七情六欲

ETH slightly oscillating downward point
Upper pressure at 2550
Oscillation range is around 2480 to 2520
There is relatively large buying near 2480
The K-line is operating below the Vegas channel on the 1-hour chart
Trading strategy:
Engage in short positions when retracing to around 2510--2520
Stop loss at 2560
Take profit position at 2450
The 2450 level has formed multiple supports
The probability of breaking below is relatively high,
For those who opened short positions, it is recommended to reduce positions and take defensive profits at the 2450 level.
The final target position is around 2350 #加密市场回调

Is it a holiday for our fellow countrymen? The market is fluctuating,
Ethereum hasn't broken its high, my personal view is to long at the peak with a stop loss around 1880. #非农就业数据来袭 #加密市场反弹

Focus on the trend analysis of mainstream currencies and give ideas for the market.
Pay more attention to the irregular current price strategy recommendation orders.
BTC analysis
Look at the market back to around 95,000 points, BTC has support at 95,000 points.
The trading volume has not been released.
Back to the 4-hour intensive trading area
The first support position of the lower test position is around 93,500
The 12-hour strong support position is around 91,500
Ideas for making orders
BTC: Short-term suggestions:
Long orders around 93,500-92,800
Stop loss 1,000 points
Take profit 1,000 reduce positions and take profit

ETH analysis: sideways range around 2580--2850
ETH: Long orders can be entered when it falls back to 2620--2650
Stop loss: 2560
Take profit: 80 points reduce positions

Recommend a spot:
Sol 150 can enter the first position, and the currency that can be heavily held around 125
BCH can be used for joint positions near 285, and for heavy positions at 250.
Fil can be bought when it falls back to around 2.8, and it is recommended to hold a light position.

If you have any questions, you can learn and communicate with us. Make progress together.
The market is changing rapidly, and the above is for reference only. Risks are borne by yourself.
Give some meager help to those who are confused, so that all investors can take the right path. #以太坊回滚争议

Focus on mainstream cryptocurrency trend analysis and provide insights on the market.
Pay more attention to the daily irregular price strategy suggestions.
BTC Analysis
Weekend is likely to fluctuate upward.

Short-term suggestion:
BTC: You can try a long position when it pulls back to the support level of 96500,
Stop Loss: 95700
Take Profit: 98500

ETH Analysis: Sideways range around 2580--2780
ETH: You can enter a long position when it pulls back to 2680
Stop Loss: 2620
Take Profit: around 2750

Friends with any questions can learn and exchange operations together. Let's make progress together.
The market changes rapidly, the above is for reference only, and risks are borne by yourself.
Provide some meager help to those who are confused, so that investors can walk the right path. #BNBChainMeme热潮 #开通交易实盘认证

Early market points.
BTC has gained a profit margin of 1500 points.
ETH has a small regret, but it does not hinder our overall direction of making profits.
Pay attention to provide new opportunities and goals for crypto friends in 2025.
I will continue to post when there are points, and those who want to discuss together are welcome to explore together.
Search on the homepage.
The evening market tends to oscillate downward.
BTC will test around the 94200 line to see if it forms a support position.
ETH's downward support position is at the 2520 line.
If the support position is tested multiple times, let's see if it effectively breaks down.

Focus on the analysis of mainstream cryptocurrency trends and provide insights on the market.
Pay more attention to the daily unscheduled price strategy suggestions.
BTC Stable
Short position around 97800
Stop loss at 98600
Take profit at 96300

ETH
Short position at 2780
Stop loss at 2850
Take profit at 2660
CPI negative impact materializes, inflation rebounds, and it is expected that US stocks will continue to decline, and cryptocurrencies will follow...
Continue to focus on short positions during the rebound, with short-term long positions as a supplement!
Welcome everyone to click on the homepage to join the fan group, where short-term trades and spot trades will be released from time to time! #加密市场回调 #山寨季何时到来？

The liquidation is just a moment, are there any brothers who can stand up? Get in the comments section.

