000,
Ethereum can be shorted at 1600-1650, looking towards around 1550.
Bitcoin can be shorted at 80500-81000, looking towards around 78000,
Ethereum can be shorted at 1600-1650, looking towards around 1550.
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Morning Silk Road
The recent daily trend of the market is weak, with prices fluctuating widely before breaking downwards, putting pressure on everyone. Technical indicators show that the Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, indicating a continued decline phase. Although there are short-term rebounds during the downward trend, their strength is limited and does not change the overall pattern. Blindly chasing the rise should be avoided, and maintaining a high level of caution is relatively prudent.
Big Cake: Around 79800-80300, looking down to 1000-3000.
The recent daily trend of the market is weak, with prices fluctuating widely before breaking downwards, putting pressure on everyone. Technical indicators show that the Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, indicating a continued decline phase. Although there are short-term rebounds during the downward trend, their strength is limited and does not change the overall pattern. Blindly chasing the rise should be avoided, and maintaining a high level of caution is relatively prudent.
Big Cake: Around 79800-80300, looking down to 1000-3000.
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Multiple Negative Factors Combined
1. The 'Aftershock' of Trump's Tariff Policy
Since the Trump administration restarted the tariff policy in January 2025, Bitcoin has fallen 31% from its historical high of $109,000. After the 'reciprocal tariff' took effect on April 2, the market fears a $2.3 trillion contraction in global trade volume and an 18% increase in mining costs, further depressing coin prices.
2. Macroeconomic and Regulatory Pressure
The Central Bank of Russia recently proposed to limit the use of cryptocurrencies in domestic settlements, allowing only qualified investors to participate, while ordinary investors may only access them indirectly through derivatives. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury has frozen $1.2 billion in on-chain assets suspected of evading tariffs, highlighting the narrowing space for regulatory arbitrage.
3. Signals of Institutional Capital Withdrawal
February's futures open interest decreased by 37%, indicating that leveraged funds are accelerating their exit from the market. Although there was a net inflow of $4.7 billion into stablecoins in March, the sentiment among funds remains cautious, waiting for clear policies.
1. The 'Aftershock' of Trump's Tariff Policy
Since the Trump administration restarted the tariff policy in January 2025, Bitcoin has fallen 31% from its historical high of $109,000. After the 'reciprocal tariff' took effect on April 2, the market fears a $2.3 trillion contraction in global trade volume and an 18% increase in mining costs, further depressing coin prices.
2. Macroeconomic and Regulatory Pressure
The Central Bank of Russia recently proposed to limit the use of cryptocurrencies in domestic settlements, allowing only qualified investors to participate, while ordinary investors may only access them indirectly through derivatives. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury has frozen $1.2 billion in on-chain assets suspected of evading tariffs, highlighting the narrowing space for regulatory arbitrage.
3. Signals of Institutional Capital Withdrawal
February's futures open interest decreased by 37%, indicating that leveraged funds are accelerating their exit from the market. Although there was a net inflow of $4.7 billion into stablecoins in March, the sentiment among funds remains cautious, waiting for clear policies.
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From the current market structure, the second dip breakthrough during the afternoon is basically within our expectations, as the decline due to tariffs has been quite significant. At present, the bears' downward volume has not yet ended, and as the afternoon continues once again, the subsequent price comparisons will undoubtedly continue to extend downward. In the short term, even if a rebound occurs, it has not stirred up any ripples, presenting an overall step-like downward trend. As the pressure from above becomes stronger, the support from below will only weaken. For future positioning, one can continue to focus on bearish arrangements. There are opportunities to enter short on rebounds!
Bitcoin is short around 75800-75000, targeting near 73000.
Ethereum is short around 1500-1450, targeting near 1300.
Bitcoin is short around 75800-75000, targeting near 73000.
Ethereum is short around 1500-1450, targeting near 1300.
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A wave of decline just occurred, directly approaching the middle track of the daily K at 85000, and this position provides relatively favorable support!
After breaking through the previous fluctuation range of 80000-84000 and moving above 85000, the fluctuation range will also follow and move up. After a wave of adjustment around 87500, and the daytime fluctuation retracement, it has just arrived near 85000, there will be a rebound. For a more cautious approach, one can take a retreat of 1000-1500 points, and the next level to defend is 84200!
In the evening, the big coin short position: 85000 looks at 86500-87000,
Cautious investors can defend at 84200.
After breaking through the previous fluctuation range of 80000-84000 and moving above 85000, the fluctuation range will also follow and move up. After a wave of adjustment around 87500, and the daytime fluctuation retracement, it has just arrived near 85000, there will be a rebound. For a more cautious approach, one can take a retreat of 1000-1500 points, and the next level to defend is 84200!
In the evening, the big coin short position: 85000 looks at 86500-87000,
Cautious investors can defend at 84200.