#比特币四年周期将改变？
Market Analysis:
Currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum daily charts show no signs of stopping the decline. The main strategy is to short, with some short-term longs as a supplement!
Bitcoin Resistance: 99888 and 101555
Ethereum Resistance: 3125 and 3205
Bitcoin Support: 97777 and 95555
Ethereum Support: 3011 and 2888
Currently observing the spot market!
Aggressive Short Strategy:
Short Bitcoin near 99888…
Stop Loss: 1000 points
Take Profit: 1500-2000 points in one go
Short Ethereum near 3125
Stop Loss: 80 points
Take Profit: 100-150 points in one go
Conservative Short Strategy Suggestion:
Short near 101555
Short near 3205

BGB Breaks 4U! 2024 Increase of 600%, Is BGB the Next BNB?
6 Years Without Incidents + 11% Market Share, Fourth in the World!
In the last round, FTT and MX rose first, followed by BNB, OKB, and GT. Currently, BGB is at 4.2u, having increased nearly 4 times since the election. MC 5.7 billion, ranked 29th. Compared to the once dark horse MX exchange token, it is undoubtedly highly controlled.
Moreover, with the platform's new offerings, earnings, etc., more users will come in to buy BGB, whether for pure speculation or for new offerings; this is a consensus. Not to mention the buyers of BGB, the increase in BGB itself is the biggest marketing, bringing users to the platform. Not to mention trading depth; as long as there are users, the transaction fees alone are a considerable cash flow. And this is just transaction fees. For the back-end operators' selling strategy, refer to how the ETH foundation sold off its holdings. In fact, this is only part of the revenue for the back-end operators, with passive income being more similar to BNB.

US Federal Reserve rate decision on December 18

Announced on December 19 at 03:00
Trading recommendations for BTC and ETH
BTC surged and then pulled back, with recent support around 103500 points.
ETH support is around 3800, serving as the first support.
If the 3800 point is broken, the next level is at 3700, with an extreme position around 3550 points.
The announcement tonight may bring a wave of market movement.
Order points for ETH
Buy near 3750, set stop loss at 3700 for short-term recommendations.
For long-term, buy near 3550, set stop loss at 3500 points.
In the morning, if ETH rebounds and cannot pass 3920, you can open a short position, set stop loss at 3950.
BTC is in a slightly downward oscillation space, while ETH is not very eager to fall.
However, for the news-driven orders, ensure proper risk management.

The price of ETH is still hovering around the $4000 mark.
A new face of the bull market.
The future of Ethereum
Ethereum faced a series of controversies and discussions related to ecological development in the middle of this year. With the rise of Solana, both new and old public chains are starting to attract Ethereum's developers and user base, and the ecosystem is beginning to shake, as Ethereum seems to have forgotten its original goal. As the first blockchain to create smart contracts, Ethereum successfully got major institutional investors on board in the last cycle through its first-mover advantage. Whether it is DeFi, blockchain games, NFTs, or the metaverse, they all cannot escape the Ethereum ecosystem, and its original intent of being a 'world computer' has deeply resonated.
Although the liquidity fundamentals of Ethereum have shown optimistic improvements, from Ethereum's own perspective, its daily transaction count, gas fees, active address count, and other on-chain data indicators have not seen significant growth. This indicates that the on-chain activity of Ethereum has not increased in sync with its price, and block space remains in excess.
In the past few years, Ethereum's focus has been on building the infrastructure for cryptocurrencies, providing a large amount of cheap block space for the market. This initiative has improved Dapp's access performance to blocks and reduced the transaction costs of L2 expansion solutions. However, due to insufficient market liquidity and low trading demand, Ethereum's vast block space has not been fully utilized.
However, from a long-term perspective, this is not a real problem. As mentioned earlier, institutional funds are gradually returning, even starting to create dedicated blockchain use cases. For Ethereum, which possesses security and flexible architecture, the B2B aspect is its strength. It not only has an overwhelming advantage in security but also can accommodate numerous EVM projects, providing developers with an option that is almost 'impossible to be laid off'.
At the beginning of December, Ethereum researcher Jon Charbonneau wrote a long article analyzing why Ethereum needs a clearer 'North Star' goal, suggesting that Ethereum's ecological strength be focused on the 'world computer' aspect, similar to Bitcoin's 'digital gold' and Solana's 'on-chain Nasdaq'.
Ten years have passed, and Ethereum is no longer in its startup phase; the future of Ethereum is already clear for the next decade.
A correction around $3850 support can be taken for a long position.

Weekend market trends are essentially a game among retail investors, with no institutional inflows or outflows. If there are no news impacts over the weekend, it is likely that the market won't look too bad. Additionally, next week we need to focus on the Federal Reserve's meeting decisions. Currently, market expectations for interest rate cuts are still quite high, and unless something unexpected happens, a 25 basis point cut seems stable.
Choosing leading cryptocurrencies such as meme, AI, DeFi, Base, Solana, and Ethereum (the major chains), as well as Bitcoin's ecosystem, is important. This is because after significant rises there might be pullbacks, and after significant drops, there will be recoveries. Coupling this with news and liquidity will definitely create narrative rotations. The leaders also open up the valuation ceilings for all secondary to fifth-tier coins. This will create a synergy making it easier to identify the leading cryptocurrencies, especially observing Binance, as it is the largest liquidity provider. Then further filtering, the basic narrative ETFs are pretty much done (it’s also worth checking the trading volume of top tokens on platforms like Bybit and targets suitable for small leverage based on the three-market theory). For those seeking odds, a small position in leading tokens can adopt 2-3x leverage, which has relatively high risk and returns, a bit like chasing alpha on chains (not recommended for beginners).
What coins should we consider for potential opportunities? First, let's talk about AAVE and UNI, these two are quite daunting. Especially AAVE, which surged directly by 30% since Wednesday, and it seems that around the 380 mark is a resistance point where one could take profit at highs. UNI, on the other hand, closely follows the steps of ETH; I consider it as having 2x leverage built-in. I believe ETH will definitely break through in the future, so UNI also has great potential. We can check if it can get back on track above the 16 mark. My view on UNI and AAVE is that with the bull market arriving, DeFi trading volume is surging, so these sectors will benefit. Moreover, the rotation of sectors is very obvious now; previously, the Solana ecosystem was very strong, but now the hot rotation has moved to ETH taking off fully. The previously positioned ENS, Puffer, and UNI have all benefited greatly, multiplying several times due to early positions. These coins can be accumulated at lower prices, and once ETH breaks through later, they will rally again. Additionally, meme coins can also be buried; Doge has been consolidating for a long time, and Pepe is also decent; I have also stashed some. Let's wait for the next wave of altcoin season.

24-hour liquidation of 1.7 billion, 570,000 people were liquidated! Feels good, this wave of liquidations is clean and refreshing. Let's let the bull lower its head to eat some grass first, then the altcoin market can start again.
However, the altcoin market takes a hit of -20%+, earning only limited profits.
Here are a few altcoins with relatively high certainty for future reference:
1: ETH, this month Ethereum's online conference will have updates, plus the ETF has seen continuous net inflows for half a month, the upgrade in March next year, and after Trump takes office in January, it is expected that policies will be loosened. By then, the launch of the ETF staking will basically accelerate the arrival of the main upward trend for ETH! The reference position can be in the range of 3550-3500, placing orders in batches. Pay attention to position allocation, and set the target at a new high and 8000!
2: SOL, SOL is expected to be the first altcoin to launch an ETF. The review of the Solana ETF applications submitted by four institutions on January 25, 2025, will take place. In the past two years, the SOL ecosystem has also been riding the meme wave, developing things like wif and bome on-chain... So besides Ethereum and BNB, SOL is still the top choice for long-term holding among altcoins, especially since its ecosystem is doing well and there are ETF expectations. The reference position is around 200-205, where orders can be placed in batches. Pay attention to position control, and the target is a new high; if the ETF is launched and it rises to 500, it wouldn't be surprising!
3: DOGE, the trend of Dogecoin has not ended. Elon Musk's DOGE minister will officially take office in January, and then Dogecoin will start a wave of upward momentum. Dogecoin has been repeatedly called out by Musk, and it has already risen several times from the bottom. Those who got off midway, including those who haven't boarded, still have a chance to get a share of the pie. Although Dogecoin's market cap is relatively large, it still has room to double even if it reaches a new high. The reference position is to buy a part at 0.4, and the remaining can be placed at 0.36 to lower the average price. On one hand, it’s to avoid missing the opportunity below 0.3 for Dogecoin, and on the other hand, it is to strictly control the position. You can’t go all in at one price point; manage the position well, and at least consider reducing your position by 50% during the fluctuations, aiming to hold on for at least a new high.

$SOL

To beginners
Beginners should start with a small amount of capital
Do a good job of risk control,
Slowly accumulate experience,
Do not think about how much money to make,
You must live by experience,
The market has ups and downs.
Steady progress is the way forward.#微软比特币投资投票案

Market Commentary

BTC —— The BTC price has increased by 0.54% in the past 24 hours, currently priced at $100,745.6, with a highest price of $100,686.7 and a lowest price of $98,649.1 in the last 24 hours. BTC price has been fluctuating narrowly around $100,000, with the market in a critical tug-of-war phase between bulls and bears. On December 8, the price quickly rebounded after dropping to the short-term support level of $98,650, but overall trading volume is low, limiting the strength of the rebound.