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Tonight at 20:30, the number of initial unemployment claims for the week will be announced,
pay attention to market trends and be aware of position risks.#BTC
pay attention to market trends and be aware of position risks.#BTC
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3.20 Thursday Strategy:
The favorable news from the interest rate meeting early this morning led to a general surge in the secondary market, with the major index at one point rising over 4,000 points. The entire market is in a state of lament. The rise driven by this positive information cannot be supported by sufficient volume at the bottom, and is merely an increase driven by emotions. It will eventually return to the original point, after accumulating enough energy at the bottom to attempt to break through the recent highs again.
Today, we will continue to look for retracement space, watching around 86,000 - 85,000, with a target near 83,000. #BTC
The favorable news from the interest rate meeting early this morning led to a general surge in the secondary market, with the major index at one point rising over 4,000 points. The entire market is in a state of lament. The rise driven by this positive information cannot be supported by sufficient volume at the bottom, and is merely an increase driven by emotions. It will eventually return to the original point, after accumulating enough energy at the bottom to attempt to break through the recent highs again.
Today, we will continue to look for retracement space, watching around 86,000 - 85,000, with a target near 83,000. #BTC
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3.19 Night Analysis
According to the trend and the overall situation in recent times, at this point, this wave of bullish trend should be nearing its end. The resistance at the 85000 position above is still quite strong, and it seems a bit difficult to break through tonight!
However, the overall downward trend has stopped, and the wind direction has changed to a more upward oscillation!
Tonight, we can look for a short-term downward correction at the 84500-85000 position, and seeing around 82500-83000 shouldn't be a big issue!
If the pattern is not sufficient, we can wait for the 02:30 American interest rate meeting, and then we can fight together!
According to the trend and the overall situation in recent times, at this point, this wave of bullish trend should be nearing its end. The resistance at the 85000 position above is still quite strong, and it seems a bit difficult to break through tonight!
However, the overall downward trend has stopped, and the wind direction has changed to a more upward oscillation!
Tonight, we can look for a short-term downward correction at the 84500-85000 position, and seeing around 82500-83000 shouldn't be a big issue!
If the pattern is not sufficient, we can wait for the 02:30 American interest rate meeting, and then we can fight together!
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March 19 Midday Bitcoin Analysis:
Yesterday's market was generally a consolidation, with US stocks opening lower in the evening and the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index also declining. Bitcoin followed suit and dropped by around 600 points, and the overall downward trend has not changed. If there is a positive signal regarding interest rate cuts at 2 AM tonight, there may be a turnaround.
From the four-hour analysis, the 83500 level is a critical watershed for the four-hour cycle. As long as this price level does not break, the market still tends to lean towards a bearish pattern, and operations should be approached with a bearish mindset. The 81000 level below is a key resistance level. Attention should be paid to the breakout situation of these two resistance levels.
It is recommended to short around 83200-83500, with a stop loss of 600 points, aiming towards 81000-79000.
#BTC走势分析
Yesterday's market was generally a consolidation, with US stocks opening lower in the evening and the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index also declining. Bitcoin followed suit and dropped by around 600 points, and the overall downward trend has not changed. If there is a positive signal regarding interest rate cuts at 2 AM tonight, there may be a turnaround.
From the four-hour analysis, the 83500 level is a critical watershed for the four-hour cycle. As long as this price level does not break, the market still tends to lean towards a bearish pattern, and operations should be approached with a bearish mindset. The 81000 level below is a key resistance level. Attention should be paid to the breakout situation of these two resistance levels.
It is recommended to short around 83200-83500, with a stop loss of 600 points, aiming towards 81000-79000.
#BTC走势分析
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Three storms are heading straight for the Federal Reserve, and Powell can't sit still!
At 2 AM tonight (March 20, 02:00), the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. The expected value is 4.5%, unchanged from the previous value. This interest rate decision is unlikely to have much impact on Bitcoin; the focus will be on Powell's stance. If he adopts a hawkish tone, BTC may fall below the $80,000 mark; if he signals a dovish approach, Bitcoin could potentially challenge the strong resistance level of $85,000 again!
#BTC #财经
At 2 AM tonight (March 20, 02:00), the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. The expected value is 4.5%, unchanged from the previous value. This interest rate decision is unlikely to have much impact on Bitcoin; the focus will be on Powell's stance. If he adopts a hawkish tone, BTC may fall below the $80,000 mark; if he signals a dovish approach, Bitcoin could potentially challenge the strong resistance level of $85,000 again!
#BTC #财经
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Another friend deposited 15,000. When others choose you without hesitation and give you their trust, this trust is worth cherishing deeply.
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U.S. State-Level Bitcoin Reserve Bills: A New Paradigm for Public Funds Entering the Market
North Carolina: The recently proposed Bitcoin Reserve Bill (SB327) in this state has attracted widespread attention. The bill authorizes the state treasurer to allocate 10% of public funds (approximately $9.5 billion) to Bitcoin, with a multi-signature cold storage custody method, and requires monthly audits. The bill also stipulates that Bitcoin can only be sold under strict conditions such as a 'severe financial crisis', aiming to hedge against inflation risk through long-term holding.