ETH —— The ETH price has decreased by 0.05% in the past 24 hours, currently priced at $3,997.62, with a highest price of $4,014.75 and a lowest price of $3,924.24 in the last 24 hours. ETH has retreated from a short-term high of $4,086 and is maintaining a narrow fluctuation range between $3,930 and $4,020. On December 8, the price briefly fell below $3,950 but quickly rebounded, indicating that bullish forces in the market are still at play. In the short term, attention should be paid to the stability of the $3,930 support level and whether the $4,030 resistance level can be breached; if it breaks out with volume, it may lead to further upward movement.

Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $377 million yesterday
According to Sosovalue data, the US Bitcoin spot ETF had a single-day net inflow of $377 million on December 6, with a total daily trading volume of $4.08 billion. The cumulative net inflow total is $33.43 billion, and the total value of BTC managed by the ETF is $11.274 billion, accounting for 5.62% of the total Bitcoin market capitalization. The Bitcoin ETF has seen 7 consecutive days of net inflow.

Ethereum ETF saw a net inflow of $83.76 million yesterday
According to Sosovalue data, the US Ethereum spot ETF had a single-day net inflow of $83.76 million on December 6, with a total daily trading volume of $992 million. The cumulative net inflow total is $1.41 billion, and the total value of ETH managed by the ETF is $13.36 billion, accounting for 2.74% of the total Ethereum market capitalization. The Ethereum ETF has seen 10 consecutive days of net inflow.

In the market, BTC is fluctuating at high levels, and ETH is oscillating between 300---4000 points.
The market is in a state of adjustment, with shrinking trading volume. The operational suggestion is not to chase the rise; the more bullish the market, the more calmness is needed. If you want to get rich quickly, wait for a pullback point; the market will not always rise without falling.
ETH: Long position points
3680 medium to long-term long position,
Stop-loss position at 3790
The profit from the trade can be handled at your discretion. $ETH

Weekend Bitcoin's sideways movement, the crazy time for altcoins. First, let's look at Ethereum. Although it moves slowly, its structure is still quite good. Yesterday, a wave of increase still drove DeFi and some Ethereum ecosystem coins. Ethereum has short-term resistance at 4100; if it surpasses 4100, it will aim for historical highs.
As for the coins in this sector LDO, OP, ENS, SS, ETHFI, W, the ones with short-term potential and strength are mainly ENA. Overall, the others either still have bear market genes, face significant selling pressure, or have poor coin characteristics!
Ethereum is the symbol of altcoins; only when Ethereum improves can the altcoin market perform better!
Views on three coins LUCE PEOPLE ORDI
Luce: Market cap of 120 million, currently no signs of accumulation in the secondary market, but looking on-chain, the top 20 holders have been buying. Analyzing the candlestick chart, it has been sideways here for a long time. Without the influence of funds, it wouldn't be able to stay flat. So to summarize, Luce is a strong whale coin, currently in accumulation, preparing for the next wave of market movement. This trend is almost the same as Ban. There will be market movements later, but it's uncertain when it will rise.
PEOPLE: Recently, it hasn’t risen much, but today there’s some activity. It’s estimated that a big upward candle will appear within the next few days, so continue to hold, don’t cut losses.
ORDI: Personally, I feel that Audi will have a big upward candle in a few days, reaching around 60u, as it has been moving in small increments, and the trend is relatively strong. Therefore, a substantial upward candle will follow, with a daily increase of 20%-30%. The recent altcoins have been like this; it's quite common.
The target is around 60.
Although Dogecoin attracts attention, it is unattainable for retail investors. However, Dogecoin (Doge) is different; it gives more investors the opportunity to participate! Once the Dogecoin-related departments launch, the hype will surely go viral globally. If you don't position yourself in Dogecoin beforehand, you might not be able to buy even 1 dollar's worth of Dogecoin next month, and a rise to 2 dollars would not be surprising. Some can continue to hold, but the upper space is not very large. This coin mainly depends on Musk's calls. $ETH

210,000 people liquidated, where is the next trading opportunity?

1. neiro

16 not breaking can continue to hold, this is the four-hour bottom area

2. rats

The people on the inscription car are many and move slowly, but it will rise, you can continue to hold if you want.

3. Is pnut still worth holding? The cost is 1.08

Yes, this position is basically at a temporary low point, continue to hold.

4. Can wld sats break the previous high in the long run?

Yes, the altcoin season is still in the early stages, the real main upward wave is yet to come.