Arizona: Its Bitcoin Reserve Bill has entered the second reading stage in the House of Representatives, making it the fastest-moving state-level bill in the country. If it passes smoothly, it is expected to complete the legislative process by April-May. This move could prompt other states to follow suit, creating a competitive landscape of 'state-level sovereign reserves'.
Significance: If such bills are enacted, they would not only inject billions of dollars of incremental funds into Bitcoin but also signify government-level recognition of cryptocurrency asset attributes, potentially reshaping traditional fiscal management logic. #BTC
North Carolina: The recently proposed Bitcoin Reserve Bill (SB327) in this state has attracted widespread attention. The bill authorizes the state treasurer to allocate 10% of public funds (approximately $9.5 billion) to Bitcoin, with a multi-signature cold storage custody method, and requires monthly audits. The bill also stipulates that Bitcoin can only be sold under strict conditions such as a 'severe financial crisis', aiming to hedge against inflation risk through long-term holding.
Arizona: Its Bitcoin Reserve Bill has entered the second reading stage in the House of Representatives, making it the fastest-moving state-level bill in the country. If it passes smoothly, it is expected to complete the legislative process by April-May. This move could prompt other states to follow suit, creating a competitive landscape of 'state-level sovereign reserves'.
Significance: If such bills are enacted, they would not only inject billions of dollars of incremental funds into Bitcoin but also signify government-level recognition of cryptocurrency asset attributes, potentially reshaping traditional fiscal management logic. #BTC
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3.19 Morning Thought Analysis
Wide fluctuations, downward stop and rebound, continue to be bullish during the day,
there is no continuity in long and short positions. Bitcoin and Ethereum should continue to pay attention to the rebound movements during the day. Bitcoin focuses on the resistance near the upper range of 85000, and it cannot stabilize and reverse. For Ethereum, pay attention to the area around 19700-2000 during the day; operations can be consistent with Bitcoin!
On Wednesday morning, it is recommended to go long directly near 82500 for Bitcoin, with a target focus on
84000-85000 range.
On Wednesday morning, it is recommended to go long directly near 1920 for Ethereum, with a target focus on around 1970-2000. #BTC走势分析
Wide fluctuations, downward stop and rebound, continue to be bullish during the day,
there is no continuity in long and short positions. Bitcoin and Ethereum should continue to pay attention to the rebound movements during the day. Bitcoin focuses on the resistance near the upper range of 85000, and it cannot stabilize and reverse. For Ethereum, pay attention to the area around 19700-2000 during the day; operations can be consistent with Bitcoin!
On Wednesday morning, it is recommended to go long directly near 82500 for Bitcoin, with a target focus on
84000-85000 range.
On Wednesday morning, it is recommended to go long directly near 1920 for Ethereum, with a target focus on around 1970-2000. #BTC走势分析
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From the four-hour level analysis, the overall market shows a volatile pattern, and the trend of volatility is more obviously biased towards the bullish side. Due to the current volatile market, the conversion between long and short positions is quite frequent, so it is necessary to combine pattern changes and strength continuation to judge the timing of long and short switches during operations. Currently, the market structure remains temporarily above the 82000 level, and the strength of pullbacks is gradually weakening, with bearish momentum slowing down. Before the range breaks, it is recommended to focus on short-term volatile operations, and to follow the trend only after the long and short positions break.
Operation suggestion:
Currently, operate around the 82300 range for Bitcoin.
Target around 84500.
Operation suggestion:
Currently, operate around the 82300 range for Bitcoin.
Target around 84500.
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Morning Analysis on March 18:
The 4-hour level shows a bottom rebound pattern, with the price breaking through the upper channel to form an upward trend. The bearish momentum has shifted to bullish, and the moving average system is rising in sync. Short-term rebound momentum is sufficient, and the technical correction structure has been broken. The current fluctuation belongs to the bullish accumulation phase, and the intraday strategy maintains a low bullish approach.
Operation Suggestions:
Bitcoin: Around 83,500, target looking at 84,500-85,000 for a continued upward break!
Ethereum: Around 1,920, target looking at 1,970-2,020 for a continued upward break! #BTC走势分析
The 4-hour level shows a bottom rebound pattern, with the price breaking through the upper channel to form an upward trend. The bearish momentum has shifted to bullish, and the moving average system is rising in sync. Short-term rebound momentum is sufficient, and the technical correction structure has been broken. The current fluctuation belongs to the bullish accumulation phase, and the intraday strategy maintains a low bullish approach.
Operation Suggestions:
Bitcoin: Around 83,500, target looking at 84,500-85,000 for a continued upward break!
Ethereum: Around 1,920, target looking at 1,970-2,020 for a continued upward break! #BTC走势分析
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