5. Ghst alpaca target price

ghst first look at 2.2, then look at the previous high
alpaca can see around 0.7 after breaking and stabilizing at 0.32

6. Will shiba hit a historical new high?

Meme coins on-chain are actually not as good as those that have gone to exchanges now, because there are too many coins on-chain, going to exchanges means they have been screened once, if you want to play, you can take a small position and gamble.

7. When is it suitable to buy doge? Thank you

The bottom of the fluctuation keeps rising. Here, without breaking the previous high, around 0.35 is a good position. If it breaks the previous high, it may surge in the short term.

8. How long can Ar and neirocto the dog increase according to the K-line?

ar should accelerate quickly if it does not break 25, this type of stored coin is expected to increase in the end.
neirocto can hold if it does not break 16, this is a temporary bottom.

9. Can zrx be held for the long term?

Yes, but only at low positions, it is not recommended to chase the price now.

10. Can FET HBAR be held now?

Those at low positions can be held, do not chase HBAR, short-term adjustment and repair are needed.

eth position sharing
Do not short in a bull market
Aggressive long position at 3930,
Stop loss at 3860
Target 4000
Medium to long-term long position at 3840
Stop loss at 3780
Profit from the activated position should be managed by yourself. $ETH

Which coin will double next can be cautiously invested in as long as you have confidence.
1. Link, as a leader in the oracle field, despite having achieved a two to three-fold increase, I still firmly believe it has unlimited potential. As mentioned in a previous program, this project acts as a bridge connecting the real world and the blockchain realm, I would like to call it 'three pancakes'. Its importance is not only reflected in the DeFi sector, but in fact, it has a wide range of applications in many fields, including real-world NFTs, insurance, the second-hand car market, the Internet of Things, and more. Therefore, the value of innovation can be said to be five-star. From the perspective of market size, its scale is closely related to the DeFi sector, with a current market capitalization reaching $8 billion, and during the last bull market, its peak market capitalization reached $16 billion. It is worth noting that 40% of the tokens are still awaiting unlocking. Even considering that about 7% of tokens are released annually after the peak of the last bull market, this part of the impact can be essentially ignored. Therefore, it is reasonable to expect that in the next bull market, its market cap is expected to multiply by 10 again, reaching a scale of $60-80 billion. Thus, even at the current scale, there is still 10 times the growth potential.
2. UNI
As the leader in decentralized exchanges (DEXs), although the team's recent decisions have caused some dissatisfaction among large holders, this does not deny that it remains one of the largest and most practical DEXs. The current total value locked (TVL) has reached $3.7 billion, an unreachable leading position, especially with the upcoming release of the V4 version that will further enhance user experience. Its innovation index score is also perfect, and in terms of market capitalization in the financial sector, it performs excellently as well. The current market cap is $2.8 billion, with a peak of $3.66 billion during the last bull market. Currently, 42% of the tokens have not been unlocked, with 2% released annually. Even considering the peak of the last bull market, there is still nearly 13 times the growth potential. In the estimated range of the current bull market, it is $60-80 billion, so there is at least 25 times the growth potential.

As ETH warms up, ecological projects are experiencing explosive growth, leading all ALT tokens. Which assets belong to 'Ethereum beta' and are worth paying attention to?
CRV
The DeFi sector rose nearly 20% last week, with Curve DAO token CRV leading the way. Curve is a foundational infrastructure for DeFi, and DeFi is a core use case for blockchain, with institutions rushing to enter the market.
CVX is the largest holder of tokens like CRV and FXS, possessing the rights to the corresponding protocol's yield. As the prices of the underlying tokens rise, the intrinsic value of CVX also increases.
RSR itself is a stablecoin concept, but its main market driver for growth was the nomination of Paul Atkins by Trump as the new SEC chairman. Paul Atkins also serves as an advisor to the RSR token, so RSR surged significantly after the news was released, with a 24-hour increase of over 100%. This announcement sends a clear signal to the market: the regulatory environment for the crypto industry is about to undergo significant changes.
FXS
Frax Finance is the second-largest holder of CVX. At the same time, it has an L2 chain Fraxtal, a stablecoin product FRAX, a dual-token model staking product (sfrxETH, frxETH), and lending products... it has everything. Frax has the opportunity to create a self-sufficient DeFi ecological flywheel. The ultimate form is a decentralized on-chain central bank (though it is still far from that now).
OMOM is a Layer 1 public chain focused on compliant RWA built using the Cosmos SDK. As an old coin that has already launched on Binance, it saw an increase of over 150 times last year.